Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
My rationale also. As for the better matchups, I'll still have three other spots for that unless the Falcons poop themselves.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (14 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
mquinnjr
Footballguy
WagerType:2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 TIE=PUSHLeroy Hoard said:Did anyone else see the early line on the Alabama game?
10/05 12:20 PM
323 Georgia State 55½u
324 Alabama -56
Total was smaller than the pointspread.
Date: Team:
Oct 05 CFB [323] GEORGIA STATE +60½-110 (B+6)
Oct 05 CFB [323] TOTAL o52-110 (B+6) (GEORGIA STATE vrs ALABAMA)
I mean, this feels like the most ridiculous bet ever.....right?
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Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
THUR/FRI SHARPS
THURSDAY NIGHT
BUFFALO AT CLEVELAND:
The Browns opened as a 3-point home favorite, which is basically a default line saying the teams are even because home field advantage by itself is usually worth three points. Sharps bet Cleveland all the way up to -4 and -4.5. Though, Buffalo money did start coming in at +4.5, leading many stores to settle on a solid four. Long term, this tells you that sharps are impressed with what’s been going on under the new coaching regime in Cleveland. Note that the Browns were a rare sharp success story last weekend, as the Wise Guys hit Cleveland hard as a home underdog against Cincinnati on game day.
TEXAS AT IOWA STATE:
Texas opened at -7.5 on the road at Iowa State. That was lower than what would have been expected based on recent pointspreads…and suggested that sharps expected quarterback David Ash to miss the game for the Horns. Money this week on Texas has driven the line up to -9 and -9.5 as we go to press. Maybe that means Ash is coming back. Maybe that means sharps are fond of Texas for other reasons. Just remember that a lot of Wise Guys were high on Texas before the season started…and before that first road game at BYU!
WESTERN KENTUCKY AT LOUISIANA-MONROE:
We’ve had a huge move here as an opener of Western Kentucky -3 has been bet all the way up to -7. Sharps have been riding a rollercoaster with Western this season. They fell in love with Bobby Petrino’s group out of the gate…assuming that their new coach would pay immediate dividends. That seemed to be true at first, until a couple of very shaky outings. Clearly sharps are back in love with the Hilltoppers, particularly since Monroe lost quarterback Kolton Brown to injury for the season last week. We’re hearing that this move is a mix of pro-Western Kentucky and anti-Monroe sentiment.
UCLA AT UTAH:
UCLA opened at -3.5 at Utah…which is already an assessment from oddsmakers that they expect money on the favorite. Any opener a half point away from a critical number is an early tease to generate money toward that key number. Well, sharps came in on UCLA anyway…driving the line up to as high as Bruins -6. You’ll recall that sharps loved UCLA at Nebraska a few weeks ago, even with the very early start time. They were rewarded for that investment, and are re-investing at another affordable road price for the hot new Pac 12 team. We are hearing that Utah is getting some support at +6…and would definitely get home dog interest at +6.5 or +7 if the public comes in on UCLA in the hours leading up to kickoff.
FRIDAY NIGHT
BYU AT UTAH STATE:
Not much interest yet in this game…as it matches two teams that sharps have shown some respect for. Utah State has really impressed this year despite playing a demanding schedule. This is only their second home game of the season! BYU tends to get respect as a dog (though not as a pricey favorite). An opener of Utah State -6 hasn’t budged. We’re hearing sharps won’t be tempted by BYU until +7 shows up (if it does). And, they’re hesitant to lay the points in what’s developing into a nice rivalry.
NEVADA AT SAN DIEGO STATE:
The hosts opened at -5.5. Nevada was bet right away at the number, which has led to mostly Nevada +4.5 or Nevada +5 being seen in the marketplace. It’s tough to trust either of these teams as favorites right now. Both have been volatile and mistake-prone. Sharps figured the public would leave a game like this alone…so they might as well take the dog immediately rather than hoping for a better price.
