It felt good on Draft Night but now you have to actually start'em...Who Should I Start Thread "OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL" (1 Viewer)

[RenegadeRoy]

.5 PPR

Godwin vs Commanders
Or
McLaurin at Bucs

Swift vs Titans
Or
J Williams at Seahawks

Projected 50/50 against my opponent.

Leaning McLaurin (Best option on team) and Javante. I feel we need to see how they use Swift.

Thanks, Chaka!!

I'm leaning with what you were thinking as well (Terry and Williams).

 

[RenegadeRoy]

.5ppr/.5pp first down:

Lookin for a Flex from:
Jerome Ford v Dallas
OR
Rashee Rice v Baltimore

Ford feels like the safe pick while Rice feels like more of the home run (my starting WRs are ASB and Puka). Part of me wants Rice to get a piece of the TNF action.

 

[RenegadeRoy]

.5 PPR

Kamara or DJ Moore in flex.

Ooof that's a tough one. I think until we get a good look at how the Bears WR situation shakes out this week, you go with Kamara.

 

[titusbramble]

PPR, start 2 -

Rhamondre @ Bungles
Warren @ Falcons
JSN v Broncos

 

[Neal Cassady]

.5ppr/.5pp first down:

Lookin for a Flex from:
Jerome Ford v Dallas
OR
Rashee Rice v Baltimore

Ford feels like the safe pick while Rice feels like more of the home run (my starting WRs are ASB and Puka). Part of me wants Rice to get a piece of the TNF action.

Tough one here. I’d take the guy that’s ensured to get the most touches..Ford. I’m the opposite of you though..I hate TNF action.

 

[titusbramble]

.5ppr/.5pp first down:

Lookin for a Flex from:
Jerome Ford v Dallas
OR
Rashee Rice v Baltimore

Ford feels like the safe pick while Rice feels like more of the home run (my starting WRs are ASB and Puka). Part of me wants Rice to get a piece of the TNF action.

Tough one here. I’d take the guy that’s ensured to get the most touches..Ford. I’m the opposite of you though..I hate TNF action.

From a meta standpoint, the advantage of starting players in TNF is that you get a data point that can make you make correct decisions with respect to aggression if you have marginal calls to make. If Rice goes 1/7 or 9/135/2, would you rather know and be able to make adjustments before the early Sunday games or after?

 

[urbanhack]

x.com

x.com

 

[Chaka]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane. You're overthinking. You bought into it so stick with it until proven wrong.

To me the only question would be Monty v DK. I don't think Gibbs gets appreciably more work than Monty. Maybe some but I think this offense is going to use all it's pieces and Monty is still probably the first option inside the five. You drafted him for TDs and I think that was the right decision.

DK will probably see Surtain some, but I don't know how the two are generally deployed, particularly as the Seahawks are rolling out a new offense. Will DK line up wide all game or does he get moved around, what about Surtain? I don't know. But this is where I default to draft order so:
DK>Monty

The others don't factor in for me ATM.

Hi friends!
0.5ppr minor coinflips for your consideration. My current starters are listed first.
A Ekeler @ TB or T Spears @ Chi
P Freiermuth @ Atl or B Bowers @ LAC
R Bateman @ KC or Gabe Davis @ Mia

Ekeler>Spears I just have a bit more faith in Ekeler's role in a Kingsbury offense than Spears ATM. But you need to see both before making really knowing much of anything.
Freiermuth>Bowers You can't, IMO, start the rookie who hasn't practiced in weeks at this point.

Tossup between Bateman & Gabe. Like a literal coin flip for me. I guess I lean Bateman but for no real reason.

 

[Chaka]

.5 PPR

Kamara or DJ Moore in flex.

Good options. I probably lean Kamara because I trust the volume will be there and I can't quite be certain Caleb will throw enough or not distribute the ball well.

