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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

What if sports has VCU beating USC 66.3% of the time in the sim. BMJ likes VCU too, good enough for me. :banned:
Add VCU +5.5
VCU +9.5VCU ML +425
I guess I'll be naming my 1st born VCU since they are paying for my kid's college. Only regret was not playing some ML on Friday, I didn't think they had any chance today but I shouldn't have doubted them. What a run, GB you VCU. Got UK ML and O145 in game 2.
 
Unless I really like a fave for some reason, I'm just gonna keep the dog theme going here. Thought there was a lotta parity going into this thing and there's even more now. When you see Duke getting blown out, you know anything can happen to just about anybody, why not continue to take the points? We also keep getting better lines with them as well, if you just wait. Moneylines too...All 4 dogs. Both dogs tomorrow too. :deadhorse:
:deadhorse: ONE more to go. After starting 0 - 2, and in two absolute slaughters no less, the dogs have come home to roost, going 5 - 0.Problem with this last one is, who's the damn dog???
 
28-14-2 +17.55 units for the tournament

Pretty nice surprise here since I'm not a hoops guy and I appreciate some of the tails I got in this thread. Also thank you UK and VCU, you've been good to me. :thumbup:

 
Oh, damn lump... sorry about your Kansas futures. This game sucked.
I quit.After busting my ### last year and working my bankroll up to 6 figures....the last 3 months i've lost most of it. In early january i was at $1400 unit, i'm now down to $300 unit......its been 3 months of losing like i never thought i could experience. Feel like i flushed so much work down the toilet in just 3 months.Those kansas bets were huge +EV, HUGE.....they were rolling into the championship game with the easiest route of any team ever, never having to face a seed higher than 8 til the championship game. Its so frustrating.
 
Sorry to hear that bud. We've all been there.

I just hope the NFL and the players come to an agreement so I can tail your ### in the preseason!

Chin up... bases are a few days away. :thumbup:

 
Wow, sorry to hear that.

Going for some late Sunday entertainment action. So what the hell, PHOENIX moneyline at +145...why not?!

 
Lumpy>you're better at this than almost anyone else, you'll get back on track. Bad runs suck, I quit for a long time because of one and I don't play the volume and sums you do. Hopefully beisbol season sets you right...

Speaking of that...BRONG where is your win totals thread???????? Let's do this!

 
Double D, I went with a bunch of player props this year, so not really focused on win totals, although I'll play a few. I think there might be a thread on it already in the baseball forum. If not, I'll fire one up after I watch Phoenix win outright, know what I'm sayin?

 
I played these player props at greek

Sabathia -2 wins over Carpenter - carpenter WILL spend time on the DL this year

Sabathia -2.5 wins over Kershaw

Kershaw +2 over carpenter

Cliff Lee -2 wins over Carpenter

There's a lot more i'd like to play but I don't seem to be too strong on season long bets so i've slowed down and only played the strongest ones.

I posted these earlier in the thread, team wins

Mets u79.5

stl u84.5

phi u97.5

 
NEED SOME BRACKET HELP

I have to submit a total for the Championship game in the event UCONN wins.

What is the likely best total for UCONN vs BUTLER or VCU?

In the event UCONN wins out the tiebreaker will come into play.

Looking at trends on SB it seems if you total their PF and PA it comes to 139. Is that a good number to start with or do you guys suggest something different? Last five game total was 133. Better number?

 
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NEED SOME BRACKET HELP

I have to submit a total for the Championship game in the event UCONN wins.

What is the likely best total for UCONN vs BUTLER or VCU?

In the event UCONN wins out the tiebreaker will come into play.

Looking at trends on SB it seems if you total their PF and PA it comes to 139. Is that a good number to start with or do you guys suggest something different? Last five game total was 133. Better number?
I'd go over to kenpom and play around over their, that'll give you a much better number
 
sportsbook.com just posted MLB RSW, like that phillies under and i bet mets u79.5 already but i like the o76.5 at sportsbook. I hate betting a season long middle but i think 76.5 is too low.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over 66.5 (-140)

Under 66.5 (+120)

Philadelphia Phillies

Over 97.5 (-115)

Under 97.5 (-115)

San Francisco Giants

Over 87.5 (-125)

Under 87.5 (-105)

Seattle Mariners

Over 70 (-130)

Under 70 (even)

St Louis Cardinals

Over 84.5 (-115)

Under 84.5 (-115) Close to push but lean under

Tampa Bay Rays

Over 84.5 (-115)

Under 84.5 (-115)

Texas Rangers

Over 86 (-140)

Under 86 (+110) Push

Toronto Blue Jays

Over 76.5 (-115)

