FBG Predictions Vs. Actuals (2 Viewers)

[Charley]

Here's a quick first cut at comparison of actual vs. projections for QBs.  The "actual points" are from the Historical Data Dominator so not sure if there's a different scoring system from the projections last summer (note the different dates for rankings and projected points).  As shown below, I've piggy-backed on the information posted above.

Notes: (1) FBG rankings as of 8/31/05, (2) the actual end-of-year QB ranking is in brackets (after QB 1, etc.), (3) the "projected points" (as of August 9, 2005), actual 2005 points, and # games played is in brackets (at the end of each line).

For example, Peyton Manning was projected as QB1 with 384 points.  He finished the season as QB3 with 294 points, and he played all 16 games.  Culpepper was projected as QB2 with 362 points.  He actually had only 110 points in 7 games in an injury-shortened season, and he finished as QB33.

Rank  ADP  Diff  Pos # [final rank]  Player  Team/Bye  [projected pts, actual pts, games]

8 5 -3 QB 1  [3]  Peyton Manning Ind/8  [384  294  16]

15 14 -1 QB 2  [33]  Daunte Culpepper Min/5  [362  110  7]

34 27 -7 QB 3  [20]  Donovan McNabb Phi/6  [330  192  9]

37 39 2 QB 4  [23]  Marc Bulger StL/9  [317  165  8]

50 54 4 QB 5  [9]  Kerry Collins Oak/5  [308  266  15]

53 45 -8 QB 6  [8]  Trent Green KC/5  [290  267  16]

60 55 -5 QB 7  [10]  Michael Vick Atl/8  [296  262  15]

66 57 -9 QB 8  [13]  Brett Favre GB/6  [282  251  16]

69 62 -7 QB 9  [2]  Tom Brady NE/7  [279  310  16]

76 83 7 QB 10  [16]  Aaron Brooks NO/10  [285  219  16]

82 80 -2 QB 11  [11]  Jake Plummer Den/9  [291  260  16]

87 67 -20 QB 12  [5]  Matt Hasselbeck Sea/8  [279  278  16]

90 90 0 QB 13  [7]  Drew Brees SD/10  [274  271  16]

93 118 25 QB 14  [15]  Steve McNair Ten/10  [269  231  14]

96 109 13 QB 15  [21]  Byron Leftwich Jac/7  [264  180  11]

98 94 -4 QB 16  [12]  Jake Delhomme Car/7  [266  260  16]

105 78 -27 QB 17  [1]  Carson Palmer Cin/10  [278  318  16]

109 105 -4 QB 18  [50]  Chad Pennington NYJ/8  [263  34  3]

114 107 -7 QB 19  [18]  David Carr Hou/3  [266 206  16]

120 166 46 QB 20  [28]  Kyle Boller Bal/3  [233  135  9]

124 121 -3 QB 21  [25]  Joey Harrington Det/3  [234  145  13]

130 119 -11 QB 22  [38]  Brian Griese TB/7  [238  79  6]

135 126 -9 QB 23  [19]  Ben Roethlisberger Pit/4  [239  203  13]

141 215 74 QB 24  [56]  Patrick Ramsey Was/3  [221  17  4]

149 127 -22 QB 25  [22]  Kurt Warner Ari/6  [210  173  10]

154 150 -4 QB 26  [6]  Drew Bledsoe Dal/9  [209  274  16]

161 180 19 QB 27  [34]  J.P. Losman Buf/9  [209  106  9]

170 152 -18 QB 28  [4]  Eli Manning NYG/5  [230  281  16]

182 256 74 QB 29  [24]  Trent Dilfer Cle/4  [191  153  11]

191 255 64 QB 30  [17]  Gus Frerotte Mia/4  [182  215  16]

200 226 26 QB 31  [44]  Tim Rattay SF/6  [--  49  4]

207 214 7 QB 32  [30]  Kyle Orton Chi/4  [--  121  15]

Not ranked:

QB 14  Mark Brunell  246 pts.  16 games

QB 26  Brad Johnson  144 pts.  15 games

QB 27  Chris Simms  138 pts.  11 games

QB 31  Kelly Holcomb  115 pts.  10 games

QB 32  Brooks Bollinger  113 pts.  11 games

Note - I tried to check it, but it was done quickly.

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[tytyty]

Awesome man. Can you do for the other skill positions? That is really cool. Now maybe we can have some dialogue on why these happened.

