Oh H.K........
Paging H.K........
Please tell us once again how Jacobs is not the Goal Line Back.
Now I warn you H.K., we're all expecting much better spin from you, than what you gave us last week. Last weeks spin was just plain pitiful. :(
Law of averages. He gets an occasional GL carry when its his turn in the rotation, which is rare because he can't catch or stay healthy. Why didn't you respond to the RBBC question?
Oh, that fun "law of averages". The Giants have had 36 snaps in the red zone. Obviously, not all of those are "goal line", however you define that. Too small of a sample size to even consider, plus this isn't a random variable.
The law of averages is a lay term used to express a belief that outcomes of a random event shall "even out" within a small sample.
As invoked in everyday life, the "law" usually reflects bad statistics or wishful thinking rather than any mathematical principle. While there is a real theorem that a random variable will reflect its underlying probability over a very large sample, the law of averages typically assumes that unnatural short-term "balance" must occur.
Anyway, despite knowing that this is just schtick, I'll bite.
This is most certainly a RBBC. That doesn't mean that Jacobs can't be a stud from a fantasy perspective.
First, the Giants are playing very well and there is going to be plenty of production. The offensive line is dominating teams, and the defense is playing great. They want to lean heavily on teh run regardless but especially when they jump out to a big lead. Even Bradshaw who is clearly the third option can be a productive fantasy starter at times.
Jacobs is clearly the lead horse in this RBBC. He got 17 of the 29 carries by RBs yesterday. On the year, the Giants have rushed 169 times - Jacobs has 96 (56%), Ward has 47 (27%), Bradshaw has 26 (15%). He also has 6 of the 8 scores by RBs this year.
As I said in the countless Ten discussions, each of these players in "Earth, Wind and Fire" (as they refer to themselves) complement each other. I fully believe that Jacobs is more effective because of the dynamic that each of these backs bring - as they say, the sum is greater than the parts here in terms of production.
Would Jacobs be averaging 5.4 YPC if he was getting an extra 5-10 carries per game? Would he have the burst to break the big runs? Hard to say. Though we'd like to say he would have better fantasy production "if only he got 76% of the carries vs. 56%", I would argue that he's fresher when the defense is worn down and is thus doing more with his carries.
And if you're saying that staying healthy is one of his biggest concerns, then it should be seen as a great thing that he's getting enough carries to be productive but not too many such that he wears down and is susceptible to injury.