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Did Manning choke against the Patriots (1 Viewer)

Did he choke in the playoff game vs. the Pats?

  • Yes, he choked against the Patriots

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • No, but he has choked in the past

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • No, it's not choking, it's just getting beaten

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    0
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.Let's just say he has to win the AFC championship to not be labeled a choker. I can live with that. Elway had the same stuff to deal with too. That's cool.J
I've always liked Peyton Manning. I think he's a class act.But I think, Joe, you're sort of missing the point. It's true that Peyton has more or less done what is expected of him in the playoffs--he has beaten the lesser teams and lost to the (edit: better) teams. It's not reasonable to conclude from this that he is a bad quarterback. He is a good QB, and he's not a choker, he just isn't superman.The problem I have is that many people (I don't know if you are one of them) like to paint him as an all-time great QB. On a per-game statistical level, he is an all-time great. But in my opinion, in order to be truly great, any player--and especially a team leader like QB--has to raise their level of play substantially in the post-season and "clutch" situations. It's about mystique. Brett Favre had it. Joe Montana had it. Tom Brady has it. Peyton Manning does not, IMO. And without it, I'll never consider Peyton in the running for best ever, no matter how many TD's he puts up.
 
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Which is a great way of saying that Manning is a perfectly ordinary QB
This points to why I have a hard time giving you respect in this board with your opinions.To think that Manning is ordinary is just silly! :yawn:
If you're saying he's successfully met a perfectly ordinary standard for playoff wins, then you've successfully shown that he's a perfectly ordinary QB in the playoffs. Doug said he's won exactly as many playoff games as he should. Putting aside his statistical performances (which were way above average in his wins and way below average in his losses). Manning's led his teams to do nothing more and nothing less than expected.
If Manning did exactly what he should....and Manning is expected to be the best QB in the league...then his playoff performances would only confirm that fact.If he was 0-8 in the playoffs, he'd be falling under expectations. If he was 3-5, he'd be hitting expectations. If he was 6-5, he'd be well above playoff expectations.
 
This is not tennis people, in case you haven't noticed football is a team sport. The Patriots are a better team than the Colts. By your definitions Jordan was a huge choker because he couldn't beat the Pistons early in his career. It wasn't until the Bulls were a better team than the Pistons could they advance.
From what I recall Jordan put up sub-par stats against the Pistons in the playoffs, leading to losses. Had that continued for his entire career, I wouldn't have called him one of the best all-time, any more than Malone is.Jordan was great because he was absolutely clutch and he led his team to multiple championships. Peyton has exhibited neither trait (his only clutch game I can think of was vs. the Bucs last year, and he's had many opportunities).
 
Which is a great way of saying that Manning is a perfectly ordinary QB
This points to why I have a hard time giving you respect in this board with your opinions.To think that Manning is ordinary is just silly! :yawn:
If you're saying he's successfully met a perfectly ordinary standard for playoff wins, then you've successfully shown that he's a perfectly ordinary QB in the playoffs. Doug said he's won exactly as many playoff games as he should. Putting aside his statistical performances (which were way above average in his wins and way below average in his losses). Manning's led his teams to do nothing more and nothing less than expected.
If Manning did exactly what he should....and Manning is expected to be the best QB in the league...then his playoff performances would only confirm that fact.If he was 0-8 in the playoffs, he'd be falling under expectations. If he was 3-5, he'd be hitting expectations. If he was 6-5, he'd be well above playoff expectations.
I like the straw man that you throw in there - Manning's expected to be the best QB in the league. I'm curious, how do you conclude that he's the best QB in the league? Is it from his great regular season numbers? Because he's not putting up those numbers in the playoffs, and thus he's not meeting those expectations. Is it because he leads his team to be a middle of the pack playoff team each year? The reason he was "expected to win" only 3 of those eight games is that the Colts have never been one of the top seeds in the playoffs. Or maybe he's expected to be the best at beating teams he's expected to beat, and the best at losing spectacularly to teams he's not. That might explain why his numbers are so inconsistent from win to loss, throwing for 137 yards in a loss, but over 400 yards in a win; throwing for 4 INTs in a loss then throwing for 5 TDs in a win.
 
which leads to the inevitable question;what is the qualifications for best qb in the league?most td passes?most yards?most wins?most playoff wins?superbowl trophy?most superbowl trophies?u cant go here without defining it... :nerd:

 
I think that the Colts place too large a burden on Peyton in the playoffs, by continuing to allow him to audible all the time at the line of scrimmage.I read in one of the papers yesterday that Manning said that they wanted to throw deep but every time he had a call (read: HIS call) for a deep pass, the Pats were in 3-deep zones and every time they had man-to-man coverage, they called a running play. In my opinion, that falls directly on Manning, since he's the one playing "read and react" pre-snap.I'm betting that the Pats have picked up some sort of "tell" in Manning's audibles. If that's true, then it's up to the coaching staff to reign him in and keep Manning within the gameplan.I don't think it's a question of "choking" per se. It's just asking your QB to play and coach at the same time.Against Belichick and Crennel, that's a one-sided mismatch.

 
Here's why I don't think Manning is a top QB. The Colts are trying to build a team around Manning. They've given him everything he could ask for - complete control of the offense, a top offensive coordinator, offensive line continuity, four first round targets, one of the best active TEs in the game in Pollard, and the WR he asked for in Stokley. They've built the team around him, committing all the money they can to offense to make sure Manning has what he needs to win playoff games. I can understand the Colts losing in the playoffs because they don't have the defensive prowess. But how can Manning supporters explain him putting up such ridiculously below average numbers in the playoffs again, and again, and again, and again, and again? This is FIVE TIMES that he's been so far off his average. It's not like he's running into the best defense in the league every single time. And it's not like other QBs are putting up similarly subpar numbers against the defense that Manning chokes against. How can you possibly explain that except to say that he's either A) choking, or B) just not that good?

 
Boy, after reading through this thread more closely, I can't say anything other than "whatever."To me, Manning's a great QB. I'll hold off on "one of greatest ever" for a while since he's young. The Colts haven't had a lot of success in the playoffs. Peyton hasn't played great, generally, in the playoffs, nor have the Colts as a team. That doesn't change my opinion that Manning's a great QB, though more success in the playoffs would increase his "greatness." Whether he eventually wins a Superbowl or not won't in itself determine whether he's one of the great QB's ever - IMO - though winning one will probably seal the deal for others. Why doesn't he have to win a Superbowl? Because requiring something that Mark Rypien did to so dramatically change one's view of a 12-14 year career (or whatever it will be) is silly. IMO.But, if you want to think differently, feel free. Everyone generally falls into the "must win a Superbowl or not" camps, so there's not much to be learned on this subject.

 
in the same veinif the steelers win 3 superbowls with roethlisburger as their qbas he throws 15/30 for 1 TD at each superbowl,does that make him a great QB ?

 
Here's why I don't think Manning is a top QB.
Fred, anyone who has read this thread is well acquainted with your feeling on this. It would be helpful if you would bring some new material rather than just restating the same thing every time you post. We get your perspective... really. If you haven't already convinced us by now in this thread, you're not going to do it through rehashing.No offense intended, but it's rather obvious you have a personal bias that is driving your commentary. Typically, I find your posts to be very much the opposite.
 
People are calling him one of the great QBs of all time. No QB with a below .500 playoff record is one fo the greatest QBs of all time.
Playoff Records of Select QBsDan Marino -- 8-10 (.444)

Dan Fouts -- 3-4 (.429)So neither Marino nor Fouts were great quarterbacks? :confused:
Dan Marino did carry a team to the Super Bowl in his first "complete" NFL season (i.e., no need to bring up Shaun King as he was "carried"). Marino also is well represented in 4th qtr comeback wins. Yes, he didn't win the Super Bowl, but that is not my criteria.Dan Fouts is a decent comparable to Manning. Fouts "suffered" in playing in the all-time worst weather game ever (@CINN), but SD blew an easy regular season win that year that would have cemented home field and I do believe that that year they would have won it all. The SD defense was not as strong (relatively speaking) as the Colts defense, but rather was more comparable to the KC defense of today. SD had about a 3 year run as a real good team under Fouts and one of those years Fouts played very poorly in the playoffs in a "winnable" game the Raiders.

