DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Yeah the Brees is definitely my fav. Trying to get a good mix of exposure to the Saints/Panther game and Chiefs/Raiders game.
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im just not seeing it. as others have mentioned balt is #1 dvoa vs the rush and #11 vs rbs in the passing game. you keep saying they get gashed by pass catching rbs. where is the proof? no rb has had more than 44 yds receiving vs them this year. there has been only one excellent rb game vs them and that was thanks to an 85 yd rush by djj week 2.Yes, I am using Sharp's numbers. This is only for actual receptions, it does not take into account any actual rushes from the RB, again only receptions. And for the record, on the straight rankings he has them ranked as the #14 defense against pass catching RBs, but that is only because of volume. His formula weighs volume. Why I like Rainey:
Against Baltimore running backs have been targeted 24 times and given up 21 receptions.. That is an 88% completion percentage. Only New Orleans and Atlanta are less effective. 58% of the time the opposing RB is targeted it results in a successful play. Again, only New Orleans and Atlanta are worse. A play is rated successful if it gets 40% of the needed yards on 1st down, 50% on second, and results in a first down on third.
I am at the mercy of Ben McAdoo's dysfunctional offense. But if he gives Rainey the same 10 targets hes had the last 2 weeks I am very confident he will find success.
fwiw there a lot of room between 'no rb is in a better position this week' and 'you should be considering him'.NixonMask said:He is going around 1% owned. He is playing against one of the worst defenses in the league against pass catching running backs. He is a really good pass catching running back. In Rainey's limited role in the Giants running game so far he has been productive. Rashad Jennings health is still a question mark, he logged his third straight limited practice today. He is going to be around 1% owned. And finally, he is going to be around 1% owned.
I'm not saying he should be considered for cash. There are risks, he may get 2 carries, 3 targets and his game is done. The risk is obvious. If someone plays him and he scores them two points Im not going to feel bad about recommending him. It could happen. If you think the risk is too great and won't play him as a result I get it. But, if you are playing GPPs and not even considering him then you are doing it wrong.
Dammit- thanks for linkheads up, looks like Fuller might be sitting tonight:
http://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/texans-will-fuller-unlikely-to-play-sunday/
From weather.comSo now the only game that looks to be effected by weather might be the Pitt/Mia game. I see rain and 13-15mph winds? Anybody have anything different?
I have a bit of Landry going, and not sure if it's a concern at all with the routes he usually runs.
Oof. Why is the report so different from the FBG link?From weather.com
SF @ Buffalo - Cloudy skies with a few showers this afternoon. Thunder possible. High 69F. Winds SW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
KC @ Oakland - Overcast with rain showers at times. High 66F. Winds SSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.
Atlanta @ Seattle - Rain this morning with thunderstorms by evening. High 59F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Pittsburgh @ Miami - Mostly cloudy this morning. Scattered thunderstorms developing this afternoon. High 82F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%
I normally go to NFLWeather.com and they are slightly different then weather.com ..Oof. Why is the report so different from the FBG link?
I have the oak/kc game and players in a few gpps, but very minimal in cash. Same with Bradyyeah i have no kc/oak. wonder if thats really. bad. also no brady.
Snorkelson said:I'm not going to overthink the weather this time of year. Maybe you fade the deep threats like Coates (who is risky anyway) and Parker (well, we're waiting!) I don't think it will affect Ben so much and I wasn't touching tanny anyway. If it gets to 20-25 mph with gusts I may worry, if it's dumping 6 inches of snow at game time or is -6 I'll worry about it. 15 mph sounds like a beautiful fall day with a little rain.
I might not have a choice, I could be out of money...tilted. got all the murray and walker. tds go to wright and matthews. murray has 7-0 and walker hasnt been targeted. there may be nobody worse at this than me. may just up and quit after this week lol.
Got a TD, so 160+ at the half. Hopefully the Saints dominating helps his cause, but just like Tenn, he is going to targets we aren't expecting - Funchess with a TD!ofc i do. duh. hes not hurt, right? just ####ty?
I did say I it was my opinion no one was in a better situation, I wasn't stating it as fact.fwiw there a lot of room between 'no rb is in a better position this week' and 'you should be considering him'.
ill listen to the second argument. and yeah, i suppose you should be considering him for gpps. but only in the same sense that you should be considering chris conley, cj fedorowitz and ryan tannehill too.
Lol. Respect for believing in your own research, sometimes it doesn't pan out. Keep fighting the good fight.I don't know guys. Why didn't anyone talk me off of Rainey?
lol still going with it huh? despite the fact that the best receiving game balt has allowed to a rb this year is 4-44? and that they havent allowed a td catch by a rb this year? and that the advanced stats put the ravens top 10ish vs rbs catching passes? well alright then...No, it definitely didnt work out. I still believe the situation was right, opportunity clearly didnt pan out. He did about what I was hoping he would on the ground, which is rush for about 20 yards, but he just didnt get the targets. I still contend the way to attack the Ravens is with pass catching backs. Jennings and Rainey combined for 6/36 on seven targets. Looking ahead, next week they get Forte. Hopefully he puts up a stinker tomorrow so I can get him at a lower ownership.
That's a lesson Im still learning. Losing because you went with your own guys hurts a hell of a lot less than losing because you ignored your own gut and lost with someone elses guys.What I learned this week (and probably have before and forgot it) is to not tinker with my damn LUs in the morning. Pulled OBJ out of one, Julio out of another, went against my gut and pulled Ware out of another. Had Britt in one, but decided to double down on Austin, etc, etc.. Don't get me wrong, it's not like these decisions are keeping me from the top slot, just venting a little, and all these were made this morning. Just set it and forget it unless there is a hurricane or somebody is just not starting.
I also was wrong about the GB/Dallas game. Not so much that GB would need to be passing from behind, but that maybe they were actually up to the task.
So true about that KC passing attack. That will zap a few cash lineups.I made some bad decisions, but the best decision I made was aborting my Alex Smith led cash line up.
Should've just used this original lineup in all my contests. I ended up pulling Gurly Thomas and fleener for Howard Beasley and pitta. It did cash in both contests I used it but the rest are dumpster fires unless Hopkins and Hilton each go nuts in 2nd half. Worst case I'm up 60 cents for week so not total loss.Looks a lot like my lineup I put in for my survivor contest and also without any research, just from the gut. It's the final round so whether I finish last or in the top 25% I still get $3.Brees
Gurly McCoy
Cooper TY M Thomas
Fleener
Crosby
Bills
Every time I say "never again" about a player, they seem to go off the next week, and they suck me back in. (See Manning, Eli)I hate myself for playing A. Smith in a cash lineup... I cant ever remember a time when that guy scored well when I started him. 0 for 3 today in the FBG contest with him. Never again!