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Stock Thread (18 Viewers)

Well, maybe in hindsight we should thank Fidelity for making it impossible to sell yesterday. 
Lol. I’m very seriously thinking about selling. It’s only 200 shares so it’s not making me rich even if it doubles from here and I’ve seen lots of resistance at $30/high $20s only to drop a lot. Based on premarket, I’m up 150%/$3200. For a random bunch of SPACs @BassNBrew and I were buying this summer, that’s a nice return to lock in.

 
Just put a limit order in for $29. It’s over $28 premarket. I may regret seeing it over $30, but I’ll lock in a nice gain and lessen my list of stocks. 

 
Lol. I’m very seriously thinking about selling. It’s only 200 shares so it’s not making me rich even if it doubles from here and I’ve seen lots of resistance at $30/high $20s only to drop a lot. Based on premarket, I’m up 150%/$3200. For a random bunch of SPACs @BassNBrew and I were buying this summer, that’s a nice return to lock in.
I'll probably sell. I added TRNE and IPOF yesterday.  May double down on TWTCU today.  GHIV is finally headed in the right direction.

 
and of course it continues to run
$31 looks pretty good.  But so does real profits in our pockets.  I got back in from a seeing @ericttspikes  and others talking about it a couple of weeks ago.  120+% 

You all are going to make it a banner f'n christmas at the beef family.  Cartons of cigarettes for everyone.  Smoke up kiddos!

 
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$31 looks pretty good.  But so does real profits in our pockets.  I got back in from a seeing @ericttspikes  and others talking about it a couple of weeks ago.  120+% 

You all are going to make it a banner f'n christmas at the beef family.  Cartons of cigarettes for everyone.  Smoke up kiddos!
I hear you. I'm that guy who goes up big early at the blackjack table but can't walk away, until three hours later when I've given it all back and I've reached my daily withdrawal limit at the ATM. What I need to do is take stocks I've sold for a profit off my watch list. I made $8K on this one...should be happy (and I will be in a few on the ride home from the casino) but I'm a degenerate gambler. 

 
I hear you. I'm that guy who goes up big early at the blackjack table but can't walk away, until three hours later when I've given it all back and I've reached my daily withdrawal limit at the ATM. What I need to do is take stocks I've sold for a profit off my watch list. I made $8K on this one...should be happy (and I will be in a few on the ride home from the casino) but I'm a degenerate gambler. 
Not sure about you but I’m trying to only buy this stuff in my IRA. I held on to TTCF because of the tax hit of short term gains and limits to get whacked even on long term. In my IRA it’s a no brainer. I like their future but if a $10 SPAC gets to mid $20s, take it and run.

 
Geez people, be happy with your huge gains. We’re smoking most fanatical advisors 
Yep. Even with that Amazon boat anchor of 72% gain this year, I believe I may be at about 100% gain for the year. I’ll be the first to admit I trimmed some TTD at $234 and it was a terrible mistake but I still kept a lot and it would keep you up at night if you worry about every lost gain. You can’t time everything perfectly and you tend to ignore what you did right. I sold most of my FSLY at $135, the day before they announced TikTok revenue would be down and got hammered. Sold most of my ZM at $570 on the exact day it peaked.

It’s been a helluva year and it would be dickish of me to not enjoy the returns.

 
Got my Cyber Monday Tax Cut software deal in the mail yesterday and am super excited to transfer in some investment files and pay a lot in cap gains taxes!

 
Not sure what it will do short term. Merger is next week. Think it will have a market cap of around 4B which is kind of pricey. I hasn't really popped too crazy, but not sure if it will fall back post merger like a lot of SPACs recently or go up on the ticker change. I'm willing to be patient regardless. My gut says 20 short term, 2-3 weeks, with an upside possibility of 30 if people like the story here, and I think the story is compelling.
:golfclap:

 
Tailing you guys on LGVW - looks very promising - in at 15.92

Also took positions in:

CHMA @ 4.65 (Pharma play - looks like nice upside - recent FDA approved product, sales started in Sept - flush with around $175MM in cash due to recent offering - predicted annual sales of $300M are thought of by many as too conservative. Several firms have $10+ price targets

OPTN @ 4.57 - similar pharma play to above, but not as juicy looking, but still very promising. Big ENT market

ABUS @ 4.03 - another pharma play - I'm a sucker for these - I know a random internet guy (not from FFA) that is HUGE on this - kind of tailing him - don't understand much on this one, kind of random gambling

CLDR @ 12.72 - up almost 10% on great earnings and sales - announced a big stock buyback plan - some nice insider buys - bright future tech company - this is the kind of stock you look at in mi-2021 and say "of course it's over $20, why didn't I dump my whole 401K into this one"

 
Owned and sold this and Tesla at various points this year and missed turning a very nice profit into like a 100k profit. :ptts:
Replace Tesla with SQ, and I'm right there with you. I still own SQ, but I had a lot more and just made the wrong call on what I thought would be opportunities to buy back in lower.

 
$ORRCF & $AYRSF & Crypto carrying me through an awful day for my terrible oil/energy/tanker stocks. 
AMEN bother.

I got the ORRCF recommendation from here in the stock thread, but I cant find the original pimp.  Whomever recommended this gorgeous copper stock, TIA - Im up 85%!

 
I still can’t fathom Snowflake’s valuation. $150M of revenue in the last quarter and P/S is almost 200. That’s right, 200.

It may be the most expensive stock looking at revenue for any company that isn’t pre-revenue like a Moderna.

I’m enjoying the run up this year but I can’t see how any analyst can say with a straight face that some of these valuations are ridiculous. I’m not even talking about all tech stocks, just some of these astronomical ones.

