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2007 Rookie Draft / RUNNINGBACKS (1 Viewer)

I just traded LaMont Jordan

for the 4th pick in my rookie draft.

Already sitting with #2.

#2 Marshawn Lynch

#4 Antonio Pittman.

 
Some other RBs who may leave early but won't have as big of an impact:

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina
Probably won't declare, but the few times I've watched Bradshaw he was impressive.
 
I just traded LaMont Jordanfor the 4th pick in my rookie draft.Already sitting with #2.#2 Marshawn Lynch#4 Antonio Pittman.
What kind of idiot would take Lamont Jordan for ANY 1st round rookie draft pick? The fat man sucks.
LaMont JordanReggie Brownfor1.04Vincent JacksonTony SchefflerVJax will be my #4 WR.I love Scheffler, he put it over the top for me.-------------------------------------------------------------I sold low on Jordan, but was unimpressed with his speedand cutting ability even before the knee injury this past season. I'm glad to be rid of him. I'll take my chances on a Kenny Irons or Antonio Pittman over Jordan at this point.
 
...

Some other RBs who may leave early but won't have as big of an impact:

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina

...
Word on the Nebraska boards is that Jackson is now all but certain to declare. Some info on BJax:He's under the radar right now because he was injured for virtually his whole Sophmore season, and was in a RBBC with more nationally heralded players this season. Never the less, he emerged as clearly the best RB by the end of the season and put up just short of 1,000 yards despite sharing touches. What set him apart from the other backs was his vision and ability to find cut-back lanes. I'm obviously not saying he's in this class but if you are looking for a similar RB in terms of size and running style, Terrell Davis would be the most comparable IMO.

He should also test out extremely well. Coming out of HS he was benching 400 and squating 600, and he has consistently run in the 4.4-4.45 range.

 
...

Some other RBs who may leave early but won't have as big of an impact:

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina

...
Word on the Nebraska boards is that Jackson is now all but certain to declare. Some info on BJax:He's under the radar right now because he was injured for virtually his whole Sophmore season, and was in a RBBC with more nationally heralded players this season. Never the less, he emerged as clearly the best RB by the end of the season and put up just short of 1,000 yards despite sharing touches. What set him apart from the other backs was his vision and ability to find cut-back lanes. I'm obviously not saying he's in this class but if you are looking for a similar RB in terms of size and running style, Terrell Davis would be the most comparable IMO.

He should also test out extremely well. Coming out of HS he was benching 400 and squating 600, and he has consistently run in the 4.4-4.45 range.
Just to add onto this; here's a good video package on Jackson.
 
...

Some other RBs who may leave early but won't have as big of an impact:

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina

...
Word on the Nebraska boards is that Jackson is now all but certain to declare. Some info on BJax:He's under the radar right now because he was injured for virtually his whole Sophmore season, and was in a RBBC with more nationally heralded players this season. Never the less, he emerged as clearly the best RB by the end of the season and put up just short of 1,000 yards despite sharing touches. What set him apart from the other backs was his vision and ability to find cut-back lanes. I'm obviously not saying he's in this class but if you are looking for a similar RB in terms of size and running style, Terrell Davis would be the most comparable IMO.

He should also test out extremely well. Coming out of HS he was benching 400 and squating 600, and he has consistently run in the 4.4-4.45 range.
Just to add onto this; here's a good video package on Jackson.
Interesting. I wouldn't say he looks great, but he's intriguing. Pretty good build with some wiggle. Reminds me a bit of Rudi. I'll be watching this kid at the combine and on draft day. In this weak crop of RBs, just about anyone has an opportunity to emerge. He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
 
FYI: I know many anticipated this, but Peterson is now going pro. He told Stoops today and has secured a lawyer (in Norman) to start interviewing agents. The announcement should be in next 48 hours

 
He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
I think you can get a great feel for a WR from a highlight reel, but not RBs. Most any college team could put together a similar reel with their starter. These RBs are weak and Jackson isn't top 15. Jackson would be coming out to exploit the weakness of this draft (smart) and make sure he wasn't overshadowed by Sophomore Marlon Lucky (also smart). Lucky is a more legit NFL talent and he'll be a force next year, with or without Jackson.
 
Hurry up Bob. :popcorn: :popcorn:

ETA- I saw a lot of really crappy tackling in that Jackson video. That being said I did like how he sees cutbacks and his burst through the hole. He seems to be able to get small and has some wiggle too. Also finishes his runs well. It is always hard for me to tell how good these guys are when the tackling and angles these defenders take is so crappy though.