Manning has time to rewrite his own legacy but to date:

Marino > Manning

Fouts ~~ Manning

 
Here's why I don't think Manning is a top QB.
Fred, anyone who has read this thread is well acquainted with your feeling on this. It would be helpful if you would bring some new material rather than just restating the same thing every time you post. We get your perspective... really. If you haven't already convinced us by now in this thread, you're not going to do it through rehashing.No offense intended, but it's rather obvious you have a personal bias that is driving your commentary. Typically, I find your posts to be very much the opposite.
I think some of the most fascinating things in sports are 1) that there are some players who can overcome all the distractions and just perform when they have to, and others who just can't break through, and 2) how people judge those players, and compare them to one another. Sure I'm biased here. But a big part of my bias is that I really don't understand how people see this differently from me. And I want to. I don't get whatever it is that makes people say Manning is a great QB. I don't know if the fact I feel so strongly that he isn't is coming from just missing something that everyone else can plainly see. I'm open to hearing my thoughts proven wrong. I'll absolutely argue something I disagree with, but jwvdcw came the closest of anyone to explaining why he didn't think it was a choke, and I agreed with him and modified my stance. I'd be willing to do the same if someone else can come up with a better explanation, because it seems like a lot of people think very differently from me, but when I'm not hearing many irrefutable arguments, and I'm not hearing many people refute the arguments I'm making, it's hard to change my mind. What I'm curious about, and the reason I started this thread, is how the people who defend him as a good QB who'd not choking explain what's happening. In the post you just partially quoted, I asked the question I have not seen satisfactorily answered in this thread - if it's not a choke, and if he is a good QB, then how do you explain the consistent and significant dropoff of his individual performance in the playoffs?
 
I've had some time to reflect on Sunday's game with less emotion. I think of the 5 Manning playoff losses, this Sunday's was the worst of the five.

Loss vs Tenn - I can chalk it up to a lack of experience and E. G. Green getting hurt during that game.

Loss vs. Mia - Lousy stats, but Manning did put them in a position to win the game with a long FG, and Vandy blew it

Loss vs Jets - Horrid - but the entire team was horrible - but the Colts really weren't a playoff caliber team that season

Loss vs NE last year - 4 Ints is terrible, but, at least he was trying to win instead of trying not to lose - which brings me to

Loss vs NE on Sunday. This was the worst. Scoring only 3 points is inexcusable - the Pats are really good, the weather wasn't perfect, but this isn't the 85 Bears or the 2000 Ravens - you've got to at least score in double-figures here if you've scored at least 20 points in each game this season. He never went downfield. His goal seemed to be to not throw 4 INTS. He did have a "down" face in the 3rd quarter on the sidelines. Yes, there were dropped passes early, but he didn't call a TO with 16 seconds left in the half - where if he did he could have had one or two extra shots in the end zone. After halftime, the Colts D made a big stop after a lousy Vandy kickoff, and Manning didn't do anything on that drive. After that, the Pats took control of the game.

As a Colts fan, that game was very discouraging, even moreso after some reflection. Manning has a long way to go.

 
in the same veinif the steelers win 3 superbowls with roethlisburger as their qbas he throws 15/30 for 1 TD at each superbowl,does that make him a great QB ?
Speculate all you want about if's and but’sManning’s failures in postseason and championship caliber, games are real.He record is inexcusable for such a great, 2 time MVP "Regular season player" that EVERYONE says (and wants) should prosper!Take the next step Peyton. We are running out of excuses for your lack of playmking skills when it counts.
 
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A great QB is someone who consistently plays the quarterback position in such a way that he contributes to wins.

Consistency is defined as two things - doing it enough in the regular season to get to the playoffs, and doing it enough in the playoffs to win as many consecutive games as possible.

Examples of ways that a quarterback can contribute to wins are:

avoiding pressure

putting his receivers in a position to make plays
choosing the correct receiver to throw to (e.g. sustaining drives when the defense needs rest)
reading defenses and adjusting accordingly
maximizing the risk/reward of each playI had a much longer list initially, but I think that's pretty comprehensive. I'm open to adding to it.

Avoiding pressure is the quarterback's ability to improve on what the O line is giving them. If the O line gives them three seconds and the QB needs 4, the QB's ability to get that fourth second is important. This may be a function of ability to scramble, or to throw on the run in designed rollouts, or simply having the pocket presence and footwork to avoid sacks.

Putting his receivers in a position to make plays means giving your receiver a chance to make the catch first and foremost, but also hitting them on the run and leading them in the right direction, throwing over the correct shoulder, or having touch on short passes.

Choosing the correct receiver to throw to consists of throwing the ball deep when it's there, looking to the short pass when it's there but also knowing when not to throw it short because the defense is covering the screen. Sometimes it means avoiding throwing it to your receivers over the middle so you don't get them killed. Sometimes it's means throwing the ball away when there's nothing there.

Reading defenses and adjusting accordingly is a combination of things. Certainly it helps you choose the correct receiver to throw to. It may also mean audibling to the right play at the line of scrimmage. But another important part of it is forcing the defense to respond to you. If the defense is taking away the short ball, you gotta chuck up a deep ball to keep them honest. If the defense is playing prevent, you gotta dink and dunk them to death.

Maximizing the risk/reward of each play means looking at the risks (failing to convert a first down, getting sacked or intercepted) and rewards (scoring points and gaining field position) of each play and maximizing them. This does not mean not throwing picks. When Kurt Warner was playing his head off he threw a ton of picks, but it was because he was getting so many yards it didn't matter. Throwing a riskier pass enabled him to get more yards.

That's my definition. I didn't have a lot of stuff about getting yards and TDs in there, but if a quarterback does the stuff I do have in there should it usually lead to a good number of yards and TDs.

 
i think a great qb is hard to guage because its a team sport, and we are skewed by that shiny thing called the lombardi trophy.personally, if you have a top 5 stat or in the hall of fame, regardless of superbowl trophy [see Jim Kelly]... you are a great QB.multiple lombardis will seal you.i guess im not totally set on what is great and what isnt.yes, he may eventually go down as a Dan Marino, but better Dan Marino than the other 25 QBs in 1984 no one even remembers.

 
i think a great qb is hard to guage because its a team sport, and we are skewed by that shiny thing called the lombardi trophy.personally, if you have a top 5 stat or in the hall of fame, regardless of superbowl trophy [see Jim Kelly]... you are a great QB.multiple lombardis will seal you.i guess im not totally set on what is great and what isnt.yes, he may eventually go down as a Dan Marino, but better Dan Marino than the other 25 QBs in 1984 no one even remembers.
It's obvious that at least in the minds of the people who vote for inductees to the Hall of Fame that individual achievements weigh much heavier than Super Bowl victories. Otherwise players like Dan Marino, Jim Kelly and Dan Fouts wouldn't be in the Hall right now, and players like Doug Williams and Jim McMahon would be.Of course, if you have the combination of the two, individual stats and a Super Bowl victory, it seems you're a lock for a first-ballot entry.I think even if Peyton Manning never makes it to a Super Bowl his individual acheivements will still land him in the Hall. Now you have every right to argue whether that really means anything - whether being in the Hall of Fame makes you a great quarterback or not. But make no mistake, Manning is well on his way to Canton.
 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.

Let's just say he has to win the AFC championship to not be labeled a choker. I can live with that. Elway had the same stuff to deal with too. That's cool.

J
I've always liked Peyton Manning. I think he's a class act.But I think, Joe, you're sort of missing the point. It's true that Peyton has more or less done what is expected of him in the playoffs--he has beaten the lesser teams and lost to the (edit: better) teams. It's not reasonable to conclude from this that he is a bad quarterback. He is a good QB, and he's not a choker, he just isn't superman.

The problem I have is that many people (I don't know if you are one of them) like to paint him as an all-time great QB. On a per-game statistical level, he is an all-time great. But in my opinion, in order to be truly great, any player--and especially a team leader like QB--has to raise their level of play substantially in the post-season and "clutch" situations. It's about mystique. Brett Favre had it. Joe Montana had it. Tom Brady has it. Peyton Manning does not, IMO. And without it, I'll never consider Peyton in the running for best ever, no matter how many TD's he puts up.
Hi Andy,Thanks. No, I'm not missing that point at all. I would call him better than good, but outside of that, I agree 100% with your post.

