Thoughts as a Mariners fan:
Jack Z could announce he's developed a cure for cancer and I wouldn't be shocked at this point in time.
Anyway, regarding Bradley:
First, the mere fact that we don't have Carlos Silva anymore is amazingly awesome. That's about the last fetid odor of Bavasi left. Silva has been anything but a clubhouse angel for us - he threw a couple barbs at Ichiro two years ago, and I was frankly hoping the team would just waive him so none of us would have to ever see him again. As Cubs fans feel about Bradley, M's fans feel about Silva. He was the sign of just how awful previous management was, got into it with one of the only guys on the roster worth a crap, and actually hurt the team with his play. He was worse than replacement level here.
Carlos Silva is worthless and due a crapload of money.
Milton Bradley, on the other hand, is also due a crapload of money, but he can hit the friggin' ball. The last time he was in the AL West, it worked out pretty well. He's young enough to where I'm not concerned about age at all, and it's unlikely he doesn't produce if he's on the field. The concerns with him are going nuclear and injury.
The net cost to the Mariners for two years of Milton Bradley is two years, $6m. $25m obligations going out, $22m in obligations coming in. That's a savings of $3m in player contracts, and we're also shipping out $9m to the Cubs, leaving us stuck with $6m, or $3m per. Last year, playing like crap for 124 games, he was worth $4.7m according to fangraphs. The year before that? Over $20m. He's projected to produce 3WAR, or be worth roughly $13.6m this upcoming year. If he sticks around and produces at even a $10m level over the next two years (equal to his career average including the injuries), we get a value $13mil in surplus production. If he plays half the games over the next two years at the exact level he did last year, he'll be roughly worth what we're paying him. Suffice it to say that, if he doesn't go nuclear, we stole him.
Now, if he goes nuclear. Worst case scenario, we're out $6m over two years, we cut him, wash our hands, and move on. That's less than half what we stand to gain if he produces at his career averages, and a whole lot less than what we stand to gain if he produces as he did in his '08 season, his most recent full season. There's pretty minimal financial risk here, and it's dwarfed by the financial gain we stand to see.
A few things make me think Bradley has a whole lot better chance of staying sane this year in Seattle than in Chicago.
1. The M's have a very tight knit, agreeable clubhouse. I normally don't care very much about "clubhouse chemistry" - but since that's the downside we're looking at, talking about it as a strength of the team seems reasonable. Griffey is the clear leader, and Bradley won't be the strongest personality in the clubhouse. This is good.
2. Wakamatsu is about a photo negative of Lou Pinella in terms of personality. The odds of someone clashing with him are miniscule compared to Lou.
3. Fans in Seattle are waaaaaaaaaay more easygoing than fans in Chicago. He won't be getting cussed at or have beer thrown at him here - it just doesn't happen around here. Also, he's not a negative, or a mistake for us, he's a positive. HE'S THE REASON WE GOT RID OF SILVA!.
4. This team is going to win. Now. Probably a lot. The M's are a good 1B away from being legitimate contenders to win it all. They've got somewhere between $7m-$10m left to spend, and have prospects that can command a return. Given what Z's done thus far, I have little doubt that the M's are going to end up with a more than adequate first baseman. From all accounts, Bradley is super competitive, and losing grates on him, especially when it's on top of clashing with his manager and fans.
5. Jose Guillen was a model citizen here, on a much worse team. See
here. Carl Everett was a model citizen here. A horrible baseball player, but a model citizen. Seattle has a history of dealing well with malcontents.
If I had to bet one way or the other, I'd bet we all see a changed man this season in Milton Bradley. And if he's happy, he'll hit.
And holy crap, this is an awesome time to be a Mariners fan.