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Iran Launches "Large Scale Attack" on Israel (3 Viewers)

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Israel Seeks to Wrap Up Fighting With Iran Soon

Israel is looking to wrap up its war with Iran soon, Israeli and Arab officials said, capitalizing on the U.S. attack on key nuclear sites to look toward an end to the fighting.

Israel expects to get through its list of military targets in Iran in the coming days, which will create an opening to wrap up the fighting, Israeli officials said. Still, the situation remains dynamic and a lot will depend on Iran’s response.

The U.S. has told Arab officials in the region that Israel is seeking to end the fight soon, Arab officials say, and has asked for the message to be passed along to Iran. Iran has responded that it isn't yet ready to back off, as it feels compelled to respond to the U.S. attack on Iranian nuclear sites, the officials said.

Iran blocking Strait of Hormuz is credible, but unlikely, scenario - maritime security expert

More now on reports that Iran could move to block the Strait of Hormuz - the world's busiest oil shipping lane.

According to one maritime security expert, it's a "credible scenario", but unlikely.

"It really is a worse-case scenario for Iran to attempt the closure of the strait," Cormac McGarry, a director of maritime security at consulting firm Control Risks, tells BBC Radio 4's World at One programme.

"By doing that they would basically be shooting a blow to the Gulf Arab states, as well as - and importantly - towards China, which relies on it to move large portion of its oil imports."

As we've been reporting, roughly 20% of the world’s oil supplies flow daily through the strait.

McGarry says Iran, and other Arab Gulf states, rely on the passage for the movement of oil supplies.

"As well as oil takers and product tankers, you're also talking about container ships which move all the materials into places like Dubai and Kuwait to supply the people there who need it - for everything from laptop imports, to electronics to food," he says.

Ships Go Off Course Near Hormuz Strait After Navigation Systems Jammed

Half a dozen ships have diverted course on the way to the Strait of Hormuz, the crucial waterway connecting the energy-rich Persian Gulf to global markets since Sunday, according to shipping officials, analysts and marine-tracking data. Iranian lawmakers reportedly threatened its closure on Sunday.

Two Chinese-operated very large crude carriers went off course as they tried to enter the strait after their navigation systems were jammed as a result of military operations in Iran.

Coswisdom Lake, run by China’s Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation, and South Loyalty owned by Sinokor Merchant Marine, turned around as they sailed south of the Iranian Port of Bandar Abbas over the weekend. Later, the Coswisdom Lake and two other vessels U-turned again and are now heading back into Hormuz.

A Cosco official said the incident with its vessel was being probed, and the crew of the Coswisdom Lake was safe. Sinokor didn’t return calls for comment. VLCCs can move up to two million barrels of crude.


"Two Iranian officials said the questions on everyone's minds were: 'Where is Khamenei? Why isn't he speaking?' Communication with the supreme leader was extremely difficult... since he had been sheltering in a bunker without electronic communication."


The Israelis have targeted the access roads to the Fordow nuclear facility to prevent Iran from assessing the damage caused by U.S. strikes.


APNewsAlert: TEL AVIV, Israel (@AP) — Israel's Defense Ministry says Israel is striking Iranian government targets in Tehran, including Evin Prison.


ISRAELI MILITARY SAYS IT ATTACKED SIX IRANIAN AIRPORTS IN WESTERN, EASTERN, AND CENTRAL IRAN -Reuters News


The Israel Electric Corporation says that due to an Iranian ballistic missile impact near a "strategic infrastructure facility" in southern Israel, there are power disruptions in several towns in the area.

"Teams are on their way to several locations on the ground with the aim of restoring power supply as soon as possible. The operations include infrastructure repairs and the removal of safety hazards, and are being carried out in coordination with security forces," IEC says.


BREAKING - U.S. assesses high risk of Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces soon, U.S. still pursuing diplomatic resolution, U.S. officials tell me and@idreesali114. One of the officials says retaliation could come in the next day or two.

Jordan Says Iranian-Made Drone Crashed in Amman

A Shahed-101 drone carrying an explosive warhead crashed in a residential neighborhood of Amman, Jordanian authorities said. The drone damaged the outdoor section of a restaurant but caused no injuries, according to a statement by Brig. Gen. Mustafa Al-Hiyari, director of military media for the country. The warhead and detonator were safely dismantled by security forces and the Royal Engineering Corps, he said.