I don't claim he's Montana. Never have. Certainly not an all time great. Nobody is an all time great after 7 seasons. I just disagree with the folks who say he's never won a big game. Or that Sunday was a choke. He threw for almost 100 more yards, one less TD and one more interception than Brady did who by all accounts had a great game. I'm just trying to stay consistent.

And I also admit to having a real dislike for continually moving the target. For some reason, it's been that way his whole career that I've followed. If he had beaten Florida in the regular season at Tennesee, the cry would have been that he's never won a National Championship. I guarantee you if he'd beaten the Patriots Sunday, we'd still have people talking about anyone could have beaten a secondary that banged up. Just like he was a choker who couldn't win on the road. Then when he beat KC in January in Arrowhead, that doesn't really count becuase KC is an all time basket case defense or something like that. :rolleyes:

I've come to accept it that for some people, it'll just be that way until maybe one day if he's able to win a Super Bowl. He'll have to do it as a strong underdog and play a great game and have the other team a heavy favorite and be at full strength. And it would help if it was snowing. But even then I'm sure there will be some good reason why it wasn't really his doing then too so I won't hold my breath. ;)

With regard to the ring thing, I think people put way too much emphasis on Super Bowl wins - (Dan Marino vs Trent Dilfer) but I understand that's how many people think. I do agree though that until he wins some Super Bowls, he won't be up in the Favre / Montana league.

J

 
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A great QB is someone who consistently plays the quarterback position in such a way that he contributes to wins.

Consistency is defined as two things - doing it enough in the regular season to get to the playoffs, and doing it enough in the playoffs to win as many consecutive games as possible.

Examples of ways that a quarterback can contribute to wins are:

avoiding pressure

putting his receivers in a position to make plays
choosing the correct receiver to throw to (e.g. sustaining drives when the defense needs rest)
reading defenses and adjusting accordingly
maximizing the risk/reward of each playI had a much longer list initially, but I think that's pretty comprehensive. I'm open to adding to it.

Avoiding pressure is the quarterback's ability to improve on what the O line is giving them. If the O line gives them three seconds and the QB needs 4, the QB's ability to get that fourth second is important. This may be a function of ability to scramble, or to throw on the run in designed rollouts, or simply having the pocket presence and footwork to avoid sacks.

Putting his receivers in a position to make plays means giving your receiver a chance to make the catch first and foremost, but also hitting them on the run and leading them in the right direction, throwing over the correct shoulder, or having touch on short passes.

Choosing the correct receiver to throw to consists of throwing the ball deep when it's there, looking to the short pass when it's there but also knowing when not to throw it short because the defense is covering the screen. Sometimes it means avoiding throwing it to your receivers over the middle so you don't get them killed. Sometimes it's means throwing the ball away when there's nothing there.

Reading defenses and adjusting accordingly is a combination of things. Certainly it helps you choose the correct receiver to throw to. It may also mean audibling to the right play at the line of scrimmage. But another important part of it is forcing the defense to respond to you. If the defense is taking away the short ball, you gotta chuck up a deep ball to keep them honest. If the defense is playing prevent, you gotta dink and dunk them to death.

Maximizing the risk/reward of each play means looking at the risks (failing to convert a first down, getting sacked or intercepted) and rewards (scoring points and gaining field position) of each play and maximizing them. This does not mean not throwing picks. When Kurt Warner was playing his head off he threw a ton of picks, but it was because he was getting so many yards it didn't matter. Throwing a riskier pass enabled him to get more yards.

That's my definition. I didn't have a lot of stuff about getting yards and TDs in there, but if a quarterback does the stuff I do have in there should it usually lead to a good number of yards and TDs.
Hi Bf,Now I'm losing you altogether.

If that's your definition of things that make a great QB, who does these things better game in and game out than Peyton Manning?

J

 
Here are some stats and evaluation of Manning's Playoff games:1999 – Indy Colts lost to Titans in Indy. Manning was 19 of 43 with No TD’s against the 26th ranked passing Defense (Sub Par)2000 – Colts lose to Miami in Miami. Manning was 17 of 32 194 yds 1 TD (Average)2002 – 10-6 Colts lose to 9-7 Jets 41-0. Manning 14 of 31 137 0TD 2Int.(Sub Par)2003 Colts beat Denver. Manning 22 of 26 377 5TD 0Int Denver 23rd ranked vs pass(Above Average)2003 Colts beat KC Manning 22 of 30 304 3TD 0INT (Above Average)2003 Lost to NE Manning 23 of 47 237 1TD 4INT (Sub Par)2004 Colts beat Denver Manning 27 of 33 457 4TD 1INT (Above Average)2004 Colts lose to NE Manning 27 of 42 238 0TD 1INT (Below Average)8 games- 4 below average games, 1 average game, 3 above average games. Pretty mediocre for a great qbIs he a choker? No. Does he raise his level of play in pressure games like a great QB would? NoManning still has time to turn it around but at this moment I would not rank him up there with the all time greats. When comparing him to Marino and Elway, you have to remember that neither had much of a running game during their careers. When Elway got a good runner, he won two super bowls. Manning has a great Running Back, Excellent receivers and a great line. His 49 touchdown passes don't impress me. He looks great passing for 6 td's vs Chicago but when you really need him to step up big against a great team, he lays an egg and fails to lead the team.

 
A great QB is someone who consistently plays the quarterback position in such a way that he contributes to wins.

Consistency is defined as two things - doing it enough in the regular season to get to the playoffs, and doing it enough in the playoffs to win as many consecutive games as possible.

Examples of ways that a quarterback can contribute to wins are:

avoiding pressure

putting his receivers in a position to make plays
choosing the correct receiver to throw to (e.g. sustaining drives when the defense needs rest)
reading defenses and adjusting accordingly
maximizing the risk/reward of each playI had a much longer list initially, but I think that's pretty comprehensive. I'm open to adding to it.

Avoiding pressure is the quarterback's ability to improve on what the O line is giving them. If the O line gives them three seconds and the QB needs 4, the QB's ability to get that fourth second is important. This may be a function of ability to scramble, or to throw on the run in designed rollouts, or simply having the pocket presence and footwork to avoid sacks.

Putting his receivers in a position to make plays means giving your receiver a chance to make the catch first and foremost, but also hitting them on the run and leading them in the right direction, throwing over the correct shoulder, or having touch on short passes.

Choosing the correct receiver to throw to consists of throwing the ball deep when it's there, looking to the short pass when it's there but also knowing when not to throw it short because the defense is covering the screen. Sometimes it means avoiding throwing it to your receivers over the middle so you don't get them killed. Sometimes it's means throwing the ball away when there's nothing there.

Reading defenses and adjusting accordingly is a combination of things. Certainly it helps you choose the correct receiver to throw to. It may also mean audibling to the right play at the line of scrimmage. But another important part of it is forcing the defense to respond to you. If the defense is taking away the short ball, you gotta chuck up a deep ball to keep them honest. If the defense is playing prevent, you gotta dink and dunk them to death.

Maximizing the risk/reward of each play means looking at the risks (failing to convert a first down, getting sacked or intercepted) and rewards (scoring points and gaining field position) of each play and maximizing them. This does not mean not throwing picks. When Kurt Warner was playing his head off he threw a ton of picks, but it was because he was getting so many yards it didn't matter. Throwing a riskier pass enabled him to get more yards.

That's my definition. I didn't have a lot of stuff about getting yards and TDs in there, but if a quarterback does the stuff I do have in there should it usually lead to a good number of yards and TDs.
Well, you don't like statistics, so I guess we can't use them to explain why Manning is a great QB. But, he qualifies under all of those categories if you do look at his statistics in the regular season (low sack totals, low INTs, high comp %, high yards, changing plays to meet the defensive fronts).Why that hasn't translated against New England? I don't know, other than to say the defense was better than he was. Why? I don't know. But, he's been so consistently great according to your measures that I think it's instructive to find the answer. Maybe he's not psychologically fit, whatever that means. I think Manning is an exceptional talent that, under most circumstances, is the guy I want as my QB. But, obviously, he has no performed well in some pressure situations, whereas Brady has been either adequate enough.

Does that make Brady a better QB? I don't think so. But, that's only because I don't see him garnering the kind of W-L record were he to face a Belichick defense in the playoffs. Maybe he would. Maybe he's got it whatever it is.

