GM's thread about nothing (50 Viewers)

[Homer J Simpson]

My wife was tired. She slept through most of True Detective. After seeing the breasts on that one broad, I got a little hitch in my giddyup. I asked her if she wanted to do it for procreation purposes and she said no. Then she said "Ok, tomorrow. At 9:15"

I said "Why 9:15?"

She said "Because then I can be asleep by 9:30"

:flex:

Impressive.

 

[-fish-]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.

turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

 

[Homer J Simpson]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Pretty sure it was the wiseguys hammering Denver catching points.

Exactry.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.

turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

GLLLLL

 

[Frostillicus]

When I saw Denver getting points I hit it pretty good.

 

[Homer J Simpson]

Hey fish, quit channeling Uruk.

 

[Frostillicus]

We're all going to text Stryker at 9:15 tomorrow, right?

 

[proninja]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.

turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

Getting a little sharky in here, but yes, this D is nuts. And pretty much built to stop a guy like Manning. Their gap integrity isn't always that great and guys like Kaepernick give them fits because of it, but Manning is definitely not that guy.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Hey fish, quit channeling Uruk.

I like this shtick.

 

[Homer J Simpson]

We're all going to text Stryker at 9:15 tomorrow, right?

FaceTime FTW.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.

turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

Getting a little sharky in here, but yes, this D is nuts. And pretty much built to stop a guy like Manning. Their gap integrity isn't always that great and guys like Kaepernick give them fits because of it, but Manning is definitely not that guy.

I have never been more positive that Denver wins than after this post.

 

[-fish-]

Remember, I'm a Rams fan.

 

[Frostillicus]

Remember, I'm a Rams fan.

Ouch

 

[Homer J Simpson]

Remember, I'm a Rams fan.

Sorry man.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Remember, I'm a Rams fan.

Sorry man.

LOL

 

[strykerpks]

We're all going to text Stryker at 9:15 tomorrow, right?

FaceTime FTW.

You're better off with a googles hangout. I don't do iphone

 

[strykerpks]

Remember, I'm a Rams fan.

Ts & Ps

 

[Homer J Simpson]

We're all going to text Stryker at 9:15 tomorrow, right?

FaceTime FTW.

You're better off with a googles hangout. I don't do iphone

Whore.

 

[strykerpks]

I've been called worse.....by better.

BOOOOM!

 

[Good Posting Judge]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Yeah, I'm not sure you understand how this works.

The "public" doesn't line up at casinos with a number in mind, waiting to hit it as soon as it opens. And even if they did, Joe ########s betting $100 a game can't move books off a number. That's what syndicate(s) do, mostly syndicates that are backed by nerds with pretty sophisticated computer programs.that have a number in mind, and pounce when the right one gets posted.

Notice how fast they moved: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/seahawks-@-broncos.cfm/date/2-02-14/time/1830#J

My guess is that sharps would come back in at SEA +3 (Sportsbook.ag, a square book, has SEA +3 -115).

That said, the public's also on Denver. But again, they didn't cause this to move.

 

[Homer J Simpson]

I've been called worse.....by better.

BOOOOM!

That's cold, yo.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Sick ownage.

 

[strykerpks]

I've been called worse.....by better.

BOOOOM!

That's cold, yo.

I would still wreck your cornhole like it's a Miller Lite punch top can. By that I mean awkwardly with a key.

 

[Homer J Simpson]

I've been called worse.....by better.

BOOOOM!

That's cold, yo.

I would still wreck your cornhole like it's a Miller Lite punch top can. By that I mean awkwardly with a key.

You're sweet.

 

[-fish-]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Yeah, I'm not sure you understand how this works.

The "public" doesn't line up at casinos with a number in mind, waiting to hit it as soon as it opens. And even if they did, Joe ########s betting $100 a game can't move books off a number. That's what syndicate(s) do, mostly syndicates that are backed by nerds with pretty sophisticated computer programs.that have a number in mind, and pounce when the right one gets posted.

Notice how fast they moved: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/seahawks-@-broncos.cfm/date/2-02-14/time/1830#J

My guess is that sharps would come back in at SEA +3 (Sportsbook.ag, a square book, has SEA +3 -115).

That said, the public's also on Denver. But again, they didn't cause this to move.

sorry. I financed law school living in vegas and handicapping. thanks for the lesson. I never knew how it worked.

I agree that the sharps will come back on seattle, but I think that first move was ####### internet money, which can move lines.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

I find myself cheering for the druggy people.

 

[-fish-]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

 

[-fish-]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

I find myself cheering for the druggy people.

Oof, Denzel ratted himself out. Horrible.

 

[-fish-]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

I hope your helicopter crashes into a light fixture and sets your house on fire.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

I hope your helicopter crashes into a light fixture and sets your house on fire.

Why not admit that you love the Hawks a little bit?

 

[-fish-]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

I hope your helicopter crashes into a light fixture and sets your house on fire.

Why not admit that you love the Hawks a little bit?

I would rather have seen patriots/panthers?

 

[Homer J Simpson]

I find myself cheering for the druggy people.

Oof, Denzel ratted himself out. Horrible.

Spoilers!

 

[Homer J Simpson]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

I hope your helicopter crashes into a light fixture and sets your house on fire.

Why not admit that you love the Hawks a little bit?

I would rather have seen patriots/panthers?

