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Dynasty: Kevin Smith vs Matt Forte vs Chris Johnson vs Felix Jones (1 Viewer)

Who will do better in a non-PPR league?

  • Forte

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Johnson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Jones

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Smith

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    0
OK, I think 90%+ of us will agree that DMC, Stewart, and Mendenhall are the big guns out of this draft. So lets look at the next level guys. It appears to me that Johnson, Smith, Jones and Forte could all get substantial playing time right away. Who will have the better career tho?

 
Right now, Forte and Smith appear to be the guys who have the best chance at winning starting jobs. I think there's real opportunity there with only Benson and Tatum Bell standing in their way. Neither starting job offers much in the way of potential for FF production but you'll always take a RB starter on your team. Both also have some size to be able to handle larger amounts of carries.

I like Johnson in a PPR league and think there's some potential for the Titans to work him into the offense in a Reggie Bush type role. He's really not big enough to be considered a 25-30 carry type guy though so his upside is limited. Lendale is less than inspiring but he's good enough to handle at least half of the carry workload in some type of RBBC.

Jones was obviously the most hyped of the three and I think he could have been a late RB1 or early RB2 type guy in a zone blocking system like in Denver, Houston, GB, etc. However, I don't think he's going to get much of a chance to put up great numbers the next 3-4 years with Barber in town.

Good poll/thread. I was going to start threads on Forte and Smith before I saw this one. I think we'll be talking about them a lot for the 2008 season.

 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.

 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size. In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
What?? I say again what?What RB pick have they had that was good?

Benson, Enis, Salaam......oh wait, there was Anderson and Payton about a hundred years ago.

 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
What?? I say again what?What RB pick have they had that was good?

Benson, Enis, Salaam......oh wait, there was Anderson and Payton about a hundred years ago.
We're talking about since Angello was there as GM and he's brought in a TON of guys that were uber-talented; all throughout the draft.
 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
What?? I say again what?What RB pick have they had that was good?

Benson, Enis, Salaam......oh wait, there was Anderson and Payton about a hundred years ago.
We're talking about since Angello was there as GM and he's brought in a TON of guys that were uber-talented; all throughout the draft.
Agreed, but not a single RB. Until proven otherwise color me skeptical about any RB drafted by the Bears.
 
1. Kevin Smith - not much competition, I think Smith is going to surprise some people with some solid numbers = 900 yds / 8 TD's

2. Felix Jones - personally, I hope MBIII packs his bags after the season and Jones/Choice get the gig in 2009... Because Jones can break long runs, there's no doubt he can be more productive than JJ = 500 yds rush / 300 yds rec / 6 TD's

3. Matt Forte - big, strong kid, but CHI has a tough run schedule this year... he has to be better than Benson, but that's not saying much so far = 600 yds / 6 TD's

4. Chris Johnson - super-talented, fast as lightning, great pass-catcher... sounds like Chris Henry?? WTH was TEN thinking? He should offer some return highlights, but not much offensive production = 200 yds rush / 200 yds rec / 2 TD's

 
other than Berrian, I cant thnk of another skilled offensive player that has succeeded that was drafted by da Bears since 2001.
I'll agree with you that they have had lesser success on the offensive side of the ball but they've also devoted far less of their draft picks there. Which is why you see such an imbalance between the offense and the defense. Berrian is an example of a later round player that they found that proved to be pretty good. Wolfe I think they actually drafted to be more of a special teams type guy otherwise I can't see why they would invest such a high pick on a guy that obviously won't ever be a +10 carry RB. The success rate on late round QB's is very low. Think Boller, Losman, Ramsey, et all. Grossman would at least be considered in a backup capacity in an ideal situation. Alas, he is the starter for a woefully undertalented offense. If there was one thing I would be wary of with Forte is that the Bears could have reached for him compared to the truth of their real draft board because there is such a need on the offensive side of the ball. Outside of that, the Bears were in the Super Bowl with essentially the same team they have now based on the strength of their defense, which was primarily built through the draft. I do not question their talent evaluation one bit and I really don't see how they could be experts at picking defensive talent and totally inept at offesnive talent. Better perhaps? Yes. But Angello and the scouting staff know football so I'll not call them inept at all.
 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
What?? I say again what?What RB pick have they had that was good?