Kamara>DJ

 

[Chaka]

O.K one more:
FFPC scoring:
Need TWO of the following:

Javonte Williams @ Sea
R.Mostert vs Jax
C.Hubbard @ N.O.
L.McConkey vs LAV

Mostert>Javonte>Hubbard>>>McConkey

This one seems pretty clear to me.

 

[LionOfGosforth]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane. You're overthinking. You bought into it so stick with it until proven wrong.

To me the only question would be Monty v DK. I don't think Gibbs gets appreciably more work than Monty. Maybe some but I think this offense is going to use all it's pieces and Monty is still probably the first option inside the five. You drafted him for TDs and I think that was the right decision.

DK will probably see Surtain some, but I don't know how the two are generally deployed, particularly as the Seahawks are rolling out a new offense. Will DK line up wide all game or does he get moved around, what about Surtain? I don't know. But this is where I default to draft order so:
DK>Monty

The others don't factor in for me ATM.

Hi friends!
0.5ppr minor coinflips for your consideration. My current starters are listed first.
A Ekeler @ TB or T Spears @ Chi
P Freiermuth @ Atl or B Bowers @ LAC
R Bateman @ KC or Gabe Davis @ Mia

Ekeler>Spears I just have a bit more faith in Ekeler's role in a Kingsbury offense than Spears ATM. But you need to see both before making really knowing much of anything.
Freiermuth>Bowers You can't, IMO, start the rookie who hasn't practiced in weeks at this point.

Tossup between Bateman & Gabe. Like a literal coin flip for me. I guess I lean Bateman but for no real reason.

Thanks a lot @Chaka I appreciate the common sense advice. I always get a little nervous about my draft just before week 1

 

[Ministry of Pain]

PPR
Christian Kirk vs Rashee Rice as WR 3 this week, honestly I am sorta leaning Kirk, think Miami-Jax could be a high point total
Whichever WR is left vs Monty for my Flex spot, Detroit host the Rams in another game I think will be high scoring
I reached a little for Rice and I hate to have him on my bench with Brown out right now

Perhaps this is actually a good problem to have

 

[Chaka]

.5 PPR

Godwin vs Commanders
Or
McLaurin at Bucs

Swift vs Titans
Or
J Williams at Seahawks

Projected 50/50 against my opponent.

Leaning McLaurin (Best option on team) and Javante. I feel we need to see how they use Swift.

Thanks, Chaka!!

I kinda like McLaurin but they're both similar good options. For whatever reason I have never been a big Godwin guy.

McLaurin>Godwin

I need to see the Bears offense at least one week before I can say anything about them.
Javonte>Swift

 

[Chaka]

.5ppr/.5pp first down:

Lookin for a Flex from:
Jerome Ford v Dallas
OR
Rashee Rice v Baltimore

Ford feels like the safe pick while Rice feels like more of the home run (my starting WRs are ASB and Puka). Part of me wants Rice to get a piece of the TNF action.

Rice>Ford by a good margin IMO. I don't feel like Rice is the home run play at all, he's a chain mover with some YAC ability and should be one of the first two reads on most pass plays from the best QB in the game. Ford is fine and may be a better option early in the season before he wears down. But for the game he took over for Chubb, he was predominantly disappointing last year.

 

[Chaka]

PPR, start 2 -

Rhamondre @ Bungles
Warren @ Falcons
JSN v Broncos

No great answer here. I can see the argument for benching all of them. I guess I bench JSN because I am not confident in his volume but it's total speculation.

Gut call for sure.

 

[Chaka]

PPR
Christian Kirk vs Rashee Rice as WR 3 this week, honestly I am sorta leaning Kirk, think Miami-Jax could be a high point total
Whichever WR is left vs Monty for my Flex spot, Detroit host the Rams in another game I think will be high scoring
I reached a little for Rice and I hate to have him on my bench with Brown out right now

Perhaps this is actually a good problem to have

I say you do what you think between Kirk & Rashee.

