What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Evans Owners - Week 15 (1 Viewer)

JPeso

Footballguy
What a paper matchup against the 30th ranked Browns pass defense. He had a favorable matchup against Jacksonville 3 weeks ago and managed 2/19. My point is that paper matchups haven't always meant success for Evans. So, what say you?

 
I'm pretty sure "Start Him With Confidence" has been the mantra.

I'm rolling with him as my WR3 behind Fitz and AJohnson and am hoping for big things.

 
Jacksonville minus Mathis and Stroud is still much better than Cleveland defensively.

Also you know Cleveland is going to put up enough points to force Buff to throw.

Finally, Edwards actually displayed the ability to throw deep this week.

 
Very valid points made. My only concern is Evans only had two catches last week. Granted they were two catches for 75 yards and two TDs.

 
Just cannot get him in over Ocho Cinco and Jennings.

Thought about putting him in at flex...but right now, Stecker won that job last night.

 
I bashed him last week,left him on the bench and he went off. I want to start him this week but the 2 receptions doesnt give me the warm and fuzzies.

 
Facing the decision here, too.

Good matchups mean much less to me than targets and regular production. If CLE has a poor pass defense, what are the chances of Evans actually capitalizing? I'd instead start someone like Roddy (in my case) despite ATL's unfavorable matchup @ TB, b/c White has been on a tear and Evans has not (19 points but still only two Week 14 catches).

The decision comes when the production of the two guys is similar. Steve Smith is currently in my lineup over Evans but it's b/c of a better baseline (SS is more likely to get 6-50 than Evans, at least giving some production) and perhaps equal potential of a monster game.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I am playing against him in our week one playoffs, so I am hoping he does nothing. I will say this though, I had him in my other money league and I just don't see how you can start him. Sure he put up points last week but that was off of 2 receptions. TWO RECEPTIONS!!!

Unless you are confident that he will get a TD every time he touches the ball, I would not start him.

 
I think the MIA stat is skewed. MIA has been terrible. Teams have not had to pass to win. In fact, MIA is winless. Teams have just kept the ball on the ground for a big part of 2nd halves in a number of MIA's games just to run clock.

That being said, I think Evans will have a decent day against the CLE secondary.. 75 yards and a TD

Edited to add: Lee Evans grew up here, in Cleveland. This is his first REGULAR Season game back here as a Pro. Something to consider IMHO.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I will be crossing my fingers and plugging him in as my #3 ahead of Reggie Brown and Sidney Rice. I'd love to not start him because my gut feeling is that he doesn't do much despite tha paper matchup, but I think I'm forced to.

 
No way I start him over Jennings, Wayne or Marshall. Much greater chance of a goose egg there, despite the matchup. Remember that he wasn't so hot in his first matchup against Mia.

 
I think the theme seems to be if you have stud WR they get started over Evans. If you have so-so WR you start Evans. I think think this is the way to roll

 
I'll say the same thing I say every week: Lee Evans is too talented to see my bench.

For a more substantial answer... Evans is currently ranked 27th in FBGs scoring, making him a solid WR3 at worst. He ranks 13th in fantasy points since week 4, and 9th since week 7. Is he boom or bust? Sure... but he's NINTH over the last 8 weeks. NINTH. How can you bench that?

 
Just to play devil's advocate, it's because in standard scoring over the last five weeks he has scored 35 total points (7 ppg). 19 of those came last week, meaning he averaged 4 ppg the other four weeks, with a high of 6. He's truly boom or bust, and much of this comes down to risk tolerance and other options.

I was committed to Roddy but given Petrino's announcement I'm examining that one, too, and looking more seriously to Evans.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
cartel said:
I think the theme seems to be if you have stud WR they get started over Evans. If you have so-so WR you start Evans. I think think this is the way to roll
What about a marginal guy like Engram, Burleson, Curtis, Walker, Reggie Williams?Its no question that you would start a Braylon Edwards or CJ over Evans, but its difficult to decide wether to start him over the guys I mentioned, especially when you consider matchups.
 
cartel said:
I think the theme seems to be if you have stud WR they get started over Evans. If you have so-so WR you start Evans. I think think this is the way to roll
What about a marginal guy like Engram, Burleson, Curtis, Walker, Reggie Williams?Its no question that you would start a Braylon Edwards or CJ over Evans, but its difficult to decide wether to start him over the guys I mentioned, especially when you consider matchups.
yeah, this is where I am ...throwing in a S. Smith who falls in there this year without Delhomme..
 
cartel said:
I think the theme seems to be if you have stud WR they get started over Evans. If you have so-so WR you start Evans. I think think this is the way to roll
What about a marginal guy like Engram, Burleson, Curtis, Walker, Reggie Williams?Its no question that you would start a Braylon Edwards or CJ over Evans, but its difficult to decide wether to start him over the guys I mentioned, especially when you consider matchups.
When in doubt, go with the talent.
 
