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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

'sts911911 said:
'lumpy19 said:
Interesting note this morning from Peter King on NFL training camps

I think the defense is ahead of the offense in the camps I've seen. In some cases, far ahead. The Eagle D was devouring the offense in the Friday morning practice, two days after the Jets offense (minus a few first-teamers) could get very little done against the defense.From what I hear, that's common around the league. It's easier to throw your body around on defense than it is to do something a little more in-sync, like have 11 people moving in the right direction on a pass play that might be complicated for players who haven't studied it very thoroughly yet.
Click to expand...
Looking at teasers for week 1x I think in addition to the standard 6pt 3 teamers it might be smart to play some of the more exotic teasers 3 team 10 pointers and some sites even offer 13 pointers. All dogs. The 13 point teasers work well on games lined at 1/1.5 and 4/4.5Getting 13pts in games with totals at 35ish is nuts, example cincy +17.5 when the game total is 35.5ETA: I also might play these now instead of waiting til wednesday. I think most of the dogs are going to get bet with the short training camp.
Click to expand...
I would really like to tail you but am wondering what 3 teams you are including in your parlay. Mind sharing where you are leaning?
Click to expand...
I haven't bet anything yet, I'll post when I bet.
 
Betonline offers a 21 pt super teaser :drool:

Appears they've turned off all teasers for NFLx hope other sites don't follow this.

 
'lumpy19 said:
'Raider Nation said:
You guys might wanna fade the Arizona Cardinals in the preseason. Sirius NFL Radio was at their camp today and they had a long conversation with Kevin Kolb. His head is SPINNING trying to learn Wiz's offense, and he readily admitted it. The short camp means he has to cram a lot of new plays into a very tight schedule. The offense he's in now is nothing like the offense he ran under Andy Reid.

Probably a good idea to fade any QB learning a new system this summer, for that matter.
Click to expand...
Mort was on the radio this morning and said that usually the first few weeks of the regular season we see some pretty ugly football. I've never noticed it but I'm usually so excited for football that I could care less. He then went on to say that he talked to the hoodie and NE has 9 plays they're currently comfortable running in their offense. 9 plays.
Click to expand...
The average NFL game had about 43.5 points last year. Week 1 average was 36.5 points, week 2 41.4 points. Week 3 was right at the average at 43.4 points. So there's certainly some truth to that statement or at least was last year. Obviously the books adjust for this in their totals and will especially this year. I wonder what the average week 1 total is right now?

 
'lumpy19 said:
'sts911911 said:
'lumpy19 said:
Interesting note this morning from Peter King on NFL training camps

I think the defense is ahead of the offense in the camps I've seen. In some cases, far ahead. The Eagle D was devouring the offense in the Friday morning practice, two days after the Jets offense (minus a few first-teamers) could get very little done against the defense.From what I hear, that's common around the league. It's easier to throw your body around on defense than it is to do something a little more in-sync, like have 11 people moving in the right direction on a pass play that might be complicated for players who haven't studied it very thoroughly yet.
Click to expand...
Looking at teasers for week 1x I think in addition to the standard 6pt 3 teamers it might be smart to play some of the more exotic teasers 3 team 10 pointers and some sites even offer 13 pointers. All dogs. The 13 point teasers work well on games lined at 1/1.5 and 4/4.5Getting 13pts in games with totals at 35ish is nuts, example cincy +17.5 when the game total is 35.5ETA: I also might play these now instead of waiting til wednesday. I think most of the dogs are going to get bet with the short training camp.
Click to expand...
I would really like to tail you but am wondering what 3 teams you are including in your parlay. Mind sharing where you are leaning?
Click to expand...
I haven't bet anything yet, I'll post when I bet.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: Thanks!!!
 
'lumpy19 said:
Betonline offers a 21 pt super teaser :drool:
Click to expand...
3 Teams - 10 to 1504 Teams - 10 to 755 Teams - 10 to 506 Teams - 10 to 357 Teams - 10 to 308 Teams - 10 to 259 Teams - 10 to 2010 Teams - 10 to 17No way you can bet a 3-teamer with those stupid odds. I'd definitely roll with some 5-teamers though.How can you possibly lose a 5-team, 21-point NFL teaser?
 
