Its hard to say extending Garrett is a bad move.......but I'll say it anyway, it's a bad move. This team is going nowhere fast, and now we are going nowhere even slower, which is worse.
If we would have traded Garrett we'd have gotten three 1st-round draft picks. He has a no-trade clause and wanted to go to a contending team. He's from the Dallas area, he said he wanted to get drafted by the Boys. He's been working out with the Cowboy pass rusher. It fits that he'd want to go to the Cowboys so figure three 1st-round picks from Dallas. Ok, let's just take a look at what we'd REASONABLY get out of the deal.
First, we would not make the deal with Jacksonville to move-down to take the DT because we'd have an extra 1st round pick next year from Dallas AND we'd take the EDGE pass rusher
Abdul Carter with our 1st-round pick. Abdul isn't Myles and won't ever become Myles or a HOF player so a big drop in production right off the bat, but we'd save on cap with a rookie deal for four years. Still a huge net loss.
Dallas held the 12th pick of the first round and took a guard, Tyler Booker. We need a guard because Bitonio is gone next year, positionally WR and OT would be priorities over a G.
Let's look at the board: The top two WRs and the top two OTs were off the board. The next highest WR was Emeka Egbuka who got taken with the 19th pick so it would be a bit of a reach. The next highest taken OT was Josh Conerly taken with the 29th pick so it would be a MAJOR reach to take him at 12.
We'd either take value with G Tyler Booker or reach for the WR Egbuka.
If the plan is to tank this year, then take the value pick of
G Tyler Booker.
Next year we take an aggregate of the two drafts by Dallas leading up to this draft and figure if they got Myles, they'd be improved but let's just go by the average of the last two Dallas drafts to see where those two extra 1st-round picks would be.
In 2024 they picked 24 and in 2023 they picked 27th so the average is pick 25.5 or 25. Ok, that rules OUT QB with the 25th pick unless we package our 1st round pick with the Dallas picks to move-up for a QB because we can't reasonably expect to find one with the 25th pick even in a deep QB class.
Since we decided to tank for a year, we'd be in position to take a QB with our top pick.
This year the 25th pick was QB Jaxson Dart. We would have already used our top pick on a QB so we would not take a QB, we'd either take a WR or OT so let's look at the next highest rated WRs and OTs taken this year. No WRs were left in the 1st round so the next WR taken was Jayden Higgins with the 34th pick of the 2nd round. It would be a reach to take him at 25. The next highest rated OT was taken 29th
Josh Conerly so he'd be the pick.
The final pick we'd target WR and take the aggregate of the WRs taken in the last three drafts with pick 25. None in 2025. In 2024 Xavier Worthy, Ricky Pearsall, Xavier Legette. In 2023 none taken so basically a bad late round WR.
So we'd wind up trading Myles Garrett for two unproven rookie O-Linemen an G and an OT because the WR would suck. A HOF DE in his prime for that AND a big step down from Myles to Adbul Carter as a pass rusher because Abdul has no power, no inside move, no counter, and gets manhandled with double teams. Myles constantly gets pressure and sacks facing double and triple teams.
Now?
We have Myles, we have Mason Graham and Judkins and an extra 1st next year to get the QB AND add an O-Lineman or take a flyer at WR and it won't be a late 1st round Dallas pick but a mid-1st Jags pick where we 'CAN' get a WR or better O-Lineman.
We are MUCH BETTER off with Myles Garrett and better positioned in next year's draft with Jacksonville's pick rather than trading Myles where we'd land Dallas' 1st-round pick.
And don't look now but Shedeur is flashing in camp. Jes say'n.