Benson, Enis, Salaam......oh wait, there was Anderson and Payton about a hundred years ago.
We're talking about since Angello was there as GM and he's brought in a TON of guys that were uber-talented; all throughout the draft.
Agreed, but not a single RB. Until proven otherwise color me skeptical about any RB drafted by the Bears.
I'll say this. I feel much better about the Bears' choice of Forte than the Lions' choice of Smith. Angello is the GM of a team that went to the Super Bowl recently. Millen is widely believed to be the village idiot of GM's in the NFL.
 
Right now, Forte and Smith appear to be the guys who have the best chance at winning starting jobs. I think there's real opportunity there with only Benson and Tatum Bell standing in their way. Neither starting job offers much in the way of potential for FF production but you'll always take a RB starter on your team. Both also have some size to be able to handle larger amounts of carries. I like Johnson in a PPR league and think there's some potential for the Titans to work him into the offense in a Reggie Bush type role. He's really not big enough to be considered a 25-30 carry type guy though so his upside is limited. Lendale is less than inspiring but he's good enough to handle at least half of the carry workload in some type of RBBC.Jones was obviously the most hyped of the three and I think he could have been a late RB1 or early RB2 type guy in a zone blocking system like in Denver, Houston, GB, etc. However, I don't think he's going to get much of a chance to put up great numbers the next 3-4 years with Barber in town.Good poll/thread. I was going to start threads on Forte and Smith before I saw this one. I think we'll be talking about them a lot for the 2008 season.
In PPR I'll be shocked if Jones puts up better numbers than Johnson. I just feel that Johnson will get a lot more touches and opportunities to score than Jones, who is stuck behind one of the best short yardage backs in the game. With the Cowboys taking Choice, I don't see a pathway to a starting job for Jones.Forte should be ranked higher than Jones and Johnson because he's got the skills and Benson should not be difficult to overcome. Smith is the hardest one to put a finger on - he has been practically handed a starting job but there some problems I have with him - so-so speed, not the ideal frame, and doesn't seem to have that "it" factor. To be honest, I don't know what to think, on one hand he's in a perfect situation and appears to have have the ability to be a good NFL back but on the other he just screams BUST to me. In PPR I have them Forte, Johnson, Smith and Jones.
 
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I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
What?? I say again what?What RB pick have they had that was good?

Benson, Enis, Salaam......oh wait, there was Anderson and Payton about a hundred years ago.
We're talking about since Angello was there as GM and he's brought in a TON of guys that were uber-talented; all throughout the draft.
The last 3 RBs they drafted stink. It's pretty obvious they have no clue what they're doing when it comes to running backs. They just keep picking them hoping one of them pans out. Angello got rid of Jones because he wanted the all-pro-stud Benson to take over.

And how about drafting a QB?

Angello is a b00b.

 
Tuffest vote I've had in a long time around here.

1. Forte might not be the best talent but with Benson and Wolfe and APjr to complete with he will probably be in best situation short term.

2.Smith will over achieve but Detroit is a hard place to be a RB even if he does win the job.

3.Felix could well win this poll over the long haul but with Barber in the picture he wont get my vote anytime soon. Long term he has a good chance!

4. Johnson was impressive in college! I have no idea how it will translate to the pros or how much of Lendales work load he can cut into. Could surprise?

I am licking my chops that one of these gentlemen will make it to me at my 1.7 pick.

I am tempted more and more by the day to go after RYAN TORAIN instead though!

 
Tuffest vote I've had in a long time around here.

