Well you are completely wrong, but we won't have to debate that because of the Buck TD. Now Denver needs to just hold....
You seem awfully certain of that. You got any support for that position outside of your gut?I see four possible outcomes of that situation.#1- Kick the field goal and make it#2- Kick the field goal and miss it#3- go for it and make it#4- go for it and miss it.Situation #2 and #4 are essentially identical (actually, situation #4 is ever so slightly better because Tennessee has worse starting field position), so it then becomes a question of how likely is situation #1 and how likely is situation #3.Matt Prater has an 85% career conversion percentage from that distance (it would have been a 30 yarder, and Prater has hit 80% from 29-30 and 90% from 30-40). Meanwhile, as I said, I'd suspect that QB sneaks have at least 85% success rate on 4th and inches (I'd love to see data on this if anyone has it, but from what I've seen the play is essentially unstoppable). So, both situation #1 and situation #3 would be pretty equally likely. Maybe situation #1 is slightly more likely, but either way it's pretty close, and the outcome of situation #3 is SUBSTANTIALLY more valuable. Hugely so."Taking the points" is all well and good, but I really and truly believe that a statistical look at the decision would show that Josh McDaniels easily made the right call. McDaniels takes a lot of crap (and I sling my fair share of it), but any criticism of that decision is, in my opinion, wholly undeserved.