 
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He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
I think you can get a great feel for a WR from a highlight reel, but not RBs. Most any college team could put together a similar reel with their starter. These RBs are weak and Jackson isn't top 15. Jackson would be coming out to exploit the weakness of this draft (smart) and make sure he wasn't overshadowed by Sophomore Marlon Lucky (also smart). Lucky is a more legit NFL talent and he'll be a force next year, with or without Jackson.
I actually think RB is the easiest position to scout from highlights. A guy either has the NFL burst or he doesn't. It usually becomes obvious very quickly.
 
Hurry up Bob. :popcorn: :popcorn:ETA- I saw a lot of really crappy tackling in that Jackson video. That being said I did like how he sees cutbacks and his burst through the hole. He seems to be able to get small and has some wiggle too. Also finishes his runs well. It is always hard for me to tell how good these guys are when the tackling and angles these defenders take is so crappy though.
Jackson reminds me of one of those zone blocking scheme backs like Lundy. Nothing just jumps out at you and if he gets carries he has enough vision and general toughness to matter fantasy wise, but is a guy that in two or three years you will have forgotten he existed. Understand that history is on the side on at least one of these guys late first day /early 2nd day guys to matter for a couple of years, so the next four months is about figuring which of the Jackson, Darby, Wright, etc becomes DomDavis or Orlandis Gary.
 
i've been watching some of the available highlights of peterson & lynch lately, to try & better distinguish them, & break down their relative strengths & weaknesses...

peterson seems faster & more explosive... specifically, once he is in the open field, his linear, straight ahead, top end speed is really impressive... he runs away from smaller DBs, even when they have the angle on him... fantastic combo of size/power/speed... impressive contact balance... breaks a lot of tackles... can be a physical, punishing runner... though upright running style, can & will lower his shoulder, is capable of running with leverage in close quarters & in traffic... overpowers smaller defenders... nasty, hardcore stiff arm (should quickly be one of the league's best in this dept)... not as shifty or elusive as lynch imo (that attribute of lynch is one of most impressive to me), doesn't have as outstanding lateral quickness, feet & elusiveness... that said, he isn't a slouch in these areas, & can make defenders miss... not sure how well he blocks or catches... probably wouldn't be many highlights for system/scheme reasons at oklahoma (wasn't asked to catch much)... enticing, in that he seems to have the physical traits of a true feature RB... if he can stay healthy (bit of a question currently, & will continue to be until he answers durability concerns by stringing together some healthy seasons), has the look of a 350+ carry RB that will also get the bulk of short yardage & goal line work... there are increasingly few of those kinds of RBs... aforementioned upright running style, which could expose him to bigger hits (& more of them), has raised alarms that he could have a short career, but i didn't find him to run christian okoye-upright... much has been made of the missed games, but if you break your collarbone you are going to miss games... same with ankle sprain previous season, it has happened to the best of them, so i don't think the injury prone factor will weigh heavily in my decision... if i think his constellation of traits & overall skill set is superior to lynch, that will probably guide & drive my decision to take one over the other, more than durability & injury questions... he is not skinny, but longer than lynch at 3" taller & about same weight (6'2" 217)... some scouts think he will be bigger in a few years when he physically matures... if so, without losing much speed or explosiveness, he could emerge as a monster, a dominant RB... lets say he got to 225... who does he remind the board of, what would be a suitable comp player to fit his present profile while factoring in his growth potential? a faster, stronger fred taylor? hopefully he doesn't revisit the fragile freddie connotations... steven jackson was mentioned... both supposedly ran 10.6 as preps... based on what i have seen more recently, AD is way faster in the open field, and a niftier runner, but arguably not as strong (yet!)... he looks like a mortal lock to run a 4.4, & it wouldn't shock me if he runs a 4.3 at combine (as junior he can't be scouted at senior bowl... like lynch)... i think he was reportedly fastest player on oklahoma team & may already have clocked a blistering sub-4.4... i'm interested to see how he does in explosiveness measurables like vertical & broad jumps... also his bench press reps... could be a future serial pro bowler if he can stay in one piece...

lynch to follow...

 
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Michael Bush coming out, making a weak RB class alot better.

Rankings updated (post #55)

Only two Juniors I can see who have yet to make it official that will have a significant impact on Rookie Drafts:

Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma

Antonio Pittman, Ohio State

Some other RBs who may leave early but won't have as big of an impact:

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina

Other Draft-eligible RBs leaning toward staying in school:

Darius Walker, Notre Dame

Albert Young, Iowa

Lynell Hamilton, San Diego State

Alley Broussard, LSU
:football: I guess his stock won't go much higher next year, not to mention there are alot of talented backs that will go ahead of him next year as is...