1. Forte might not be the best talent but with Benson and Wolfe and APjr to complete with he will probably be in best situation short term.

2.Smith will over achieve but Detroit is a hard place to be a RB even if he does win the job.

3.Felix could well win this poll over the long haul but with Barber in the picture he wont get my vote anytime soon. Long term he has a good chance!

4. Johnson was impressive in college! I have no idea how it will translate to the pros or how much of Lendales work load he can cut into. Could surprise?

I am licking my chops that one of these gentlemen will make it to me at my 1.7 pick.

I am tempted more and more by the day to go after RYAN TORAIN instead though!
I think you have a chance...
 
I still like Jones over the others... I know theres a 98% chance that MBIII islocked up for a couple of yrs.

But Jones, getting 10 - 15 a game in that offense is scary...

 
I would throw in Ray Rice if your talking about Career... I know Willis is in his prime, and their paying him alot of money this yr.. and he doesn't miss a lot of games; but he always seems like hes banged up.

If Willis ever went down, Rice would make some noise.

 
Tuffest vote I've had in a long time around here. 1. Forte might not be the best talent but with Benson and Wolfe and APjr to complete with he will probably be in best situation short term. 2.Smith will over achieve but Detroit is a hard place to be a RB even if he does win the job. 3.Felix could well win this poll over the long haul but with Barber in the picture he wont get my vote anytime soon. Long term he has a good chance! 4. Johnson was impressive in college! I have no idea how it will translate to the pros or how much of Lendales work load he can cut into. Could surprise? I am licking my chops that one of these gentlemen will make it to me at my 1.7 pick. I am tempted more and more by the day to go after RYAN TORAIN instead though!
As it turns out 1.7 is a good spot for a quality RB.Tier 1:Big 3Tier 2:JonesForteSmithJohnsonRiceIMO Rice has the most talent in tier 2, but the worst immediate situation. Remember this is dynasty, talent over situation.So you should be left with one of Jones, Forte, Smith, or Johnson, if you don't like the one that falls you can invest in the best talent- Rice.
 
Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.

 
I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size. In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
The Bears have a pretty good track record in the draft. You don't think that Forte being picked in the second and Smith lasting until the third says something about what kind of players they are? It's obvious the Bears at least had Forte marked as the better talent. I also see Forte as more of a bellcow type back; Smith's 400+ carry, Division II season aside.
No, the difference in where these two guys were drafted is less than a round apart (20 picks with only one RB between) and we arent talking about a top ten draftee. I'm not the only one who thinks Smith is a better prospect than Forte (regardless of where they landed). Detroit liked him enough to trade up to the very top of the 3rd to snag him. That's saying Smith is a second round prospect. Plenty of people reporting that Chicago reached for Forte. Chicago's track record when it comes to drafting offensive playmakers absolutely sucks. Only reason Forte was drafted first was because of Smith's "workout number". Smith is the better player on the field IMO.I think Smith can be the starter in Detroit for several years. Forte really doesnt appeal to me that way.
 
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Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.
Curious to hear more about this.
 
Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.
Curious to hear more about this.
:lmao:
 
Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.
Curious to hear more about this.
Simple, they just aren't top calibre RBs, and so the teams they went to will replace them pretty soon, 2-3 seasons.
 
Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.
Curious to hear more about this.
Simple, they just aren't top calibre RBs, and so the teams they went to will replace them pretty soon, 2-3 seasons.
:shrug: Why do you think they aren't top caliber RBs? Because they weren't ranked in the Top tier coming into the draft?

What about guys like Gore, Portis, etc.

From what I've seen on tape Forte definately has the potential to be a top back in the NFL for a long time. I'm not so sure about Smith.

 
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Smith

Forte

Jones

Johnson

...in both formats. My dynasty league still has a pretty high turnover after 3-4 seasons. And i don't see too many RBBC guys even in PPR leagues that can produce more than bellcows with red-zone carries.