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo

 
Last edited by a moderator:
'Raider Nation said:
You guys might wanna fade the Arizona Cardinals in the preseason. Sirius NFL Radio was at their camp today and they had a long conversation with Kevin Kolb. His head is SPINNING trying to learn Wiz's offense, and he readily admitted it. The short camp means he has to cram a lot of new plays into a very tight schedule. The offense he's in now is nothing like the offense he ran under Andy Reid.

Probably a good idea to fade any QB learning a new system this summer, for that matter.
Click to expand...
hmm, i think a bit of the opposite. i look at that report and think Kolb will be seeing more time than other starting QB's to get himself ready for the season. i think we'll see a lot of Kolb to Fitzgerald passes
 
'Raider Nation said:
You guys might wanna fade the Arizona Cardinals in the preseason. Sirius NFL Radio was at their camp today and they had a long conversation with Kevin Kolb. His head is SPINNING trying to learn Wiz's offense, and he readily admitted it. The short camp means he has to cram a lot of new plays into a very tight schedule. The offense he's in now is nothing like the offense he ran under Andy Reid.

Probably a good idea to fade any QB learning a new system this summer, for that matter.
Click to expand...
hmm, i think a bit of the opposite. i look at that report and think Kolb will be seeing more time than other starting QB's to get himself ready for the season. i think we'll see a lot of Kolb to Fitzgerald passesETA: punch me in for Eagles -3 tonight too. Young and Kafka vs. "Quarterback Joe Flacco will play roughly the first quarter, followed by rookie Tyrod Taylor for two quarters and Hunter Cantwell in the fourth quarter. Middle linebacker Ray Lewis, free safety Ed Reed, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata and outside linebacker Terrell Suggs will only play roughly a series.". Also think the 1st string D may play a little longer to get things down. Add to that the homer factor, and i had to take the Birds

 
Last edited by a moderator:
New England Patriots

Over 11.5 (-105)

Under 11.5 (-125)

Minnesota Vikings

Over 7 (-125)

Under 7 (-105)

New York Giants

Over 9.5 (+135)

Under 9.5 (-170)

New York Jets

Over 10 (-105)

Under 10 (-125)

Oakland Raiders

Over 7 (+105)

Under 7 (-135)

Philadelphia Eagles

Over 10.5 (-145)

Under 10.5 (+115)

Pittsburgh Steelers

Over 10.5 (-135)

Under 10.5 (+105)

San Diego Chargers

Over 10 (+110)

Under 10 (-140)

San Francisco 49ers

Over 7.5 (-125)

Under 7.5 (-105)

Seattle Seahawks

Over 6 (-115)

Under 6 (-115)

St Louis Rams

Over 7.5 (+120)

Under 7.5 (-150)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Over 8 (+120)

Under 8 (-150)

Tennessee Titans

Over 7 (+115)

Under 7 (-145)

Washington Redskins

Over 6 (-125)

Under 6 (-105)

Arizona Cardinals

Over 7 (-115)

Under 7 (-115)

Atlanta Falcons

Over 10 (-115)

Under 10 (-115)

Baltimore Ravens

Over 10.5 (-115)

Under 10.5 (-115)

Buffalo Bills

Over 5.5 (-125)

Under 5.5 (-105)

Carolina Panthers

Over 4.5 (-125)

Under 4.5 (-105)

Chicago Bears

Over 8.5 (+120)

Under 8.5 (-150)

Cincinnati Bengals

Over 5.5 (-125)

Under 5.5 (-105)

Cleveland Browns

Over 6.5 (-135)

Under 6.5 (+105)

Dallas Cowboys

Over 9 (-105)

Under 9 (-125)

Denver Broncos

Over 5.5 (-145)

Under 5.5 (+115)

Detroit Lions

Over 8 (+135)

Under 8 (-170)

Green Bay Packers

Over 11.5 (even)

Under 11.5 (-130)

Houston Texans

Over 8.5 (-115)

Under 8.5 (-115)

Indianapolis Colts

Over 9.5 (-145)

Under 9.5 (+115)

Jacksonville Jaguars

Over 6.5 (-105)