THURSDAY NIGHT
BUFFALO AT CLEVELAND:
The Browns opened as a 3-point home favorite, which is basically a default line saying the teams are even because home field advantage by itself is usually worth three points. Sharps bet Cleveland all the way up to -4 and -4.5. Though, Buffalo money did start coming in at +4.5, leading many stores to settle on a solid four. Long term, this tells you that sharps are impressed with what’s been going on under the new coaching regime in Cleveland. Note that the Browns were a rare sharp success story last weekend, as the Wise Guys hit Cleveland hard as a home underdog against Cincinnati on game day.
TEXAS AT IOWA STATE:
Texas opened at -7.5 on the road at Iowa State. That was lower than what would have been expected based on recent pointspreads…and suggested that sharps expected quarterback David Ash to miss the game for the Horns. Money this week on Texas has driven the line up to -9 and -9.5 as we go to press. Maybe that means Ash is coming back. Maybe that means sharps are fond of Texas for other reasons. Just remember that a lot of Wise Guys were high on Texas before the season started…and before that first road game at BYU!
WESTERN KENTUCKY AT LOUISIANA-MONROE:
We’ve had a huge move here as an opener of Western Kentucky -3 has been bet all the way up to -7. Sharps have been riding a rollercoaster with Western this season. They fell in love with Bobby Petrino’s group out of the gate…assuming that their new coach would pay immediate dividends. That seemed to be true at first, until a couple of very shaky outings. Clearly sharps are back in love with the Hilltoppers, particularly since Monroe lost quarterback Kolton Brown to injury for the season last week. We’re hearing that this move is a mix of pro-Western Kentucky and anti-Monroe sentiment.
UCLA AT UTAH:
UCLA opened at -3.5 at Utah…which is already an assessment from oddsmakers that they expect money on the favorite. Any opener a half point away from a critical number is an early tease to generate money toward that key number. Well, sharps came in on UCLA anyway…driving the line up to as high as Bruins -6. You’ll recall that sharps loved UCLA at Nebraska a few weeks ago, even with the very early start time. They were rewarded for that investment, and are re-investing at another affordable road price for the hot new Pac 12 team. We are hearing that Utah is getting some support at +6…and would definitely get home dog interest at +6.5 or +7 if the public comes in on UCLA in the hours leading up to kickoff.
FRIDAY NIGHT
BYU AT UTAH STATE:
Not much interest yet in this game…as it matches two teams that sharps have shown some respect for. Utah State has really impressed this year despite playing a demanding schedule. This is only their second home game of the season! BYU tends to get respect as a dog (though not as a pricey favorite). An opener of Utah State -6 hasn’t budged. We’re hearing sharps won’t be tempted by BYU until +7 shows up (if it does). And, they’re hesitant to lay the points in what’s developing into a nice rivalry.
NEVADA AT SAN DIEGO STATE:
The hosts opened at -5.5. Nevada was bet right away at the number, which has led to mostly Nevada +4.5 or Nevada +5 being seen in the marketplace. It’s tough to trust either of these teams as favorites right now. Both have been volatile and mistake-prone. Sharps figured the public would leave a game like this alone…so they might as well take the dog immediately rather than hoping for a better price.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Props - 47-35-3 +5 units
Wicks play *1.15 W. McGahee over 50.5 rush
Wicks play *1.15 W. McGahee over 50.5 rush
if rodgers is still starting for the bills i'm betting Cle, he's the worst CB in the NFL.
are they?
Leodis McKelvin and Jairus Byrd are listed as questionable and are game-time decisions as far as I know. Gilmore is still out.
Aaron Williams is probable to play but he's been out there every week.
byrd practiced full last few days i think. If they are all in and rogers out, its a different D and different game, imo
yes, byrd practiced but that doesn't mean a whole lot at this point if he's sandbagging b/c he's unhappy with the franchise tender he signed.
it's also not clear how effective either injured player would be if they try to play through their injuries.
obviously anything that gets rogers off the field is a plus for the Bills tonight.
Chris Brown @ChrisBrownBills 19m
After pre-game work, Byrd huddled up w/Marrone, Pettine and Whaley. Was moving well thru drills as well as McKelvin. Inactives ~7pm #Bills
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Good luck?WagerType:2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 TIE=PUSHLeroy Hoard said:Did anyone else see the early line on the Alabama game?
