I don't post much around here during the season. I tend to just focus on in-season stuff during this time and kind of just lurk around. I'll post a ton more when I get into prospects for 2021 though for sure.
There's a few players I was curious about that have gone unnoticed lately and their values have dramatically dipped, wanted to get some shark-pool thoughts on them
Courtland Sutton
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Miles Sanders
Nick Chubb
DJ Chark
Dak Prescott
Keenan Allen
And just to add even more likely wider range of thoughts, OBJ
Most of it is the "all injury team of 2020" that have their values so far suppressed that it's kind of embarrassing. Sutton and JuJu probably don't fetch anywhere close to top dollar anymore, but should they? Personally I like both as buy lows but I don't know where to put their values so much. It ranges so much with all of these players because of either their injury this year, their lack of elite involvement, or age. Or some combination of them all. Sanders had a few really good games, but it feels like forever ago and people are writing him off. Same goes for Chubb since there's been an equally good RB to replace him. Sanders, IMO, has a clearer future since he's got 2 years on his rookie deal where Chubb only has 1 and a direct replacement for cheaper. Chark has practically disappeared with Minshew struggles a little and his injuries but he had such a good breakout last year. I fear he's a 1 year wonder type that will struggle with overall team struggles in the future. Dak has a team around him but he isn't signed and there are some speculating that the injury will keep him out indefinitely. I don't like to think that way, and he's still a top10 dynasty QB for me but I imagine some are drastically lower. Keenan and OBJ are older with some injury histories but Keenan hogs targets from a gunslinger and a top10 dynasty QB but they aren't worth a 1st anymore? What? OBJ less of a target hog but Baker is a gunslinger too. His situation is a little more uncertain as they might trade him but the glory days of New York are far in the rear-view.
Anyways can people pinpoint these values? As I've said they kind of range all over the place, some people are likely higher on some, some are lower, but it could be anywhere from a 1st to a 3rd I imagine. Probably there's at least 1 of these players that you wouldn't even touch. I have 2 on this list personally. Help me sort it out?
My thoughts on some of these guys.
Juju - Not a fan, at all. With Diontae and Claypool coming on I think there is little chance Pitt re-signs him next year. And there are few situations he could go to that would be better for fantasy than being the #1 WR on Pittsburgh, where he already has been producing kind of "meh". I think the concerns over him being a good #2 and a poor #1 were on point with him, and there aren't many situations he could land where being a #2 makes him a top fantasy asset.
Sanders - I disagree that his value has fallen. He got hurt like 2 weeks ago. Everywhere I've seen he's still treated as a 1st round startup pick.
Chubb - I've made my thoughts clear on him previously. With Hunt in town long term to justify his early 2nd round startup value he's going to need to either score a ton of TDs, catch a ton of passes (unlikely with Hunt there), or rush for 2500 yards to make up for the other two. He's a stud as a runner. One of the best in the league, maybe the best. But rushing yards are like 30% of a fantasy RB's value anymore. I like him, but there is so little margin for error for him he basically has to break a 20+ yard TD run every game.
Chark - Douchey diva WR without the pedigree to back up his douchey attitude. Dude is playing with a 2nd year QB who is on pace to throw for 4300 yards and 30 TDs and when the ball is somewhere he has to reach for instead of hitting him dead between the numbers on every play he acts like he's a Randy Moss talent stuck playing with Nathan Peterman as his QB. Maybe a decent fantasy buy low, but a potential major headache as well.
Dak - I haven't seen much of a discount for him. If I can get one, I'm a buyer all day.
Keenan - Crazy underrated. The biggest concern coming into the year, which I had as well, was that the Chargers were going to drop 1500 passing yards off their typical total with Tyrod and/or a not so hot rookie under center. It turns out that rookie is quite hot, and Keenan is right on his career pace, yet his value hasn't adjusted for it. I'm buying here too.
OBJ - I guess for a 2nd maybe I'd consider it. It's too easy to get stuck with these former studs in their late 20's thinking they have to bounce back because they've been there before. Dez, Demaryius, AJG. Just because a guy was a league winning stud at 25 doesn't mean he's going to return to that because he's now "only" an injury battered 28 in a bad situation.