Personally:
Rice>Monty>Kirk

Rice is the #1 WR on the Chiefs with or without Marquise Brown. Monty is more of a dice roll but I also think it may be a high scoring affair and the Lions should have some goal line opportunities. I also don't think Gibbs is going to take away many opportunities from Monty. Campbell has total confidence in both backs and will not hesitate to sub them out for each other.

Kirk is a fine play but I just don't entirely know what to expect from the Jacksonville offense so I am a little less confident in him. But he is objectively still a good option.

 

[jvdesigns2002]

Kinda juggling this one. 0.5ppr.
Aaron Jones vs the Giants
Or
Jerome Ford vs the cowboys.

 

[Chaka]

Kinda juggling this one. 0.5ppr.
Aaron Jones vs the Giants
Or
Jerome Ford vs the cowboys.

It depends... Am I playing you this week?

 

[RaidersAreOne]

0.5 PPR. With concerns about Ayiuk maybe coming back rusty, in my flex would you consider starting:

• RB Brian Robinson Jr vs. the Bucs
• WR Khalil Shakir vs. Cardinals

 

[Chaka]

Kinda juggling this one. 0.5ppr.
Aaron Jones vs the Giants
Or
Jerome Ford vs the cowboys.

I go with Jones and without any hesitation. I like Ford but he's adequate at best. Even injured for most of last year Jones was a better, more efficient RB. He's a much better receiver than Ford, which will keep him on the field in O'Connell's high flying offense. He's also been great around the goal line.

And you drafted him as a starter two rounds before Ford. Don't overthink it.

Jones>Ford

 

[Chaka]

0.5 PPR. With concerns about Ayiuk maybe coming back rusty, in my flex would you consider starting:

• RB Brian Robinson Jr vs. the Bucs
• WR Khalil Shakir vs. Cardinals

Yeah it's a tough one for sure. The problem is we just don't know how any of these guys are going to look; be it from rust, in a dramatically different offense or in a lead role facing #1 DBs.

I probably stick with Aiyuk>Robinson>Shakir

 

[yoman]

What the heck is Ministry of Pain doing stealing Chaka's thread

Need 1 (PPR)
Javonte @ Sea
BRob @ TB
Najee @ Atl

 

[Chaka]

What the heck is Ministry of Pain doing stealing Chaka's thread

Need 1 (PPR)
Javonte @ Sea
BRob @ TB
Najee @ Atl

Long story but I approve this thread.

I like Javonte here. I don't see McLaughlin taking a bigger portion of touches from him than I do Ekeler or Warren. It's really that simple. But, if you believe Warren will be limited then Najee is probably in line for the biggest workload and I would go with him. I am on the fence about that and would wait for more practice reports.

Javonte>Najee>Robinson

 

[zeke2222]

PPR need 3

Zay Flowers vs KC
Pickens vs Atl
Amari Cooper vs Dallas
Godwin vs Wash?

Thanks.

 

[Chaka]

PPR need 3

Zay Flowers vs KC
Pickens vs Atl
Amari Cooper vs Dallas
Godwin vs Wash?

Thanks.

Three of these guys are the clear #1 WR on their respective teams, one is the clear #2.

Bench Godwin.

 

[zeke2222]

Thanks Chaka:
PPR

Dak prescott vs Clev

or

Goff vs Rams?

Pretty sure Goff has the Matchup??

 

[Chaka]

Thanks Chaka:
PPR

Dak prescott vs Clev

or

Goff vs Rams?

Pretty sure Goff has the Matchup??

Talked about this one a couple times upthread.

Goff>Dak

 

[OrganizedChaos]

In a 0.5 PPR I need to start 2 of the following:
Waddle vs. Jaguars - obviously 1B in pecking lineup and been a little dinged but has best matchup
London vs. Steelers - not the best matchup but hopefully will get a lot of targets
Rice vs. Ravens - with brown out this looks better but fbg does not like his matchup in the slot with Hamilton

I honestly have been going back and forth considering all 3 possible combinations. I also have Kupp who I am starting.

Thanks in advance.

 

[nirad3]

Eh.... I'm usually pretty confident in my own decisions but this one could perhaps be coin flip, at least in my mind.