The Iranian-made drone, which crashed due to a technical malfunction, is the latest in a growing number of incidents involving drones over Jordanian airspace. Since the Israel-Iran war began, 30 full drones and hundreds of fragments have landed inside Jordan, Al-Hiyari said.
 
If Israel bombed Fardow again today, obviously we didn't totally take out the targets. Also I see Qatar has closed it's airspace as it prepares for the possibility of Iranian strikes on Americans in Qatar. Trump calling for a regime change in Iran. WIll be an interesting week. I can't imagine how tense it is for everyone living in, visiting, working in the ME right now.
 
If Israel bombed Fardow again today, obviously we didn't totally take out the targets. Also I see Qatar has closed it's airspace as it prepares for the possibility of Iranian strikes on Americans in Qatar. Trump calling for a regime change in Iran. WIll be an interesting week. I can't imagine how tense it is for everyone living in, visiting, working in the ME right now.
  1. I've read the Fordow bombings are mostly on the roads in and out
  2. Seems like Iran is about to shoot at an airbase that the US emptied out over the past week. Let's see if they have anything more than a saber rattling.
 
If Israel bombed Fardow again today, obviously we didn't totally take out the targets. Also I see Qatar has closed it's airspace as it prepares for the possibility of Iranian strikes on Americans in Qatar. Trump calling for a regime change in Iran. WIll be an interesting week. I can't imagine how tense it is for everyone living in, visiting, working in the ME right now.
I thought this was about the nuclear program only? (Sarcasm)
 
Alayna Treene
@alaynatreene
·
4m

A senior White House official says the White House and the Department of Defense are aware of, and closely monitoring, potential threats to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar




Hopefully this confirms the advance warning from Iran, and this can end the saber rattling, and everyone can get down to negotiations.
 
If Israel bombed Fardow again today, obviously we didn't totally take out the targets. Also I see Qatar has closed it's airspace as it prepares for the possibility of Iranian strikes on Americans in Qatar. Trump calling for a regime change in Iran. WIll be an interesting week. I can't imagine how tense it is for everyone living in, visiting, working in the ME right now.
It wouldn't be an "obvious", the Israeli's were attacking access routes to the site. The nature of the site (underground) makes it very hard to get a damage assessment with confidence. Most likely the best assessment would be from HUMINT.

6 missiles have reportedly been sent towards American bases in Qatar.

If Iran moves to close Hormuz then that will activate more action from us to keep it open. I would think obliterate their "navy", air and anti-ship assets around there and possibly act on the regime change with air strikes targeting leadership and internal security forces.
 
Alayna Treene
@alaynatreene
·
4m

A senior White House official says the White House and the Department of Defense are aware of, and closely monitoring, potential threats to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar




Hopefully this confirms the advance warning from Iran, and this can end the saber rattling, and everyone can get down to negotiations.
Didn't Isreal kill a few of the people we were negotiating with and the US said they weren't serious about previous negotiations?
 
If Israel bombed Fardow again today, obviously we didn't totally take out the targets. Also I see Qatar has closed it's airspace as it prepares for the possibility of Iranian strikes on Americans in Qatar. Trump calling for a regime change in Iran. WIll be an interesting week. I can't imagine how tense it is for everyone living in, visiting, working in the ME right now.
It wouldn't be an "obvious", the Israeli's were attacking access routes to the site. The nature of the site (underground) makes it very hard to get a damage assessment with confidence. Most likely the best assessment would be from HUMINT.

6 missiles have reportedly been sent towards American bases in Qatar.

If Iran moves to close Hormuz then that will activate more action from us to keep it open. I would think obliterate their "navy", air and anti-ship assets around there and possibly act on the regime change with air strikes targeting leadership and internal security forces.
From about three posts up on @Don't Toews Me most recent update https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1937153714491662358

The last time Iran launched missiles at a US occupied base there was a similar dance. The regime saves face by being able to say, "See? We have avenged ourselves against the Great Satan!!!!" while also not getting bombed into the stone age by the US. It's a geopolitical dance.
 