Under 76.5 (-115)

Washington Nationals

Over 72 (-115)

Under 72 (-115)

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over 72.5 (-115)

Under 72.5 (-115)

Atlanta Braves

Over 87 (-115)

Under 87 (-115)

Baltimore Orioles

Over 76.5 (-115)

Under 76.5 (-115)

Boston Red Sox

Over 95.5 (-115)

Under 95.5 (-115) Lean under

Chicago Cubs

Over 82.5 (-115)

Under 82.5 (-115)

Chicago White Sox

Over 85 (-125)

Under 85 (-105) Push

Cincinnati Reds

Over 85.5 (-115)

Under 85.5 (-115) Pass

Cleveland Indians

Over 71.5 (-115)

Under 71.5 (-115)

Colorado Rockies

Over 86 (-130)

Under 86 (even)

Detroit Tigers

Over 84 (-115)

Under 84 (-115)

Florida Marlins

Over 82.5 (-115)

Under 82.5 (-115) Nothing

Houston Astros

Over 72 (-115)

Under 72 (-115)

Kansas City Royals

Over 68 (even)

Under 68 (-130)

Los Angeles Angels

Over 83 (-115)

Under 83 (-115)

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over 83 (-115)

Under 83 (-115) Push

Milwaukee Brewers

Over 86.5 (-115)

Under 86.5 (-115)

Minnesota Twins

Over 86 (-115)

Under 86 (-115)

New York Mets

Over 75.5 (-115)

Under 75.5 (-115)

New York Yankees

Over 91.5 (-115)

Under 91.5 (-115)

Oakland Athletics

Over 83.5 (-130)

Under 83.5 (even) Nothing

San Diego Padres

Over 75.5 (-115)

Under 75.5 (-115
Of those I like the Phillies under, Rays over and Angels over the most. Will likely play the Tigers over also but injuries will likely be the difference on either side of 85 for the Sux, Twins and Tigers. Astros and Indians seem like possible 95 loss teams but five wins over the course of a season is slight. Pirates at 66.5 seems attractive also because that division is a mess and Mets O75.5 seems like a decent option as well although they could completely implode. Also like Tigers more wins than the Twins +120 and Angels more wins than the Rangers +155.

 
NEED SOME BRACKET HELP

I have to submit a total for the Championship game in the event UCONN wins.

What is the likely best total for UCONN vs BUTLER or VCU?

In the event UCONN wins out the tiebreaker will come into play.

Looking at trends on SB it seems if you total their PF and PA it comes to 139. Is that a good number to start with or do you guys suggest something different? Last five game total was 133. Better number?
I'd go over to kenpom and play around over their, that'll give you a much better number
I settled on 133. Turns out the other guy had 150 so I'm clear on anything 141 and down and he's got 142+ :unsure:

We'll see how it goes... Just need UCONN to win first.

 
i would caution a bit with the Phillies under. It makes sense, and I agree it is a good play, but i also know if they get around 95 wins or soemthing, they will be very motivated to top the 100 win mark.

ETA: and a play for tonight, Sixers +10. They have lost 2 in a row, and the loss against the Kings seems to have woken them up a bit, they should be able to keep it in with-in 10

 
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i would caution a bit with the Phillies under. It makes sense, and I agree it is a good play, but i also know if they get around 95 wins or soemthing, they will be very motivated to top the 100 win mark.
Yeah they'll probably get close but are teams really motivated by 100 wins? Maybe a little, but I don't think it factors in to this bet.
 
i would caution a bit with the Phillies under. It makes sense, and I agree it is a good play, but i also know if they get around 95 wins or soemthing, they will be very motivated to top the 100 win mark.
Yeah they'll probably get close but are teams really motivated by 100 wins? Maybe a little, but I don't think it factors in to this bet.
I'm not worried about them wanting to get 100 wins, I don't think that means anything to teams. If the pitching staff stays healthy my wager will be in trouble. This bet is mostly just a fade of all the public love for the "super" team.
 
I took these three for now:

2u Tampa O84.5 wins +110

Tigers +185 to win AL Central

Angels +225 to win AL West

Might add a few more today or tomorrow but need to look at a few more things.

