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FBG Playoff Contest this year? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter benbadman
- Start date
teamramrod
Footballguy
ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
170.2 but drawing dead. Oh well.
Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
think we're headed for another 180+ cut line like last year
Solomon Grundy
Footballguy
I'm guessing the cut line will be close to 200. I scored 224.9 this weekend, but lost almost everyone. Can score a max of 4 next week and max of 5 in the Super Bowl.
I say funny things happen and a lot sure changed since I left this last post just a few hours ago. Gronk out and with Woodhead ailing it's an obvious boost to Vereen.I'm good to go with 221 this week but not sure I advance with just 5 guys next week even thought I'd suspect the 5 score well since one is Ray Rice and the other 4 are the best two out of multiple choices. I'd have been a shoo in to advance if Seattle had held on. No matter what to compete for first place it appears at a minimum I'd need SF and NE to win and than for Vernon Davis to outperform Vereen and the SF defense. I say at a minimum because I have no idea if other teams exist that are impossible for me to beat.
Here is what I've got left:
Brady
Ridley
Welker
Hernandez
Gronk
Kaepernick
Gore
Crabtree
Vernon
Ray Rice
ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
Got about 210. Both my SB teams lost. Sucks.
SanDawg
Footballguy
Yeah things change pretty quick, plenty of luck to win any money in these contests. Fun to talk about though. 6 guys going next week, have to figure I made the cut this week and then hopefully 9 in the bowl and let the chips fall where they may.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Um, I make gold if I can't make it to a restroom fast enough...Anyway my shell of entry (NE/GB - speaking of gold) is in prime spoiler mode.
Counting peeps:
Hester 2.80
Dreesen 13.60
Brady 35.10
Welker 21.10
Snelling 7.50
Rodgers 25.65
J Jones 18.70
Z Miller 32.20
for a total of 156.65
But I can't win. All I have left are 7 Patriots, Hester Dreesen and Snelling.
-QG
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
So by my count you got 179.55Good luck - 16 is an impressive number of players to bring forward
-QG
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
***Iggy's Unofficial Week 2 Cutoff***
186.85
186.85
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Unofficial Week 2 Standings
ETA: I deleted them because it was so long I think it was making the page load slowly on my work computer. Didn't want to cause the same headache for others. The official standings should be up soon.
ETA: I deleted them because it was so long I think it was making the page load slowly on my work computer. Didn't want to cause the same headache for others. The official standings should be up soon.
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Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
good work ig.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Perhaps our eventual winner is in one of these lists?If the Super Bowl is NE-SF:
If it's NE-ATL:
If it's BAL-SF:
If it's BAL-ATL:
Code:
ENTRY PLAYERS101220 12102354 11101792 10102727 9104579 9100936 9104896 9101136 9100068 9100114 9103177 9104658 9101723 9100137 8101980 8104482 8100216 8100672 8103439 8100719 8101153 8100182 8101042 8102544 8102587 8103108 8100787 8102759 8
Code:
ENTRY PLAYERS100563 10100936 9101211 9101097 9103103 9101782 9103378 9104365 9101345 9102268 9102727 8100719 8101153 8103058 8103156 8104958 8100098 8103603 8104111 8104973 8
Code:
ENTRY PLAYERS101016 13102231 11101980 9103032 9101072 9102521 9102782 8102184 8
Code:
ENTRY PLAYERS103578 11101692 11101016 10103080 10102081 10102184 8104648 8
JB Breakfast Club
Footballguy
2012th in the unofficial results. 
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Or here they are by amount spent, which may be a better indicator:If the Super Bowl is NE-SF:
If it's NE-ATL:
If it's BAL-SF:
If it's BAL-ATL:
Code:
ENTRY SPENT104658 $173104579 $164102354 $164100068 $161103177 $155101723 $155103108 $153101136 $151104482 $148100114 $148
Code:
ENTRY SPENT102268 $163100563 $162103103 $152104111 $152101345 $152103378 $144103156 $143101097 $141101613 $141101211 $140
Code:
ENTRY SPENT102231 $176101016 $172101072 $133102782 $127102521 $123101980 $121103034 $115104416 $111102184 $110100100 $110
Code:
ENTRY SPENT102081 $167103578 $162101692 $159103080 $155104111 $127100977 $119101164 $115100676 $113101016 $112102184 $110102171 $110JB Breakfast Club
Footballguy
do those counts/dollars include Gronkowski?
Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
too bad it includes Gronk and Woodhead 
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jdoggydogg
Footballguy
The bad news is the FBG consensus tells me my team still has no shot. Is that still the case if there's an Atlanta/NE Super Bowl?