Not a huge fan of starting rookies Week 1 unless they are no-brainer studs like MHJ. That said, I have Ladd McConkey (12 team PPR) available to slide into my flex spot, but currently have Jordan Addison there. I much prefer Addison's matchup, with the Raiders sneaky good against the pass and Harbaugh likely to just run...run...run.

I think I'm overthinking it.

 

[Chaka]

In a 0.5 PPR I need to start 2 of the following:
Waddle vs. Jaguars - obviously 1B in pecking lineup and been a little dinged but has best matchup
London vs. Steelers - not the best matchup but hopefully will get a lot of targets
Rice vs. Ravens - with brown out this looks better but fbg does not like his matchup in the slot with Hamilton

I honestly have been going back and forth considering all 3 possible combinations. I also have Kupp who I am starting.

Thanks in advance.

I think you're good with either and I'm hesitant to try and predict based on what we know. I seldom try to predict matchup strength especially in week one and none of these comes off as prohibitive.

I think you should start London but, I guess I am a little more hesitant about London just because we haven't see this offense with Cousins under center.

If it comes down to a gut call I put more draft capital in Rice than Waddle so, for me (only):

Rice>London>Waddle

I think Rice provides the best mix of confidence in the situation and upside.

 

[Chaka]

Eh.... I'm usually pretty confident in my own decisions but this one could perhaps be coin flip, at least in my mind.

Not a huge fan of starting rookies Week 1 unless they are no-brainer studs like MHJ. That said, I have Ladd McConkey (12 team PPR) available to slide into my flex spot, but currently have Jordan Addison there. I much prefer Addison's matchup, with the Raiders sneaky good against the pass and Harbaugh likely to just run...run...run.

I think I'm overthinking it.

Probably but I think you should monitor Addison's injury status, thought I read a blurb about him being limited.

 

[BobbyLayne]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
T.Higgns vs Pats - decent option with Chase uncertainty
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane - if you are uncomfortable because of the wide range of outcomes, I’m perplexed. Pretty sure you already knew that when you took him. The upside is RB1 any week he suits up. The floor is outside the top 40. It is what it is, nothing in this weeks usage will assuage you that he’s GTD to see X touches in week 2 (or any other week.) Are you familiar with the concept “radical acceptance” of things beyond your immediate control?

Metcalf/Pickens - bit of a coin flip, lean DK

 

[kyoun1e]

Need a flex. 12 team PPR league.

* J. Ford vs DAL -- Could swear DAL could be run on. Regardless, outside of some D. Foreman sprinkling, should be active rushing and receiving. Even if DAL gets up, Ford would benefit receiving out of the backfield.

* C. Hubbard @NO -- Tough matchup unless the NO D lost talent and maybe a tough matchup for B. Young too. Haven't heard a peep about M. Sanders though.

* B. Thomas @MIA -- This one is interesting. All signs point to JAX wanting to hand over Ridley's spot to Thomas. This should be a shootout and JAX may have to keep pace. Wildcard: is J. Ramsey going to play? If no, oh boy. Probably the lowest floor but the highest ceiling of the three.

Which?

Thanks

 

[Bad_Mo2]

PPR, extra points for long TDs - otherwise standard 6-pt TD scoring for every 10 yards for receiving and rushing.

Rashee Rice v. BAL
Isiah Pacheco v. BAL
Tank Dell @ IND

EDIT - I have BAL DST if it matters at all.

Need 2 in flex spot. thanks

 

[Chaka]

Need a flex. 12 team PPR league.

* J. Ford vs DAL -- Could swear DAL could be run on. Regardless, outside of some D. Foreman sprinkling, should be active rushing and receiving. Even if DAL gets up, Ford would benefit receiving out of the backfield.

* C. Hubbard @NO -- Tough matchup unless the NO D lost talent and maybe a tough matchup for B. Young too. Haven't heard a peep about M. Sanders though.