 
Can't wait for some NHL Playoffs. :headbang:

Tonight's card:

In Regulation -.5

Buffalo +144 (2 units)

Chicago +188

Carolina +269

Dallas +209

Minnesota +243

Vancouver +169

Atlanta +227

O/U

Buf/Tor u5.5 (-115)

Ottawa/TB o5.5 (+105)

Chicago/Boston o5.5 (+115)

Vancouver/Nashville u5 (-105)

Min/STL u 5.5 (-130)

ATL/Mon u5.5 (-130)

Car/Was o5.5 (+115)

 
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Vancouver/Nashville u5 (-105)
I like this one too, tonight (+110). glllll
:thumbup: Lets make some money! I knew I should have hit it this morning. Was kind of hoping you would drop some insight DD before I locked anything in.
I've been a bit cold lately with pucks. This happens almost every year with me and I usually jump ship around now and wait for the playoffs. Really only playing what I consider the very best plays, thought this one was at worst a push. Smart people on TB/Sens O5.5 like you though, but I'll pass for now. gllll tonight
 
Late to the board - late night, rough day.

FTR, I have small money on Washington State ML, backed up by some Washington State +3, NIT, just tipped off at MSG, more or less a 'rooting interest' play, nothing serious...

...I'm going to play Alabama pretty heavily, though. Currently stands at -2.5, I'm going to wait it out, hoping to get -2, but -3 doesn't worry me. Same deal, inside-out: bet the line, backed up by some ML.

It's unfortunate that this isn't the Championship Game, as these were the two Teams that generated the most controversy in regards to being 'Not Invited'. SEC is where I make the majority of my plays, and they are the Teams I know best. There's no question in my mind that the Crimson Tide at least deserved Georgia's bid to The Dance. They're definitely playing with the right 'show 'em' attitude right now. I can't deny Colorado is, as well, but 'bama is a deeper, tougher Team, and I think they have the size, length and defense to put the clamps on the Buffs Alec Burks. He's supposedly got NBA potential, but lately the in-game play-by-play guys have been commenting that he's not playing like it. While he's probably the most talented player on the floor, as I work my way through the rosters, I think there's a stark contrast in the supporting casts, which should lead to an Alabama victory by a small margin.

FWIW, I'm quite behind right now. I got my clock absolutely cleaned by VCU Sunday, played the Kansas ML. Unbelievable.

Good Luck!

 
For those of you who played a lot of the hockey totals this season thumbs up, its been a good season. The last two seasons we have noticed a huge drop off the last few weeks of the season as teams clinch spots in the playoffs and rookies get called up. We have more or less come to the conclusion that we are going to call it a season tomorrow with my account still in tact. Depending on where the line opens we should have one more three star play before we shut it down. I'll try and post it early.

 
Bravo to thegreek, dimelines for MLB this year....at least the first 2 days anyway.

betonline, betjam, 5dimes, and now greek all offering dimelines for MLB

competition is good

 
OK men - here she is. Under 26.5 shots on the Devils line. We are going with a three star play on this. Yes 26.5 is low, but the Islanders played at NJ twice so far this year and have put on 15 and 14 shots. In the last 6 home games for NJ the shot toals have been 12, 20, 15, 21, 26 and 16.

Good luck everyone. Hopefully this comes in and we will try and push our luck for a few more games

 
Bravo to thegreek, dimelines for MLB this year....at least the first 2 days anyway.betonline, betjam, 5dimes, and now greek all offering dimelines for MLBcompetition is good
Yuck - sportbook is 20 cents. If I am going to play along at home with you baseball sharps I'm going to have to branch out.Anyone like anything opening day?
 
Bravo to thegreek, dimelines for MLB this year....at least the first 2 days anyway.betonline, betjam, 5dimes, and now greek all offering dimelines for MLBcompetition is good
Yuck - sportbook is 20 cents. If I am going to play along at home with you baseball sharps I'm going to have to branch out.Anyone like anything opening day?
don't even know the line, but I'll take the Phils. then may lay off them for a few months, but they will win their opening day gameETA: meant for their game on Friday during the day
 
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OK men - here she is. Under 26.5 shots on the Devils line. We are going with a three star play on this. Yes 26.5 is low, but the Islanders played at NJ twice so far this year and have put on 15 and 14 shots. In the last 6 home games for NJ the shot toals have been 12, 20, 15, 21, 26 and 16.Good luck everyone. Hopefully this comes in and we will try and push our luck for a few more games
I tried, but at 26 -130 I balked. Then when I went to put a smaller play in at that price, I was informed it was 25.5, so I bailed on it.
 
Bravo to thegreek, dimelines for MLB this year....at least the first 2 days anyway.betonline, betjam, 5dimes, and now greek all offering dimelines for MLBcompetition is good
Yuck - sportbook is 20 cents. If I am going to play along at home with you baseball sharps I'm going to have to branch out.Anyone like anything opening day?
sportsbook has dimelines but i don't think they kick in til gameday at 10am and they only go to -150, i think....for opening day i havemil +107was +134mil/cincy o8 -110
 

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