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2010 FBG Post Season Contest (1 Viewer)

Looks like most had similar strategies... I went the same route and didn't pick any players from those teams that I believed would not win their WC game. I thought Jets/Cowboys/Cards/Patriots would win WC games. Seemed most everyone thinks the Pack will win and I'm hoping the Cards can pull it out.

After picking players from the WC winners, I then went with the teams I felt most likely to be in the SB of the remaining teams... I think the AFC is going to be represented by Jets or NE and in the NFC, I like Dallas or Saints and I went biggest with Cowboys.

I'm hoping that I can get by the early rounds and have a chance at the end. I don't know if you can just go with SB winners and plan on "squeaking" by the early rounds... Have to get to the finals to have a chance.

Breakdown: 20 players for $250

Pats (4)

Brady

Faulk

Edelman

Pats D/ST

Jets:

Sanchez

Jones

Brad Smith

Jets D/ST

Saints:

Brees

Shockey

Colston

Boys:

Felix

Austin

Hurd

Witten

Suisham

Cowboys d/ST

Cards:

Beanie

Breaston

Cards D/ST

 
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Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Antonio Gates $24 0.00

Nate Kaeding $14 0.00

Ben Watson $11 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

New York Jets $7 0.00

Reggie Bush $13 0.00

Sidney Rice $19 0.00

Minnesota Vikings $9 0.00

Felix Jones $8 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Steve Breaston $11 0.00

Neil Rackers $8 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

New sim gives my 100% chance to advance at 974 overall.

While I wanted so badly to "stack" players from SD and either GB/MIN I found I could not possible do it and expect to make it out of the first or second rounds. Hoping I have enough with GB/MIN or even ARI/DAL to sneak in if they all score BIG.

Great contest and lots of strategy. Last minute changes R Bush from Sproles and B Watson from Heap. Not sure why I did the last one now?

Edit: Gosh looking it over - I don't think I'll have enough left at 0 point positions...

 
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Well, that's better. #4182 on the new sim, with Shonn Greene and Felix Jones. :excited:

If I make it past week one, I"ll post my strategy then. Otherwise I'll be :) or :bag:

 
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Closed with 8901 entries (including staff).

Ownership stats, simulations, etc. coming soon...
Wow - over half get cut this weekend. Those teams loading up for the next couple of weeks and hoping to slide through this week may be in trouble.
:mellow:
Sim fixed (AFAIK)

New cut estimate is about 103

Updated sim
This one actually looks worse than your original. If I somehow manage to slide by on this first week I'll feel better about my chances--but starting from 0.0% the odds are long.... :)

 
APeyton Manning $29

Aaron Rodgers $30

Drew Brees $29

Tony Romo $26

Tom Brady $29

Adrian Peterson $25

Cris Wells $10

Ray Rice $16

Ryan Grant $17

Cedric Benson $16

Reggie Wayne $23

 
Picked Chargers (6) vs Cowboys(5) in the Super Bowl. I was hoping Edelmann, Shonn Greene, Jets def,Finley, Crosby plus the 2 high Cowboy scorers from yesterday could get me to round 2. We will see.......Philip Rivers $28 0.00 LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00 Vincent Jackson $21 0.00 Antonio Gates $24 0.00 Nate Kaeding $14 0.00 San Diego Chargers $10 0.00 Julian Edelman $11 0.00 Shonn Greene $7 0.00 New York Jets $7 0.00 Tony Romo $26 0.00 Felix Jones $8 0.00 Miles Austin $22 0.00 Jason Witten $19 0.00 Dallas Cowboys $8 0.00 Jermichael Finley $17 0.00 Mason Crosby $11 0.00
I really like this team. I had something nearly identical submitted at one point and felt it was just a tad to risky. Now it looks like a team moving on and one that has me covered. Looks like 2nd place is the best that I can do. :thumbup: Obviously it's early, but the guys loading up on week 2 players and adding Greene, Jones, and Romo.
 
I tried to make SD vs MIN work...my last move was to put in LT for Watson and Cundiff. I may have left round 1 too thin though...only a 47.4% chance to survive per the simulator. A TD catch from Doucet would help a lot!