Alayna Treene
@alaynatreene
·
4m

A senior White House official says the White House and the Department of Defense are aware of, and closely monitoring, potential threats to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar




Hopefully this confirms the advance warning from Iran, and this can end the saber rattling, and everyone can get down to negotiations.
Didn't Isreal kill a few of the people we were negotiating with and the US said they weren't serious about previous negotiations?

Admittedly it’s hard to keep track of who Israel has killed. They recently assassinated Iran’s top general, who had only been on the job a few days (Israel had killed his predecessor.) The initial attacks by Israel targeted several Iranian nuclear scientists. I wouldn’t think diplomacy is handled by generals or scientists but maybe?

Mossad assassinates, on average, 1 nuclear scientist per year since 2010. Often in their car, in front of their home, with their spouse or even a young child in the vehicle. If anyone cares to read about it:

Assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists (Wikipedia)​

21st century assassination campaign
 
So does Qutar get to fire back at Iran or at least go and whine to the UN about all the UN violations Iran committed?
They have already condemned in the strongest possible terms...

Hopefully this is the end of the retaliation sequence, and we can get to a negotiated settlement - probably similar to what we had in place before all of this excitement....
 
Who is this theater for?
Qatar?

“Qatar condemned the attack on Al Udeid Air Base attack, but said it successfully intercepted the missiles and no casualties were reported. It said its airspace is now safe.“



 
Who is this theater for? Who are they saving face with if everyone knows its toothless and they are just doing it to save face?
Their domestic audience it seems. Iran really seems toothless right now.
:goodposting: I could be wrong but I don't imagine there are 4000 channels of news broadcasting world events in Tehran daily. The people on the street hear what the regime wants them to hear.
 
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Who is this theater for? Who are they saving face with if everyone knows its toothless and they are just doing it to save face?
I would say most people in Iran and the US don't actually know that this is coordinated. Most people probanbly aren't paying close enough attention or aren't accessing sources that would explain this.
My old Russia invading Ukraine Twitter list really coming in clutch again these days.
 
Who is this theater for? Who are they saving face with if everyone knows its toothless and they are just doing it to save face?
Their domestic audience it seems. Iran really seems toothless right now.
:goodposting: I could be wrong but I don't imagine there are 4000 channels of news broadcasting world events in Tehran daily. The people on the street here what the regime wants them to hear.
Likely so and even hear with a million sources, most people aren't scouring for all the into and looking at potential conflicting reports. They are skimming headlines, watching the first few mins of the news, whatever came up on their TikTok,X, etc.
 
Lots of posts being deleted in this thread….fyi.

Yes. Have asked repeatedly for people to keep it non PSF stuff. Some have been suspended. The thread is hanging on barely.
But you have to acknowledge that pretty much any comment posted by anyone that isn’t a link (which is biased by itself) can be construed as PSF.

Can we please just go back to talking about these topics freely in a separate forum?

This is silly that ever post is over analyzed, some deleted and posters being suspended.
 
Who is this theater for? Who are they saving face with if everyone knows its toothless and they are just doing it to save face?
Their domestic audience it seems. Iran really seems toothless right now.
Honest question. Are the Iranian people censored from the outside world like those in NK, China, Russia etc?
AFAIK yes
Thanks. Makes a little more sense I guess.
 
Can we please just go back to talking about these topics freely in a separate forum?
My understanding is the FBG Discord has a vibrant political discussion. I think we lost @rockaction to it. Maybe he can pop in here and verify.
There is a difference between the FBG run discord and the unofficial one from a bunch of folks here who want to post about politics and scantily bound ladies.
 
Well maybe there was a report that Iran was 3 given an order to weaponize there uranium, and maybe there was not such a report.

