Mozzy backed up his claim with the reasons he thinks it'll be true. Packersfan backed his up with the fact that he has enough confidence in his claim that he's willing to bet on it.
Isn't the board a lot more useful backing up with reasoning (and even facts) so they can be debated and contribute to the board, rather than by backing them up with a willingness to bet?
At this point, Mozzy has asked packersfan to provide what games he thinks the Pack can win, which hasn't been done. So I'd say packersfan is the one who needs to back up his claim, not the other way around.
Fair enough. The Packers' defense was putrid last season and yet Green Bay still won 10 games and won another division title. Despite having a horrible defense they still were the best team in the division. I do not believe their defense can be any worse. In fact, I think it will be better (perhaps only slightly so) because I believe Bates is a MASSIVE upgrade as a coordinator over Slowik. So I believe the team will be better prepared and better coached and you will not see many of the problems that we saw last season (missed tackles in particular) because the defense will be more fundamentally sound.
Offensively, the Packers were a Top 5 offense last season and I do not believe they will slip this season. As I've said numerous times, guards are the easiest position on the O Line to replace so I'm not concerned about the line having a massive drop-off without Wahle and Rivera. The Packers don't need to find two Pro Bowl guards for the offense to function at a high level. That's the point so many people seem to be missing.
So I think the Packers this season will be a lot like last season. A questionable (and that's putting it kindly) defense and a high-powered offense.
One possible area of upgrade is the return game. If Murphy is as good as advertised he could fill a glaring need the team has had since Rossum left. And if the return game improves that will enable the offense to be even better (and it's already pretty damn good).
With regard to the rest of the division, the Lions are clearly improving on offense but their defense also has questions. The major question, though, is at QB where I think Harrington is awful and will prevent Detroit from really making a strong run at the division. The Vikings, meanwhile, have done a nice job
on paper of addressing team needs, but if they think Darren Sharper is still a Pro Bowler they're going to be in for a big surprise. So I'm not yet convinced their defense will be significantly better. More importantly, we have to see how the offense will function without Moss. I believe they will still be potent, but the idea that this offense won't be affected by Moss' departure is foolish. In fact, I would say the Moss issue and the Harrington issue rank far above the guard issue in Green Bay as far as significant questions that need to be answered.
So when it's all said and done I would not be surprised to see the North fall the way it did last season -- with the Packers in first, the Vikings in second and the Lions continuing to inch forward. At worst, I would predict the Packers to finish second behind Minnesota. I just don't think Detroit is quite ready to be a division winner.