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00

Darren Sproles $13 0.00

Vincent Jackson $21 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

New York Jets $7 0.00

Brett Favre $25 0.00

Adrian Peterson $25 0.00

Sidney Rice $19 0.00

Percy Harvin $16 0.00

Jim Kleinsasser $2 0.00

Felix Jones $8 0.00

Shaun Suisham $6 0.00

Early Doucet $5 0.00

Ryan Grant $17 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

 
I tried to make SD vs MIN work...my last move was to put in LT for Watson and Cundiff. I may have left round 1 too thin though...only a 47.4% chance to survive per the simulator. A TD catch from Doucet would help a lot!Philip Rivers $28 0.00 LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00 Darren Sproles $13 0.00 Vincent Jackson $21 0.00 Julian Edelman $11 0.00 Thomas Jones $14 0.00 New York Jets $7 0.00 Brett Favre $25 0.00 Adrian Peterson $25 0.00 Sidney Rice $19 0.00 Percy Harvin $16 0.00 Jim Kleinsasser $2 0.00 Felix Jones $8 0.00 Shaun Suisham $6 0.00 Early Doucet $5 0.00 Ryan Grant $17 0.00 Greg Jennings $16 0.00
Very nicely done... this crushes my SD/Minn built team if you make it past this week. :kicksrock:
 
3220 teams with Ray Rice. Cutoff line is moving up.
You think it's moving up? Brady, Moss, Edelman, Flacco, Mason and Heap teams are not getting any production. The Pat's are going to have to throw so they should end up putting up numbers before everything is said and done but those of us, me included, who need members of the Ravens passing game to produce to advance might be in for a huge letdown.
 
joseph Addai $19 0.00

Reggie Wayne $23 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Vincent Jackson $21 0.00

Cedric Benson $16 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Marques Colston $19 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Shaun Suisham $6 0.00

Dallas Cowboys $8 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

Feeling pretty good about surviving the first round

I picked a Chargers - Cowboys super bowl, but at the last minute I got cold feet about surviving the first two rounds so i spread it around more, probably way to much to have a realistic chance of finishing high

 
3220 teams with Ray Rice. Cutoff line is moving up.
You think it's moving up? Brady, Moss, Edelman, Flacco, Mason and Heap teams are not getting any production. The Pat's are going to have to throw so they should end up putting up numbers before everything is said and done but those of us, me included, who need members of the Ravens passing game to produce to advance might be in for a huge letdown.
Looks like my Ray Rice plus NO Patriots strategy may work out. Assuming Harbaugh figures out how to use the red flag. Moron.
 
Philip Rivers $28 0.00

LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00

Malcom Floyd $10 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 0.00

Ben Watson $11 0.00

Joe Flacco $14 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

Braylon Edwards $10 0.00

Brad Smith $2 0.00

New York Jets $7 0.00

Robert Meachem $14 0.00

Garrett Hartley $11 0.00

Chester Taylor $8 0.00

Visanthe Shiancoe $15 0.00

Minnesota Vikings $9 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Felix Jones $8 0.00

Patrick Crayton $9 0.00

Kevin Ogletree $2 0.00

Shaun Suisham $6 0.00

Dallas Cowboys $8 0.00

Chris Wells $10 0.00

82% chance of survival according to the latest sim. It looks like my biggest mistake was taking Suisham as my second kicker. Unless Flacco somehow outscores Romo this week I will get a zero from the kicker position this week.

 
Doug Drinen said:
Sim fixed (AFAIK)

New cut estimate is about 103

Updated sim
Interesting I have A 20% chance of making but have 66 points with a 1 1/2 quarters of R Rice and Edelman then Rogers and Driver. I like my chances to get another 40+ points with those 4. If I squeak by this week I like my chances with 17 players next week (assuming a GB win).

 
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Peyton Manning $29 0.00

Matt Stover $10 0.00

Indianapolis Colts $9 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00

Darren Sproles $13 0.00

San Diego Chargers $10 0.00

Shayne Graham $9 0.00

Cincinnati Bengals $8 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 0.00

Chris Baker $5 0.00

Joe Flacco $14 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Willis McGahee $7 0.00

LeRon McClain $3 0.00

Derrick Mason $12 0.00

Dustin Keller $9 0.00

Marques Colston $19 0.00

Robert Meachem $14 0.00

Lance Moore $7 0.00

Went heavy SD, heavy Indy, heavy Baltimore, heavy NO WR's

Rice, Edelman, Keller should put me in round 2, then I think focusing on one conference will really help (at least until the SB.) Currently 5.5% chance of progressing, can't wait to prove it wrong! Probably need one Flacco to Mason TD though.

