Free Analysis from Dr Bob, if it helps anyone making a decision about MNF...
http://www.drbobsports.com/index.cfm
HOUSTON 24 Baltimore (-3.0) 21Share Baltimore vs. Houston Analysis On Facebook
Over/Under Total: 46.0
05:30 PM Pacific Time, Monday, 13-Dec-2010
I’m not going to try to make an argument about line value because my math model favors Baltimore by 4 ½ points in this game. However, the situations are very strongly in favor of the Texans in this game. Houston applies to a very strong 164-77-6 ATS late season situation that is 21-5-1 ATS the last 3 seasons and that angle is 24-5 ATS when applying to a Monday night home underdog (those teams are 21-8 straight up). Baltimore comes into this game after losing last Sunday night to the Steelers, but don’t expect them to play well simply because they lost last week. Monday night road teams with winning records that are coming off a loss the previous week are actually just 21-45-1 ATS, including 2-16 ATS as a road favorite of less than 7 points. Houston also applies to a 115-52-4 ATS Monday night angle that won with the Patriots last week. Good offensive teams usually make for good bets as home underdogs, as home dogs that average 360 total yards of offense or more are 67-39-1 ATS, and I expect the Texans to give a great effort with their season on the line. The lack of line value will keep me from making The Texans a Best Bet, but I’ll consider Houston a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more (at -120 odds or better).