Under 6.5 (-125)

Kansas City Chiefs

Over 8 (+130)

Under 8 (-160)

Miami Dolphins

Over 7.5 (+105)

Under 7.5 (-135)

New Orleans Saints

Over 10 (-115)

Under 10 (-115)

 
I wish I could buy a TV package to watch every preseason game, I :wub: the NFL

ETA: LOL NE dropping 40 in a preseason game

 
Last edited by a moderator:
'lumpy19 said:
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo
Click to expand...
Meant to make this a new post...Mia

KC

SF

NYG

STL

NYJ

PIT

GB

BUF

gonna be a fun weekend, 100+ bets, c'mon SWEEEEEEEEEP!! My entire bankroll is currently at risk, going to take the weekend off and hope late saturday night I see some big numbers in my acct balances.

 
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo
Click to expand...
Meant to make this a new post...Mia

KC

SF

NYG

STL

NYJ

PIT

GB

BUF

gonna be a fun weekend, 100+ bets, c'mon SWEEEEEEEEEP!! My entire bankroll is currently at risk, going to take the weekend off and hope late saturday night I see some big numbers in my acct balances.
Click to expand...
thought of good old lumpy when I put a few of these in. gl mang.
 
Pedro Alvarez (pit) YES K -200

Alvarez strikes out at the second highest rate in the majors behind only Adam Dunn, while Greinke leads all starters in Ks/9 innings.

 
Preseason action tonight. Little $5 parlay to keep it interesting:

Saints -3 (EVEN)

Steelers +2

Falcons -2½ (-105)

Lions -4 (-105)

Chiefs +3 (-125)

GL everybody.

BTW, Bodog has props up for:

- Will an NFL Player test positive for HGH during the 2011 NFL Season (Including Playoffs)?

- What will be the position of the first player to test positive for HGH during the 2011 NFL Season (Including Palyoffs)?

That made me LOL.

 
Jon Jay no k +120

Pedro Alvarez yes l -200

Chase Utley yes hit -260

Minny +135

Minny TT o 3.5 -110

Minny/Cle o 8 -120

Vernon Davis 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115

Matthew Stafford 1st pass complete -140

Tony Gonzalez 1st rec u 7.5 yds -115

Hines Ward 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115

Rex Grossman 1st pass complete -115

Matt Cassel 1st pass complete -140

Alex Smith 1st pass complete -140

 
'TheGooRoo said:
Jon Jay no k +120Pedro Alvarez yes l -200Chase Utley yes hit -260Minny +135Minny TT o 3.5 -110Minny/Cle o 8 -120Vernon Davis 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115Matthew Stafford 1st pass complete -140Tony Gonzalez 1st rec u 7.5 yds -115Hines Ward 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115Rex Grossman 1st pass complete -115Matt Cassel 1st pass complete -140Alex Smith 1st pass complete -140
Click to expand...
So the 1st reception under, no receptions wins the bet. The starters are not playing much so I would think the UNDER is a smart bet on all 1st receptions. But .... how are they determining if the player actually played. What if he plays 1 series, and isn't in the box score?
 
'ArbyMelt said:
'TheGooRoo said:
Jon Jay no k +120Pedro Alvarez yes l -200Chase Utley yes hit -260Minny +135Minny TT o 3.5 -110Minny/Cle o 8 -120Vernon Davis 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115Matthew Stafford 1st pass complete -140Tony Gonzalez 1st rec u 7.5 yds -115Hines Ward 1st rec u 9.5 yds -115Rex Grossman 1st pass complete -115Matt Cassel 1st pass complete -140Alex Smith 1st pass complete -140
Click to expand...
So the 1st reception under, no receptions wins the bet. The starters are not playing much so I would think the UNDER is a smart bet on all 1st receptions. But .... how are they determining if the player actually played. What if he plays 1 series, and isn't in the box score?
Click to expand...
It's quite likely that a player that doesn't make it into the box score will be no-actioned. But a player that plays a couple series and gets into the box scores with a target like Gonzo will be a W.
 
Scoring may be down considerably with all the touchbacks this year.

Janikowski is blasting kickoffs THROUGH the goal posts and out of the end zone.

