Lavachebeadsman
Footballguy
Wrote this today
The combination of Chudzinski and Turner’s aggressive downfield offense with Josh Gordon’s elite skills makes Gordon the best wide receiver sleeper in redraft for 2013. Ryan stated “Weeden is a gunslinger. You have to simply accept that and put him in a position to do what he did at Oklahoma State: survey the defense, preferably from the shotgun, and hit the open guy. When he gets into a rhythm, Weeden is a gifted and dangerous thrower of the football. He had numerous “wow” throws mixed into his rookie mediocrity. None of this “turn your back to the defense while play-faking and counting your steps, go through four reads and maybe throw a flare out” nonsense. Get out there and sling it. We’re trying to score touchdowns here.” This new perspective and offensive attitude is going to do nothing but improve Gordon’s fantasy profile. Gordon stated about the new offense that ““The new offense is great. For wide receivers, it’s the best offense you can really play for, I believe. With Norv’s offense, we watch all the old Cowboys’ vintage films. You can pretty much get lost and see yourself in the play. Working with Norv and Chud, I couldn’t ask for anything more.” Ryan writes of Gordon “Josh Gordon walked onto an NFL field last year having not played college ball since 2010, out of shape, devoid of technique, obviously clueless and without much of a role for the first quarter of the season and yet finished with a nice little 50/805/5 line on a team with poor scheming, a rookie quarterback and no established receiving threat. As a 21-year old. At times, he looked lost. At other times, he looked like if he figures it out there isn’t a corner alive who will be able to do a damn thing with him. Gordon has immense, top-5 WR type physical ability and a devastating deep threat.”
The immediate production points to Gordon having a very high ceiling. Take a look at Gordon’s next season comparables, originally calculated by Frank Dupont.
(PM me for table)
The next season averages projected by the Similarity Score apps equate to a full season of 65 catches, 950 yards and 7 touchdowns. Those 137 points would have made him WR23 in 2012. Those numbers strike me as incredibly conservative, however. Gordon received 16% of the teams targets in 2012, but that number is likely due to rise significantly in 2013; he is just so much more talented than Little, Cameron, Davone Bess and Travis Benjamin. If the Browns attempt 600 passes and Gordon increases his market share of targets to 20%, that will mean 120 targets. Likely, many of those will be high value, downfield targets which is what Gordon specializes in. Per PFF, on 8 catchable deep targets, Gordon caught 6 for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns. Under Norv Turner, Vincent Jackson had a similar skill set to Gordon and averaged 998 yards and 7 touchdowns in all his complete years as a starter. The top wide receiver in Chudzinski’s offenses averaged 1,182.5 yards and 7.5 touchdowns. Clearly, the top pass catcher in this offense is going to be a fantasy commodity. At an ADP of WR32, the fantasy floor created by Gordon’s comparables, physical measurables and historical data of Norv Turner and Rob Chudsinski offenses makes Gordon a steal at the wide receiver position.
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