But how high will this guy go? No earlier than 6th Round IMO.

 
He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
I think you can get a great feel for a WR from a highlight reel, but not RBs. Most any college team could put together a similar reel with their starter. These RBs are weak and Jackson isn't top 15. Jackson would be coming out to exploit the weakness of this draft (smart) and make sure he wasn't overshadowed by Sophomore Marlon Lucky (also smart). Lucky is a more legit NFL talent and he'll be a force next year, with or without Jackson.
There's no question that the RBBC is probably factoring into Jackson's thinking. Lucky and Cody Glenn were both nicked up in the second half of the season this year which probably added to Jackson's touches. He only averaged 7 touches a game through the first 5 games this past season, then 21 touches per game over the last 9. That said, Jackson is also well ahead of Lucky as a runner at this point. Jackson has much better vision, balance, and patience. He's also a tougher runner who rarely goes down on the initial contact, something that Lucky has struggled with. Right now I'd say Lucky only has an edge in two areas; he appears to have better field speed and quickness and is a more natural receiver. I'm a big Lucky booster but he needs to work much harder. If Jackson comes back he'll be the undisputed lead back next season. Honestly I think it is better for Lucky if Jackson leaves, rather than the other way around.

 
Darius Walker, Notre Dame

:lmao:

I guess his stock won't go much higher next year, not to mention there are alot of talented backs that will go ahead of him next year as is...

But how high will this guy go? No earlier than 6th Round IMO.
He should go higher than that. He's got a nice burst and good receiving skills. In a weak RB class, he could as high as the 4th round. He's a willing inside runner, but he runs too "small" for my tastes. Imo, he's destined to bounce around the league as a backup.edit to add: he was definitely smart to accept the draft grade he has now rather than get lost in the sea of talented junior RBs coming out next year.

 
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He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
I think you can get a great feel for a WR from a highlight reel, but not RBs. Most any college team could put together a similar reel with their starter. These RBs are weak and Jackson isn't top 15. Jackson would be coming out to exploit the weakness of this draft (smart) and make sure he wasn't overshadowed by Sophomore Marlon Lucky (also smart). Lucky is a more legit NFL talent and he'll be a force next year, with or without Jackson.
There's no question that the RBBC is probably factoring into Jackson's thinking. Lucky and Cody Glenn were both nicked up in the second half of the season this year which probably added to Jackson's touches. He only averaged 7 touches a game through the first 5 games this past season, then 21 touches per game over the last 9. That said, Jackson is also well ahead of Lucky as a runner at this point. Jackson has much better vision, balance, and patience. He's also a tougher runner who rarely goes down on the initial contact, something that Lucky has struggled with. Right now I'd say Lucky only has an edge in two areas; he appears to have better field speed and quickness and is a more natural receiver. I'm a big Lucky booster but he needs to work much harder. If Jackson comes back he'll be the undisputed lead back next season. Honestly I think it is better for Lucky if Jackson leaves, rather than the other way around.
Having seen Lucky play in high school, I'm convinced he will be a stud if he's used correctly. He has incredible hands for a RB and has the size and speed to be an NFL back. He's barely scratched the surface of what he can do at Nebraska. Good character guy as well.
 
With the early entrants coming fast and furious, does anyone see anyone other than the following guys making the leap?