I am planning on starting Fitz, Jennings and Evans - On my bench is Holt, Branch, CHenry and BJohnson

Would you play Evans over Holt? I am thinking even if Bulger starts It could be for one play until he's back on the bench from his head hitting the turf.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I"m rollin' with "Mr. December" as my #3 WR with Marques Colston and Wes Welker.

The Browns are subject to giving up big plays in the passing game, and that's right up Evans' alley.

I"ll say 7 catches, 120 yards and a TD. :D

 
cartel said:
I think the theme seems to be if you have stud WR they get started over Evans. If you have so-so WR you start Evans. I think think this is the way to roll
What about a marginal guy like Engram, Burleson, Curtis, Walker, Reggie Williams?Its no question that you would start a Braylon Edwards or CJ over Evans, but its difficult to decide wether to start him over the guys I mentioned, especially when you consider matchups.
FWIW, I'm starting Evans over Walker, Randle El, Shockey and Scaife (flex); along with TO, Braylon, and Hines Ward. Hines vs. Evans would be a tough call. I've been very lucky with Evans recently, since week 7, I've started him in his top 5 games and benched him in his worse 3.
 
CLE has the #30 ranked pass defense and has allowed more passing TDs (27) than any other team. However, their longest allowed pass play is only 42 yards, lowest in the league. Strange and surprising. Yes, I'm overanalyzing.

 
Currently I have him slotted to play this week as I too saw that the Browns have given up a huge amount of receptions for TDs this year. I'm still not 100% committed to him yet though.

We are in a non PPR league so that makes me less apprehensive to take him out. We are also a start 4 (max of 2 TEs {they score more points per yard than the WRs in my league} and min of 2 WR). I'm starting Reggie Wayne, Antonio Gate, and Jason Witten without hesitations. So Evans would in actually be my 4th receiver. I do have the options of S. McDonald (Det. will have to throw to keep up), B. Berrian (Minn D oozes yardage, but Orton is starting), D. Branch (who is at the top of the list to replace Evans...and most likely will), and D. Driver (if he would just catch TDs this might not be much of a debate anymore).

Needless to say I will probably be making the wrong decision this week with who to play at the 4th spot, but hopefully I can have the other 3 make up for a goose egg (or very near) from Evans.

 
I'll say the same thing I say every week: Lee Evans is too talented to see my bench.For a more substantial answer... Evans is currently ranked 27th in FBGs scoring, making him a solid WR3 at worst. He ranks 13th in fantasy points since week 4, and 9th since week 7. Is he boom or bust? Sure... but he's NINTH over the last 8 weeks. NINTH. How can you bench that?
bump
 
I think the question depends a little on whether you need consistency or whether you need the home-run to win your game. The guy I'm playing has some juicy matchups (Addai vs Oak), so I'm feeling like I may need the firepower a Lee Evans vs Cle matchup provides over the consistency a Winslow (no TE league) can bring.

So as it stands right now I'm going Evans over KW, A Gonz from IND, Curtis from Philly or Cotchery. Not sure that's the right move, but Evans vs Cle seems like a decent bet to me...

 
As of now it's Evans over Roddy (given the Petrino news) and Bowe as WR3 along with TJ and Steve Smith. Going with the matchups. I know everyone is interested.

 
I'll say the same thing I say every week: Lee Evans is too talented to see my bench.For a more substantial answer... Evans is currently ranked 27th in FBGs scoring, making him a solid WR3 at worst. He ranks 13th in fantasy points since week 4, and 9th since week 7. Is he boom or bust? Sure... but he's NINTH over the last 8 weeks. NINTH. How can you bench that?
Well...solid #3 does not help me...I only play 2 WRs.I could flex him...but leaning towards a RB...while Stecker may not have the bigger upside as Evans has...he is more certain to get about 5 points at worst.Evans, at worst, could got on another 2-3 receptions for 20 yards kind of day.
 
Does anyone know what the weather is forecasted for gametime? I'm too lazy to look it up. I wonder if the weather will be a factor this weekend for Mr. Evans?

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I'll say the same thing I say every week: Lee Evans is too talented to see my bench.For a more substantial answer... Evans is currently ranked 27th in FBGs scoring, making him a solid WR3 at worst. He ranks 13th in fantasy points since week 4, and 9th since week 7. Is he boom or bust? Sure... but he's NINTH over the last 8 weeks. NINTH. How can you bench that?
SSOG,I agree that Evans is too talented to bench.But its deadly wrong to consider the mean value (ppg) without considering the standard deviation. And I am pretty sure that Evans variance is top 10 too!! :bag: .
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Tough Decision I am having is choosing between starting the Peterson/Chester combo or Peterson/Evans. Probably gonna go Peterson/Evans but it worries me a little. I wonder how the weather will be in Cleveland on Sunday.

