Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Yeah, I work kind of a pseudo 2nd-shift. Go to bed at 6am ... wake up at 3pm.Pretty big upset....spains stats were pretty ridiculous to end up with no goals.wait....you just woke up?!
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
lumpy19
Footballguy
I had Spain to finish out a 4 team parlay
Not that I would have had the sack to take them, but... 
This world cup is demolishing my funds
hooter311
Footballguy
Glad the right Uruguay team showed up today, playing at altitude had me a bit concerned.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Love it...I played it this morning at u6.5(+108), hate that it moved against me and i have no idea why it moved against me with these 2 guys on the mound. The most confusing baseball line move I've seen this season.
cosjobs
Footballguy
I was surprised to see the total so high. I am wondering if there are weather issues? Nothing screws with an ace SP like a rain delay. But the start time was too near to go check the weather websites.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Mauer is getting some rest too.Colorado already with a run in and a runner on 3rd with 1 out
lumpy19
Footballguy
culdeus
Footballguy
One of my good buddies lost by my estimation 70-95k gambling over the last 3-4 years. Most to locals, but they cut him off. Lots to poker sites, and some offshores. One of the last bets he ever made was Lakers NBA TW 10k. No idea what he has in it. I figure he'd get back what? 12-13k total. He's been seeing counselors and stuff about this and his drinking and I think he's turned it around FWIW. He's now very interested in working out and has picked up some other hobbies and rec. leagues.
He called me to tell me about this today. He claims he's done betting for good. I sort of hope this ticket loses, but if it doesn't what advice should I give if asked and if he doesn't ask should I make it my business?
He called me to tell me about this today. He claims he's done betting for good. I sort of hope this ticket loses, but if it doesn't what advice should I give if asked and if he doesn't ask should I make it my business?
modogg
Footballguy
yup. make it your business. He told you about it, so he wants to talk to you about it. I got a buddy in a very similar situation, lost over 70K over a few years. My buddy went to a gambler's anonymous and said it worked like a charm. I am not sure it did, but he knows how bad it can get. I'm not sure of the exact advice to give him, but I know with my buddy he has so many other people taking this authoratative approach and talking to him like he is a little kid. He lies to all of them but me mostly because they just talk down to him constantly. When i talk to him, i tell him if he feels he is chasing drop me a line, and keep his units under control if he is gambling again. I am actually going with him to a casino in 2 months, so we'll see where he is at. His problem was betting on games though. Either way, good luck.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I don't play roulette very often. Maybe one of you can answer this?
Does the green "0" and the green "00" pay off if you bet on even?
http://www.bettingcorp.com/wp-content/ups/...ette-table1.jpg
Does the green "0" and the green "00" pay off if you bet on even?
http://www.bettingcorp.com/wp-content/ups/...ette-table1.jpg
hooter311
Footballguy
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Thank you.
John Bender
Footballguy
Glad I didn't hedge off of the Kobe MVP bet even though he raped Gasol for the trophy. Did not have an MVP like series. Almost thought even Artest had a shot there for a second.
Anyway, nice little payday. Thanks GR
Anyway, nice little payday. Thanks GR
Warehouse Nasty
Footballguy
Keep it that way. Offers terrible odds.