But, I think the legacy of Manning is still only half-written and am willing to take his gifts and allow time for him to mature. Elway had it, but it wasn't until the end of his career that all the stars aligned for him to win the big one (twice). I hope, for Manning's sake, that he has that kind of a finish. I'm no Colts fan, but I like the way Manning carries himself; I enjoy watching the skill he brings to the position. I'm underwhelmed by Brady. Maybe that's part of his brilliance. Or, maybe he's the beneficiary of other things going on around him.

 
I don't think he choked. The killer was the Rhodes fumble in the 2nd quarter. The Colts were driving and probably were going to score there. Their next drive was their last of the half, and they came away with 3. In a close game you take those.In the third quarter, their first drive bogged down at midfield. So they punted and pinned the Patriots deep. Unfortunately, the Patriots went on a 15-play TD drive that took over 8 minutes off the clock and put the Colts down by 2 scores. That took them out of their game.The keys were the Rhodes fumble and that killer Patriots' drive. Not Manning.

 
I don't think he choked. The killer was the Rhodes fumble in the 2nd quarter. The Colts were driving and probably were going to score there. Their next drive was their last of the half, and they came away with 3. In a close game you take those.In the third quarter, their first drive bogged down at midfield. So they punted and pinned the Patriots deep. Unfortunately, the Patriots went on a 15-play TD drive that took over 8 minutes off the clock and put the Colts down by 2 scores. That took them out of their game.The keys were the Rhodes fumble and that killer Patriots' drive. Not Manning.
No, he definitely didn't "choke" in this game. I think the issue is, though, that he didn't raise the level of play when it mattered most. That's what's at issue, I think.Brady, at least plays to his regular season level. He's a 61.6% passer in the regular season; a 61.2% successful passer in the postseason. He throws a TD once every 20.8 attempts in the regular season; once every 35 attempts in the postseason. He just keeps doing his job.But, what I also find interesting is that NE has only scored over 20 points in 3 of the 7 postseason games he's played, while his defense has allowed over 17 points only once for Brady. They just keep these games so manageable.
 
His, high flying, record breaking offense scored 3 freaking points. The 2 time defending MVP was playing against a so called "banged up" secondary, starting a rookie and featuring a ancient WR. 3 pointsI can’t comprehend how anyone can spin this. Coupled with his history of coming up short in BIG games, this argument should be over. Until he wins a consequential game, he will have the stigma as a pretender.3 pointsHe was supposed to win this year. Everyone believed it! We expected the great Peyton Manning to rise to the occasion. To put a stamp of authenticity on his record breaking season. Not this year. Instead of validating his greatness, he reaffirmed his major weakness……the inability to produce when the show must go on. That starts with the mind. 3 pointsMaybe he is not mentally tough. Maybe his teammates hate his guts. Maybe he thinks that he is the end all. Whatever, he must produce TD’s and Win important football games if he wants to be considered a "Great" QB. Like it or not, Great players are remembered for what they do in the PLAYOFFS-more importantly what they do in BIG Games. And so far Peyton Manning has done nothing. If you compare his regular season stats, to his playoff stats, there is a huge drop off. It’s been documented in this thread.I hope Manning wins 5 Super Bowls. Until he does, he is a great player in the regular season that has failed big time in meaningful, playoff games.3 pointsHe put up 3 points…he should be able to score 3 points on the moon! Compared to what he did in the regular season-he choked. There is more to being a great QB that putting up #’s. Heck Scott Mitchell put up huge numbers in Tommie Moore’s friggen offense.3 pointsMentally, Peyton has showed nothing. Remember a while back when the drunk kicker stated that Dungy and Manning were soft? Manning went nuts at the Pro Bowl... Maybe Vanderjerk was right...3 pointsSome say Elway? Elway went into cold, hostile Municipal Stadium and got out of there with a win. Elway could always get there and he eventually won. To win, you must first get there……...and score more than 3 points!

 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J

 
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No, he definitely didn't "choke" in this game. I think the issue is, though, that he didn't raise the level of play when it mattered most. That's what's at issue, I think.
:thumbup: That's definitely part of it. But do you really think 238 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT is just a matter of not raising his game? We can subtract out the garbage time INT if you want to subtract out the garbage time yards; the numbers are still so far off his regular season average - or even off his worst regular season game.
 
But in my opinion, in order to be truly great, any player--and especially a team leader like QB--has to raise their level of play substantially in the post-season and "clutch" situations. It's about mystique. Brett Favre had it. Joe Montana had it. Tom Brady has it. Peyton Manning does not, IMO. And without it, I'll never consider Peyton in the running for best ever, no matter how many TD's he puts up.
I'm not exactly sure that just winning gives a QB the type of "mystique" you're talking about. Bart Star won 5 titles with the Packers and nobody ever talks about him in the great QB's of all time discussion. Yet they do with Favre whose only got one ring. Montana gets a lot of love for his 4 Super Bowl rings. But where's Terry Bradshaw in the discussion? The guy won 4 Super Bowls and two Super Bowl MVP awards. No one can deny that Montana was a great QB. He obviously raised the level of his play many times in the postseason. But it's not like he never had a bad playoff game. He played poorly against the Giants a few times and he allowed his time to get into a 21-0 hole in the 1983 NFC title game before leading a furious comeback that fell short at the end. Everyone knows about the last minute TD drive in the 1988 Super Bowl but why was one even needed against a Bengals team that could only score 16 points (9 on offense)? We just remember the good stuff. And Favre had a chance to win back-to-back Super Bowls but couldn't get it done in 1997. Shouldn't he take some heat for that? He's certainly flamed out in the playoffs the last few years in infamous fashion. If Manning eventually wins a Super Bowl, will he be inoculated from criticism for his previous performances? It worked for Elway. The guy did not play that well in his first three Super Bowls. Marino has taken a lot of heat for his postseason play here. Here's what I think happened. Talent-wise, Dan's best teams were the 1983-1985 Dolphins. He had the Marks Brothers at their peak, Nat Moore, the Killer Bees defense, and a Hall-of-Fame center in Dwight Stephenson. Now it's asking a lot to expect a QB to win a Super Bowl in his first few years. (I know Brady's done it but he's an anamoly and the offense doesn't revolve around his arm the way Miami's did with Marino). Most of the other great QB's who have won titles have done so with a few years of experience and the opportunity to improve along with their team. Think Montana, Aikman, Favre, Bradshaw. Marino came to a team that was already a playoff contender and he was so good Shula immediately put it all on Dan's shoulders. In his 2d year Marino did get his team to the Super Bowl. They lost, but does anybody really think Miami could have won that game? I was at the 1984 AFC title game and Marino put on the greatest show I've ever seen. But in the Super Bowl the Niners were just too good. Miami's defense couldn't stop Montana and Walsh completely outcoached Shula. Remember, the AFC got crushed on an almost yearly basis in the Super Bowl from 1984-1996. Were Marino, Elway, and Kelly, three Hall-of-Fame QB's, really incapable of winning a big game? Or were they just simply outmatched by the NFC? In 1985 Miami hosted the AFC title game and got upset by New England. Marino absolutely should have played better and can be criticized for not doing so. He was leading the team back though when his running back fumbled and killed Miami's chances. After that, Miami turned mediocre even though Marino was entering what should have been his peak years. The team atrophied around him: Moore retired, the defense got old, Stephenson suffered a career-ending injury, and the Marks Brothers lost a step. Talent-wise Miami was probably not even an average team at that point but Marino would get them enough wins to fool people into thinking Miami was close to turning it around. They loaded up on free agents in the early 1990's and became a playoff team again but the Bills were better. Marino had some good playoff performances but when you're asked to single-handedly win the game it's very difficult to play perfect football against good defenses. A Montana or a Brady could take some comfort knowing their defense will get a key stop or their running game will get a big first down. Marino never had that luxury. By the time of the Jimmy Johnson era, Marino was older and had suffered the Achilles injury. He was still good but not the player he was. Johnson began to realize that and tried to turn the team into a run first team but never got the key ingredient you associate with a run first team: a good running back. Dan still had to win playoff games with his arm but his arm would now tire out late in the game. Marino could and did win some early-round playoff games with flashes of his old self, but against really strong teams there was no chance any more. He would force the ball for some costly picks as Miami fell further and further behind. I think that at his peak Marino never had the horses to get to a Super Bowl and his statistical drop in the postseason was a direct result of more being asked of him than of any other QB. You have to take chances when you are the only player capable of producing big plays on a consistent basis. Sometimes it doesn't work out.
 
