I originally was going to post this in the rookie draft threads, but it's more useful to me here.
Looking at the Zealots ADP. If you look at the ADP column, the story that this particular format (1 QB) is telling me is that there is a tier break after the top 12.
Daniels/Caleb
Brooks/Benson
MHJ/Nabers/Odunze/Thomas/Worthy/McConkey/Coleman
Bowers
All have an ADP of 11 or better. Then there's EIGHT dudes with an ADP no better than 16, and no worse than 19.7. And THEN a 4 spot drop off to Roman WIlson. So another tier break.
I always have my own tiers, but knowing which way the wind is blowing is crucial, especially in making a trade. I have 9 and 12 (AHEM) in one league, and if I have a shot at my LEAST favorite of the 12 is the only one left, I have to assume someone else has him ranked higher than me. Let's say all those guys go, in whatever order, before me at 12. And Trey Benson is the one available. And I don't want him. I will assume I can make a better deal for this player, than the guy picking at 13 can get for any other player available.
Drafting in that 11-14 area, if one isn't in love with the options, should go fishing.
Also, 2nd rounds are going to be wild. Legette could go 11, or 20. AD Mithcell could go 12 or 24. Lot of fun.
If I had a pick around 11-14 I would definitely look to kick it to 2025 , especially if you can get a first somehow in 1QB. Is this what you were saying basically?