5 games 21 catches 358 yards 2 tds
16 game pace 67 catches 1150 yards 6.3 tds
Last 4 games (since allen got hurt) 19 catches 287 yards 2 tds
16 game pace 76 catches 1148 yards 8 tds
Take out his best and worst games
3 games 11 catches 201 yards 1 td
16 game pace 59 catches 1070 yards 5.3 tds
So the good news is it seems pretty reasonable to expect him to go for around 60/1100/6 on the season without projecting any improvement.
The bad news is it's been against a weak schedule. He's faced the chiefs, jaguars, colts, saints and raiders. Not exactly a murderers row. But aside from the two broncos games, and maybe the chiefs in week 17, he faces the falcons, titans, dolphins, texans, bucs and then wraps up with the panthers, raiders and browns. They have an amazingly soft passing schedule all year.
Also Rivers was really mad at him on a third down pass yesterday. He caught the ball on a short crossing route short of the first down marker and didn't turn up field in time. But there were no grudges - he did most of his damage including the touchdown after that.
Another frustrating thing - gates has 2 of the 8 tds he needs to set the record. Henry has 2 tds of his own. Melvin gordon got his first eceiving td this week too. So the idea that he's the only big red zone target is on hold for now.
One more thing worth noting that he is getting more snaps than inman or benjamin - all of them in the 60%-70% range. That could go up based on his role in single receiver sets. Compare that with inman, who has been getting snaps in the offense longer, and benjamin, who seems to only be the "speed receiver", and i can see the relatively raw williams with good size and speed improving more than the others.
With a good qb, bad d, large role in the offense, good production so far, soft remaining schedule and room to improve his skills as the season goes on, i think he's emerging as a solid, every-week wr2 this year and a keeper/dynasty steal.