 

[Charley]

Awesome man.  Can you do for the other skill positions?  That is really cool.  Now maybe we can have some dialogue on why these happened.

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Thanks - I'll try to do RBs next. At first glance, it might seem that there was a substantial amount of variation between projections and actual results for QBs last year. However, I don’t think last year was that unusual.For example, consider the top-5 QBs since 1995 and how they performed the following year. The table below shows how each of the top-5 QBs finished the next year. For example, the QB who finished as the best QB in 1995 also finished as QB1 in 1996 (QB2 in 1995 finished as QB9 in 1996). The best QB in 1996 also finished as QB1 in 1997. QB2 in 1996 finished outside of the top-15 QBs in 1997, etc.

Top-5 QBs:

Year -- 1 2 3 4 5

1995 -- 1 9 15+ 4 5

1996 -- 1 15+ 8 15+ 4

1997 -- 2 15+ 15+ 13 4

1998 -- 15+ 6 15+ 12 15+

1999 -- 14 11 4 3 15+

2000 -- 14 2 3 4 8

2001 -- 15+ 10 4 2 11

2002 -- 1 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+

2003 -- 1 4 13 8 9

2004 -- 15+ 3 15+ 8 11

As shown above, only 36% of top-5 QBs (in the prior year) finished among the top-5 QBs in the next year. In addition, only 52% of top-5 QBs (in the prior year) finished in the top-10 QBs in the next year.

The top-5 projected QBs last August were Manning, Culpepper, McNabb, Bulger, and Collins. Manning finished the season as QB3. Collins finished as QB9 in 15 games, and Culpepper, McNabb and Bulger were injured and missed many games.

It was somewhat unusual for 3 of the top-5 QBs to get injured last year -- but 4 of the top-5 QBs got injured in 2003, and none of the top-5 QBs in 1998 finished in the top-5 in 1999. However, 3 of the top-5 QBs (in 2000) finished among the top-5 QBs in 2001.

I guess you could draw a conclusion that there's usually a very large amount of variation between projections and actual results (due to injuries, underperformance, and other factors). However, some years have a low number of injuries, and the actual results are much more in line with projections.

 

[tytyty]

Great analysis. I think the caviat is injuries. You almost need a bigger sampling then the top 5 so you can take out anyone who didn't play at least 12 0r 13 games. Great stuff though. Look forward to the RB's.

Also to the original one you put up with the QB's. Culpepper and McNabb were understandable due to injuries. However, where did the projection go awry for Palmer. Thats what I want to analyze.

 

[JimmyD]

Doing projections is hit/miss just like doing the weather.

I'm not concerned how much my projections were off, but is there a good reason why I did go wrong?

Maybe that could be a post on positions. For example something like these 10 WR out performed their ADP because... then we can breakdown the reasons why some players were undervalued. Same goes for the WR that did not live up to ADP.

Of course there would be no good reason for some, but there is always the chance of finding something, it could be that team X reduced its rushes by 7 carries a game after the starting center went down, now that he and the rest of the line is back, we could expect the carries to increase thus giving the RB1 a chance at 50 more attempts this year.

Those are the little things that make this life...err....hobby fun.

 

[Charley]

RBs:

1 1 0 RB 1  [3]  LaDainian Tomlinson SD/10  [301  317  16]

2 2 0 RB 2  [1]  Shaun Alexander Sea/8  [273  363  16]

3 3 0 RB 3  [32]  Priest Holmes KC/5  [282  106  7]

4 4 0 RB 4  [5]  Edgerrin James Ind/8  [255  268  15]

5 7 2 RB 5  [54]  Deuce McAllister NO/10  [258  63  5]

6 6 0 RB 6  [13]  Willis McGahee Buf/9  [239  172  16]

7 8 1 RB 7  [17]  Domanick Davis Hou/3  [243 167  11]

10 12 2 RB 8  [31]  Kevin Jones Det/3  [223 107  13]

11 15 4 RB 9  [21]  Julius Jones Dal/9  [222 151  13]

12 17 5 RB 10  [4]  Tiki Barber NYG/5  [240 305  16]

13 9 -4 RB 11  [6]  Clinton Portis Was/3  [242 244  16]

14 11 -3 RB 12  [16]  Corey Dillon NE/7  [237 169  12]

16 24 8 RB 13  [11] Steven Jackson StL/9  [203 196  15]

