barackdhouse
Footballguy
I'm new to posting polls so I hope this format works in order to generate some light philosophical discussion about this.
Basically my premise is that yes there are times it makes sense to break down an asset on your dynasty roster and sell for less than the dollar and I want to use the analogy of going to a vending machine for a coke (that costs a dollar). There will also be times where maybe it makes sense to trade 5 quarters for a dollar.
We use this 4 quarters for a dollar analogy all the time in our analyses. Imagine this ice cold coke represents a fantasy championship. It may be that the only way for you to get this coke is to have a green dollar bill that can slide in the receptor on the vending machine, and that the coin slot is broken. So if you have 4 quarters perhaps you can find someone nearby that will trade with you (maybe they need coins for the laundry - a rebuilding analogy perhaps). But maybe they are kind of greedy and will only give you a dollar bill if you give them 5 or 6 quarters (or not greed but that's what they need to do a load). Well if I really want a coke that seems like a great deal to me. Even though on paper there is no debate that I am in fact losing value.
The other side of this "coin" would be what if the dollar bill receptor is broken and it will only accept coins? If you don't have 4 quarters would you trade a dollar bill for only 3 quarters if you had just one other quarter laying around but this would get you the coke? Again an inarguable mathematical value loss, but an ice cold coke that within the construct of this BS analogy couldn't be obtained any other way? Again it seems worth it.
The NBA thing is just to demonstrate how much context matters because I would sure hope that knowing nothing else, 100% of people would take the 7 point lead. But at least some % would take the deficit knowing the rest? I guess we'll see in the polls if this gets a little traction.
I believe there are times on one's dynasty team that it makes more sense to consolidate and even pay 5 or 6 quarters for just one dollar, and that there are other times it makes sense to break an asset down into chunks and sort of liquidate it.
Aside from picking this analogy apart - the biggest and easiest thing is that no single coke really turns the tide of a championship except maybe Kamara, CMC and the like, but perhaps we think of this more like investment portfolio assets that are needed to buy a new car that can only be bought with cash or something. I think it's fair to say that relative to our roster market value, a dollar bill type player that we chunk out is going to be much more valuable than a coke would be relative to our own personal net worths, but I think the mechanics of the analogy work well otherwise.
Anyway what I am hoping people get into here is a discussion of actual FF rubber-meets-the road examples where it makes sense to be knowingly off from the ideal value play in order to get what we perceive to be a coke. I chunked out Golladay last week in a trade that generated some discussion in this regard and I am wondering if other people have examples they'd like to talk about. Or maybe this just dies in the ether of February forum stuff.
Basically my premise is that yes there are times it makes sense to break down an asset on your dynasty roster and sell for less than the dollar and I want to use the analogy of going to a vending machine for a coke (that costs a dollar). There will also be times where maybe it makes sense to trade 5 quarters for a dollar.
We use this 4 quarters for a dollar analogy all the time in our analyses. Imagine this ice cold coke represents a fantasy championship. It may be that the only way for you to get this coke is to have a green dollar bill that can slide in the receptor on the vending machine, and that the coin slot is broken. So if you have 4 quarters perhaps you can find someone nearby that will trade with you (maybe they need coins for the laundry - a rebuilding analogy perhaps). But maybe they are kind of greedy and will only give you a dollar bill if you give them 5 or 6 quarters (or not greed but that's what they need to do a load). Well if I really want a coke that seems like a great deal to me. Even though on paper there is no debate that I am in fact losing value.
The other side of this "coin" would be what if the dollar bill receptor is broken and it will only accept coins? If you don't have 4 quarters would you trade a dollar bill for only 3 quarters if you had just one other quarter laying around but this would get you the coke? Again an inarguable mathematical value loss, but an ice cold coke that within the construct of this BS analogy couldn't be obtained any other way? Again it seems worth it.
The NBA thing is just to demonstrate how much context matters because I would sure hope that knowing nothing else, 100% of people would take the 7 point lead. But at least some % would take the deficit knowing the rest? I guess we'll see in the polls if this gets a little traction.
I believe there are times on one's dynasty team that it makes more sense to consolidate and even pay 5 or 6 quarters for just one dollar, and that there are other times it makes sense to break an asset down into chunks and sort of liquidate it.
Aside from picking this analogy apart - the biggest and easiest thing is that no single coke really turns the tide of a championship except maybe Kamara, CMC and the like, but perhaps we think of this more like investment portfolio assets that are needed to buy a new car that can only be bought with cash or something. I think it's fair to say that relative to our roster market value, a dollar bill type player that we chunk out is going to be much more valuable than a coke would be relative to our own personal net worths, but I think the mechanics of the analogy work well otherwise.
Anyway what I am hoping people get into here is a discussion of actual FF rubber-meets-the road examples where it makes sense to be knowingly off from the ideal value play in order to get what we perceive to be a coke. I chunked out Golladay last week in a trade that generated some discussion in this regard and I am wondering if other people have examples they'd like to talk about. Or maybe this just dies in the ether of February forum stuff.
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