Bracie Smathers
Footballguy
Hey RN,You guys give yourselves a fighting chance @ CIN in week 11?
Most of the people left in my survivor pool will be forced to take the Bengals, as it's a very tough week. (I still have Denver available). It would be a great day if the Brownies could knock off their in-state rival. You gotta figure that Haden can somewhat neutralize A.J., and Cincy is very depleted on defense. So I think there's a good shot.
Saw your post in another thread about your pool and wanted to pass along some numbers for you.
- Bengals are 4-0 at home this year. (Pittsburgh, Green Bay, New England, and the Jets, so they've taken-down some good teams)
- Browns are 1-3 on the road this year (lone win against the 2-7 Minnesota Vikings)
- AFC North teams are 6-0 at home and ofcourse 0-6 on the road this year.
- Jason Cambell has played in the NFL 9 years and he's never had a three-game stretch where he's thown more than one TD in his entire career.
Go to link for chart.
http://espn.go.com/blog/afcnorth/post/_/id/76238/is-this-jason-campbells-two-game-zenith
Here is one stat you will like:Is this Jason Campbell's two-game zenith?
The question has been raised whether Jason Campbell is playing the best quarterback of his career.
It’s a bit of an odd question, given Campbell has just started two games and two games is hardly a trend.
But these are the Cleveland Browns in the discussion so any positive stat in a storm will do.
And the case can indeed be made that Campbell is indeed playing the best quarterback of his career.
The key number: The NFL’s quixotic passer rating number, which for the past two games is 110.9.
That’s higher than any other two-game stretch in his career.
The key: Campbell has not thrown an interception as a starter. In a two-game stretch in Washington in 2009, he had more yards, a higher yards per attempt and five TDs -- but he also threw an interception.
One oddity about these two-game streaks that may reflect as much on the teams Campbell played for as anything: He never won both games.
But in a purely subjective analysis, the case can indeed be made that these are the best two games of Campbell’s career.
With another good game, Campbell could even set the best three-game mark of his career. In 2007 in Washington, he threw for 820 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. His rating in those games: 97.1. His team’s record: 1-2.
So ... yes ... the Cleveland Browns can say they are getting Jason Campbell at the apex of his career.
- CB Joe Haden: The fourth-year player is the division’s top shutdown corner. Facing the top receiver every game, Haden has limited them to 25 receptions for 150 yards and no touchdowns. In the Browns’ last game, Haden got his first interception of the season. In the Week 4 game at Cleveland, Haden held A.J. Green to seven receptions for 51 yards.
The Bengals lost DT Geon Atkins and their starting CB, forgot his name, but since the first game in Cleveland where the Browns had Brian Hoyer (lost to IR) as the starting QB where Brian was utilizing TE Jordan Cameron and the Browns had KR Travis Benjamin (lost to IR).
So both teams have been dinged by injuries.
I'm sure many Browns fans are psyched just to be playing a meaningful game mid-November but Brown/Bengal games are hard to predict.
I'm not sure what to expect but I hope for a good game.
Back to your elimination pool.
It would make sense that the majority of the people left would be contrarians who look to go against the trends so now the people in your pool are probably of a risk taker mindset.
A change in strategy to go risk-averse for awhile to shake-out the risk takers might be in order but its your call.
Good luck especially if you go with the Browns this week.