John Bender
Footballguy
WIN Totals for NFL up on sportsbook.com
Arizona Cardinals
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
Atlanta Falcons
Over 9 (even)
Under 9 (-120)
Baltimore Ravens
Over 10 (-120)
Under 10 (even)
Buffalo Bills
Over 5.5 (+110)
Under 5.5 (-130)
Carolina Panthers
Over 7.5 (+110)
Under 7.5 (-130)
Chicago Bears
Over 8 (+110)
Under 8 (-130)
Cincinnati Bengals
Over 7.5 (-140)
Under 7.5 (+120)
Cleveland Browns
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Dallas Cowboys
Over 9.5 (-165)
Under 9.5 (+145)
Denver Broncos
Over 7.5 (-130)
Under 7.5 (+110)
Detroit Lions
Over 5 (-135)
Under 5 (+115)
Green Bay Packers
Over 9.5 (-165)
Under 9.5 (+145)
Houston Texans
Over 8 (-130)
Under 8 (+110)
Indianapolis Colts
Over 11 (+110)
Under 11 (-130)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over 7 (even)
Under 7 (-120)
Kansas City Chiefs
Over 6.5 (-140)
Under 6.5 (+120)
Miami Dolphins
Over 8.5 (-120)
Under 8.5 (even)
Minnesota Vikings
Over 9.5 (-140)
Under 9.5 (+120)
New England Patriots
Over 9.5 (-125)
Under 9.5 (+105)
New Orleans Saints
Over 10.5 (+120)
Under 10.5 (-140)
New York Giants
Over 8.5 (-135)
Under 8.5 (+115)
New York Jets
Over 9.5 (+115)
Under 9.5 (-135)
Oakland Raiders
Over 6
Under 6
Philadelphia Eagles
Over 8.5 (+110)
Under 8.5 (-130)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 9 (+130)
Under 9 (-150)
San Diego Chargers
Over 11 (+110)
Under 11 (-130)
San Francisco 49ers
Over 8.5 (-160)
Under 8.5 (+140)
Seattle Seahawks
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
St Louis Rams
Over 5 (+115)
Under 5 (-135)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over 5.5 (-120)
Under 5.5 (even)
Tennessee Titans
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Washington Redskins
Over 7.5 (+105)
Under 7.5 (-125)
Arizona Cardinals
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
Atlanta Falcons
Over 9 (even)
Under 9 (-120)
Baltimore Ravens
Over 10 (-120)
Under 10 (even)
Buffalo Bills
Over 5.5 (+110)
Under 5.5 (-130)
Carolina Panthers
Over 7.5 (+110)
Under 7.5 (-130)
Chicago Bears
Over 8 (+110)
Under 8 (-130)
Cincinnati Bengals
Over 7.5 (-140)
Under 7.5 (+120)
Cleveland Browns
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Dallas Cowboys
Over 9.5 (-165)
Under 9.5 (+145)
Denver Broncos
Over 7.5 (-130)
Under 7.5 (+110)
Detroit Lions
Over 5 (-135)
Under 5 (+115)
Green Bay Packers
Over 9.5 (-165)
Under 9.5 (+145)
Houston Texans
Over 8 (-130)
Under 8 (+110)
Indianapolis Colts
Over 11 (+110)
Under 11 (-130)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over 7 (even)
Under 7 (-120)
Kansas City Chiefs
Over 6.5 (-140)
Under 6.5 (+120)
Miami Dolphins
Over 8.5 (-120)
Under 8.5 (even)
Minnesota Vikings
Over 9.5 (-140)
Under 9.5 (+120)
New England Patriots
Over 9.5 (-125)
Under 9.5 (+105)
New Orleans Saints
Over 10.5 (+120)
Under 10.5 (-140)
New York Giants
Over 8.5 (-135)
Under 8.5 (+115)
New York Jets
Over 9.5 (+115)
Under 9.5 (-135)
Oakland Raiders
Over 6
Under 6
Philadelphia Eagles
Over 8.5 (+110)
Under 8.5 (-130)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 9 (+130)
Under 9 (-150)
San Diego Chargers
Over 11 (+110)
Under 11 (-130)
San Francisco 49ers
Over 8.5 (-160)
Under 8.5 (+140)
Seattle Seahawks
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
St Louis Rams
Over 5 (+115)
Under 5 (-135)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over 5.5 (-120)
Under 5.5 (even)
Tennessee Titans
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Washington Redskins
Over 7.5 (+105)
Under 7.5 (-125)
modogg
Footballguy
looks like some of those were hit pretty good already. I like playing those but i can't play around too much with my balance limping along. I like going against the grain with taking the Eagles and Skins over. The crazy thing with these is accounting for injuries. Lot of pre-season coming up to try and guess who will may get hurt and who won't. there are some others that look attractive, but i will wait for a bit to look into it more. And Bender, we have 3 MMA shows coming up this weekend. I have a few plays for the TUF finale tomorrow, and WEC and Sengoku on Sunday could produce a few possible picks.