17 21 4 RB 14  [18]  Brian Westbrook Phi/6 [227 165  12]

18 18 0 RB 15  [7]  Rudi Johnson Cin/10  [217 226  16]

20 16 -4 RB 16  [69] Ahman Green GB/6  [196 40  5]

22 10 -12 RB 17 [25] Jamal Lewis Bal/3  [210 133 15]

24 20 -4 RB 18 [29] Curtis Martin NYJ/8  [219 115 12]

27 26 -1 RB 19 [8]  Lamont Jordan Oak/5  [181 224 14]

38 75 37 RB 20 [10] Mike Anderson Den/9  [95 200 15]

39 38 -1 RB 21 [55] J.J. Arrington Ari/6  [190 63  15]

42 44 2 RB 22 [12] Warrick Dunn Atl/8 [167 187 16]

44 42 -2 RB 23 [33] Fred Taylor Jac/7  [136 105  11]

47 60 13 RB 24 [34] Kevan Barlow SF/6 [149 100  12]

52 34 -18 RB 25 [19] Carnell Williams TB/7  [151 161  14]

55 47 -8 RB 26 [20] Chris Brown Ten/10 [149 159 15]

56 68 12 RB 27 [2] Larry Johnson KC/5  [133 335 16]

58 49 -9 RB 28 [24]  DeShaun Foster Car/7  [142 143  15]

59 48 -11 RB 29 [23] Ronnie Brown Mia/4  [128 143  15]

64 71 7 RB 30 [9] Thomas Jones Chi/4 [150 201  15]

71 93 22 RB 31 [37] T.J. Duckett Atl/8  [117 92 14]

75 91 16 RB 32 [36]  Jerome Bettis Pit/4  [132 95  12]

78 77 -1 RB 33 [91] Duce Staley Pit/4 [104 24  5]

83 89 6 RB 34 [28] Mewelde Moore Min/5  [31 118  16]

86 63 -23 RB 35 [85] Cedric Benson Chi/4  [115 28  9]

92 52 -40 RB 36 [39] Michael Bennett Min/5 [173 90  16]

100 97 -3 RB 37 [14] Reuben Droughns Cle/4  [108 172  16]

106 87 -19 RB 38 [--] Lee Suggs Cle/4

108 115 7 RB 39 [42] Michael Pittman TB/7  [87 86 16]

113 81 -32 RB 40 [65] Travis Henry Ten/10 [73 45  9]

118 134 16 RB 41 Eric Shelton Car/7

125 103 -22 RB 42 [27] Ricky Williams Mia/4 [79 119 12]

132 148 16 RB 43 Derrick Blaylock NYJ/8

137 104 -33 RB 44 Marshall Faulk StL/9

143 169 26 RB 45 Chester Taylor Bal/3

150 46 -104 RB 46 [22] Tatum Bell Den/9 [179 150  15]

159 168 9 RB 47 Ryan Moats Phi/6

166 218 52 RB 48 Kevin Faulk NE/7

171 161 -10 RB 49 Marcel Shipp Ari/6

185 177 -8 RB 50 Brandon Jacobs NYG/5

Not listed:

RB15 - Willie Parker -- 172 pts.  15 games

RB26 - Stephen Davis -- 131 pts.  13 games

RB30 - Samkon Gado -- 107 pts.  8 games

RB35 - Marion Barber -- 95 pts.  13 games

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[tytyty]

Interesting. Take out injuries it looks as though projecting RB might be easier the QB??

Wow, 6,7,8,9 were disappointments. Glad i had #2 pick last year.

 

[Charley]

Results for consistency of top-5 RBs for the past 20 years (similar format to above - the #1 RB at the end of the 1985 season finished as RB17 in the next season, 1986):

Year 1 2 3 4 5

1985 17 11 2 5 8

1986 3 32 4 2 27

1987 83 3 1 10 58

1988 9 10 11 7 3

1989 68 2 3 1 24

1990 1 2 7 6 54

1991 7 2 1 6 78

1992 1 3 17 100+ 40

1993 1 13 7 6 19

1994 1 3 4 6 31

1995 6 4 5 18 3

1996 28 2 9 14 1

1997 10 1 51 20 25

1998 100+ 100+ 2 28 100+

1999 2 1 3 12 20

2000 1 32 19 34 3

2001 14 1 13 5 18

2002 1 9 3 5 6

2003 12 13 3 25 11

2004 1 4 3 29 17

To summarize, during the past 20 years, only 42% of top-5 RBs were able to repeat as top-5 RBs the next year. In fact, only 56% of top-5 RBs (in the prior year) finished among the top 10 RBs the next year. Even for the most consistent and predictable position, injuries take a huge toll.

