He will finish as a Top 10 WR. I work for FantasyPros.com and in our 16 person work league I took him in the 2nd round without hesitation.
It's a contract year for this young man and based on his gambling habits, dude is highly motivated by money. Dude has to be super healthy and ready to run through a brick wall.
Talent, check. QB, check. Healthy, check. Chip on shoulder, check. Contract year, check.
Dude might catch 100 balls.
And the dude might not catch 100 balls
Contract Year? He already played that card when he wanted a big deal from Atlanta and they wanted to push it off and suddenly Ridley wasn't mentally well enough to take the field.
But he's going to be well enough to place a bet, get suspended for a year and then get his wishes and be jettisoned form the team, yes/no?
He checks all the boxes for you guys over at Fantasy Pros but not at the Ministry of Pain!
64-63-90-31...those are reception totals thus far in his prolific NFL career.
143 targets is the most he has ever had, does Fantasy Pros have a projection for targets on this guy?
Chip on his shoulder? Is that how we are making projections? Sounds very emotional, we are dealing with a person battling mental instability so I'm not sure if the chip on his shoulder is such a great thing, possibly could be a negative. This guy should be doing yoga 3x a day, not walking around like Charles Bronson in Death Wish.
If you don't like Ridley, that's cool, but if you don't think he has something to prove and is not the #1 receiver in that offense, that's cool, but I strongly disagree.
Your analysis is pretty disingenuous. In 2020 he had 90 catches in 15 games (6 catches per game). Had he played 16 games, he ends up with 96 catches. That's close enough to 100 in my book and shows he's capable.
In 2021, he had 31 catches in 5 games. That's 6.2 catches a game. 6.2 x 17 games = 105 catches.
So yes, his last two seasons he was trending towards 100 catches. He missed 1 season. I expect him to pickup where he left off which was averaging about 6 catches a game. He didn't tear his ACL, he had a year to get healthy mentally and physically. One could argue he might be better than ever. Or if you're a hater you can ignore his averages from his last two seasons that show he is probably a lock for 90 catches and that 100 is certainly in reach and instead make jokes about his mental illness.
But yes, since we are dealing with human beings, I do take into account their emotions. They aren't robots and they aren't just numbers on a screen. The human element is critically important and is the reason Kenny Golladay for example busted. Dude balled out to get a contract, then sandbagged.
From all accounts in camp, he looks great and has a positive attitude.
Dude is 28 and is playing for the last big payday coming off a suspension. The contract year is a proven commodity and even if you don't believe in that, the last two seasons he played he averaged 6 catches a game which puts him in the 90 to 100 catch range.
If you can provide a more scientific projection that goes beyond ragging on his mental health issues, I would be happy to listen. However, it sounds like you're ragging on someone you think is mentally ill, even though by all accounts it appears he is trying to turn his life around. But I would love to hear how many catches you think he will have and the rationale behind it.
Christian Kirk had 84 catches last year and Zay Jones had 82 catches last year. Is it a stretch to think Ridley couldn't catch 10 to 15 more passes than those guys did last year? Or does your perception of his mental illness make him incapable of matching the numbers of the two WR playing in the same offense as him last year?
Thanks in advance. Also, I hope you are kinder to people with mental illness in real life. I know he's a pro athlete, but he's still a human being and this is like two shades away from making fun of somebody who is depressed and/or suicidal.