John Bender
Footballguy
mo
I don't follow WEC enough to chime in on that or Sengoku but here's where I'm at on the tuF Finale (can't wait for Carwin/Lesnar BTW)
James Hammortree +110 (vs. Chris Camozzi)
Rich Attonito -105 (vs. Jamie Yager)
Kris Mccray +150 (vs. Cord McGee) VIA KNOCKOUT
Cord is still pretty inexperienced and this is a value play (but also my real prediction)
Obviously I don't have a lot of background on these guys, but I've never missed an episode of the show so I'm going off of what I saw.
what are you thoughts brotha?
I don't follow WEC enough to chime in on that or Sengoku but here's where I'm at on the tuF Finale (can't wait for Carwin/Lesnar BTW)
James Hammortree +110 (vs. Chris Camozzi)
Rich Attonito -105 (vs. Jamie Yager)
Kris Mccray +150 (vs. Cord McGee) VIA KNOCKOUT
Cord is still pretty inexperienced and this is a value play (but also my real prediction)
Obviously I don't have a lot of background on these guys, but I've never missed an episode of the show so I'm going off of what I saw.
what are you thoughts brotha?
modogg
Footballguy
I'm actually on Camozzi for that one. He is something like 12-3 and has some good experience. I am not sure what books you have, but if you want to play Hammortree you should lok for a prop for a 1st round KO or TKO. He is 5-1 and all of his wins are first round TKO's. Cammozzi has a good chin, and i think he can exploit Hammortree's weaknesses (his ground game and grappling). And i actaully am high on McGee as well. he is something like 12-1 or something, and his only loss is to Jeremy Horn. He beat some good guys too, like Demarcus Johnson. He also has been training with Hacklman for this one, and I think Kris has been working out in his place in Virginia. Also, McCray's record is all against real small shows in Virginia, so the level of competition they have faced is very different. If you like McCray, i think you take him by decision too because his wrestling gives him a chance, but i think his chance of winning that fight are about 30% or so. I do like the Attonito play, but that is a lighter one for me because Yager certainly has KO power. i just think Attonito knows how to gameplan for yager and that he needs to do to beat him (like Bryant did on the show). i am also looking at some others i need to look in a little more to see if i am missing something. I am itching to make some money back from my Pat Barry and Hornbuckle plays, and am going for sportbooks' jugular if I can.EDIT: I am actually thinking about leaning toward a no play on Hammertree-Camozzi. I have been reading that Camozzi's broken jaw may have taken some time to heal and they are not sure how much prep time he had for this fight. a few unknown variables on this have me leaning a no play.
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Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
lumpy19
Footballguy
Mo don't assume that just because all the lines aren't -110 on both sides that they've been bet. On season win totals books often just move the juice around to make the bet fair.I'm completely :whoosh: to see that you like the eagles over.....completely against what you normally domodogg said:
I haven't found anyone else with posted lines, I'm sure there are pretty large mistakes in these lines but I havne't done any NFL research yet.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Forgot to post my Wimbledon plays in here; they are the second post in the Wimbledon thread, if anyone cares. Basically, I'm all over Nadal, and fading Federer. With the tourney started, and Federer in a dog fight already, I have no idea if or where you can find some Nadal, but I would do it if you can. I got him at +170...
I guess you can bet Rafa if he gets to the Finals. In which case, you want Federer to also reach. Anyone else, and Nadal will be too big a fave.
I guess you can bet Rafa if he gets to the Finals. In which case, you want Federer to also reach. Anyone else, and Nadal will be too big a fave.
let me guess, $25 limits? they had US Open live betting yesterday, $25 limits, I don't even bother with them anymore.
zander_s
Footballguy
modogg
Footballguy
I haven't paid attn. to poker for years, but i'll give this a shot.
modogg
Footballguy
Interesting about them moving the juice based on making the bets fair. I haven't looked into much either at this point, but how can you not like the Eagles Lump?? One of these stupid Philly teams has to have success one of these days, no? There is one homer line i have been hitting up, and will continue to do so for a bit. sportsbook has the Phillies to win the NL East +250. The Braves are the favorite there at -300. I think the line is a huge over-reaction to the Phils hitting the usualy slump they hit in the summer. The only thing that has me a little concerned is what the Phils, Braves and Mets will do when the trade deadline comes around. There are some very good pitchers that may be available. But still, the Phils at +250 is very good value, even for hopeless Mets fansMo don't assume that just because all the lines aren't -110 on both sides that they've been bet. On season win totals books often just move the juice around to make the bet fair.I'm completelymodogg said:
I haven't found anyone else with posted lines, I'm sure there are pretty large mistakes in these lines but I havne't done any NFL research yet.