For example, the top-5 RBs last season were: Shaun Alexander, Larry Johnson, LaDanian Tomlinson, Tiki Barber, and Edgerrin James. On average, the odds are that 2 of them will repeat as top-5 RBs this year, 1 of them will finish in the next 5 (RB6-RB10), and 2 of them will get hurt and miss many games (or underperform significantly).

This brings up the old argument of "luck vs. skill" for FF success. Although there's obviously a lot of random effects due to injuries, etc., I'd still argue that the cream rises to the top and skill prevails over the long run.

 

[BassNBrew]

I'll give you my 2 cents on the biggest reason for errors in projections...we failed to watch and analyze what's going on in pre-season. I've been comtemplating attacking this, but am not sure if I have the time/energy. As a community, we have the resources to do this and really improve our projections/rankings.

 

[Charley]

I'll give you my 2 cents on the biggest reason for errors in projections...we failed to watch and analyze what's going on in pre-season.  I've been comtemplating attacking this, but am not sure if I have the time/energy.  As a community, we have the resources to do this and really improve our projections/rankings.

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I agree that it would be very interesting to analyze the relative accuracy of projections to try to determine methods that could improve projections/rankings.In general, it seems to me that the projections made by David Dodds are very credible and that he uses a methodology that is detailed, thorough, and has substantial internal consistency (linking projections for individual players to aggregate team statistics, etc.).

I consider his projections to be an excellent baseline because they are designed to estimate "expected performance," on average, kind of like an expected value. I don't look for his projections to "shoot from the hip" or "try to guess which 3rd-year WRs will break out big this year." You won't see predictions that rookies like Tomlinson or Edgerrin James will be top-5 RBs (or that Eli Manning will finish as QB4).

His projections rely on a demonstrated track record. He'll take many factors into account in preparing his projections, but he'll basically take a fairly conservative approach to predicting any major changes. And that's fine from my perspective. As long as I know where he's coming from, you can take his projections as a very good baseline, and then build in your own expectations about different teams and individual players.

 

[lebowski]

I agree that it would be very interesting to analyze the relative accuracy of projections to try to determine methods that could improve projections/rankings.

In general, it seems to me that the projections made by David Dodds are very credible and that he uses a methodology that is detailed, thorough, and has substantial internal consistency (linking projections for individual players to aggregate team statistics, etc.).

I consider his projections to be an excellent baseline because they are designed to estimate "expected performance," on average, kind of like an expected value. I don't look for his projections to "shoot from the hip" or "try to guess which 3rd-year WRs will break out big this year." You won't see predictions that rookies like Tomlinson or Edgerrin James will be top-5 RBs (or that Eli Manning will finish as QB4). 

His projections rely on a demonstrated track record.  He'll take many factors into account in preparing his projections, but he'll basically take a fairly conservative approach to predicting any major changes. And that's fine from my perspective.  As long as I know where he's coming from, you can take his projections as a very good baseline, and then build in your own expectations about different teams and individual players.

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[The Dude]

Howabout if you take last years statistics in order and decide rank your qb's etc in order and match the two. That's as good as anything else.

 

[tytyty]

Charley, any chance on WR's?

 

[brewer]

I will be happy to post rankings this year if no one gets annoyed (or offers up death threats) if I completely ignore ALL emails, PMs, and threads asking me to explain them.

And while I never posted the complete rankings I had, I did offer up where I ranked many guys in threads for months and months leading up to the season, so it's not like I am taking credit after the fact.

In actuality, I am not even looking for any credit at all.  I put together what I did for my own use.  If others want to look at that info, fine, but I never felt I was "competing" with other people's rankings.

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To David and all staff from someone who reads all of the rankings and never asks for justification, the more rankings, the merrier. Honestly, if a particular staff member has someone way out of line with the masses, it causes me to ask why and look into the situation of that particular player, or perhaps the history of the staff member. Just a for instance, if I know Jason Wood is a Philly fan, I pay special attention to his thoughts on Brian Westbrook and Donovan McNabb.As for the overall rankings, these should certainly be debated in the forums, with staff chiming in as is already the case. The format works. Anyone who gets bent over an ignored PM should step back from the ledge.

