I know. No offense taken at all.ctriopelle said:BTW I wasn't ripping on your estimate, just trying to offer some hope for guys without a planned big contribution from Warner.
Wow - Jacobs has me up to 149 and holding on. I just may make it another week after all.I wish I had Warner about now. The one thing that I seem to notice is a lot of people posting have Cutler and Warner. Cutler scored so well that Warner will probably not count for those owners. I'll be among the few hoping he doesn't light it up tomorrow... but he is at home vs SF... he WILL light it up.Brandon Jacobs is giving me life here. A second TD would be great.
I have it at 144.35 now. Probably high.ctriopelle said:131.4 current cutoff estimate after the day games
146.30 with Warner (-7.2), Breaston (-11.2), and SF D (-8.0). Thanks DeSean!Still waiting for the official pre-MNF word before I start counting my blessings.OU#1 said:131.10 with Warner (-7.2), my flex left of either Breaston or DeSean (-3.3), and SF D (-8.0).Not feeling too confident but if I somehow make it it'll weed out other Slaton, Rice, CJ4.2, and Steve Smith owners.If it wasn't for Peterson, Mark Bradley, and Dustin Keller I'd be toast already. Jonathan Stewart and McFadden being dead weight will probably do me in.
Alberta Clipper said:My first tough test this week. 127 with Warner (-11.2), LJ Smith, DeS Jackson (-2.9), Phi DT (-10) and Edge (if he's playing -3.4).Would be a great week for LJS to play for some job security (wishfull thinking)The surprise of my team lately has been Dawson - I thought I might never count his scores but have used him 5x in a row.
Thanks DeSean for putting me over the FS projected cutoff, but it's not by much. How accurate is that projection usually?Currently at 140.65 (1 point above the cut) + Warner (-42.5 so he almost certainly won't help) and Breaston (-6.9) Is it too much to hope for a bad game from Warner and a great game by Breaston?If FantasyStart's estimate is right, things aren't looking good.Currently at 133.75 + Warner (-42.5 so he almost certainly won't help) and Breaston (-6.9) and DJackson still going and counting for me. My best hope is DJ scores another TD.
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Based on your estimates, and with Ryan's 24 points putting me 5 points over the current cut line, I either need an awful night from Warner (so the cut doesn't go up) or a great night. Looks like my "break even" point for him is about 35 or 36 points. Below that and the cut rises more than my score. Above that, my score goes up more than the cut line does. Of course, it would help if his TD's are to Breaston.......A 30 point Warner night adds about 9 right now, 20 from Breaston adds about 3, 20 from Fitz or Bolden adds 1-2. I'd guess that if ARI has a decent night the cut rises 10-15, mostly dependent on Warner's points.
Yes, its probably posted 10 times in this thread.......look back.Can someone post a link to a list of the players' scoring totals for the week? Does that exist somewhere?
20 out of Warner bumps about 4 points. I'd suspect that 5 points to Breaston gets you in with the short spread between Warner's bump that hurts you and that which helps you. Basically, you need to pull for Breaston to have a nice night (even a few catches for 30 yards), because that's the score that will help you the most without also driving the cut up too.Based on your estimates, and with Ryan's 24 points putting me 5 points over the current cut line, I either need an awful night from Warner (so the cut doesn't go up) or a great night. Looks like my "break even" point for him is about 35 or 36 points. Below that and the cut rises more than my score. Above that, my score goes up more than the cut line does. Of course, it would help if his TD's are to Breaston.......A 30 point Warner night adds about 9 right now, 20 from Breaston adds about 3, 20 from Fitz or Bolden adds 1-2. I'd guess that if ARI has a decent night the cut rises 10-15, mostly dependent on Warner's points.