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A great QB is someone who consistently plays the quarterback position in such a way that he contributes to wins.

Consistency is defined as two things - doing it enough in the regular season to get to the playoffs, and doing it enough in the playoffs to win as many consecutive games as possible.

Examples of ways that a quarterback can contribute to wins are:

avoiding pressure

putting his receivers in a position to make plays
choosing the correct receiver to throw to (e.g. sustaining drives when the defense needs rest)
reading defenses and adjusting accordingly
maximizing the risk/reward of each playI had a much longer list initially, but I think that's pretty comprehensive. I'm open to adding to it.

Avoiding pressure is the quarterback's ability to improve on what the O line is giving them. If the O line gives them three seconds and the QB needs 4, the QB's ability to get that fourth second is important. This may be a function of ability to scramble, or to throw on the run in designed rollouts, or simply having the pocket presence and footwork to avoid sacks.

Putting his receivers in a position to make plays means giving your receiver a chance to make the catch first and foremost, but also hitting them on the run and leading them in the right direction, throwing over the correct shoulder, or having touch on short passes.

Choosing the correct receiver to throw to consists of throwing the ball deep when it's there, looking to the short pass when it's there but also knowing when not to throw it short because the defense is covering the screen. Sometimes it means avoiding throwing it to your receivers over the middle so you don't get them killed. Sometimes it's means throwing the ball away when there's nothing there.

Reading defenses and adjusting accordingly is a combination of things. Certainly it helps you choose the correct receiver to throw to. It may also mean audibling to the right play at the line of scrimmage. But another important part of it is forcing the defense to respond to you. If the defense is taking away the short ball, you gotta chuck up a deep ball to keep them honest. If the defense is playing prevent, you gotta dink and dunk them to death.

Maximizing the risk/reward of each play means looking at the risks (failing to convert a first down, getting sacked or intercepted) and rewards (scoring points and gaining field position) of each play and maximizing them. This does not mean not throwing picks. When Kurt Warner was playing his head off he threw a ton of picks, but it was because he was getting so many yards it didn't matter. Throwing a riskier pass enabled him to get more yards.

That's my definition. I didn't have a lot of stuff about getting yards and TDs in there, but if a quarterback does the stuff I do have in there should it usually lead to a good number of yards and TDs.
Hi Bf,Now I'm losing you altogether.

If that's your definition of things that make a great QB, who does these things better game in and game out than Peyton Manning?

J
Joe, I think the problem isn't the game in but the game out. If his worst games weren't all in the playoffs I don't think it would be as much of an issue - he does almost all of these things marvelously during the regular season, which is why I'm so confused by his playoff performances. I'm going to ask the same question I did earlier:
Here's why I don't think Manning is a top QB.

The Colts are trying to build a team around Manning. They've given him everything he could ask for - complete control of the offense, a top offensive coordinator, offensive line continuity, four first round targets, one of the best active TEs in the game in Pollard, and the WR he asked for in Stokley.

They've built the team around him, committing all the money they can to offense to make sure Manning has what he needs to win playoff games.

I can understand the Colts losing in the playoffs because they don't have the defensive prowess. But how can Manning supporters explain him putting up such ridiculously below average numbers in the playoffs again, and again, and again, and again, and again?

This is FIVE TIMES that he's been so far off his average. It's not like he's running into the best defense in the league every single time. And it's not like other QBs are putting up similarly subpar numbers against the defense that Manning chokes against.

How can you possibly explain that except to say that he's either A) choking, or B) just not that good?
I'm really curious how you answer this. Do you really think it's just been that he's run into five terrible games? I asked this earlier but you kind of sidestepped it:
Joe

If you're saying that Manning played well in regular season games against good defenses, and loses in postseason games against (some of the same) good defenses (even the Pats who lost their corners since the first matchup), then doesn't that mean it's some combination of:

1) he's choking in the playoffs

2) the Patriots played up to another level in the playoffs

3) the weather

Now this isn't the first time its happened - in fact there's been five times when Manning has had significantly below (his) average stats in the playoffs. He wasn't playing the Patriots all five times, and he wasn't playing in the snow all five times. So what does that leave?
 
I don't think he choked. The killer was the Rhodes fumble in the 2nd quarter. The Colts were driving and probably were going to score there. Their next drive was their last of the half, and they came away with 3. In a close game you take those.In the third quarter, their first drive bogged down at midfield. So they punted and pinned the Patriots deep. Unfortunately, the Patriots went on a 15-play TD drive that took over 8 minutes off the clock and put the Colts down by 2 scores. That took them out of their game.The keys were the Rhodes fumble and that killer Patriots' drive. Not Manning.
I don't really agree with that and IMO the crucial play was Manning 2nd & goal from the 3 just b4 the half.The Rhodes fumble occurred on a 2-17 play and even had he held on it would have been 3-19 from NE's 41. NE didn't score after the turnover and gave the ball back to Indy for the last drive b4 the half.Right before the half IMO there was some poor clock management and when Manning was left with a 2nd & goal and was flushed from the pocket he threw the ball right to Eugene Wilson who dropped the Int. IMO that sequence and play was the key. The Colts could have wiped out all the preceeding domination by NE and made the score 7-6 Indy but they didn't and they were actually quite fortunate to even get 3.Brady had a similar 3rd & goal in the 3rd and when flushed out of the pocket he found Givens and sent him a perfect pass. The same scenario played itself out in the game at Indy last year. Brady got the td while Manning settled for the fg in the game they lost with James being tackled at the 1. Yeah Manning has to beat a tuffer D but is anyone going to argue he has a better caliber of weapon with which to do it with. Manning is a terrific QB (great) but IMO he becomes much more ordinary as soon as he is forced to move or improvise. Manning does not seem to be very good at improvising, at least not anything like most of the QB's who I would consider to be some of the greatest QB's.
 
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The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J
I don't think that's what it takes for me. I don't get to watch much college football so I never particularly cared if he beat Florida, or whatever. I'm specifically talking about his pro career. From what I know of it, I think he had a great college career. I thought he made a huge step towards the playoffs last year. He'd never won a game going into last year, then he won two. And the KC game was, as I said before, impressive.

As a Patriots fan I was a little afraid that he was going to continue that by exorcising the demons in New England this year, too. And I was prepared to give him all the credit in the world Sunday night, after maybe an hour or two in hiding/mourning. But he didn't. And looking at the teams he's beaten, well, it seems like he won't beat a team with a top defense.

I don't think that's a moving target. I haven't moved my target, personally. I don't think I have a problem with someone moving their target either, up to and including the Superbowl. To me, it's like saying that ice won't melt unless you burn it with a thousand degee flame. Wait, it'll melt under a hundred degrees. Wait, it'll melt when it's fifty degrees. As long as those people give him credit for staying cold when it's fifty, and for being able to stay frozen at thirty two, then it's just eing accurate.

 
I don't really agree with that and IMO the crucial play was Manning 2nd & goal from the 3 just b4 the half.The Rhodes fumble occurred on a 2-17 play and even had he held on it would have been 3-19 from NE's 41. NE didn't score after the turnover and gave the ball back to Indy for the last drive b4 the half.Right before the half IMO there was some poor clock management and when Manning was left with a 2nd & goal and was flushed from the pocket he threw the ball right to Eugene Wilson who dropped the Int. IMO that sequence and play was the key. The Colts could have wiped out all the preceeding domination by NE and made the score 7-6 Indy but they didn't and they were actually quite fortunate to even get 3.Brady had a similar 3rd & goal in the 3rd and when flushed out of the pocket he found Givens and sent him a perfect pass. The same scenario played itself out in the game at Indy last year. Brady got the td while Manning settled for the fg in the game they lost with James being tackled at the 1. Yeah Manning has to beat a tuffer D but is anyone going to argue he has a better caliber of weapon with which to do it with. Manning is a terrific QB (great) but IMO he becomes much more ordinary as soon as he is forced to move or improvise. Manning does not seem to be very good at improvising, at least not anything like most of the QB's who I would consider to be some of the greatest QB's.
This is right on the money. Regardless of the fumble, the pass to Rhodes was a questionable play. Manning threw several short passes where his receivers or backs had no shot of getting the yards needed for first downs. You can compare Manning's failures to Marino but nobody ever accused Dan of blowing a playoff game by being tentative. Earlier in the thread Boston Fred did a nice job going play-by-play through a number of bad decisions Manning made. I agree not calling a time out at the end of the 2d half was big. Given their recent history with the Patriots, a halftime lead could have been huge for the Colts. Manning didn't make any Favre-like stupid plays and he avoided the big pick but he just never made or tried to make the great play to get his team going. The Colts had to get ahead early.
 