Host Margaret Brennan pressed Rubio on whether the United States had intelligence that Iran had given an order to weaponize its enriched uranium and whether intelligence. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified in March that “Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader Khamanei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program.”
“Are you saying there that the United States did not see intelligence that the supreme leader had ordered weaponization?” Brennan asked.
Rubio responded that the question was “irrelevant.” “I think that question being asked in the media, that’s an irrelevant question,” he added.
Tough situation for Rubio in that interview. He can't contradict the boss publicly if there was no report, or if it was of doubtful veracity.
 
https://www.npr.org/2025/06/23/g-s1-74059/iran-attack-us-bases-iraq-qatar

Iran's state-run news agency Tasnim said Monday that Tehran launched missile attacks on U.S. bases in Qatar and Iraq. Al Jazeera, based in Qatar, reported spotting missiles in the skies over the Gulf emirate, which is home to the U.S airbase of Al Udeid and U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM).
I wasn't aware until just now that Iran also attacked a US base in Iraq.
 
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/ryv6gzwexe
Reza Pahlavi, son of the last Shah of Iran, declared in a Paris press conference on Monday that the Ayatollah regime is on the verge of collapse and must be overthrown. Pahlavi, who envisions himself leading a democratic Iran after the current theocratic rule, urged Iranian security forces to defect, promising them a place in the new government. He also implored the international community to seize this critical moment and avoid any concessions that might prolong the Ayatollahs' rule.
Despite Pahlavi's strong assertions, there is currently no independent evidence to suggest that the Ayatollah regime is losing control or that its end is imminent.
 
Lots of posts being deleted in this thread….fyi.

Yes. Have asked repeatedly for people to keep it non PSF stuff. Some have been suspended. The thread is hanging on barely.
But you have to acknowledge that pretty much any comment posted by anyone that isn’t a link (which is biased by itself) can be construed as PSF.

Can we please just go back to talking about these topics freely in a separate forum?

This is silly that ever post is over analyzed, some deleted and posters being suspended.

No. We do best to keep it mostly links. But there can be comments to keep informed on the issue.

There are plenty of places to have a politcal talk discussion like the PSF used to be. We just no longer do that here.

Some people ignore what we ask in keeping the overtly political opinions out so those are deleted. That seems preferable to closing the whole thread. But maybe that is better.
 
Khamenei in first comment after Iran retaliation: We will respond to any aggression

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issues his first statement since Tehran’s retaliatory strike against a US base in Qatar. Khamenei says Iran was not the party that started this conflict and will not accept being targeted by any party under any circumstances.
"We will not surrender to any aggression. This is the logic behind the Iranian nation,” reads a post on the 86-year-old’s X account.
 
Who is this theater for? Who are they saving face with if everyone knows its toothless and they are just doing it to save face?
Their domestic audience it seems. Iran really seems toothless right now.
:goodposting: I could be wrong but I don't imagine there are 4000 channels of news broadcasting world events in Tehran daily. The people on the street hear what the regime wants them to hear.

Agreed. I have no idea if it's accurate, but I'd heard listening to a podcast by The Free Press (which is heavily pro-Israel) that the majority of the population (around 80%) in Iran is opposed to the current government. I have no idea if polls like this are accurate (I'd imagine it's nearly impossible to get accurate polling information on a topic like this) but this link points to a similar position. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202302036145. Again I have no idea if that site is accurate.
 
Khamenei in first comment after Iran retaliation: We will respond to any aggression

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issues his first statement since Tehran’s retaliatory strike against a US base in Qatar. Khamenei says Iran was not the party that started this conflict and will not accept being targeted by any party under any circumstances.
"We will not surrender to any aggression. This is the logic behind the Iranian nation,” reads a post on the 86-year-old’s X account.
Would have been cooler if he said, "They kept warning us. They called our bluff and we got smacked pretty good. Let's sit and talk about solutions."
 
After U.S. Strikes, Iran May Be Determined to Build a Nuclear Weapon

Israel’s initial strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities had set back Iran’s ability to enrich uranium and push toward weaponization of its stockpile by about six months, according to American intelligence assessments.

While Iran’s capacity to build a bomb may be weakened, many American intelligence officials believe its resolve will harden.
Iran’s conventional defenses against Israel’s attacks in recent months have proven weak. Nuclear weapons remain the ultimate deterrent for state-on-state warfare. As a result, American officials said, the Iranian leadership could conclude that building an atomic bomb may be the only way to prevent future attacks or to ensure the country’s survival.

But U.S. intelligence has determined that it would take Iran about a year to further refine its uranium and put it into a miniaturized weapon that could be fired.