Who out there besides Warner can really move this cut?Unofficial pre-MNF cut: 135.60
All the players? I don't know that there is one. Do you mean the Fantasy Star site?Can someone please post the link that has all the players point totals for the week? I am not seeing it
yes, thank you..im sitting at 151.7 with Warner -31 (brees). Im nervousAll the players? I don't know that there is one. Do you mean the Fantasy Star site?Can someone please post the link that has all the players point totals for the week? I am not seeing it
Thank you! I think I'm safe at 150.4 with Warner (-25.8) still to go.And thank you to the NY TEs. On a week when Owen Daniels went MIA, Keller got me 25.7 and Boss got me 21.9. That's the only reason I'm moving on.It would really be nice if FWP could finally get healthy.Unofficial pre-MNF cut: 135.60
Of the 2300 that are still alive:QB - Kurt Warner is owned by 1701RB - Frank Gore is owned by 92, Edgerrin James is owned by 43WR - Steve Breaston is owned by 399, Larry Fitzgerald is owned by 318, Anquan Boldin is owned by 149, Isaac Bruce is owned by 133, Bryant Johnson is owned by 93, Jason Hill is owned by 60TE - Vernon Davis is owned by 138, Leonard Pope is owned by 50K - Neil Rackers is owned by 171, Joe Nedney is owned by 158D - SF D is owned by 240, ARI D is owned by 44Look like the only ones that may move the cutline a lot are Warner, Gore (rare player, but expensive, so those who have him may be using all his pts), all 3 ARI WR's, and Vernon Davis (another rare player, but likely to be TE1 for many who own him). As always, K's and D's will have an impact is they explode.Who out there besides Warner can really move this cut?Unofficial pre-MNF cut: 135.60
I'd disagree with a few of these, but your logic isn't that bad. While Gore and Davis may impact their owners a lot, they won't move the cut much strictly because they effect so few. 20 from Gore bumps the FS database about .9 pts, and Davis does about the same. SF Def @ 20 bumps about 1.5, ARI D about .5, Rackers about .4, Nedney about .9.Of the 2300 that are still alive:QB - Kurt Warner is owned by 1701RB - Frank Gore is owned by 92, Edgerrin James is owned by 43WR - Steve Breaston is owned by 399, Larry Fitzgerald is owned by 318, Anquan Boldin is owned by 149, Isaac Bruce is owned by 133, Bryant Johnson is owned by 93, Jason Hill is owned by 60TE - Vernon Davis is owned by 138, Leonard Pope is owned by 50K - Neil Rackers is owned by 171, Joe Nedney is owned by 158D - SF D is owned by 240, ARI D is owned by 44Look like the only ones that may move the cutline a lot are Warner, Gore (rare player, but expensive, so those who have him may be using all his pts), all 3 ARI WR's, and Vernon Davis (another rare player, but likely to be TE1 for many who own him). As always, K's and D's will have an impact is they explode.Who out there besides Warner can really move this cut?Unofficial pre-MNF cut: 135.60
Tonight will probably be the most.What is the most the cut-line has moved on Monday (night)?
What would 25 by Warner move it?I'd disagree with a few of these, but your logic isn't that bad. While Gore and Davis may impact their owners a lot, they won't move the cut much strictly because they effect so few. 20 from Gore bumps the FS database about .9 pts, and Davis does about the same. SF Def @ 20 bumps about 1.5, ARI D about .5, Rackers about .4, Nedney about .9.Of the 2300 that are still alive:QB - Kurt Warner is owned by 1701RB - Frank Gore is owned by 92, Edgerrin James is owned by 43WR - Steve Breaston is owned by 399, Larry Fitzgerald is owned by 318, Anquan Boldin is owned by 149, Isaac Bruce is owned by 133, Bryant Johnson is owned by 93, Jason Hill is owned by 60TE - Vernon Davis is owned by 138, Leonard Pope is owned by 50K - Neil Rackers is owned by 171, Joe Nedney is owned by 158D - SF D is owned by 240, ARI D is owned by 44Look like the only ones that may move the cutline a lot are Warner, Gore (rare player, but expensive, so those who have him may be using all his pts), all 3 ARI WR's, and Vernon Davis (another rare player, but likely to be TE1 for many who own him). As always, K's and D's will have an impact is they explode.Who out there besides Warner can really move this cut?Unofficial pre-MNF cut: 135.60