Antonio Pittman, Ohio State

Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall

Brandon Jackson, Nebraska

Cory Boyd, South Carolina

Albert Young, Iowa

Lynell Hamilton, San Diego State

Alley Broussard, LSU

 
He certainly impresses me more than Tony Hunt and Michael Bush.
I think you can get a great feel for a WR from a highlight reel, but not RBs. Most any college team could put together a similar reel with their starter. These RBs are weak and Jackson isn't top 15. Jackson would be coming out to exploit the weakness of this draft (smart) and make sure he wasn't overshadowed by Sophomore Marlon Lucky (also smart). Lucky is a more legit NFL talent and he'll be a force next year, with or without Jackson.
There's no question that the RBBC is probably factoring into Jackson's thinking. Lucky and Cody Glenn were both nicked up in the second half of the season this year which probably added to Jackson's touches. He only averaged 7 touches a game through the first 5 games this past season, then 21 touches per game over the last 9. That said, Jackson is also well ahead of Lucky as a runner at this point. Jackson has much better vision, balance, and patience. He's also a tougher runner who rarely goes down on the initial contact, something that Lucky has struggled with. Right now I'd say Lucky only has an edge in two areas; he appears to have better field speed and quickness and is a more natural receiver. I'm a big Lucky booster but he needs to work much harder. If Jackson comes back he'll be the undisputed lead back next season. Honestly I think it is better for Lucky if Jackson leaves, rather than the other way around.
Having seen Lucky play in high school, I'm convinced he will be a stud if he's used correctly. He has incredible hands for a RB and has the size and speed to be an NFL back. He's barely scratched the surface of what he can do at Nebraska. Good character guy as well.
I agree he has vast potential. I posted earlier or in another thread that I thought he could easily put up a 2000 yard rushing/receiving season in the NU offense. Where he is really lagging behind at this point is in his strength and conditioning. It's not that he's being misused, he's just being outworked Jackson and Glenn.
 
Pittman has now officially declared... I have a feeling that'll be it for the early entries at RB. At least for the impact players.

 
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Sorry, not really into writing paragraphs upon paragraphs in my posts, just not my style... But I can assure you I put alot of thought into this list.

Disclosure: These rankings are based on NFL fantasy potential, not necessarily predicted NFL Draft order

1. Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma*

2. Marshawn Lynch, California*

3. Antonio Pittman, OSU*

4. Michael Bush, Louisville*

5. Kenny Irons, Auburn

6. Tony Hunt, Penn State

7. Lorenzo Booker, FSU

8. Kenneth Darby, Alabama

9. Selvin Young, Texas

10. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State*

11. Kolby Smith, Louisville

12. DeShawn Wynn, Florida

13. Jon Cornish, Kansas

15. Brandon Jackson, Nebraska*

16. Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall*

17. Chris Henry, Arizona*

18. Tyrone Moss, Miami (FL)

19. Brian Leonard, Rutgers

14. Darius Walker, Notre Dame*

20. Germaine Race, Pittsburgh State

21. Pierre Thomas, Illinois

22. Arkee Whitlock, Southern Illinois

23. Alvin Banks, James Madison

24. Garrett Wolfe, Northern Illinois

25. Gary Russell, Minnesota

26. Courtney Lewis, Texas A&M

27. Ronnie McGill, UNC

28. Clifton Dawson, Harvard

29. Justin Vincent, LSU

30. Danny Ware, Georgia*

*Underclassmen

my QB list

my WR list
Rankings updated
 
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From the way too deep sleeper category from the Hula bowlJustise Hairston 6'1 217 from Central Conn. CollegeHighly productive with a NFL body at low level college football, did not carry enough to judge but deep somewhere in the back of your mind.and Bradshaw declares

5:00 PM):Deadline passes; Herd back only other draft entry… The deadline for underclassmen to have filed papers with the NFL to be included in this year’s draft passed about an hour ago with more of a whimper than a roar. Indeed, Marshall junior RB Ahmad Bradshaw was the only player to date to make an announcement that he was leaving school early for the draft. The 5-10, 195-pound Bradshaw had 1,523 yards rushing this season, good for sixth in the nation. Of course, it is still possible that some players have filed the appropriate paperwork with the league but didn’t make a formal announcement. Players also have a 72-hour window of opportunity to renege on their application to be included in this year’s draft. The NFL then will release a full list of early applicants.
 
Taking an alternate look at the RB pool...

First-class

1st Round picks should be given a shot to start right away

-Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma

-Marshawn Lynch, Cal

Second-class

Definitly 1st Day picks with the chance to emerge in their Rookie year

-Antonio Pittman, OSU

-Tony Hunt, PSU

-Kenny Irons, Auburn

-Michael Bush, Louisville

-Lorenzo Booker, FSU

Second-day

These guys are poised to be drafted, but not in the first 3 Rounds without an eye-popping combine

-Selvin Young, Texas

-Brian Leonard, Rutgers

-Kolby Smith, Louisville

-DeShawn Wynn, Florida

-Ken Darby, Alabama

-Jon Cornish, Kansas

Juniors with some work to do

These guys belong somewhere in the above or below grouping

-Dwayne Wright, Fresno State*

-Darius Walker, Notre Dame*

-Brandon Jackson, Nebraska*

-Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall*

-Chris Henry, Arizona*

Borderline draftees

With a an impressive all-star/combine showing, these guys should be drafted

-Tyrone Moss, Miami (FL)