 
Hoping to pick myself back up after a rough NFL pre-season Friday night, here we go for Saturday on the MLB front:

- MLB: Phillies -1½ (-105), Tigers -1½ (+120), Diamondbacks -1½ (+120)

What are you guys thinking on the NFL pre-season games tonight?

 
Kershaw lad no hr allowed -135 (2u)

Buck fl no rbi -160 (2u)

Bonifacio fl yes k -180 (2u)

Oswalt phi o 3.5 k's -125

Desmond wash yes k -180

Hughes nyy o 3.5 k's -105

nfl pre:

Mccoy 1st pass complete -150

Clausen 1st pass complete -115

Fitzpatrick 1st pass complete -130

Cutler 1st pass complete -155

Bradford 1st pass complete -150

Hasselback 1st pass complete -140

 
Two plays (parlays) to wet my beak tonight..

Phillies -1.5 +125

Braves -168

Giants -135

Green Bay Packers +1½

New York Giants +1

Chicago Bears -135

Minnesota Vikings +3

New York Jets +125

 
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo
Click to expand...
Meant to make this a new post...Mia

KC

SF

NYG

STL

NYJ

PIT

GB

BUF

gonna be a fun weekend, 100+ bets, c'mon SWEEEEEEEEEP!! My entire bankroll is currently at risk, going to take the weekend off and hope late saturday night I see some big numbers in my acct balances.
Click to expand...
:tfp: 5 losses with the jets still to play....worst weekend of NFL teasers since I started 5 years ago

 
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo
Click to expand...
Meant to make this a new post...Mia

KC

SF

NYG

STL

NYJ

PIT

GB

BUF

gonna be a fun weekend, 100+ bets, c'mon SWEEEEEEEEEP!! My entire bankroll is currently at risk, going to take the weekend off and hope late saturday night I see some big numbers in my acct balances.
Click to expand...
:tfp: 5 losses with the jets still to play....worst weekend of NFL teasers since I started 5 years ago
Click to expand...
sorry to hear bud. I got some juicy looking dogs on the UFC card tonight if you want to take a shot at something. I got them in the MMA wagering thread, the one's i like best tonight are Volkmann, Cerrone, and Hermann. Butu some of the good value bets are good bets too
 
'modogg said:
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
I think I'm going to lose this one so posting it now at sportsbook.com

7 point teaser

Jax +3.5

Sea +3.5

Az +3.5 - Kolb going to see significant gametime in this one, I think it closes at 3

ETA:

6 point teaser pool, den, mia, kc, sf, nyg, stl, nyj

ADD Pit, GB, buffalo
Click to expand...
Meant to make this a new post...Mia

KC

SF

NYG

STL

NYJ

PIT

GB

BUF

gonna be a fun weekend, 100+ bets, c'mon SWEEEEEEEEEP!! My entire bankroll is currently at risk, going to take the weekend off and hope late saturday night I see some big numbers in my acct balances.
Click to expand...
:tfp: 5 losses with the jets still to play....worst weekend of NFL teasers since I started 5 years ago
Click to expand...
sorry to hear bud. I got some juicy looking dogs on the UFC card tonight if you want to take a shot at something. I got them in the MMA wagering thread, the one's i like best tonight are Volkmann, Cerrone, and Hermann. Butu some of the good value bets are good bets too
Click to expand...
and boom goes the dynamite! 2 for 2, could be a clean sweep tonight....
 
Wooo underdogs ... most plays we've had on one card in a while:

1u Pitt +130

1u Wash +109

1u LAD +153

1u Balt +120

YTD 64-65 +5.61

 
Interesting prop I've never seen before

Will at least 2 players hit OVER 1½ Home Runs each?

Assume a full slate of MLB games. Anyone want to guess the line?

 
'lumpy19 said:
Interesting prop I've never seen beforeWill at least 2 players hit OVER 1½ Home Runs each?Assume a full slate of MLB games. Anyone want to guess the line?
Click to expand...
Every game is generally lined at 1.5 hr's hit for the game, some possibly at 2. With 15 games on the schedule I would say the line is No -225/Yes +175. I think true value is No -400.
 
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