I'm convinced it was the right house, wrong guy. I think some things are being over-analyzed.The mistaken identity was strongly inferred by the following:1) The complete lack of mentioning of the address. Either by way of how they got the address or it being the wrong address after the fact. If they wanted it to be a F'd up address, they would give you SOME kind of thing to draw that conclusion from. Like they did with the mistaken identity angle...2) The inference of the mistaken identity from the photo the hitmen had and how the guy looked like Phil. This is also supported by the whole Ukranian questions and the woman calling him daddy - they made it very obvious that the wrong man was about to be killed without at all discussing the location.3) The woman was pretty bangable and, if I'm not mistaken, dressed in some kind of nightie type thing. I just think she was made to look like a goomar. If she were a 350lb. Ukranian woman, that'd be a different story.Also, on Paulie, I don't see him flipping to NY. I just don't see it. The NY connection everyone is talking about was Jonny Sachs. Sachs is gone, and really has absolutely nothing to do with Phil. Phil even said that this (meaning the extermination of the NJ family) "Should've happened during Jonny Sach's tenure" or whatever. Paulie has been a discontent before, but he's no traitor. At least not with 60 minutes left in the show. I thin that would seem pretty unnatural and forced. As for his car, I mean, Tony is as paranoid as anyone, if the car being out front was strange, Tony would've had it moved. They're at a random house in Jersey, and it's not like NY is going to just be patrolling the streets looking for Paulie's car. Most of them would be button men anyway, who have probably never met Paulie or seen his car.Paulie didn't tip Phil off - Phil is simply smart. He decided to take out the family, told his guys to get it done, and skipped town before the #### hit the fan.