Satellite Images Suggest US Avoided Iran’s Nuclear Reactors

For all of the destruction the US Air Force visited on Iran’s nuclear program, satellite images show that military planners were careful not to hit reactors at a key research facility.
Notably absent from the International Atomic Energy Agency’s latest damage report are three research reactors operating at the Isfahan Nuclear Technology and Research Center. One of the so-called miniature neutron source reactors, made by China in 1991, runs on 900 grams (2 pounds) of bomb-grade uranium.

But as more images emerge, the Isfahan sites appear to have been intentionally left untouched, according to four senior officials in Vienna. They asked not to be identified in exchange for discussing sensitive information.
The IAEA’s board of governors convened an emergency session on Monday in the Austrian capital to discuss the ongoing strikes against Iran’s nuclear program. Hitting an operational nuclear reactor, even if low powered like the ones at Isfahan, could set a grave precedent, the officials said.

Iranian engineers used the research reactors at Isfahan to study atomic reactions by irradiating different materials. That so-called neutron activation analysis played a crucial role in early US efforts to build nuclear weapons, but it’s subsequently also become a valuable technique for industry and nuclear medicine.
One of the suspected locations of the mini-reactor neighbors a destroyed building next to a tiled square planted with trees. The damaged structure likely was landscaped for senior scientists and other personnel to congregate after using the reactor, one analyst said.


THREE MEMBERS OF IRANIAN NAVY KILLED IN ISRAELI STRIKE ON BANDAR ABBAS PORT -SEMI-OFFICIAL MEHR NEWS AGENCY

Video: https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1937190979573784816

Footage of a PATRIOT SAM battery engaging an incoming Iranian ballistic missile attack over Qatar.


Three Iranian officials familiar with the plans said that Iran gave advanced notice that attacks were coming, as a way to minimize casualties. The officials said Iran symbolically needed to strike back at the U.S. but at the same time carry it out in a way that allowed all sides an exit ramp; they described it as a similar strategy to 2020 when Iran gave Iraq heads up before firing ballistic missiles at an American base in Iraq following the assassination of its top general.


Iran’s “Supreme National Security Council” says Iran “destroyed the American air base” in Qatar. But Qatar says it successfully fended off the Iranian missile barrage, which “did not result in any deaths or injuries.” Big clue the Iranian strike is aimed at domestic consumption


US official tells Fox there is no evidence that any US base other than Al Udeid in Qatar have been targeted by Iranian missiles. Air defense sirens and the closure of air space over Iraq, Bahrain, UAE and Kuwait was done protectively. The only missiles fired as of yet were fired at a US base in Qatar. No Americans were injured or killed as a result of this Iranian missile strike which was intercepted by air defense systems.


Satellite imagery of Al Udeid Air Base taken Monday morning shows it was nearly empty of aircraft ahead of the Iranian missile attack. The images, captured by Planet Labs, showed dozens of aircraft at the base throughout early June, before Israel began its bombing campaign against Iran on June 13.


U.S. forces operating anti-missile batteries shot down the Iranian missiles fired at al Udeid, two Pentagon offiicials said. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss security matters. They did not say if Qatari forces assisted in the effort.


A Defense official said that a combination of medium range and ballistic missiles were intercepted and that there is no known damage to al Udeid Air Base.


Speaker of Iran’s Majlis (Parliament): In the Majlis, we are working to pass a bill that would suspend Iran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency until the Agency provides concrete guarantees of impartial and professional behavior
 
Agreed. I have no idea if it's accurate, but I'd heard listening to a podcast by The Free Press (which is heavily pro-Israel) that the majority of the population (around 80%) in Iran is opposed to the current government. I have no idea if polls like this are accurate (I'd imagine it's nearly impossible to get accurate polling information on a topic like this) but this link points to a similar position. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202302036145. Again I have no idea if that site is accurate.
Your second link is about a poll done in December 2022, so 2 years and 6 months ago. With their country under heavy military attack I'd guess the support level for the government is higher now than it was then.
IF the original poll was accurate in the first place. It was pretty simplistic:

“In response to the question “Islamic Republic: Yes or No?” 81% of respondents inside the country responded “No” to the Islamic Republic, 15% responded “Yes,” and 4% were not sure.
 
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