Contradictions in player evaluation... (1 Viewer)

[mr roboto]

So I keep hearing completely contradictory reasons for evaluating players.

Example: Roddy White is the only viable WR target in ATL so he should put up great #s. Hakeem Nicks should put up good #s because he has great talent opposite him in SS so should not have double teams.

What are some other examples? What are the most important situational factors in your evaluations?

 

[cheese]

Your example is good. I also like how all 3 game outcomes get spun for QBs....

Matthew Stafford should have a good game because his team is going to get killed and he will throw from behind. Phillip Rivers is a good play because SD is going to KILL team XYZ. Carson Palmer should have good numbers because it should be a tight back and forth game all day.

 

[FavreCo]

Here are a couple:

#1 is the QB. Roddy has Matt Ryan. He can get him the ball. I don't even waste time looking at WR's in Tennessee, Jax, Buffalo and Cleveland to name a few.

#2 is how weak is the team's D (especially pass D)? The weaker, the better so they have to throw to catch up. Calvin Johnson is doing well late in garbage time with a crappy QB situation. Andre used to be like this. He would rack up points late.

 

[puckalicious]

Here are a couple:#1 is the QB. Roddy has Matt Ryan. He can get him the ball. I don't even waste time looking at WR's in Tennessee, Jax, Buffalo and Cleveland to name a few.#2 is how weak is the team's D (especially pass D)? The weaker, the better so they have to throw to catch up. Calvin Johnson is doing well late in garbage time with a crappy QB situation. Andre used to be like this. He would rack up points late.

I don't know about your league, but your #1 is where most of us get our WR3's.A good reference for all of this is the WR Matrix subscriber article. Don't think it has been updated recently but it's still applicable.

 

[mr roboto]

Your example is good. I also like how all 3 game outcomes get spun for QBs....Matthew Stafford should have a good game because his team is going to get killed and he will throw from behind. Phillip Rivers is a good play because SD is going to KILL team XYZ. Carson Palmer should have good numbers because it should be a tight back and forth game all day.

I get this when I discuss trades with people. They try to explain why a guy they are offering is in a great situation and use whatever sounds reasonable to make the offer. If he's in such a great situation why don't they hold onto him?

 

[Air Stich]

So I keep hearing completely contradictory reasons for evaluating players. Example: Roddy White is the only viable WR target in ATL so he should put up great #s. Hakeem Nicks should put up good #s because he has great talent opposite him in SS so should not have double teams. What are some other examples? What are the most important situational factors in your evaluations?

As long as the QB can deliver the ball, I prefer my WRs to have less competition for targets and TDs. That said, there are other more important factors to consider when evaluating WRs than who lines up on the other side. The effect of "too many mouths" or "no one to pull coverage away" is overrated.