10/05 12:20 PM
323 Georgia State 55½u
324 Alabama -56
Total was smaller than the pointspread.
Date: Team:
Oct 05 CFB [323] GEORGIA STATE +60½-110 (B+6)
Oct 05 CFB [323] TOTAL o52-110 (B+6) (GEORGIA STATE vrs ALABAMA)
I mean, this feels like the most ridiculous bet ever.....right?
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Yeah, did not bet this. Saving my schillings for something way more meaningful. Browns/Bills it is!!!Good luck?WagerType:2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 TIE=PUSHLeroy Hoard said:Did anyone else see the early line on the Alabama game?
10/05 12:20 PM
323 Georgia State 55½u
324 Alabama -56
Total was smaller than the pointspread.
Date: Team:
Oct 05 CFB [323] GEORGIA STATE +60½-110 (B+6)
Oct 05 CFB [323] TOTAL o52-110 (B+6) (GEORGIA STATE vrs ALABAMA)
I mean, this feels like the most ridiculous bet ever.....right?
Man In The Box
Footballguy
J Gordon over 79.5 rec yds.
NIU Kicker
Footballguy
I kind of like this and the mcgahee over
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Limp Ditka
Footballguy
I guess I picked the right time to hop in on Cards -1.5
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Hey Dan, or anyone, any other NFL gambling twitters to follow?
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
I follow Johnny Detroit, RJ Bell, Gamehunter, Covers and riccio14 and a ton of horse racing guys
if there's any good one's I'm missing let me know...#### Stuckey though...cant stand that guy
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Cross sport parlay paying 6 to 1 risking 1 unit:
LAD/ATL U6 -130
Phoenix Coyotes -130
TB Rays +125 (tomorrow)
GLTA
AB
LAD/ATL U6 -130
Phoenix Coyotes -130
TB Rays +125 (tomorrow)
GLTA
AB
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
I punched that one at a red light 5 min before 1st pitch...I guess I picked the right time to hop in on Cards -1.5
Limp Ditka
Footballguy
Got it at SB @ +140 in live betting after the top of the 3rdI punched that one at a red light 5 min before 1st pitch...I guess I picked the right time to hop in on Cards -1.5
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
fantasy help...must start one (CJ Spiller or Fred Jackson)
EDIT: PPR
EDIT: PPR
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Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Texas -7 -110 1u
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Tough call there Dan... Spiller
I go Jackson but it's a coin flip
The Ref
Footballguy
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Opening up a 3 team teaser with Cle +5.5. GL
Thanks for the twitters, DL.
Thanks for the twitters, DL.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Yep..... Browns.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Hope you went Jackson...at least thus far
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Brandon Wheedon? Good game Cleveland.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Stuckey's an ###, but I think he's trustworthy for at least CBB and pucks. Lot of blather to cut through, though.
I follow Haralabob, who doesn't post much of anything in the way of picks, but has some amazing NBA insight.
Tortious Troll is a big winner on footy according to his assiduous record-keeping, but he has some massive swings, and I always seem to back him on the wrong day.
GILmo574 is an ump-centric baseball capper who says he's at 69% this year.
I follow Haralabob, who doesn't post much of anything in the way of picks, but has some amazing NBA insight.
Tortious Troll is a big winner on footy according to his assiduous record-keeping, but he has some massive swings, and I always seem to back him on the wrong day.
GILmo574 is an ump-centric baseball capper who says he's at 69% this year.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
What else is on?
Weeden is bad enough as it is. But with no reps and coming off an injury?
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Texas is horrible defensively. They may win tonight, but Mack has to go.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
...and the Hilltoppers try to run it in 1st and goal at the 1 with 3 sec left in the half
Right call IMO but just pissed they didn't execute
Right call IMO but just pissed they didn't execute
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Defense and special teams!!!Raider Nation said:Billy Bats said:
Weeden is bad enough as it is. But with no reps and coming off an injury?
mquinnjr
Footballguy
There goes the under.Defense and special teams!!!Raider Nation said:Billy Bats said:
Weeden is bad enough as it is. But with no reps and coming off an injury?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Feeling better.
Forgot it was the Bills.
Forgot it was the Bills.