-Garrett Wolfe, Northern Illinois

-Gary Russell, Formerly of Minnesota

-Ronnie McGill, UNC

-Justin Vincent, LSU

-Pierre Thomas, Illinois

-Courtney Lewis, Texas A&M

Small school gems

None may be drafted, but a bunch should be picked up soon after

-Germaine Race, Pittsburgh State

-Arkee Whitlock, Southern Illinois

-Alonzo Coleman, Hampton

-Alvin Banks, James Madison

-Clifton Dawson, Harvard

-Eldred Buckley, Chattanooga

-Steve Baylark, UMass Amherst

Practice Squad/NFL Europe-bound

Needs an outstanding Winter/Spring to get a look

-Thomas Clayton, Kansas State

-Danny Ware, Georgia*

-Raymonce Taylor, Texas*

-Reggie Merriweather, Clemson

-Curtis Brown, BYU

-Stevie Hicks, Iowa State

-Nate Ilaoa, Hawaii

*Underclassmen

 
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Updated list (tiered)

Disclosure: These rankings are tiered based on NFL fantasy potential, not necessarily predicted NFL Draft order

1. Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma*

2. Marshawn Lynch, California*

3. Kenny Irons, Auburn

4. Antonio Pittman, OSU*

5. Michael Bush, Louisville*

6. Tony Hunt, Penn State

7. Lorenzo Booker, FSU

8. Selvin Young, Texas

9. Kolby Smith, Louisville

10. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State*

11. Brandon Jackson, Nebraska*

12. DeShawn Wynn, Florida

13. Jon Cornish, Kansas

14. Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall*

15. Kenneth Darby, Alabama

16. Chris Henry, Arizona*

17. Tyrone Moss, Miami (FL)

18. Darius Walker, Notre Dame*

19. Brian Leonard, Rutgers

20. Gary Russell, Minnesota

21. Germaine Race, Pittsburgh State

22. Pierre Thomas, Illinois

23. Arkee Whitlock, Southern Illinois

24. Alvin Banks, James Madison

25. Garrett Wolfe, Northern Illinois

26. Courtney Lewis, Texas A&M

27. Ronnie McGill, UNC

28. Ramonce Taylor, Teaxs

29. Justin Vincent, LSU

30. Clifton Dawson, Harvard

*Underclassmen

 
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Nice aposulli :cry:

I guess I need to start looking at these guys next when I can:

8. Selvin Young, Texas

9. Kolby Smith, Louisville

10. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State

 
Nice aposulli :cry: I guess I need to start looking at these guys next when I can:8. Selvin Young, Texas -was little used this year. Many see his best chance as in a Zone Blocking System9. Kolby Smith, Louisville - was used at FB and RB at Sr Bowl. He has potential10. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State - Coming off of major knee surgery and is said to be recovered completely. We will know when he runs at Pro Day. Big, physical RB who many like.
 
Does anyone know about McFadden's future

plans, ie. leaving early for the NFL ?

As an Auburn fan, I can only pray that he makes the move quickly. Former SEC coaches are already comparing him to Bo Jackson... and he was freakin' hurt this season :goodposting:

Kenny Irons has "Rudy-Esque" heart. He gives 110% & I wish him every success. However, I was really never that impressed with him physically... I don't see him being an every-down back in the NFL.

 
Tony Hunt is gonna be such a bust in the pro's
'splain please.
1)The odds of a penn stat rb aren't good. Blair Thomas, Ki-jana Carter, Curtis Enis were all good college rbs who were first round busts. LJ is the only good one to come from there in a while. 2) Big backs have problems producing since a lot of them rely on their size to overrun defenders in college. The defenders they see in the NFL are bigger, faster, and stronger.3) Anyone who runs too upright exposes himself to even more injury than normal and from what I've read of your senior bowl analysis of hunt that seems to be a problem for him as well
 