Ewww gross.

 

[-fish-]

I would fly down and throw #### at truck's car myself, except I kind of think we're on the same thing.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Horrible drunken movie series part 2: Stand Up Guys.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Sick ownage.

I'm so embarrassed. I don't know anything about gambling on sports. My bad.

You don't think your homerocity might have something to do with this? PS I love you.

see above. I'm a rams fan.

it doesn't take a syndicate to move a line in the first two hours, since not all that money has been bet.

####### internet gamblers can do it all by themselves. it will swing slower over the next two weeks. I agree with Truck though that the sharp money will wait until it goes to 'hawks +2 or 3. I just disagree that it's syndicates trying to middle.

I hope your helicopter crashes into a light fixture and sets your house on fire.

Why not admit that you love the Hawks a little bit?

I would rather have seen patriots/panthers?

Not believable, but I love you anyway because you sent a nice Secret Santa gift.

 

[-fish-]

Neither one of these teams goes to Seattle and wins. Mildly supporting Carolina because screw the Niners.

Don't worry, nobody's going to take your team away again if you guys don't care enough. You're safe.

that hurts. I'm really a Rams fan from southern california.

GIVE HIM HIS TEAM BACK, BOB!!!!

 

[-fish-]

how did this happen? I was just here for the helen hunt wet tshirt.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Sharp money can come via B&M casino or the internet, obviously. But there are lines where 75% of the public is on a team and the line doesn't move. There are also times when the line moves against the public.

Pinny is the sharpest book on the internet, and they moved pretty quickly from SEA -1 to DEN -2, where it looks like some buyback occurred, before settling at -1.5. Again, they're not going to move their line because yokels like Geezil and MOP start plunking down $50 bets. Amongst those yokels were the nerds who know what they're doing.

 

[proninja]

I can't sleep. Sports are fun.

 

[-fish-]

Sharp money can come via B&M casino or the internet, obviously. But there are lines where 75% of the public is on a team and the line doesn't move. There are also times when the line moves against the public.

Pinny is the sharpest book on the internet, and they moved pretty quickly from SEA -1 to DEN -2, where it looks like some buyback occurred, before settling at -1.5. Again, they're not going to move their line because yokels like Geezil and MOP start plunking down $50 bets. Amongst those yokels were the nerds who know what they're doing.

not much money actually got bet. you're talking about a tiny percentage of the money that will be bet on this game. the first few hours is essentially meaningless. yes, some professional money got played on that line. no, it didn't take a ton of money to move it at this point.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Sharp money can come via B&M casino or the internet, obviously. But there are lines where 75% of the public is on a team and the line doesn't move. There are also times when the line moves against the public.

Pinny is the sharpest book on the internet, and they moved pretty quickly from SEA -1 to DEN -2, where it looks like some buyback occurred, before settling at -1.5. Again, they're not going to move their line because yokels like Geezil and MOP start plunking down $50 bets. Amongst those yokels were the nerds who know what they're doing.

not much money actually got bet. you're talking about a tiny percentage of the money that will be bet on this game. the first few hours is essentially meaningless. yes, some professional money got played on that line. no, it didn't take a ton of money to move it at this point.

So...the pros weren't on DEN when it opened? Do you think DEN has any chance of going back to being a dog here?

 

[Ignoramus]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

There's a better argument that Denver's offense is the best in the history of the NFL.

 

[Guster]

I'm home with my daughter today, so I let her have a friend over for a sleepover last night. They went to bed sometime after 11 last night and woke up around 5am. Wtf?? I expected the late night, but thought they might sleep in

 

[Guster]

vegas started the line at Sea -2. it swung immediately to Den -2.5

the public is stupid.

Seriously? LOL

seriously. look at the grantland articles on this seahawks D. good argument that it's the best defense in the history of the NFL.turnovers on 20% of the opposing team's possessions. unheard of.

There's a better argument that Denver's offense is the best in the history of the NFL.

What if this is the best offense of all time vs. the best defense of all time? :mindblown:

 

[Abraham]

My wife was tired. She slept through most of True Detective. After seeing the breasts on that one broad, I got a little hitch in my giddyup. I asked her if she wanted to do it for procreation purposes and she said no. Then she said "Ok, tomorrow. At 9:15"

I said "Why 9:15?"

She said "Because then I can be asleep by 9:30"

:flex:

I can't wait for your post in nine months about how pissed off you are that a two minute boob scene in an HBO show now has you in the hook for 18 years of frustration and general unhappiness.

 

[Abraham]

Sharp money can come via B&M casino or the internet, obviously. But there are lines where 75% of the public is on a team and the line doesn't move. There are also times when the line moves against the public.

Pinny is the sharpest book on the internet, and they moved pretty quickly from SEA -1 to DEN -2, where it looks like some buyback occurred, before settling at -1.5. Again, they're not going to move their line because yokels like Geezil and MOP start plunking down $50 bets. Amongst those yokels were the nerds who know what they're doing.

not much money actually got bet. you're talking about a tiny percentage of the money that will be bet on this game. the first few hours is essentially meaningless. yes, some professional money got played on that line. no, it didn't take a ton of money to move it at this point.

So...the pros weren't on DEN when it opened? Do you think DEN has any chance of going back to being a dog here?

Doubt it. They are much more "popular" than Seattle and that's where the casual money will show up going forward.