 
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Peyton Manning $29 0.00 Matt Stover $10 0.00 Indianapolis Colts $9 0.00 Philip Rivers $28 0.00 LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00 Darren Sproles $13 0.00 San Diego Chargers $10 0.00 Shayne Graham $9 0.00 Cincinnati Bengals $8 0.00 Julian Edelman $11 0.00 Chris Baker $5 0.00 Joe Flacco $14 0.00 Ray Rice $16 0.00 Willis McGahee $7 0.00 LeRon McClain $3 0.00 Derrick Mason $12 0.00 Dustin Keller $9 0.00 Marques Colston $19 0.00 Robert Meachem $14 0.00 Lance Moore $7 0.00 Went heavy SD, heavy Indy, heavy Baltimore, heavy NO WR'sRice, Edelman, Keller should put me in round 2, then I think focusing on one conference will really help (at least until the SB.) Currently 5.5% chance of progressing, can't wait to prove it wrong! Probably need one Flacco to Mason TD though.
Think you are sunk. Except the super bowl round you can only use 2 people per team. So to get to the second round you only have:R RiceMcGaheeKellerGrahamBengals DEdelman
 
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Hoping for a SD/DAL SB and NEEDING Driver AND Jennings to rock it tonite!

Joseph Addai $19 0.00

Austin Collie $14 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Vincent Jackson $21 0.00

Antonio Gates $24 0.00

Joe Flacco $14 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

New York Jets $7 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Jason Witten $19 0.00

John Phillips $2 0.00

Dallas Cowboys $8 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

Donald Driver $16 0.00

 
So, if I have 45.10 points so far, and have Rodgers, Grant, and Breaston still to play, do I have a chance in hell of advancing?

 
bostonfred said:
I still think that estimated cut line's a little higher than it will probably end up, but we'll see.
I hope you are right. Looks like I am about done around 98, and hoping for not much scoring from the Pack/Cards game. It'll be a bummer if I just miss the cut because I really like what I've got moving on.
 
3220 teams with Ray Rice. Cutoff line is moving up.
You think it's moving up? Brady, Moss, Edelman, Flacco, Mason and Heap teams are not getting any production. The Pat's are going to have to throw so they should end up putting up numbers before everything is said and done but those of us, me included, who need members of the Ravens passing game to produce to advance might be in for a huge letdown.
Eat my dust, 5681 of you. Ray Rice and the Pats PK were the only ones I had going in this game. :goodposting:
 
My team has a 56% chance of making it though this week. I really didn't expect this much trouble getting through Week 1.

Ok, so this is just a rant, but bear with me.

It's teams like this that drive me nuts: 100865

Cedric Benson $16 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Kurt Warner $21 0.00

Larry Fitzgerald $19 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Ryan Grant $17 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

Donovan McNabb $23 0.00

DeSean Jackson $19 0.00

Jeremy Maclin $11 0.00

They spent the majority of their money($204) on NFC WC teams.

Sure this strategy will get you through week 1. In subsequent weeks they will have atleast$102 in wasted roster space, not to mention at most 6 scoring players.

Best case scenario, they somehow make it to the SB, but will undoubtedly be out-gunned.

Why even bother. Seriously!

ok rant off.

 
My team has a 56% chance of making it though this week. I really didn't expect this much trouble getting through Week 1.

Ok, so this is just a rant, but bear with me.

It's teams like this that drive me nuts: 100865

Cedric Benson $16 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Kurt Warner $21 0.00

Larry Fitzgerald $19 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Ryan Grant $17 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

Donovan McNabb $23 0.00

DeSean Jackson $19 0.00

Jeremy Maclin $11 0.00

They spent the majority of their money($204) on NFC WC teams.

Sure this strategy will get you through week 1. In subsequent weeks they will have atleast$102 in wasted roster space, not to mention at most 6 scoring players.

Best case scenario, they somehow make it to the SB, but will undoubtedly be out-gunned.