Joel Dreessen $9 0.00
Tom Brady $26 0.00
Stevan Ridley $14 0.00
Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00
Joe Flacco $22 25.80
Dennis Pitta $14 11.70
Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00
Donnie Avery $7 4.70
Matt Ryan $23 0.00
Michael Turner $11 0.00
Roddy White $17 0.00
Ryan Grant $5 2.80
John Kuhn $2 14.90
Russell Wilson $24 22.05
Marshawn Lynch $20 20.60
Seattle Seahawks $13 6.00
Adrian Peterson $14 11.20
Joel Dreessen $9 0.00
Tom Brady $26 0.00
Stevan Ridley $14 0.00
Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00
Joe Flacco $22 25.80
Dennis Pitta $14 11.70
Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00
Donnie Avery $7 4.70
Matt Ryan $23 0.00
Michael Turner $11 0.00
Roddy White $17 0.00
Ryan Grant $5 2.80
John Kuhn $2 14.90
Russell Wilson $24 22.05
Marshawn Lynch $20 20.60
Seattle Seahawks $13 6.00
Adrian Peterson $14 11.20
Zero chance to win. 100% chance to make the finals.Care to share your strategy behind this entry?
butcher boy
Footballguy
It's pretty simple. You're going to be competing against teams who have almost twice as many Atl/NE players as you have. In this contest you have to pick your two Superbowl teams, take at least 8-10 guys from the two teams and then fill out the rest.
Solomon Grundy
Footballguy
Jesse, the large sample size means that there is almost assuredly a few teams that will make it to the SB with between 8-12 players scoring. The others are correct (and history bears this out): you basically need to decide who the two super bowl teams will be, build your team with 9-11 players from those teams (with their QBs for certain), then flesh out your roster to get you out of rounds 1-3. It's really an exercise in total getting lucky picking your non-SB players. Right now, guys that added John Kuhn and Shane Vereen are looking good...
teamramrod
Footballguy
Gol Durn it....222 this week and fur shure out next.peace
That team that spent the most on NE vs SF was me. But it included Gronk so not sure how that stacks up against other teams. I also only have Rice going outside of NE and SF so I may not make it anyway.Just the same I'd like to see SF and NE players on that list you provided so I've got to ask a stupid question. I only know how to look up teams by going to overall standings but since some of those teams are named and not numbered how do you locate those teams to check the rosters?I'll actually ask another question which for someone who has been playing this stuff for a few years I'm ashamed to not know the answer but how do you actually name your team?
radiohead417
Footballguy
Rats. Had 16 bal/SF, and 7pts short of cut line. Key to this one is riding as low as you can through cut lines for rd1 & 2, just shaved it a little too close this year.
ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
Honestly 16 is too many. I doubt people would even make it through with more than 12-13 and maybe not even that depending on how popular the teams are.
JB Breakfast Club
Footballguy
I survived the official results (193.6). Will have 2 Pats score plus Kaepernick and Gore this weekend. My strategy of really loading up on Pats won't work out because of the Gronk injury...but I still like the strategy of going all in on one team and then getting the top 2 from two teams in the other conference.ETA: I have Pierce too...so 5 players scoring this weekend.
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BNL Fan #24
Footballguy
Well I am still alive but no shot of winning although I am pretty sure I will advance to finals. Pretty much needed Houston to upset New England and I think I would have been a contender. Next year might try to get around 10 total for the two Super Bowl teams. My strategy of Kick/Defense seemed to pay off although I barely squeaked by the cut line each week. If ATL can make the superbowl I will have 6 players scoring regardless of which AFC team is in.Matt Prater $13 0.00 5.00 Denver Broncos $16 0.00 15.00 Stephen Gostkowski $13 0.00 13.00 New England Patriots $14 0.00 3.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 28.25 Arian Foster $19 27.40 30.80 Andre Johnson $22 10.20 17.50 Houston Texans $12 4.00 1.00 Justin Tucker $12 6.00 10.00 Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00 15.00 Matt Ryan $23 0.00 29.10 Michael Turner $11 0.00 9.80 Roddy White $17 0.00 18.60 Matt Bryant $12 0.00 16.00 LaMichael James $5 0.00 3.30 San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00 5.00 Mason Crosby $10 6.00 8.00 Green Bay Packers $10 9.00 9.00 TOTAL 67.60 193.05 CUTOFF 65.85 186.85
JMon348
Footballguy
Missed the cutoff by .45 after the update(was ahead of the line on Tuesday, guess there was an update?):(Tom Brady $26 0.00 35.10 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 0.00 Stephen Gostkowski $13 0.00 13.00 Arian Foster $19 27.40 30.80 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 35.25 Ray Rice $19 12.20 19.10 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 24.80 Dennis Pitta $14 11.70 10.00 Justin Tucker $12 6.00 10.00 Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00 15.00 Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00 54.25 LaMichael James $5 0.00 3.30 Michael Crabtree $19 0.00 32.90 A.J. Jenkins $3 0.00 0.00 Vernon Davis $14 0.00 5.90 San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00 5.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 65.40 CUTOFF 65.85
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Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Here are the counts of entries by the max number of contributing players on their roster this weekend:
For example, there are 9 teams still alive that don't have any players from the four remaining playoff teams (so they'll be getting a zero this week). On the other hand, there are 45 teams that have at least two players from each of the four remaining playoff teams (so they'll be getting scores from eight players this weekend). Note that I didn't filter out guys like Gronkowski, who won't be playing due to injury. If someone has a complete list of players that were available in the contest but won't be playing this weekend, I can re-run the numbers to reflect that.
