I think the biggest mistake fantasy players make is they form an opinion early and are bullish to the bitter end (me included), and miss out on good players because we don’t go back and give them a more thorough analysis.I'm still not that a big a fan but am open to being wrong. I still don't see what separates me too many degrees from guys with MFAs from Iowa. I mean, they can write. That I'm jealous of or covet their ability to do so. But @thorku also hung his hat on Justin Fields's processing ability. We saw how that turned out. I don't buy some of these guys as far as I can throw them. And it's not slagging the entire person or the "FANTASY IN BIO" joke that was making the rounds two years ago. It's about this generalized rush to anoint greatness when my eyes aren't seeing it. I'm hesitant to do that or take someone's word for it when the guy's top credential is an MFA, no matter the school. It's not football school.
May I just leave that emoji there?
I think the biggest mistake fantasy players make is they form an opinion early and are bullish to the bitter end (me included), and miss out on good players because we don’t go back and give them a more thorough analysis.I'm still not that a big a fan but am open to being wrong. I still don't see what separates me too many degrees from guys with MFAs from Iowa. I mean, they can write. That I'm jealous of or covet their ability to do so. But @thorku also hung his hat on Justin Fields's processing ability. We saw how that turned out. I don't buy some of these guys as far as I can throw them. And it's not slagging the entire person or the "FANTASY IN BIO" joke that was making the rounds two years ago. It's about this generalized rush to anoint greatness when my eyes aren't seeing it. I'm hesitant to do that or take someone's word for it when the guy's top credential is an MFA, no matter the school. It's not football school.
May I just leave that emoji there?
Derek Brown
Well…my dude Kaleb Johnson did not run as fast as I thought BUT I’m not freaking out about a 4.57 especially at his size.
I was definitely wrong about his 40 time so not trying to sidestep or discount it.
Henry has similar traits with regards to build up speed.What showed out the most about Kaleb Johnson's combine is his overall lack of explosion. He has build-up speed but not much acceleration out of the gates. I'm concerned that this will be an achilles heel at the NFL level. If his momentum stops, he takes too long to get moving again.
I keep thinking James Conner with Johnson. I think after the combine, he's probably falling to round 3, not necessarily because of what he did, but a combo of that and how others tore up.Henry has similar traits with regards to build up speed.What showed out the most about Kaleb Johnson's combine is his overall lack of explosion. He has build-up speed but not much acceleration out of the gates. I'm concerned that this will be an achilles heel at the NFL level. If his momentum stops, he takes too long to get moving again.
As long as he isn’t Shonn Greene….I keep thinking James Conner with Johnson. I think after the combine, he's probably falling to round 3, not necessarily because of what he did, but a combo of that and how others tore up.Henry has similar traits with regards to build up speed.What showed out the most about Kaleb Johnson's combine is his overall lack of explosion. He has build-up speed but not much acceleration out of the gates. I'm concerned that this will be an achilles heel at the NFL level. If his momentum stops, he takes too long to get moving again.
I am one of those who has slid Kaleb Johnson down to RB5 in this class, but it really is no slight at all to Johnson. Jeanty and Hampton were always 1-2, Judkins aced the Combine, and Henderson adds the receiving profile to go along with 4.43 speed. I would be giddy to get any of these five backs.I know this comp is too long ago for a lot of you and I understand that the Iowa uniforms are probably influencing my thoughts, but I see a lot of Franco Harris in Johnson's game. Upright running style, very much a glider. He is big and strong and can deliver a blow but he is just as happy to make a business decision at the end of a productive run and get out of bounds instead of taking a pounding. He's not a burner, but gets to his top speed quickly.
I've seen a lot of people moving Johnson down their lists lately to the 4-6 RB prospect in this draft. Ultimately, I think they will regret that.
One thing I'll add about Kaleb Johnson, is I think he has the best vision of any RB in this class.Good comp for Kaleb is probably Rashaad Penny. A runner who needs a moment to get up to speed and will struggle to create on his own. A one cut and go type. He needs to find the right zone offensive fit for his run style.
