I am just seeing this topic for the first time. I am amazed that There are a few still bashing Switz for his preaseason comments. First of all, I take his original comment, as most others apparently do, to mean he would be the next great impact (or stud or whatever other word you want to use) rookie WR (since there have never been many tru studs).More specifically, even if you take it anally literal, he compares fairly well to Moss's rookie season.
If he had kept his stats anywhere near his first-game performance, I would be eating my words. But I'm not.
Absolutely impossible. An absurd way to judge a player. He won't average anywhere near that at any point in his career. Not even Moss can average 217 (or anywhere near) for a season. In fact, if you remove Moss's best yardage game as a rookie (190 yds), he averaged 74.86 yds per game in the rest of the games that season. Nowhere near 190 or 217. Boldin has averaged only 77 yds per game since week one. Hmmmm, Remarkably similar.
This feat is all the more impressive considering how few receptions Moss had in the early part of his rookie season. He absolutely destroyed teams in the last two-thirds of his rookie year. Boldin, on the other hand, seems to be experiencing a drop in statistics - especially regarding his TD production.
Let's look at Moss's rookie year. His first 5 games - 463 yds - 92.6 yds a game. The last 11 - 77.27 yds a game. In fact, the last 5 games, he had 462 yds - almost exactly the same as the first 5! As for Boldin, do you penalize a player for a fast start? Also, even though you were wrong, you stated Moss started slow and came on strong at the end. Not that he has started slow, but don't you extend the same opportunity to Boldin? In fact, in Boldin's first 5 games, he had 495 yds - not only remakably similar but slightly better than Moss.
Whereas Moss was a TD machine his rookie year, Boldin has scored 2 TDs in his first 6 games.
Yes, Moss scored an unbelievable amount of TD's his rookie season and Boldin is nowhere near that pace. But, any rational, objective person would agree that TD's are more the result of the team's offense than the individual's ability. Minnesota QB's that year were Brad Johnson and Cunningham and they threw for 41 TD's and 4492 yards! In fact, of the 33 TD's that went to receivers, MOss caught 17, or, 51.5%. Boldin has 2 of the 4 TD's thrown to AZ WR's, or, 50%. Minnesota's running game (r. Smith) was far better than AZ's current running game. Once again, looking at just TD's, Hoard had 9 rushing TD's vs Smith's 6 that year. Would anybody favorably compare Hoard to Smith based on TD production? No. It's just the by-product of their offense. Finally, Minnesota's offense was #1 in scoring that year (55 points more than 2nd place!) and Arizona's offense this year is 32nd in scoring. I'll say that so that is clear - Arizona has, as a team, scored the least amount of points in the league. How can you, with any fairness and objectivity, compare the players' individual scoring? My god, Minnesota 1998 season is the NFL scoring record!
How many WR "studs" go 5 games (and counting)without a TD reception?
Yes, Moss didn't go 5 games without a TD. But he did go 4 straight games in his rookie year without a TD. I can see how that might look statistically significant.
At the end of Boldin's first season, there will be no debate. We can simply look at the stats for both player's rookie year side-by-side and let the numbers speak for themselves.
That will be the proof. All we can do is project right now. Since everyone wants to NOT include Boldin's first week stats in his projection, let's do that. Since the first week, Boldin is 29-385-0 which, for 15 weeks, projects to 81-1155-0. Add the 1st week back in (we aren't including it in his weekly average but he does still credit for that game, doesn't he?) and you get 91-1372-2. Once again, TD's aren't close. But receptions and yardage are not only similar, but Boldin actually exceeds Moss (69-1313-17).
He had a 33 yard output against the Cowboys, that's pitiful.
Yep, that is pitiful. No stud would EVER have a game like that. Oh yeah, except for Moss's 4 games in his rookie season where he had 37, 32, 14, and 6 yds in games. But then, those were probably the games he didn't try very hard.
- switz now (after considerable debate) contends that what he in fact ment was: Boldin = good rookie season by a WR
What does Switz have to do, beat you over the head with the words "great" and "stud". You aren't twisting his words, you're ignoring them. "Moss stands out as the great rookie WR, or as a Stud WR" is what he clearly stated. Thus, if you replace the word 'Moss' with 'Boldin' you very simply get:"Boldin stands out as the great rookie WR, or as a Stud WR."That is what he clearly meant (and has stated).
It bears mentioning that Boldin's averages for both "yards-per-game" and "average TDs-per-game" have dropped each and every week since his fantastic first game
This is my favorite. What is this? Math for Politicians? I assume what you mean here is that at the end of each week, his "yards-per-game" are lower than the week before. What a unique spin to put on stats. Obviously, to anybody with basic math ability, if you start with an absurdly high number (217), and add moderately lower numbers (average of 77) to it, it takes awhile for the average to drop below 77. In fact, you can add 77 per week the rest of the year and the per week average will drop every week. He still will end up with 1372 yards. Does your stat add any meaning at all? Once again, you penalize Boldin for having probably the highest (game) receiving yards of the year occur in his first week. Moss had 190 yards (his most that year) in week 5 his rookie year. Had he done that in week 1, it would have taken him till after game 11 to see his per-game receiving yards rise from the week before. Does that tell you anything at all? Only that he had his best weeek in week 1.This has taken 3 hours, 7 beers, and 8 innings to complete. Great Championship Series', though. The Series is going to be a letdown.