Code:
ACTIVE COUNT0 91 252 2423 3364 5555 4226 2777 908 45SanDawg
Footballguy
Great work on this...those with 6,7 and 8 should be looking pretty good to move on for the Bowl.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
My strategy is I don't understand how to win the contest
I just picked the four teams I thought had the best shot at winning the Super Bowl and went with that. Am I correct that the only way to win this is to pick two teams and heavily load up on those players? This seems counterintuitive since your odds of even making the finals would be slim.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
Cool.
Which is better???1. 90% chance making the bowl, 1% chance winning?My strategy is I don't understand how to win the contest
2. 10% chance making the bowl, 90% chance winning?
Iggy - Can you run this for playoff week two? I would like to get a feel for future reference how many players I need to budget for in round 2.
profit
Footballguy
My god, did I get the rules for this contest wrong AGAIN?? LOL
I survived this week, but looking at my score I'm realizing that there are (what looks like) no roster positions, only highest 2 scorers on each NFL playoff team you rostered. Is this correct? In other words, can you have 2, 3 or even 4 QB's score for your team? Now that I went back and reread I see no roster limitations.
I figured it was a similar layout to the subscriber's contest regarding rosters, seems to me these rules could be written more clearly. I'm sure some will call me an idiot, but after 2 years of of getting confused I decided to say something. Doesn't it seem like they should just give a sample scoring period (including all positions) to simplify it?
Just found this in the rules, my bad:
Also note that, except as noted in the scoring system below (TEs, WRs, and RBs get different numbers of points per reception), positions are irrelevant in all rounds. Positions play no role in determining which players' scores count.
They should have this in BOLD, as obviously it drastically changes things.
I survived this week, but looking at my score I'm realizing that there are (what looks like) no roster positions, only highest 2 scorers on each NFL playoff team you rostered. Is this correct? In other words, can you have 2, 3 or even 4 QB's score for your team? Now that I went back and reread I see no roster limitations.
I figured it was a similar layout to the subscriber's contest regarding rosters, seems to me these rules could be written more clearly. I'm sure some will call me an idiot, but after 2 years of of getting confused I decided to say something. Doesn't it seem like they should just give a sample scoring period (including all positions) to simplify it?
Just found this in the rules, my bad:
Also note that, except as noted in the scoring system below (TEs, WRs, and RBs get different numbers of points per reception), positions are irrelevant in all rounds. Positions play no role in determining which players' scores count.
They should have this in BOLD, as obviously it drastically changes things.
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RIFNot to pick on you, but people like you are what makes the contest so good for many of us. Looks like you are now one of us and should be able to profit from those you left behind.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
profit
Footballguy
Oh I'll be ready next year-- I think it doesn't help that I have rushed to make my picks at the last minute the first couple of years. I'm usually very thorough about rules and such! haha
Not to pick on you, but people like you are what makes the contest so good for many of us. Looks like you are now one of us and should be able to profit from those you left behind.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Here, with a little added detail:Week 1:
Code:
PLAYERS ENTRIES SURV SURV%0 13 0 0.0%1 18 0 0.0%2 177 0 0.0%3 216 3 1.4%4 543 274 50.5%5 681 508 74.6%6 884 789 89.3%7 796 765 96.1%8 703 694 98.7%9 433 432 99.8%10 248 247 99.6%11 144 144 100.0%12 66 66 100.0%13 35 35 100.0%14 22 22 100.0%15 13 13 100.0%16 20 20 100.0%TOT 5012 4012 80.0%
Code:
PLAYERS ALIVE SURV SURV%0 0 0 ----1 0 0 ----2 4 0 0.0%3 6 0 0.0%4 40 0 0.0%5 86 1 1.2%6 262 5 1.9%7 418 48 11.5%8 731 256 35.0%9 780 424 54.4%10 706 476 67.4%11 471 369 78.3%12 303 244 80.5%13 117 106 90.6%14 47 42 89.4%15 22 16 72.7%16 19 14 73.7%TOT 4012 2001 49.9%