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The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J
I'm with you on that one.So Peyton can't beat the Patriots in the playoffs. Neither can anyone else.

If Manning and Brady switched teams, Manning would have 2 rings right now and Brady would be the guy who cant win the big game.

 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J
I'm with you on that one.So Peyton can't beat the Patriots in the playoffs. Neither can anyone else.

If Manning and Brady switched teams, Manning would have 2 rings right now and Brady would be the guy who cant win the big game.
....and if Peyton would have gone to Florida he would have 2 National Championships and a Heisman Trophy….right?
 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J
I'm with you on that one.So Peyton can't beat the Patriots in the playoffs. Neither can anyone else.

If Manning and Brady switched teams, Manning would have 2 rings right now and Brady would be the guy who cant win the big game.
You think you know that but you do not. Manning is a terrific QB and a stat machine but he has not proven himself at gut check time. So many overlook what Brady did in the Oak game after the gratuitous tuck call. They also overlook what Brady did in the 4th quarter of last years SB when NE's defense had a melt down. Not too mention the last drive of the 1st SB.

Could NE win with Manning at QB? Certainly they would but to say they would have been a slam dunk to win 2 Super Bowls is incredibly superficial thinking IMO. IF Manning played in NE he would have to sacrifice a lot of his stats in order to play the style NE has used to win those 2 SB's. Conversely if Brady played for Indy his stats would improve dramtically. Either way I have seen nothing that makes me believe Manning can beat a top notch defense as well or better than Brady already has :no:

 
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I don't claim he's Montana. Never have. Certainly not an all time great. Nobody is an all time great after 7 seasons. I just disagree with the folks who say he's never won a big game. Or that Sunday was a choke. He threw for almost 100 more yards, one less TD and one more interception than Brady did who by all accounts had a great game. I'm just trying to stay consistent.

And I also admit to having a real dislike for continually moving the target. For some reason, it's been that way his whole career that I've followed. If he had beaten Florida in the regular season at Tennesee, the cry would have been that he's never won a National Championship. I guarantee you if he'd beaten the Patriots Sunday, we'd still have people talking about anyone could have beaten a secondary that banged up. Just like he was a choker who couldn't win on the road. Then when he beat KC in January in Arrowhead, that doesn't really count becuase KC is an all time basket case defense or something like that. :rolleyes:

I've come to accept it that for some people, it'll just be that way until maybe one day if he's able to win a Super Bowl. He'll have to do it as a strong underdog and play a great game and have the other team a heavy favorite and be at full strength. And it would help if it was snowing. But even then I'm sure there will be some good reason why it wasn't really his doing then too so I won't hold my breath. ;)

With regard to the ring thing, I think people put way too much emphasis on Super Bowl wins - (Dan Marino vs Trent Dilfer) but I understand that's how many people think. I do agree though that until he wins some Super Bowls, he won't be up in the Favre / Montana league.

J
JI'll cut you some slack b/c I view as a very astute student of the game and you've somehow been roped into the role of Peyton's Defense Attorney against a variety of charges rendered him on this board, ranging from:

#1 Peyton choked on Sunday which is the reason that the Colts lost to the Pats

#2 Peyton will never be a "great QB" until he wins a Super Bowl

#3 While Peyton is a good QB (who puts up really big stats), he can not yet be considered a "great QB" because he continues to play well below "average" in big games, especially when his team faces adversity.

I agree with you that charges #1 and #2 are spurious and you have defended Manning well.

I'm not sure what point you were trying to make in the above post when citing passing stats from the 20-3 game between Manning and Brady, but it clearly reads as if you are using those stats to contend that Manning played at or close to Brady's level. The yardage advantage that you quote is completely without compartive value -- Manning generated 75 yards and quite a few completions on the last drive of the game against a defense that was dropping between 8 to 10 guys into the softest of deep zones. Meanwhile, Brady rightfully turned to handing the ball off in the 2nd half to "work the clock" as smart teams do with a lead. To try to draw some conclusion from comparing passing stats between the two in this context is IMO, completely without meaning. Brady outplayed Manning on Sunday by a significant margin -- if this issue is in doubt, post a poll and we'll see what the answer is.

For now, Peyton Manning is somewhere in the Jim Kelly neighborhood. I don't judge QB's simply by Super Bowl rings, but rather in big game performance against quality opponents. Peyton and Billy Volek can both light up the KC defense. Jake Delhomme and Steve McNair received "good grades" in my book for their performances ("conditions-adjusted" in the case of McNair) against last year's Patriot team which featured stronger personnel on defense (Law, Poole, Seymour). I expect McNabb to be able to put up better production than Manning did last week, as well. If Peyton was consistently playing on par with Delhomme, McNair and how I expect McNabb to perform, I would completely agree with you and not point to the fact that his team lost those games. But he has not, he outperforms this peer group when much less on the line, but underperforms them in comparable games when he faces adversity.

Four times in five years, Manning has played his single worst game of the season in the playoffs. In Indy’s victories he’s been stupendous. In Indy’s losses he’s been stupefied.

In those fives losses, Manning has completed 100 of 195 passes (51.3 percent) for 1,033 yards, 2 TDs and 7 INTs. His cumulative passer rating in the five losses is 55.4.

Sunday’s performance against New England was Manning’s worst of the season (69.3 passer rating, 0 TD passes, 1 INT). But it was his second best statistical performance in a postseason loss.

Indy’s high-powered regular-season offenses over the years have averaged just 10 points per game in five playoffs losses. Folks can finger the Indy defense all they want. But it’s hard to beat champion-caliber teams when you put just 10 points on the board.

I'm sorry, but I find him not guilty of charges #1 and #2, but I do find him guilty of charge #3

 
The Chiefs on the road last year in the 2nd round of the playoffs were clearly title contenders with Priest Holmes running wild and that offense clicking. Manning led the Colts to a win at Arrowhead in a shootout.
With all due respect Joe.. the Chiefs had and still have a swiss cheese defense that couldn't stop any playoff team. No way the Chiefs were ever going to contend for an NFL title with THAT defense. So, I chalk that playoff win as nice, but hardly anything to hang their hats on. They need to win a tough playoff game to garner the respect they want so badly. Moreover, Peyton needs to lead them over the top which he has failed to do so far.
Hi Bob,But that's what I mean. The call is that he can't win a playoff game. Then he does. Then it's he can't win a playoff game on the road. Then he does. There were even some people on here earlier saying he'd never even won a friggin road game in the playoffs.

But that playoff win doesn't really count because apparently, the defense wasn't good. Even though they were good enough to earn a first round bye and open the 2nd round at home.

The target just keeps moving whenever he does whatever it is they say he can't do. That's the irritating thing.

It goes back to what I've been saying, I fully understand there are some people who think he won't be much until he wins a Super Bowl in the snow and that's fine.

J
I don't think that's what it takes for me. I don't get to watch much college football so I never particularly cared if he beat Florida, or whatever. I'm specifically talking about his pro career. From what I know of it, I think he had a great college career. I thought he made a huge step towards the playoffs last year. He'd never won a game going into last year, then he won two. And the KC game was, as I said before, impressive.

As a Patriots fan I was a little afraid that he was going to continue that by exorcising the demons in New England this year, too. And I was prepared to give him all the credit in the world Sunday night, after maybe an hour or two in hiding/mourning. But he didn't. And looking at the teams he's beaten, well, it seems like he won't beat a team with a top defense.

I don't think that's a moving target. I haven't moved my target, personally. I don't think I have a problem with someone moving their target either, up to and including the Superbowl. To me, it's like saying that ice won't melt unless you burn it with a thousand degee flame. Wait, it'll melt under a hundred degrees. Wait, it'll melt when it's fifty degrees. As long as those people give him credit for staying cold when it's fifty, and for being able to stay frozen at thirty two, then it's just eing accurate.
Hi Bf,I'm not saying you're moving the target. My irritation is with others doing it. First it was a playoff game, then a road playoff game and it just keeps going. I'm fine with setting a high target. I just don't like the "do this and you'll be ok." Then when you do that, it's "no, I really meant do this" and so on. Not saying you're doing that. But tons do.