Anyway, the more information you guys put out, the happier we should be.

 

[Charley]

Charley, any chance on WR's?

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OK, FWIW, here's the WRs:

9 13 4 WR 1 [15] Randy Moss Oak/5  [227 148 16]

19 19 0 WR 2 [6] Torry Holt StL/9  [205 187 14]

21 23 2 WR 3 [9] Marvin Harrison Ind/8  [200 186 15]

23 25 2 WR 4 [4] Chad Johnson Cin/10 [204 200 16]

25 22 -3 WR 5 [31] Terrell Owens Phi/6  [205 112 7]

26 29 3 WR 6 [56] Joe Horn NO/10  [184 71 13]

28 28 0 WR 7 [99+] Javon Walker GB/6 [181 --  --]

29 30 1 WR 8 [47] Andre Johnson Hou/3  [174 82 13]

31 51 20 WR 9 [38] Drew Bennett Ten/10 [170 98 13]

32 32 0 WR 10 [21] Reggie Wayne Ind/8 [187 135 16]

33 36 3 WR 11 [63] Darrell Jackson Sea/8 [178 67 6]

35 33 -2 WR 12 [10] Hines Ward Pit/4  [157 164 15]

36 37 1 WR 13 [93] Nate Burleson Min/5  [151 38 12]

41 40 -1 WR 14 [30] Roy Williams Det/3  [159 116 13]

43 43 0 WR 15 [94] Michael Clayton TB/7 [155 37 14]

45 59 14 WR 16 [13] Donald Driver GB/6 [142 153 16]

46 50 4 WR 17 [8] Anquan Boldin Ari/6 [142 186 14]

48 41 -7 WR 18 [1] Steve Smith Car/7  [145 236 16]

49 56 7 WR 19 [31] Laveranues Coles NYJ/8 [137 114 16]

54 66 12 WR 19 [58] Isaac Bruce StL/9  [146 71 11]

57 61 4 WR 20 [2] Larry Fitzgerald Ari/6 [139 205 16]

61 73 12 WR 21 [19] Jimmy Smith Jac/7  [143 138 16]

62 58 -4 WR 22 [26] Jerry Porter Oak/5 [133 123 16]

63 74 11 WR 23 [41] Ashley Lelie Den/9  [143 91 16]

67 79 12 WR 24 [22] Deion Branch NE/7 [133 129 16]

68 95 27 WR 25 [16] Rod Smith Den/9  [135 147 16]

70 70 0 WR 26 [7] Chris Chambers Mia/4 [143 187 16]

72 85 13 WR 27 [29] Lee Evans Buf/9 [144 120 16]

73 84 11 WR 28 [35] Eric Moulds Buf/9 [132 105 15]

74 86 12 WR 29 [11] Plaxico Burress NYG/5  [126 163 16]

77 88 11 WR 30 [37] Muhsin Muhammad Chi/4 [130 99 15]

80 102 22 WR 31 [18] Eddie Kennison KC/5 [129 144 16]

81 72 -9 WR 32 [24] Derrick Mason Bal/3 [126 125 16]

85 101 16 WR 33 [3] Santana Moss Was/3  [124 202 16]

88 106 18 WR 34 [14] T.J. Houshmandzadeh Cin/10 [127 149 14]

89 144 55 WR 35 [42] David Givens NE/7 [122 87 13]

91 131 40 WR 36 [28] Keyshawn Johnson Dal/9 [115 120 16]

94 117 23 WR 37 [20] Donte Stallworth NO/10 [131 136 16]

97 146 49 WR 38 [25] Antonio Bryant Cle/4 [89 125 16]

102 92 -10 WR 39 [69] Brandon Stokley Ind/8 [106 60 15]

103 135 32 WR 40 [36] Brandon Lloyd SF/6 [111 103 16]

Not on above list:

WR5 - Joey Galloway-- 189 points 16 games

WR12 - Terry Glenn -- 161 points 16 games

WR17 - Keenan McCardell -- 145 points 16 games

WR23 - Joe Jurevicius -- 129 points 16 games

WR27 - Kevin Curtis -- 122 points 16 games

WR33 - Amani Toomer -- 110 points 16 games

WR34 - Ernest Wilford  -- 110 points 16 games

WR39 - Eric Parker -- 96 points 16 games

WR40 - Bobby Engram -- 95 points 13 games

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[culdeus]

Charley, any chance on WR's?