I think Smith starts for Detroit as the primary bellcow for the next 3-4 seasons even if Detroit drafts another RB in 2-3 seasons. I think he's Mr. Right Now for Detroit.

I think Forte splits carries and gradually takes a bigger role. But Benson will still keep him from being a bellcow for the 2008 season. I can see Forte catching Smith in year 2 or 3 at which point it's a coin flip.

I see Smith and Forte as being more Rudi Johnson types. Solid but not spectacular. Probably always a little under-rated because everyone else is always looking over their shoulders to see if someone flashier will come along and replace them.

Jones will have good games from time to time when he breaks a long one but will probably always split carries with a bigger/between the tackles runner and will forever frustrate his owners who keep saying "If they'd only make him the RB1, he'd rush 20+ times with that same YPC average!". I think he's Mr. Right Sweep and that's about it. I also doubt he gets many red-zone opportunities.

Johnson I just don't see doing much other than in a "specialist" role. I think he'll be a poor man's Felix Jones. Similar role but on a weaker team and not quite as good.

 
Since you are talking career, you can strike Forte and Smith right off the list. They are the type of guys that get replaced quickly.

That leaves Johnson and Jones. Both are speedier backs, Johnson is a bit shiftier than Jones. But Jones is built better for the NFL.

I like Jones because he has the owner behind him, and is on a team that is definitely going to be putting up points and giving him opportunities. Plus I feel that Jones will be given a shot at the starting role next season if Barber doesn't resign.

I don't see Johnson as ever having a starting role.
Curious to hear more about this.
Simple, they just aren't top calibre RBs, and so the teams they went to will replace them pretty soon, 2-3 seasons.
:confused: Why do you think they aren't top caliber RBs? Because they weren't ranked in the Top tier coming into the draft?

What about guys like Gore, Portis, etc.

From what I've seen on tape Forte definately has the potential to be a top back in the NFL for a long time. I'm not so sure about Smith.
You are comparing apples and oranges.Portis was knocked because of his size, Gore because of his health. Smith and Forte just simple aren't top calibre RBs, they are better suited as backups than starters. Think Dominic Rhodes, Olandis Gary - they may get a 1,000 yard season even, but they won't be great RBs.

 
Bump for reaction after Benson's second arrest. Forte and Smith were close, with some leaning towards Smith because of opportunity. Now what?

 
I don't think a lot of people realize what kind of tools Matt Forte has. Outstanding natural running skills, quick feet (especially for a big guy), & does everything well (no weaknesses). CHI's offense is kind of a mess right now, but Forte & Earl Bennett will help them get back on track.

I believe Forte is the easy pick in non-PPR leagues with it being a little closer in PPR (over Chris Johnson). Kevin Smith could be a nice player, as well. I hate Felix Jones' situation. Unless Barber goes away, Felix won't come close to his potential. I can see him getting a lot of interest when his rookie contract is up, though.

 
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Johnson will be the next MJD. May be small, but man runs hard, and is lightening fast...

 
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I dont like Forte either way. I'm still debateing over what kind of opportunity I think Jones gets long term. I hate to put the RBBC for life tag on the guy but its hard not to. Likeing his potential to start but not his size.

In PPR this is real close. CJ should get the most receptions but the least carries.

In non PPR I definately like Smith. He should beat out both Bell and Calhaun.
I like Forte over all of these guys in either format.....and this was before Benson's troubles. If Rudi Johnson could produce big-time in the NFL, Forte certainly has way more ability than him......the only thing he will need is an assist from the Bears org to get some more help on offense.....which they will do in the next couple of seasons. So Forte is the clear choice to me, best of this bunch by far as he will likely be the only feature back of the lot. Smith will be replaced in less than 3 years. The others will be committee guys their entire careers.
 
Interesting that Forte got a much higher percentage of the vote for Non-PPR leagues, yet is behind only Bush and SJax for RB catches

 

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