That's what I'm saying that I'm fine that for some people it'll take a road win in the snow for a Super Bowl. That's cool. Elway had the same issue with some people before he won his rings. And FWIW, I have no idea if Manning will ever even be fortunate to have his team see another 2nd round playoff game again. A lot has to go right.

J

 
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I believe Peyton Manning is a superior QB in terms of his physical ability, talent and potential. For me, my target has never moved. He needs to prove he's as good as his hype coming off his stellar 50 TD season by winning the big one. Nothing more, nothing less. Like I said before, I grew up a huge Oilers fan and always thought Warren Moon was as good as any QB in the league and a certain HOFer to be.. but he couldn't win the big one either. He's still a great QB, but he's not a CHAMPION QB. That's my main point of clarification.For me, Tom Brady is not the physical talent that Peyton Manning is, but he's mentally superior and performs better consistently time and time again in the clutch when his team needs him most. He does better against the best defenses in the league in the biggest games of the season than Peyton does. So, Brady is a great QB who is also a champion.Peyton is just a great QB who will be overhyped and scrutinized by the masses until he becomes a champ.Is that fair? For many yes.. for others no.

 
I believe Peyton Manning is a superior QB in terms of his physical ability, talent and potential. For me, my target has never moved. He needs to prove he's as good as his hype coming off his stellar 50 TD season by winning the big one. Nothing more, nothing less. Like I said before, I grew up a huge Oilers fan and always thought Warren Moon was as good as any QB in the league and a certain HOFer to be.. but he couldn't win the big one either. He's still a great QB, but he's not a CHAMPION QB. That's my main point of clarification.For me, Tom Brady is not the physical talent that Peyton Manning is, but he's mentally superior and performs better consistently time and time again in the clutch when his team needs him most. He does better against the best defenses in the league in the biggest games of the season than Peyton does. So, Brady is a great QB who is also a champion.Peyton is just a great QB who will be overhyped and scrutinized by the masses until he becomes a champ.Is that fair? For many yes.. for others no.
Hi Bob,I'd agree with this and say that's fair. I think Manning would be the first to agree with you as well.J
 
A great QB is someone who consistently plays the quarterback position in such a way that he contributes to wins. 

Consistency is defined as two things - doing it enough in the regular season to get to the playoffs, and doing it enough in the playoffs to win as many consecutive games as possible. 

Examples of ways that a quarterback can contribute to wins are:

avoiding pressure

putting his receivers in a position to make plays
choosing the correct receiver to throw to (e.g. sustaining drives when the defense needs rest)
reading defenses and adjusting accordingly
maximizing the risk/reward of each playI had a much longer list initially, but I think that's pretty comprehensive.  I'm open to adding to it. 

Avoiding pressure is the quarterback's ability to improve on what the O line is giving them.  If the O line gives them three seconds and the QB needs 4, the QB's ability to get that fourth second is important.  This may be a function of ability to scramble, or to throw on the run in designed rollouts, or simply having the pocket presence and footwork to avoid sacks. 

Putting his receivers in a position to make plays means giving your receiver a chance to make the catch first and foremost, but also hitting them on the run and leading them in the right direction, throwing over the correct shoulder, or having touch on short passes. 

Choosing the correct receiver to throw to consists of throwing the ball deep when it's there, looking to the short pass when it's there but also knowing when not to throw it short because the defense is covering the screen.  Sometimes it means avoiding throwing it to your receivers over the middle so you don't get them killed.  Sometimes it's means throwing the ball away when there's nothing there. 

Reading defenses and adjusting accordingly is a combination of things.  Certainly it helps you choose the correct receiver to throw to.  It may also mean audibling to the right play at the line of scrimmage.  But another important part of it is forcing the defense to respond to you.  If the defense is taking away the short ball, you gotta chuck up a deep ball to keep them honest.  If the defense is playing prevent, you gotta dink and dunk them to death. 

Maximizing the risk/reward of each play means looking at the risks (failing to convert a first down, getting sacked or intercepted) and rewards (scoring points and gaining field position) of each play and maximizing them.  This does not mean not throwing picks.  When Kurt Warner was playing his head off he threw a ton of picks, but it was because he was getting so many yards it didn't matter.  Throwing a riskier pass enabled him to get more yards. 

That's my definition.  I didn't have a lot of stuff about getting yards and TDs in there, but if a quarterback does the stuff I do have in there should it usually lead to a good number of yards and TDs.
Hi Bf,Now I'm losing you altogether.

If that's your definition of things that make a great QB, who does these things better game in and game out than Peyton Manning?

J
Joe, I think the problem isn't the game in but the game out. If his worst games weren't all in the playoffs I don't think it would be as much of an issue - he does almost all of these things marvelously during the regular season, which is why I'm so confused by his playoff performances. I'm going to ask the same question I did earlier:
Here's why I don't think Manning is a top QB.

The Colts are trying to build a team around Manning. They've given him everything he could ask for - complete control of the offense, a top offensive coordinator, offensive line continuity, four first round targets, one of the best active TEs in the game in Pollard, and the WR he asked for in Stokley.

They've built the team around him, committing all the money they can to offense to make sure Manning has what he needs to win playoff games.

I can understand the Colts losing in the playoffs because they don't have the defensive prowess. But how can Manning supporters explain him putting up such ridiculously below average numbers in the playoffs again, and again, and again, and again, and again?

This is FIVE TIMES that he's been so far off his average. It's not like he's running into the best defense in the league every single time. And it's not like other QBs are putting up similarly subpar numbers against the defense that Manning chokes against.

How can you possibly explain that except to say that he's either A) choking, or B) just not that good?
I'm really curious how you answer this. Do you really think it's just been that he's run into five terrible games? I asked this earlier but you kind of sidestepped it:
Joe

If you're saying that Manning played well in regular season games against good defenses, and loses in postseason games against (some of the same) good defenses (even the Pats who lost their corners since the first matchup), then doesn't that mean it's some combination of:

1) he's choking in the playoffs

2) the Patriots played up to another level in the playoffs

3) the weather

Now this isn't the first time its happened - in fact there's been five times when Manning has had significantly below (his) average stats in the playoffs. He wasn't playing the Patriots all five times, and he wasn't playing in the snow all five times. So what does that leave?
Hi Bf,I thought I answered it directly and didn't sidestep. I think it is clearly #2 there. Belichick himself said the last 30 minutes were the best football New England has played all year. I think that's what it was. The Patriots played better than Manning did. I don't honestly think it's more complicated than that.

In the other playoff games, I think you could probably make a case it's 3 great games where he carried the team nearly singlehandely, 2 bad games where he played poorly and 3 so - so games. Sure, Manning supporters would love for him to have 8 "normal" games where he throws for 350 yards and posts 4 TDs with no interceptions. But that isn't reality for the playoffs.

That's the catch 22 as he's set an impossibly high standard. If he'd posted Brady's numbers Sunday of 144 yards, and 1 TD, he'd be dealing with the same "choking" cries from many as those are way below his normal numbers.