Tony Hunt is gonna be such a bust in the pro's
'splain please.
1)The odds of a penn stat rb aren't good. Blair Thomas, Ki-jana Carter, Curtis Enis were all good college rbs who were first round busts. LJ is the only good one to come from there in a while. 2) Big backs have problems producing since a lot of them rely on their size to overrun defenders in college. The defenders they see in the NFL are bigger, faster, and stronger.3) Anyone who runs too upright exposes himself to even more injury than normal and from what I've read of your senior bowl analysis of hunt that seems to be a problem for him as well
didn't kijana carter blow out his knee before he played a single regular season game? & that was at a time when the medical state of the art was not as good as now, so it is hard to say what he might have been if he hadn't had such a serious injury so early in his career... i might give penn st a pass on that one....ultimately, we should be able to evaluate prospects independent of a school affiliation (which you have done in last two points)... many people may have avoided LJ because he was a penn st RB, & that would have beeen a mistake...it is a good exercise to try & figure out WHY certain positions seem to fare poorly in the transition to the NFL coming from certain schools (florida WRs, BYU OL?), & to also delineate out as many factors besides noting their school that could point to success or failure... maybe it is a useful shortcut, especially for those without the time to scout a lot... avoiding florida WRs altogether might have caused some to miss darrell jackson, but they would have been right more often than not... of course, now that spurrier is gone, it may not be too relevant...but paterno has been a constant at penn st for long time... was the other curt warner a penn st RB?
 
Tony Hunt is gonna be such a bust in the pro's
'splain please.
1)The odds of a penn stat rb aren't good. Blair Thomas, Ki-jana Carter, Curtis Enis were all good college rbs who were first round busts. LJ is the only good one to come from there in a while. 2) Big backs have problems producing since a lot of them rely on their size to overrun defenders in college. The defenders they see in the NFL are bigger, faster, and stronger.3) Anyone who runs too upright exposes himself to even more injury than normal and from what I've read of your senior bowl analysis of hunt that seems to be a problem for him as well
didn't kijana carter blow out his knee before he played a single regular season game? & that was at a time when the medical state of the art was not as good as now, so it is hard to say what he might have been if he hadn't had such a serious injury so early in his career... i might give penn st a pass on that one....ultimately, we should be able to evaluate prospects independent of a school affiliation (which you have done in last two points)... many people may have avoided LJ because he was a penn st RB, & that would have beeen a mistake...it is a good exercise to try & figure out WHY certain positions seem to fare poorly in the transition to the NFL coming from certain schools (florida WRs, BYU OL?), & to also delineate out as many factors besides noting their school that could point to success or failure... maybe it is a useful shortcut, especially for those without the time to scout a lot... avoiding florida WRs altogether might have caused some to miss darrell jackson, but they would have been right more often than not... of course, now that spurrier is gone, it may not be too relevant...but paterno has been a constant at penn st for long time... was the other curt warner a penn st RB?
:goodposting:
 
Tony Hunt is gonna be such a bust in the pro's
'splain please.
1)The odds of a penn stat rb aren't good. Blair Thomas, Ki-jana Carter, Curtis Enis were all good college rbs who were first round busts. LJ is the only good one to come from there in a while. 2) Big backs have problems producing since a lot of them rely on their size to overrun defenders in college. The defenders they see in the NFL are bigger, faster, and stronger.3) Anyone who runs too upright exposes himself to even more injury than normal and from what I've read of your senior bowl analysis of hunt that seems to be a problem for him as well
didn't kijana carter blow out his knee before he played a single regular season game? & that was at a time when the medical state of the art was not as good as now, so it is hard to say what he might have been if he hadn't had such a serious injury so early in his career... i might give penn st a pass on that one....ultimately, we should be able to evaluate prospects independent of a school affiliation (which you have done in last two points)... many people may have avoided LJ because he was a penn st RB, & that would have beeen a mistake...it is a good exercise to try & figure out WHY certain positions seem to fare poorly in the transition to the NFL coming from certain schools (florida WRs, BYU OL?), & to also delineate out as many factors besides noting their school that could point to success or failure... maybe it is a useful shortcut, especially for those without the time to scout a lot... avoiding florida WRs altogether might have caused some to miss darrell jackson, but they would have been right more often than not... of course, now that spurrier is gone, it may not be too relevant...but paterno has been a constant at penn st for long time... was the other curt warner a penn st RB?
Lydell Mitchell, Lenny Moore and Franco Harris are all listed in TSN's Top 50 RBs of all time. Carter and Thomas were injured early in their careers. Unless you think that being a Penn State RB makes you more likely to blow out your knee, then this is a silly reason to doubt Hunt.
 
