No, this is actually a classic of example of being willing to pay for a player you like and believe in. Again, the value of a player is determined by the league. I'm in this league and I'm quite sure that Peso has been trying to sell AP for a while now. It's not about what he might be able to get later. It's more about Blackmon and what his value might continue to do. His owner valued him as a top 10 WR (as do I and many others) and was not going to sell him without a significant payment. This was the kind of offer it would take to get Blackmon and there's nothing wrong at all with paying that if it's a player you want to own. Factor in that each of these player's values are going in the opposite direction and it made more sense to do it now. If Jax actually obtains a QB, then Blackmon's value goes even higher.
And while the near consensus here is that AP should have fetched far more, not only do I disagree with that, but getting the pick was a huge bonus to me as I would pay AP straight up for Blackmon without thinking twice. Just goes to show the variability in owner's valuations of players. I don't see AP outscoring Blackmon beyond this year in a 1 ppr format when Peterson will be close to 30 in 2014 and Blackmon will be hitting his prime. With it being a 1 RB start league, RB scarcity isn't as important.
I actually agree with this. The format is huge. It's a start 1 league - meaning, you have to start comparing positions across the board, and not just within position. Meaning, Brandon Marshall should be as valuable as Adrian Peterson, if not more. He's less likely to miss time due to injury, and more likely to last into his 30's, due to the positions that they play. In the meantime, he's likely to score on pace with Peterson. The advantage that Peterson gets for being a RB is largely tossed out the window.
If Blackmon is a top 10 WR - and that's a logical stance - this is a fair trade.
Forget the lower value of the RB position due to the format for a second. Peterson is a good bet to score 300 for the next 2-3 years. Blackmon is definitely not, and especially not without a legit QB.
Now of course, three years from now will be a whole different ballgame. But if you are going in that direction and not playing to win now or the next couple years, then fine.
But AP in my mind is going to score about 150 more points than Blackmon over the next coupe years, maybe 200 over the next 3. Maybe some disagree with that, maybe some think he will score MORE than 200 more over the next three years.
So whether or not the RB position is devalued, that's a hell of a lot of point differential, and the guy who just got Peterson got one hell of a lot better for the next few years.
As for the person who mentioned Brandon Marshall as about the same value as Peterson, yes that makes sense. But no, I still dont see him as valuable as AP. Pretty close though.