Agree with all of this, except for the defense. It should be significantly better this year - prob closer to league average than the dumpster fire they had the first half of last year.Was it the Fantasy Footballers? Because they did their top 10 WR and were talking about ASB at 9 and G Wilson at 10. It was funny because as they were talking it out I felt like they realized they might be undervaluing ASB, and then they compared him to past years Keenan Allan and it clicked for me: ASB is a "boring" pick. He's not the hot second year guy, he doesn't have a new star QB or better surrounding weapons. Which, to me, is the exact guy I want. His position in the offense is solid. He's got a good connection with his QB. There's been a few changes to other offensive weapons that SHOULD improve the offense without altering his role (in fact you could argue that they enhance his role). He's insanely driven. And, lastly, their defense is probably going to be pretty bad so they need to put points on the board. These are all things I want in a fantasy WR.Wouldn’t Gibbs and LaPorta really be taking targets vacated by Swift and Hockenson (and the hodgepodge of TEs that replaced him) and some of the less receivers?Guess I’m the only one who expects a little fantasy regression this year. Happen to like Gibbs and LaPorta a lot and think they eat into his target share just a little. Jameson is a lesser concern in my view. Absolutely love the player, he’s a baller no doubt and works as hard as anyone, just think he fades maybe 10-15% this season which is enough for me to be behind adp too much to get him. My only dynasty share was used for acquire Wilson so unfortunately I probably won’t have much Sun God this year if at all.
I kind of made a similar “mistake” of thinking Brown would regress after his rookie season because a lot of his receptions came with Swift, Hockenson and a few other WRs out with injury. I was wrong. I can’t doubt this guy - he’s so good when you watch him.
He is foundational to everything they're trying to do. He and Goff spent several weeks together between OTAs and TC getting in extra work (along with other WRs), Goff texted OC Ben Johnson "Amon-Ra. Huge year."
Had 30 snaps over a 4 week period last year [while dealing with an ankle sprain]. DNP, 10, bye, 20. Team went 0-3 and scored 6 points in those two limited games. Over that span he had 7 targets and went 5-22-0 playing hurt. 139 targets in the other 14 g (10/g.)
If you extrapolate his 14 healthy g totals it’s 123-1383-7.
TDs are variable and unpredictable, but consider how unlucky he was in 2022.
Heard a podcast today and they were like “well he’s steady every week, but he’s not going to finish with 1400+ yards or 10 TDs.” I’m looking at last years game logs and thinking that don’t sound right.
- WK 3 - 30 yard reception, tackled on 2, Jamaal Williams scored next play
- WK 10 - 13 yard reception, tackled less than a foot from end zone, Jamaal scored next play
- WK 11 - 4 yard reception, tackled inside 1, Jamaal scored next play
- WK 13, 12 yard reception, tackled at 1, Jamaal scored next play
He’s got the right QB, a brilliant OC, & the dude looks at his season goals - along with those 16 WRs drafted before him - in his notebook every day before he heads out to practice. Mans so freaking petty, drives himself with perceived slights like Jordan did.
Go ahead, bet against him.
ASB might just be a top 5 WR for me this year.
But, ben Johnson and Campbell aren't going to turtle up into just running the ball with a lead, so it shouldn't affect the offense much.
Campbell has grown as a head coach. He was aggressive to the point of being reckless Y1. In his second year we saw appropriate aggression. They go for it a lot on 4th down, eschew long range FGAs (in part by necessity), and know they still have to throw when they’re closing out games.
He’s still one of the 5 most aggressive decision makers in the league but he tempers it now. In the grand scheme that’s a good thing.