It's funny that I listed 3 reasons to doubt hunt's future success in the pro's and yet those supporting him are fixating on one thing and ignoring my 2nd and 3rd points. Also notice I never said that penn state rbs don't succeed in the NFL, I said LJ is the only good one to come out in awhile. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe it's been awhile since Curt Warner and Franco Harris graduated from PSU

 
FTRWRTR said:
It's funny that I listed 3 reasons to doubt hunt's future success in the pro's and yet those supporting him are fixating on one thing and ignoring my 2nd and 3rd points. Also notice I never said that penn state rbs don't succeed in the NFL, I said LJ is the only good one to come out in awhile. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe it's been awhile since Curt Warner and Franco Harris graduated from PSU
Not funny really. You basically gave three generalizations that did not indicate that you had watched Hunt (may or may not be true). You went Penn State Rbs, a general comment about big backs, and general comment about Rbs running too tall. No indication of why Hunt specifically is not a good prospect. My feeling is that the others just stopped with dispelling one genearlization as enough. My other issue would be defining bust. Hunt projects as 3rd rounder who may sneak into the 2nd. Even the people who like him think he is no more than a boring grind it out starter and may even be better served as a power back in committee. Not convinced that he has high enough expectations to ever really be a "bust"
 
This is a ff site and I'm referring to hunt as a bust for ff purposes. Regardless where he goes in the actual draft a lot of ff owners seem to think of him as one of the top 5 rbs.

 
FTRWRTR said:
It's funny that I listed 3 reasons to doubt hunt's future success in the pro's and yet those supporting him are fixating on one thing and ignoring my 2nd and 3rd points. Also notice I never said that penn state rbs don't succeed in the NFL, I said LJ is the only good one to come out in awhile. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe it's been awhile since Curt Warner and Franco Harris graduated from PSU
That's the way it works on most message boards. The wolves attack your weakness and ignore the strengths. I agree with them. It's bad form to judge an individual by his school's background. It's interesting and coincidental, imo, but not a good way to project a player. I know people like discussing these guys in minute detail but breaking down a players style has never interested me. I don't care if he runs too high, too low, backwards or sideways. Was he good at it? OJ, Dickerson, LJ, all great backs who ran or still run high. So points one and three I didn't agree with.I agree with point two to an extent. Big backs are problematic. I think Hunt will have a tough time ever becoming a solid fantasy producer, though he could find himself a niche and be valuable for a team. He's solid. He's tough between the tackles. He has good hands. He is an excellent run blocker and a solid pass blocker. He'll probably have a long career with minimal fantasy impact.
 
My other issue would be defining bust. Hunt projects as 3rd rounder who may sneak into the 2nd. Even the people who like him think he is no more than a boring grind it out starter and may even be better served as a power back in committee. Not convinced that he has high enough expectations to ever really be a "bust"
I agree. He would have to fail to make a roster to bust. Excpectations are not high.
 
This is a ff site and I'm referring to hunt as a bust for ff purposes. Regardless where he goes in the actual draft a lot of ff owners seem to think of him as one of the top 5 rbs.
My ranking of Hunt is an indication that none of the second tier backs have yet stood out to me.FWIW I agree with your points.It's just boring to post "I agree", but the people who disagree will be more inclined to post their rebuttal.
 
This is a ff site and I'm referring to hunt as a bust for ff purposes. Regardless where he goes in the actual draft a lot of ff owners seem to think of him as one of the top 5 rbs.
That's fair. Fantasywise, I think overall in this draft you will see two Rbs drafted on talent and the next 4-5 draft according to situation more than pure skill. Hunt is in that mix of 5 or so guys. Honestly, none of those guys have a better than 50/50 chance of mattering from a fantasy standpoint. I will spend the next three months trying to figure out which one or two to place my bet on. On the NFL draft stuff, I care because it gives me an idication of what the NFL thinks of his pure talent and the opportunuty that maybe afforded to him. Drafted in 2nd round, Hunt will probably have to do something negative to not get an opprotunity, but in 4th he is not even guaranteed a roster spot.
 
It's funny that I listed 3 reasons to doubt hunt's future success in the pro's and yet those supporting him are fixating on one thing and ignoring my 2nd and 3rd points. Also notice I never said that penn state rbs don't succeed in the NFL, I said LJ is the only good one to come out in awhile. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe it's been awhile since Curt Warner and Franco Harris graduated from PSU
LOL, so basically your sample size is 3 RBs over the course of about 15 years and you're ignoring 3 other outstanding RBs before those 3 and 1 other outstanding RB since those 3? And one of the players blew out his knee on his 2nd carry of the preseason?I just think that's lazy analysis by you and so I'm calling you on it. I didn't argue with your other 2 points because they have some merit.
 
