OK, so I've decided to do a complete overhaul of my portfolio, throwing out anything that isn't either a Layer 1 Protocol (50%), related to crypto gaming (37.5%), or NFTs (12.5%). That means no BTC, no LINK, no THETA, no anything that I don't understand and doesn't fit into those three categories.
Focusing in on the L1 Protocols, I wanted to get an idea of which tokens had the most upside assuming the space grows 2X and ETH sheds market share to its competition. To do this, I pulled the market caps of the top 12 players and summed them. Here is a list of the 12 with their percentage of the market cap sum in parenthesis.
1. ETH - (57), 2. ADA (12), 3. BNB (10), 4. SOL (7), 5. DOT/KSM (6), 6. ALGO (2), 7. AVAX (2), 8. ATOM (1), 9. EGLD (1), 10. MATIC (1), 11. TEZOS (1), 12. ONE (0.5)
I then moved the percentages around according to how I think the distribution might look in the future. That is ETH (30), SOL (25), ADA (15), DOT (7.5), BNB (7.5), ATOM (2.5), ALGO (2.5) EGLD, ONE, AVAX, MATIC, TEZOS (2).
Using the difference of the two % and the assumption that the total market cap would 2X from current levels, I calculated estimated performance as:
ONE - 1,350%
SOL - 675%
EGLD - 540%
TEZOS - 422%
ATOM - 412%
MATIC - 325%
ALGO - 281%
DOT - 268%
ADA - 260%
AVAX - 235%
BNB - 151%
ETH - 105%
This analysis is leading me to allocate nearly 30% of my L1 Platform funds to SOL as well as a higher than expected allocation into ONE.
Do with this information as you wish. I'm not a financial advisor and I like to lose money from time to time.