Why even bother. Seriously!

ok rant off.
Bad entries should encourage you. Don't understand teh need to rant on the team
 
Here is what did. I didn't want to waste a roster space for a player that will not get points until the last week. I feel if I can get past this week I should have a solid shot of making it through the divisionals. My only concern would be the superbowl having 4 total players going.

What are your thoughts on my roster?

Reggie Wayne $23 0.00

Dallas Clark $26 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Vincent Jackson $21 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Drew Brees $29 0.00

Marques Colston $19 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Kurt Warner $21 0.00

Larry Fitzgerald $19 0.00

 
My team has a 56% chance of making it though this week. I really didn't expect this much trouble getting through Week 1.

Ok, so this is just a rant, but bear with me.

It's teams like this that drive me nuts: 100865

Cedric Benson $16 0.00

Ray Rice $16 0.00

Thomas Jones $14 0.00

Tony Romo $26 0.00

Miles Austin $22 0.00

Kurt Warner $21 0.00

Larry Fitzgerald $19 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Ryan Grant $17 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

Donovan McNabb $23 0.00

DeSean Jackson $19 0.00

Jeremy Maclin $11 0.00

They spent the majority of their money($204) on NFC WC teams.

Sure this strategy will get you through week 1. In subsequent weeks they will have atleast$102 in wasted roster space, not to mention at most 6 scoring players.

Best case scenario, they somehow make it to the SB, but will undoubtedly be out-gunned.

Why even bother. Seriously!

ok rant off.
Bad entries should encourage you. Don't understand teh need to rant on the team
The rant is more pre-emptive, if my team doesn't make the cut. This team's basically a dead-team walking.
 
Pierre Garcon $13 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

LaDainian Tomlinson $17 0.00

Darren Sproles $13 0.00

Cincinnati Bengals $8 0.00

Tom Brady $29 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 0.00

Baltimore Ravens $7 0.00

New York Jets $7 0.00

Brett Favre $25 0.00

Percy Harvin $16 0.00

Minnesota Vikings $9 0.00

Felix Jones $8 0.00

Dallas Cowboys $8 0.00

Early Doucet $5 0.00

Aaron Rodgers $30 0.00

Greg Jennings $16 0.00

I was banking on a Chargers/Vikings Superbowl along with GB and NE winning this week. I knew it would be tight this week but I should survive thanks to Jones, Edelman and Doucett.

 
Peyton Manning $29 0.00

Reggie Wayne $23 0.00

Austin Collie $14 0.00

Pierre Garcon $13 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 22.00

Ben Watson $11 1.80

Demetrius Williams $2 0.00

Drew Brees $29 0.00

Marques Colston $19 0.00

Robert Meachem $14 0.00

Tony Romo $26 22.00

Felix Jones $8 24.30

Early Doucet $5 19.00 **

Ryan Grant $17 5.50 **

94.6 with Grant and Doucet at the half. Sounds like I need at least 10 more points.

 
Peyton Manning $29 0.00

Reggie Wayne $23 0.00

Austin Collie $14 0.00

Pierre Garcon $13 0.00

Philip Rivers $28 0.00

Julian Edelman $11 22.00

Ben Watson $11 1.80

Demetrius Williams $2 0.00

Drew Brees $29 0.00

Marques Colston $19 0.00

Robert Meachem $14 0.00

Tony Romo $26 22.00

Felix Jones $8 24.30

Early Doucet $5 19.00 **

Ryan Grant $17 5.50 **

94.6 with Grant and Doucet at the half. Sounds like I need at least 10 more points.
where are you seeing this?
 
P. Rivers SD $28

T. Romo DAL $26

B. Favre MIN $25

A.Peterson MIN $25

L. Tomlinson SD $17

R. Rice BAL $16

F. Jones DAL $8

S. Greene NYJ $7

M. Austin DAL $22

A. Gates SD $24

J. Witten DAL $19

J. Finley GB $17

V Shiancoe MIN $15

I thought it would be a SD-MIN SB, but didn't want to pick a whole bunch of players from 1 team that wouldn't count until the end. I was thinking more about scoring through the first weeks, but having enough at the end to score some points. WR through the season fluctuated so much I didn't want to rely on a few WRs, instead wanted a more reliable scoring group. TE's also factored in with the 1.5 PPR. I chose the DAL players mainly going with a hot team.

 

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