I think his ceiling is prime Lev Bell, and find it ironic how popular it's become for mocks to put him on the Steelers over the past few weeks. I just said earlier today in another thread, his vision and patience behind the line (granted in an outside zone run scheme) are two of his most elite traits. Unfortunately, they can also make people at times see him as slow/not explosive watching cut ups of him; and obviously there aren't many, if any, drills he did at the combine to showcase those skills either.One thing I'll add about Kaleb Johnson, is I think he has the best vision of any RB in this class.Good comp for Kaleb is probably Rashaad Penny. A runner who needs a moment to get up to speed and will struggle to create on his own. A one cut and go type. He needs to find the right zone offensive fit for his run style.
PlayerProfiler
In a historically fast RB class, Kaleb Johnson's 4.57 40-yard dash leaves something to be desired
Is he dropping in your RB rankings even with a 73rd percentile speed score?
Nate Tice
a Kaleb Johnson long run on a well blocked outside zone by Iowa. A great look at how it can pop if the defense doesn't hit their gaps correctly.
So, 100th of a second slower than Antonio Brown. Got it.PlayerProfiler
In a historically fast RB class, Kaleb Johnson's 4.57 40-yard dash leaves something to be desired
Is he dropping in your RB rankings even with a 73rd percentile speed score?
I've always thought the short shuttle and especially the three cone were much more revealing than a 40 time. Unfortunately not that many did the 3 cone this year either. Typically anything under 7 seconds is pretty indicative of some really good ability to change direction/momentum effortlessly.So, 100th of a second slower than Antonio Brown. Got it.PlayerProfiler
In a historically fast RB class, Kaleb Johnson's 4.57 40-yard dash leaves something to be desired
Is he dropping in your RB rankings even with a 73rd percentile speed score?
40 times are a vastly overrated test.
KJ has better game speed, and relies heavily on his power. Again, a non-issue
Warren Sharp
Kaleb Johnson:
Iowa doesn't disguise their intent so RBs face stacked boxes often
Johnson faced 7.1 box defenders on avg, #2 most in class
28% of runs vs light box, lowest in class
but when facing a light box?
9.8 YPC, #1 most in class
accounted for 40% of Iowa's offensive yardage, #2 most in class
He models his game after Henry and he got bad reviews too.Surprised the overall rating was that low.
when I watch him run, I don't see any shiftiness or wiggle or elusiveness
He’s 6’0 at 221 pounds, he does what a locomotive is supposed to do! Choo! Choo!when I watch him run, I don't see any shiftiness or wiggle or elusiveness
Yeah, I see this with a lot of hyped RB prospects. Omar Hampton has similiar faults. Fairly, both of them could absolutely excel with the right team and blocking scheme. One cut and get upfield is where RBs like these two thrive.
Ray G
Kaleb Johnson 4.57 at the combine. I was told he was slow. Interesting. #NFLDraft
Scott Barrett
He had the worst 10-yard split of any RB in four years
Ray G
better yet you can hold that and I'll use this
Ray G
Every Kaleb Johnson breakaway run 15+yard from 2024 (3rd NCAA - Jeanty 1 & Harvey 2 )#NFLDraft2025
Scott Barrett
It's not something I typically care all that much about. But you do see the slow 10-yard / fast soaring 20 show up in the analytics profile. And also in this clip you posted with all of these long runs coming on plays he was given a clear runway
Randell “Memphis” Young
The 40 is way overrated.
There were over 12,500 rushing attempt last year in the NFL less than 100 of them went for 40 yards
What’s the 10 yard time? The 10 yard time and burst/athleticism score matters the most for running backs in my opinion
Ray G
40 matters to me only to the degree it impacts the draft capital other than that I’m good. Lol
Man I thought the 10 yard split was very important as well. More important than the 40 but @JetPackGalileo ran some number for me years ago and it had minimal correlation
Brian Baldinger
.@HawkeyeFootball Kaleb Johnson. Enter the RB conversation. This #nfldraft is loaded. A big back with quick feet; great change of pace with power to run through contact. #BaldysBreakdowns
Austin Abbott
I honestly think about this Kaleb Johnson TD at least once a day I’m not gonna lie man
6’1
224 lbs
For what it’s worth, his 48.9% Dominator Rating ranked in the 99th Percentile..