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lumpy19
Footballguy
I went to the site from a clean IP and you're right $25 limits
I still play futures there but that's about it. That place must be struggling since they separated from the sportsbook.com group their limits on everything have been slowly lowered to almost nothing.
modogg
Footballguy
some tough juice, but i'll give it a shot
cosjobs
Footballguy
I think the Mets win the NL EastInteresting about them moving the juice based on making the bets fair. I haven't looked into much either at this point, but how can you not like the Eagles Lump?? One of these stupid Philly teams has to have success one of these days, no? There is one homer line i have been hitting up, and will continue to do so for a bit. sportsbook has the Phillies to win the NL East +250. The Braves are the favorite there at -300. I think the line is a huge over-reaction to the Phils hitting the usualy slump they hit in the summer. The only thing that has me a little concerned is what the Phils, Braves and Mets will do when the trade deadline comes around. There are some very good pitchers that may be available. But still, the Phils at +250 is very good value, even for hopeless Mets fansMo don't assume that just because all the lines aren't -110 on both sides that they've been bet. On season win totals books often just move the juice around to make the bet fair.I'm completelyto see that you like the eagles over.....completely against what you normally do
I haven't found anyone else with posted lines, I'm sure there are pretty large mistakes in these lines but I havne't done any NFL research yet.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Really? Flyers just went to the stanley cup finals and the phillies won the series in 2008 and lost it in 2009. you really think philly teams haven't had success?I have no delusions that the mets can keep this up. Your problem is the braves. +67 run differential compared to phillies +21. That's a significant difference. Still a lot of baseball but the Phillies have to climb over the mets(+41) and the braves at this point. +250 seems like a pretty fair line.Interesting about them moving the juice based on making the bets fair. I haven't looked into much either at this point, but how can you not like the Eagles Lump?? One of these stupid Philly teams has to have success one of these days, no?
There is one homer line i have been hitting up, and will continue to do so for a bit. sportsbook has the Phillies to win the NL East +250. The Braves are the favorite there at -300. I think the line is a huge over-reaction to the Phils hitting the usualy slump they hit in the summer. The only thing that has me a little concerned is what the Phils, Braves and Mets will do when the trade deadline comes around. There are some very good pitchers that may be available. But still, the Phils at +250 is very good value, even for hopeless Mets fans
zander_s
Footballguy
I'm in!
modogg
Footballguy
No, i know the Philadelphia teams have been doing well as of late. I guess when speaking to a fan of the Buffalo Bills and New York Mets, I should realize a successful season is a winning season. (BANG!!Really? Flyers just went to the stanley cup finals and the phillies won the series in 2008 and lost it in 2009. you really think philly teams haven't had success?I have no delusions that the mets can keep this up. Your problem is the braves. +67 run differential compared to phillies +21. That's a significant difference. Still a lot of baseball but the Phillies have to climb over the mets(+41) and the braves at this point. +250 seems like a pretty fair line.Interesting about them moving the juice based on making the bets fair. I haven't looked into much either at this point, but how can you not like the Eagles Lump?? One of these stupid Philly teams has to have success one of these days, no?
There is one homer line i have been hitting up, and will continue to do so for a bit. sportsbook has the Phillies to win the NL East +250. The Braves are the favorite there at -300. I think the line is a huge over-reaction to the Phils hitting the usualy slump they hit in the summer. The only thing that has me a little concerned is what the Phils, Braves and Mets will do when the trade deadline comes around. There are some very good pitchers that may be available. But still, the Phils at +250 is very good value, even for hopeless Mets fans
) As for the phils, they seem to hit this rut for the last 2 years. I think they focus on peaking at the right time, and understand you can't play at a very high level throughout a season. The bullpen needs a little tweaking, but the run differential doesn't bother me too much. When they had those cold bats for a few weeks, they were real cold. The Flyers were outscoring the Phils for a few weeks. With J-Roll in the line-up tonight they will get a little spark, and i actually grabbed them -1.5 RL tonight. I think the Mets worry more than the Braves, i think the Braves will hit a wall soon and their home record will not continue at the current pace that it is (24-7).