J

 
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I think the problem with Manning so far is that his approach to the game is too formulaic. He seems to need to know what he has to do on this play to beat you. He is very adept at figuring that out, but if he doesn't its trouble. He treats it like a chess match where you are supposed to think 30 steps ahead. He has difficulty going out and just "playing," letting his teams talent and determination see them through.The problem with that approach is that the formulas are not secrets. If the opposing Coach or Def Coordinator is an equal student of the game, then the game changes from chess to checkers, giving no advantage to Manning. This makes him more susceptible to being knocked of his game and being unable to recover (which many view as choking).I think this is a great testament to the Patriots as they seem to be able to combine excellent understanding of the game and technical game planning, with a desire to just play. Basically they seem to know that you have to prepare for your opponent but you still have to just play the game. Sorry for the rambling post.edit: damn you Ms. Gardener (my 3rd grade spelling teacher)

 
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In the other playoff games, I think you could probably make a case it's 3 great games where he carried the team nearly singlehandely, 2 bad games where he played poorly and 3 so - so games. Sure, Manning supporters would love for him to have 8 "normal" games where he throws for 350 yards and posts 4 TDs with no interceptions. But that isn't reality for the playoffs.That's the catch 22 as he's set an impossibly high standard. If he'd posted Brady's numbers Sunday of 144 yards, and 1 TD, he'd be dealing with the same "choking" cries from many as those are way below his normal numbers.
This is exactly what I was looking for, Joe. I give him credit for the three games where he carried the team nearly singlehandedly. I think we all expected it because Indy was expected to win that game, so it's hard to give him huge accolades for it, even though the reason they were expected to win that game is that Manning had been playing so well. I think the big difference here is you calling the other 5 games "2 bad games where he played poorly and 3 so-so games", which I think is being pretty generous. If you see it as he had a couple of up games and a couple of down games, then I can see why you don't think a down game is a "choke". I think he fell way off his standard in all five of those games. In 1999, he completed 19 of 43 passes, or 44% of his passes, in a home game against Tennessee. He had thrown at a 62% clip that season. To help further the discussion, I'll agree that that was so-so, especially since Tennessee went on to the Superbowl. In 2000, he threw for less than 200 yards at a 53% clip vs. Miami. He had thrown for 275 yards per game at a 62.5% clip previously that season. I guess that was so-so, too, but on the south side of so-so, especially since Miami got beaten 27-0 the next game. In 2002, 41-0 against the Jets, I think we agree that his 137 yards and 2 INTs was one of the bad games. In 2003, 4 INTs against the Patriots, I think we agree that is also one of the bad games. In 2004, 3 points against the Patriots, I think we disagree that this was one of the bad games. I agree that this was a great defensive performance, but I think djcolts said it best when he said it seemed like Manning was playing more to not throw 4 INTs than he was to win the game. I think Manning made some huge mistakes, which I've enumerated earlier in the thread, and which I described in my "what makes a QB great" post. And if you look at the trend, an optimist would see that hey, he's started winning some playoff games, which he had never done prior to 2003, while a pessimist might say yes, but his personal performance is falling further and further off his regular season performance in the losses, and since his regular season performance really doesn't leave a lot of room for improvement, then when can we expect him to cross this barrier? But I'm going to try to look at like you do, as "he's had three good games, three bad, and two so-so (but below average) games". What you're saying is hey, that's to be expected, especially in the playoffs. And from a statistical standpoint, I think you're right. From a predictability perspective, he seems to beat the teams that he "should" beat (although he lost his first home playoff game), and lose to the teams he "should" lose to (although he had an impressive win in a shootout against KC). That seems like a pretty fair analysis. So instead of saying Manning's a choker, it seems we can agree that Manning's a pretty exceptional regular season quarterback and, at least so far, a pretty unexceptional postseason quarterback. Which doesn't sound like the description of a great QB, or the best QB in the league, to me. I think that's where I chafe, because I see Manning as having done this since he came into the league, and I see him in his prime, getting all these accolades for beating up on the Houstons and Detroits of the world, but proving to be a pretty unexceptional QB when the chips are on the table. And you chafe when people call him a choker, because it's not like he's falling that far off your expectations, because while you call him a great QB on one hand, you hold him to a lower postseason standard on the other.
 
So instead of saying Manning's a choker, it seems we can agree that Manning's a pretty exceptional regular season quarterback and, at least so far, a pretty unexceptional postseason quarterback.

Which doesn't sound like the description of a great QB, or the best QB in the league, to me. I think that's where I chafe, because I see Manning as having done this since he came into the league, and I see him in his prime, getting all these accolades for beating up on the Houstons and Detroits of the world, but proving to be a pretty unexceptional QB when the chips are on the table. And you chafe when people call him a choker, because it's not like he's falling that far off your expectations, because while you call him a great QB on one hand, you hold him to a lower postseason standard on the other.
Hi Bf,I think we're finally getting somewhere as I try to understand your side.

I think that I put way, way, way less emphasis on postseason play than you do. I think the sample size is just way too small there to start making career defining decisions.

You think Manning's a great regular season QB. That's 112 games. In 8 playoff games, you think he's an ok QB based on 3 or 4 poor games. I understand what you're saying there.

With 120 games unders his belt, I'm not going to let 3 or 4 games have that much influence. I'm going to look more at the whole 120 games. Or this year, I'm going to look at the 18 games, not just the last one. I think Manning had the best 2004 season of any QB in the league. Playoffs included.

I think folks who think Tom Brady is great, put a much stronger emphasis on post season play, where obviously, Brady has been excellent (although I'll still contend winning makes things appear to be better - 144 yards and 1 TD is not a "great" performance by most standards)

I don't fault that criteria of focusing much more heavily on the post season. I realize lots of folks do that. Maybe most do that. I just am not one of them. In fact, I'm adamantly not one of them. I think it puts entirely too much emphasis on way too small a sample size to make meaningful judgements on a player as a whole.

Marty Schottenheimer is another great example. I put absolutley zero stock in the folks who discount him for never being able to win the playoff game. I look at his entire career when I'm judging it. Sure a playoff win is bigger than a regular season win, but not by the amount that many make it out to be.

Marino is another example there. I probably think a lot higher of him than some do because I don't hold his lack of post season success against him nearly as strongly as many do.

For me, when you compare him to the other QBs in the categories you had listed, I take Manning as #1 in a no brainer. I've just seen him do too many of those things better than the other guys on that list too many times. (With the exception of being mobile but like Marino, his sack numbers are the bottom line there and he's exceptional) If I were starting a team today, I'd take Manning heads and shoulders above the other guys out there. And I guess that's where I'm coming from on this discussion.

J

 
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I guess that I have a different standard of what constitutes "taking a team on one's back and singlehandely" generating a win for one's team.Should Peyton get credit for that against KC last year? YES. Yes it was against an awful defense, but the game required him to constantly score and he rose to the challenge every single time.The blowout wins vs Denver, for me, fail to this standard. Why? The Colts offensive weapons were so dominent that many other QB's would have had comparable success -- Bulger, Culpepper, TGreen, and many others that one typically don't associate as STUDs. Reggie Wayne, the line, Dallas Clark all had huge games and YAC. These types of blowouts are where Peyton racks up huge stats, padded a bit by the philosophy of making a 14 point lead a 28 point lead, rather than working the clock. Hoops analogy -- Scenario A - a guy scores 40 pts and his team wins in a complete blowout 123-87 and the 4th qtr was pure garbage time, Scenario B - a guy scores 40 in tightly contested 98-95 win, with key baskets made down the stretch. Scenario B meets my definition of "singlehandedly carrying a team", Scenario A does not. In games where the QB is spending the 4th qtr wearing a baseball cap, flirting with Suzi Kolber and posing for footage for an upcoming commercial are Scenario A games.

 
I guess that I have a different standard of what constitutes "taking a team on one's back and singlehandely" generating a win for one's team.Should Peyton get credit for that against KC last year? YES. Yes it was against an awful defense, but the game required him to constantly score and he rose to the challenge every single time.The blowout wins vs Denver, for me, fail to this standard. Why? The Colts offensive weapons were so dominent that many other QB's would have had comparable success -- Bulger, Culpepper, TGreen, and many others that one typically don't associate as STUDs. Reggie Wayne, the line, Dallas Clark all had huge games and YAC. These types of blowouts are where Peyton racks up huge stats, padded a bit by the philosophy of making a 14 point lead a 28 point lead, rather than working the clock. Hoops analogy -- Scenario A - a guy scores 40 pts and his team wins in a complete blowout 123-87 and the 4th qtr was pure garbage time, Scenario B - a guy scores 40 in tightly contested 98-95 win, with key baskets made down the stretch. Scenario B meets my definition of "singlehandedly carrying a team", Scenario A does not. In games where the QB is spending the 4th qtr wearing a baseball cap, flirting with Suzi Kolber and posing for footage for an upcoming commercial are Scenario A games.
Hi Wilbur,Thanks for the opinion. I'm sorry but I'm going to have to excuse myself from this one now. If you disqualify a player from "carrying your team singlehandedly" because they started out on fire and scored too many points too soon, I'll have to say we're at an impasse.Thanks to those who've contributed. It's been interesting.J
 
He probably wouldn't choke if he would stop yelling at the butcher to "Cut that meat!" :P
"This is what I play for"- Manning holding four inch high FF Trophy"This is what I play for" - Brady holding Lombardi Trophy :rotflmao:
 

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