2024 Stats: (12 Games)
1,537 Rushing Yards
21 Rushing TD’s
Shades of Marshawn Lynch..
As many people have pointed out but the problem is the lack of teams who run that system who need a RB. I've drafted him a few times in redraft as like rookie RB5 and once I realized the predicament of how few teams that need a RB run this system I cooled considerably.absolutely needs to land on an outside zone/zone heavy team so that he can get a runway.
You think Johnson would go before Hampton? I don't think so.As many people have pointed out but the problem is the lack of teams who run that system who need a RB. I've drafted him a few times in redraft as like rookie RB5 and once I realized the predicament of how few teams that need a RB run this system I cooled considerably.absolutely needs to land on an outside zone/zone heavy team so that he can get a runway.
I know you are talking dynasty, but a RB without a clear cut path for a year or two is going to get knocked.
I think the best possible draft outcome for his value is for the Bears to take him with one of their seconds or even pick 72 if he fell that far. Steelers with their third would not be bad either if he fell that far but that's right outside what I generally view as premium investment for RB.
But as someone already invested in him I know I"m going to be pulling for Jeanty to go before the Bears pick in round one.
You don’t like the Bears as a landing spot for Jeanty? I think it is sneaky great…As many people have pointed out but the problem is the lack of teams who run that system who need a RB. I've drafted him a few times in redraft as like rookie RB5 and once I realized the predicament of how few teams that need a RB run this system I cooled considerably.absolutely needs to land on an outside zone/zone heavy team so that he can get a runway.
I know you are talking dynasty, but a RB without a clear cut path for a year or two is going to get knocked.
I think the best possible draft outcome for his value is for the Bears to take him with one of their seconds or even pick 72 if he fell that far. Steelers with their third would not be bad either if he fell that far but that's right outside what I generally view as premium investment for RB.
But as someone already invested in him I know I"m going to be pulling for Jeanty to go before the Bears pick in round one.
I'm talking about what I want to happen for Kaleb Johnson and if the Bears drafted Jeanty in round one that would all but officially close the door on them drafting Kaleb.You don’t like the Bears as a landing spot for Jeanty? I think it is sneaky great…As many people have pointed out but the problem is the lack of teams who run that system who need a RB. I've drafted him a few times in redraft as like rookie RB5 and once I realized the predicament of how few teams that need a RB run this system I cooled considerably.absolutely needs to land on an outside zone/zone heavy team so that he can get a runway.
I know you are talking dynasty, but a RB without a clear cut path for a year or two is going to get knocked.
I think the best possible draft outcome for his value is for the Bears to take him with one of their seconds or even pick 72 if he fell that far. Steelers with their third would not be bad either if he fell that far but that's right outside what I generally view as premium investment for RB.
But as someone already invested in him I know I"m going to be pulling for Jeanty to go before the Bears pick in round one.
Sorry, lazy reading on my part.I'm talking about what I want to happen for Kaleb Johnson and if the Bears drafted Jeanty in round one that would all but officially close the door on them drafting Kaleb.You don’t like the Bears as a landing spot for Jeanty? I think it is sneaky great…As many people have pointed out but the problem is the lack of teams who run that system who need a RB. I've drafted him a few times in redraft as like rookie RB5 and once I realized the predicament of how few teams that need a RB run this system I cooled considerably.absolutely needs to land on an outside zone/zone heavy team so that he can get a runway.
I know you are talking dynasty, but a RB without a clear cut path for a year or two is going to get knocked.
I think the best possible draft outcome for his value is for the Bears to take him with one of their seconds or even pick 72 if he fell that far. Steelers with their third would not be bad either if he fell that far but that's right outside what I generally view as premium investment for RB.
But as someone already invested in him I know I"m going to be pulling for Jeanty to go before the Bears pick in round one.
I don't have 1.1 so have no reason to be pulling for Jeanty to land well.