My DayOne picks - QBs/RBs/WRs/TEs:

Round 1 talent:

QB: J. Russell / B. Quinn

RB: A. Peterson / M. Lynch

WR: C. Johnson / D. Jarrett / T. Ginn / S. Rice / D. Bowe

TE: none

Round 2 talent:

QB: T. Smith / D. Stanton

RB: M. Bush / K. Irons / T. Hunt / B. Leonard

WR: R. Meachem / C. Davis / JL. Higgins / A. Gonzalez

TE: Z. Miller / G. Olsen

Round 3 talent:

QB: K. Kolb / T. Edwards

RB: A. Pittman / L. Booker

WR: S. Smith / J. Hill / D. Clowney / A. Allison / P. Williams

TE: S. Chandler

 
Pre Combine update

Disclosure: These rankings are tiered based on NFL fantasy potential, not necessarily predicted NFL Draft order

1. Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma*

2. Marshawn Lynch, California*

3. Michael Bush, Louisville*

4. Antonio Pittman, Ohio State*

5. Kenny Irons, Auburn

6. Tony Hunt, Penn State

7. Lorenzo Booker, Florida State

8. Brandon Jackson, Nebraska*

9. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State*

10. Brian Leonard, Rutgers

11. DeShawn Wynn, Florida

12. Darius Walker, Notre Dame*

13. Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall*

14. Thomas Clayton, Kansas State

15. Kolby Smith, Louisville

16. Kenneth Darby, Alabama

17. Selvin Young, Texas

18. Gary Russell, Minnesota

19. Tyrone Moss, Miami (FL)

20. Ramonce Taylor, Texas

*Underclassmen

Brandon Jackson, Dwayne Wright, and Brian Leonard's stock seems most volatile at the moment. The former two can really impress in workouts so I expect them to be close if not in the same tier as 3-7. Wright's actual health physical could scare teams off while Jackson attitude will be under a microscope (underacheiver). Leonard will not likely be as agile or quick in workouts but his intelligence anad versatility will get him drafted on Day 1. His stock is a crapshoot as nobody is quite sure how he will be used in the NFL. But in the dawning of a RBBC shift among NFL offenses, he could get in a nice timeshare similar to the one he was in for his Senior Year at Rutgers.

Russell's attitude will be under the biggest microscope of any RB or maybe player in the draft. Big risk for anyone to take a chance on him on Day 1 considering he hasn't been playing competitive football in almost 2 years.

 
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Pre Combine update

Disclosure: These rankings are tiered based on NFL fantasy potential, not necessarily predicted NFL Draft order

1. Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma*

2. Marshawn Lynch, California*

3. Michael Bush, Louisville*

4. Antonio Pittman, Ohio State*

5. Kenny Irons, Auburn

6. Tony Hunt, Penn State

7. Lorenzo Booker, Florida State

8. Brandon Jackson, Nebraska*

9. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State*

10. Brian Leonard, Rutgers

11. DeShawn Wynn, Florida

12. Darius Walker, Notre Dame*

13. Ahmad Bradshaw, Marshall*

14. Thomas Clayton, Kansas State

15. Kolby Smith, Louisville

16. Kenneth Darby, Alabama

17. Selvin Young, Texas

18. Gary Russell, Minnesota

19. Tyrone Moss, Miami (FL)

20. Germaine Race, Pittsburgh State

21. Jon Cornish, Kansas

22. Ramonce Taylor, Texas

23. Ronnie McGill, North Carolina

24. Pierre Thomas, Illinois

25. Arkee Whitlock, Southern Illinois

26. Alvin Banks, James Madison

27. Garrett Wolfe, Northern Illinois

28. Courtney Lewis, Texas A&M

29. Chris Henry, Arizona*

30. Justin Vincent, Louisiana State

30. Nate Ilaoa, Hawaii

*Underclassmen

Brandon Jackson, Dwayne Wright, and Brian Leonard's stock seems most volatile at the moment. The former two can really impress in workouts so I expect them to be close if not in the same tier as 3-7. Wright's actual health physical could scare teams off while Jackson attitude will be under a microscope (underacheiver). Leonard will not likely be as agile or quick in workouts but his intelligence anad versatility will get him drafted on Day 1. His stock is a crapshoot as nobody is quite sure how he will be used in the NFL. But in the dawning of a RBBC shift among NFL offenses, he could get in a nice timeshare similar to the one he was in for his Senior Year at Rutgers.

Russell's attitude will be under the biggest microscope of any RB or maybe player in the draft. Big risk for anyone to take a chance on him on Day 1 considering he hasn't been playing competitive football in almost 2 years.

As much as I like researching this stuff, I cannot predict success in terms of FF from 19-30. (This class is pretty weak)
me likes :thumbup:
 

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