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WR Marvin Harrison Jr., ARZ (1 Viewer)

2024 Season, also his rookie year, sum it up in 1 word - Overrated
People that take him in the 2nd round deserve what awaits them

One of the biggest gaffes possible in the first 2-3 rounds of any redraft.
Definitely won't be on the MoP this year
Wish him nothing but success but he can't possibly accumulate the numbers needed as a rookie to create any value whatsoever where he is slotted or being drafted.
 
In my dynasty superflex league one owner traded Anthony Richardson for 1.1 and then took MHJ. I'm pro ably leaning MHJ, but will be an interesting to see how that trade pans out over the next few years.
 
My only concern with MHJ is injury. He got dinged up enough here and there, and his frame seems thin. Watching him at Ohio State, I held my breath many times. That could also be because the offense ran through him for the most part. He opened everything up for the Buckeyes. OSU had a lot of other talented players, but he was definitely the straw that stirred the drink.
 
Best WR prospect since Chase?

Why couldnt he have a Jefferson like rookie season with Murray?

No reason tbh - looks like a can’t miss prospect to me

Early redraft ADP (e.g., not meaningful yet) he’s WR9/1.14

Underdog & best ball skews that at the moment

I imagine in most PPR home leagues we’ll see 6 RBs in the first & he won’t get drafted until late 2nd

No matter how good of a prospect I don’t think most seasoned FF managers want a rookie WR1, right?
 
Best WR prospect since Chase?

Why couldnt he have a Jefferson like rookie season with Murray?

No reason tbh - looks like a can’t miss prospect to me

Early redraft ADP (e.g., not meaningful yet) he’s WR9/1.14

Underdog & best ball skews that at the moment

I imagine in most PPR home leagues we’ll see 6 RBs in the first & he won’t get drafted until late 2nd

No matter how good of a prospect I don’t think most seasoned FF managers want a rookie WR1, right?

Of course they dont. Until that guy starts putting up numbers like Puka or sonething as a rookie.

I mean I do get it. Hes a rookie. Rookies usually dont perform as well as the same player would in their 2nd season and/or beyond that.

But passing on him becsuse he is a rookie means you better get a player with similar upside (WR 1 numbers) who has been that consistently.

If you acknowledge that rookie WR can put up top numbers right away I am not seeing why Harrisons chance of doing that isnt as good or better than the WRs that have done that before?

McBride led this team in targets last season and they let Brown go. There is plenty of opportunity available here.

I think MHJ could/should get about 10 targets per game. His opportunity could be similar to Hopkins in 2020.

Who else do the Cardinals have?
 
Best WR prospect since Chase?

Why couldnt he have a Jefferson like rookie season with Murray?

No reason tbh - looks like a can’t miss prospect to me

Early redraft ADP (e.g., not meaningful yet) he’s WR9/1.14

Underdog & best ball skews that at the moment

I imagine in most PPR home leagues we’ll see 6 RBs in the first & he won’t get drafted until late 2nd

No matter how good of a prospect I don’t think most seasoned FF managers want a rookie WR1, right?

Of course they dont. Until that guy starts putting up numbers like Puka or sonething as a rookie.

I mean I do get it. Hes a rookie. Rookies usually dont perform as well as the same player would in their 2nd season and/or beyond that.

But passing on him becsuse he is a rookie means you better get a player with similar upside (WR 1 numbers) who has been that consistently.

If you acknowledge that rookie WR can put up top numbers right away I am not seeing why Harrisons chance of doing that isnt as good or better than the WRs that have done that before?

McBride led this team in targets last season and they let Brown go. There is plenty of opportunity available here.

I think MHJ could/should get about 10 targets per game. His opportunity could be similar to Hopkins in 2020.

Who else do the Cardinals have?

FantasyPros has his projection at 89-1210-7. Good for WR13 last year.

Mike Clay (who skews very conservative) has him at 83-1121-6, also WR13 in his annual PDF.

Three rookie WRs have topped 1400 yards in the last 4 seasons.
 
Gotta say, I kinda hate the "drafting a player at his ceiling" analysis when it's applied to the very top picks of the draft. Of course you're drafting them at their ceiling. How much more can you expect out of them? When you pick a Jefferson, Chase, or Lamb you're really just hoping that they can repeat what they did the previous season. Does anyone picking Tyreek Hill think he's going to top 1799 yards this year?
 
Gotta say, I kinda hate the "drafting a player at his ceiling" analysis when it's applied to the very top picks of the draft. Of course you're drafting them at their ceiling. How much more can you expect out of them? When you pick a Jefferson, Chase, or Lamb you're really just hoping that they can repeat what they did the previous season. Does anyone picking Tyreek Hill think he's going to top 1799 yards this year?
I mean yeah, kind of. He's had 91/1799 and 91/1710 the last 2 years. He missed a 1 game last year and played a few games with an ankle sprain. The Dolphins had so many big 1st half leads that their passing numbers were really deflated for 2nd halfs. Tyreek's 1st vs 2nd half splits were pretty far apart. There's for sure room for him to hit 2000 yards.
 

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