 
I still can’t fathom Snowflake’s valuation. $150M of revenue in the last quarter and P/S is almost 200. That’s right, 200.

It may be the most expensive stock looking at revenue for any company that isn’t pre-revenue like a Moderna.

I’m enjoying the run up this year but I can’t see how any analyst can say with a straight face that some of these valuations are ridiculous. I’m not even talking about all tech stocks, just some of these astronomical ones.
I ran a screen at Fidelity, P/S 7.28 and above and only companies with more than $37.69M in revenue (Those are canned numbers. I didn't set them). 

513 results. They are currently #5, though it shows their P/S as 115.37.

And yes, MRNA is #1. They actually show $246M in revenue. 

 
I still can’t fathom Snowflake’s valuation. $150M of revenue in the last quarter and P/S is almost 200. That’s right, 200.

It may be the most expensive stock looking at revenue for any company that isn’t pre-revenue like a Moderna.

I’m enjoying the run up this year but I can’t see how any analyst can say with a straight face that some of these valuations are ridiculous. I’m not even talking about all tech stocks, just some of these astronomical ones.
Makes PLTR seem like a bargain

 
MRNA   238.29   $246.7M TTM

ARGX   169.61   $76.0M

BNTX   141.26   $194.7M

CRSP   115.66   $77.4M

SNOW 115.37   $489.3M

 
MRNA   238.29   $246.7M TTM

ARGX   169.61   $76.0M

BNTX   141.26   $194.7M

CRSP   115.66   $77.4M

SNOW 115.37   $489.3M
❄️ is way under. Their market cap is $109B. Divide by $500M and it’s 218. Moderna is crazy as well and I own CRSP, but I’d put those squarely in the pre-revenue bucket. They may have revenue but that’s like partnership investments that they have to record as revenue versus SNOW which already has a product being sold.

So, we have 4 pre-revenue Biotech type companies, 2 of which are tied directly to CV-19 vaccines and a database/analytics company whose P/S is 3 times more than any other software/cloud/tech company in the world. Is it overvalued, hmm, maybe.

Think about it. It’s up around 10x the original IPO price before they realized it was so oversubscribed that they could triple the price with no issue. It’s then tripled from there all based on being hot. The quarter they just reported wasn’t special, it’s what was expected two months ago when the valuation was  expected to be $10B.

If there is any type of dip or if they miss revenue at any point in the next 12 months the stock should crater 50% in a day. No thanks.

 
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Do you all think this is a good entry point for PLTR? Has been on a downward tank since the Wed before Turkey Day

ETA - in at 23.87 - it's only money

 
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I’d be looking at a3% account gain today if it wasn’t for Jeffrey. 
My other stocks aren’t doing quite that well, more like 1.5% up for everything else. That said, I’m not worried at all. Went through a lull earlier in the year from mid April to early June when it was flat and seemed to be lagging everything else when stuff was opening back up. The next two and a half months it went up 40%. It’s been down around 10% from that high, but I think when Q4 numbers start rolling back out it’ll jump a bit.

I know you are just joking but the giant tech type companies can’t go up 5x a year anymore but they also are likely to hold up a bit better on a dip because they aren’t crazy valued. That said:

FB up @ 30% YTD, AMZN 70%, AAPL 70%, GOOG 30%, NFLX 50%

Looking at the FAANG stocks, only Apple has done as well although all have had a good year.

 
Do you all think this is a good entry point for PLTR? Has been on a downward tank since the Wed before Turkey Day
I bought my first slice a couple days ago at $21.80. I want to build up a position, but I feel like it’s going to sit around here for awhile and maybe have some more dips. If it drops below $20, I’ll likely finish filling the position. If it stays around here I may slowly keep building.

 
My other stocks aren’t doing quite that well, more like 1.5% up for everything else. That said, I’m not worried at all. Went through a lull earlier in the year from mid April to early June when it was flat and seemed to be lagging everything else when stuff was opening back up. The next two and a half months it went up 40%. It’s been down around 10% from that high, but I think when Q4 numbers start rolling back out it’ll jump a bit.

I know you are just joking but the giant tech type companies can’t go up 5x a year anymore but they also are likely to hold up a bit better on a dip because they aren’t crazy valued. That said:

FB up @ 30% YTD, AMZN 70%, AAPL 70%, GOOG 30%, NFLX 50%

Looking at the FAANG stocks, only Apple has done as well although all have had a good year.
Laggards....all of them.  

 
❄️ is way under. Their market cap is $109B. Divide by $500M and it’s 218. Moderna is crazy as well and I own CRSP, but I’d put those squarely in the pre-revenue bucket. They may have revenue but that’s like partnership investments that they have to record as revenue versus SNOW which already has a product being sold.

So, we have 4 pre-revenue Biotech type companies, 2 of which are tied directly to CV-19 vaccines and a database/analytics company whose P/S is 3 times more than any other software/cloud/tech company in the world. Is it overvalued, hmm, maybe.

Think about it. It’s up around 10x the original IPO price before they realized it was so oversubscribed that they could triple the price with no issue. It’s then tripled from there all based on being hot. The quarter they just reported wasn’t special, it’s what was expected two months ago when the valuation was  expected to be $10B.

If there is any type of dip or if they miss revenue at any point in the next 12 months the stock should crater 50% in a day. No thanks.
You don't have to convince me. I was just curious how it would shake out.

 
I bought my first slice a couple days ago at $21.80. I want to build up a position, but I feel like it’s going to sit around here for awhile and maybe have some more dips. If it drops below $20, I’ll likely finish filling the position. If it stays around here I may slowly keep building.
I did some toe dipping a couple of days ago as well. Also wrote 10 Feb $17.50s. Tried to write 20, but the other 10 didn't fill.

 

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