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OK, FWIW, here's the WRs:

9 13 4 WR 1 [15] Randy Moss Oak/5  [227 148 16]

19 19 0 WR 2 [6] Torry Holt StL/9  [205 187 14]

21 23 2 WR 3 [9] Marvin Harrison Ind/8  [200 186 15]

23 25 2 WR 4 [4] Chad Johnson Cin/10 [204 200 16]

25 22 -3 WR 5 [31] Terrell Owens Phi/6  [205 112 7]

26 29 3 WR 6 [56] Joe Horn NO/10  [184 71 13]

28 28 0 WR 7 [99+] Javon Walker GB/6 [181 --  --]

29 30 1 WR 8 [47] Andre Johnson Hou/3  [174 82 13]

31 51 20 WR 9 [38] Drew Bennett Ten/10 [170 98 13]

32 32 0 WR 10 [21] Reggie Wayne Ind/8 [187 135 16]

33 36 3 WR 11 [63] Darrell Jackson Sea/8 [178 67 6]

35 33 -2 WR 12 [10] Hines Ward Pit/4  [157 164 15]

36 37 1 WR 13 [93] Nate Burleson Min/5  [151 38 12]

41 40 -1 WR 14 [30] Roy Williams Det/3  [159 116 13]

43 43 0 WR 15 [94] Michael Clayton TB/7 [155 37 14]

45 59 14 WR 16 [13] Donald Driver GB/6 [142 153 16]

46 50 4 WR 17 [8] Anquan Boldin Ari/6 [142 186 14]

48 41 -7 WR 18 [1] Steve Smith Car/7  [145 236 16]

49 56 7 WR 19 [31] Laveranues Coles NYJ/8 [137 114 16]

54 66 12 WR 19 [58] Isaac Bruce StL/9  [146 71 11]

57 61 4 WR 20 [2] Larry Fitzgerald Ari/6 [139 205 16]

61 73 12 WR 21 [19] Jimmy Smith Jac/7  [143 138 16]

62 58 -4 WR 22 [26] Jerry Porter Oak/5 [133 123 16]

63 74 11 WR 23 [41] Ashley Lelie Den/9  [143 91 16]

67 79 12 WR 24 [22] Deion Branch NE/7 [133 129 16]

68 95 27 WR 25 [16] Rod Smith Den/9  [135 147 16]

70 70 0 WR 26 [7] Chris Chambers Mia/4 [143 187 16]

72 85 13 WR 27 [29] Lee Evans Buf/9 [144 120 16]

73 84 11 WR 28 [35] Eric Moulds Buf/9 [132 105 15]

74 86 12 WR 29 [11] Plaxico Burress NYG/5  [126 163 16]

77 88 11 WR 30 [37] Muhsin Muhammad Chi/4 [130 99 15]

80 102 22 WR 31 [18] Eddie Kennison KC/5 [129 144 16]

81 72 -9 WR 32 [24] Derrick Mason Bal/3 [126 125 16]

85 101 16 WR 33 [3] Santana Moss Was/3  [124 202 16]

88 106 18 WR 34 [14] T.J. Houshmandzadeh Cin/10 [127 149 14]

89 144 55 WR 35 [42] David Givens NE/7 [122 87 13]

91 131 40 WR 36 [28] Keyshawn Johnson Dal/9 [115 120 16]

94 117 23 WR 37 [20] Donte Stallworth NO/10 [131 136 16]

97 146 49 WR 38 [25] Antonio Bryant Cle/4 [89 125 16]

102 92 -10 WR 39 [69] Brandon Stokley Ind/8 [106 60 15]

103 135 32 WR 40 [36] Brandon Lloyd SF/6 [111 103 16]

Not on above list:

WR5 - Joey Galloway-- 189 points 16 games

WR12 - Terry Glenn -- 161 points 16 games

WR17 - Keenan McCardell -- 145 points 16 games

WR23 - Joe Jurevicius -- 129 points 16 games

WR27 - Kevin Curtis -- 122 points 16 games

WR33 - Amani Toomer -- 110 points 16 games

WR34 - Ernest Wilford  -- 110 points 16 games

WR39 - Eric Parker -- 96 points 16 games

WR40 - Bobby Engram -- 95 points 13 games

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