 
Tough Decision I am having is choosing between starting the Peterson/Chester combo or Peterson/Evans. Probably gonna go Peterson/Evans but it worries me a little. I wonder how the weather will be in Cleveland on Sunday.
This is from the Weather Channel:Sunday: Mostly cloudy and windy with snow showers. Highs in the upper 20s and lows in the low 20sOf course, that could change a dozen times before then....
 
I"m rollin' with "Mr. December" as my #3 WR with Marques Colston and Wes Welker.

The Browns are subject to giving up big plays in the passing game, and that's right up Evans' alley.

I"ll say 7 catches, 120 yards and a TD. :thumbup:
Actually, the Browns don't give up a lot of "big plays in the passing game," just a lot of medium plays. Also, minus their first two games of the season, they seem to have really limited the number of big plays they've given up to some of the better big play WR's (Moss, A. Johnson) in the league. It's the medium play WR's (Engram, Mason, Ward, Bry. Johnson) that have really burned the Browns.

Sure, Evans could have a big day, but I don't think that the Browns' poor passing defense ranking automatically means that it's a great matchup for him.

 
I think the question depends a little on whether you need consistency or whether you need the home-run to win your game. The guy I'm playing has some juicy matchups (Addai vs Oak), so I'm feeling like I may need the firepower a Lee Evans vs Cle matchup provides over the consistency a Winslow (no TE league) can bring.
:excited: Last week I put Stecker in the flex spot because I just couldn't afford a 1 pt game from Evans (which he's done 5 times this season). This week I have a tougher match-up and may need to go boom or bust with Evans. I'll be making the decision at the last minute waiting to see how likely it is that Bush is back in the lineup.SSOG - are you trying to convince your opponent to start Evans? The last 3 weeks he has 2, 4, and 2 catches. I think you have to consider the fact that he could be blanked and if the rest of your team is strong enough to win the 5 "safe" points might be the play.
 
I think the question depends a little on whether you need consistency or whether you need the home-run to win your game. The guy I'm playing has some juicy matchups (Addai vs Oak), so I'm feeling like I may need the firepower a Lee Evans vs Cle matchup provides over the consistency a Winslow (no TE league) can bring.So as it stands right now I'm going Evans over KW, A Gonz from IND, Curtis from Philly or Cotchery. Not sure that's the right move, but Evans vs Cle seems like a decent bet to me...
just curious.... PPR league or not?
 
Lee will see my bench today behind Housh, Welker, and Berrian. Bernard has been almost as frustrating as Evans, but at least he's playing on Monday night in a dome, so I'll have a second chance in my playoff game.

I have an irrational hatred for Evans since I traded up in my draft to snag him instead of getting stuck with Randy Moss.

 
Lee will see my bench today behind Housh, Welker, and Berrian. Bernard has been almost as frustrating as Evans, but at least he's playing on Monday night in a dome, so I'll have a second chance in my playoff game.I have an irrational hatred for Evans since I traded up in my draft to snag him instead of getting stuck with Randy Moss.
As a Bears fan I'm telling you that you will be sorry you played Berrian over Evans.
 
I started Evans last week over Berrian and he got me thru the first round against the Brady Moss owner. I'm starting him again this week behind Wayne and Fitz, should be okay with that kind of back-up.

 
I started Evans last week over Berrian and he got me thru the first round against the Brady Moss owner. I'm starting him again this week behind Wayne and Fitz, should be okay with that kind of back-up.
I have Welker, Braylon, Roddy, and Lee has my choices....so have been debating between Lee or Roddy.with Petrino bialing, Atl going with a rookie QB vs. a solid cover 2 defense with a decent secondary I was leaning towards Evans.The TB game is also scheduled for thunderstorms so if its raining I'll def go with Lee and just cross my fingers and hope for the best.Roddy vs. TB isn't going to have a big game. But he should at worst have a decent one..say 6 for 60 or 70 yards.Evans is either going to go boom or bust. But realistically...the difference between 2 for 30yrds and Roddy's 70 yards isn't that huge. I would say Evans is much more liekly to score a TD given CLE will focus on stopping the running game with Jackson and Lynch.TB will focus on stopping the passing game.
 
Glad to see I am not the only one going crazy over the Evans decision...

I have to play 2 of these 3... Ward, Calvin J, Evans. Right now I think I am going to go with Ward and Evans. I feel pretty confident with Ward as I think the Pitt passing game will be needed as Jax should slow up the running game. I expected a little more out of Calvin last week, especially thought he would get the most targets but McDonald took that, and I feel SD is stepping up there game and Detroit is declining. This won't be the first time Evans burns me if he does nothing (either way).

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top