* B. Thomas @MIA -- This one is interesting. All signs point to JAX wanting to hand over Ridley's spot to Thomas. This should be a shootout and JAX may have to keep pace. Wildcard: is J. Ramsey going to play? If no, oh boy. Probably the lowest floor but the highest ceiling of the three.

Which?

Thanks

Personally I'm not starting Brian Thomas in week one. Just can't see it.

Ford v Hubbard is really a coin flip. Both should see plenty of opportunity but and I could flip flop a dozen times.

ATM I think I prefer Carolina's matchup so:

Chuba>Ford>Thomas

 

[Chaka]

PPR, extra points for long TDs - otherwise standard 6-pt TD scoring for every 10 yards for receiving and rushing.

Rashee Rice v. BAL
Isiah Pacheco v. BAL
Tank Dell @ IND

EDIT - I have BAL DST if it matters at all.

Need 2 in flex spot. thanks

I mean, Pacheco is being drafted as a RB1, I think you have to start him while he's healthy.

Rice v Dell is a little closer but in week 1 I have a lot more confidence in Rice's target share without Marquise Brown than I do Dell's with Diggs.

Pacheco>Rice>Dell

 

[Chaka]

Heading to the Padres game. I'll try to answer as I am able.

Good luck tonight everyone.

 

[efactor]

Full PPR:

Flowers tonight against KC or

McLaurin against the Bucs


Thanks in advance

 

[efactor]

PPR, extra points for long TDs - otherwise standard 6-pt TD scoring for every 10 yards for receiving and rushing.

Rashee Rice v. BAL
Isiah Pacheco v. BAL
Tank Dell @ IND

EDIT - I have BAL DST if it matters at all.

Need 2 in flex spot. thanks

Rice and Dell

Tough matchup for Pacheco

 

[efactor]

Need a flex. 12 team PPR league.

* J. Ford vs DAL -- Could swear DAL could be run on. Regardless, outside of some D. Foreman sprinkling, should be active rushing and receiving. Even if DAL gets up, Ford would benefit receiving out of the backfield.

* C. Hubbard @NO -- Tough matchup unless the NO D lost talent and maybe a tough matchup for B. Young too. Haven't heard a peep about M. Sanders though.

* B. Thomas @MIA -- This one is interesting. All signs point to JAX wanting to hand over Ridley's spot to Thomas. This should be a shootout and JAX may have to keep pace. Wildcard: is J. Ramsey going to play? If no, oh boy. Probably the lowest floor but the highest ceiling of the three.

Which?

Thanks

Tough one but I would go with Thomas. Not worried about him being a rookie in his first game. They will have to keep up with the Dolphins.

 

[RenegadeRoy]

Kinda juggling this one. 0.5ppr.
Aaron Jones vs the Giants
Or
Jerome Ford vs the cowboys.

Jones for me.

 

[RenegadeRoy]

Full PPR:

Flowers tonight against KC or

McLaurin against the Bucs


Thanks in advance

Terry, but I'm high on the Manders.

 

[LionOfGosforth]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
T.Higgns vs Pats - decent option with Chase uncertainty
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane - if you are uncomfortable because of the wide range of outcomes, I’m perplexed. Pretty sure you already knew that when you took him. The upside is RB1 any week he suits up. The floor is outside the top 40. It is what it is, nothing in this weeks usage will assuage you that he’s GTD to see X touches in week 2 (or any other week.) Are you familiar with the concept “radical acceptance” of things beyond your immediate control?

Metcalf/Pickens - bit of a coin flip, lean DK

This is entirely the issue for me, I didn't draft on that night like I would have drafted tonight if that makes sense. First and only draft of the season, I already had Hall so I took Achane for exactly the thing you mentioned, the ability to win my week. If I drafted again tonight, i'd take Jacobs or Walker for the solid floor and the ability to more easily relax and set my lineup. Probably anyway lol.

On your input, you don't consider Higgins or Monty as an option?

 

[Ministry of Pain]

PPR
Christian Kirk vs Rashee Rice as WR 3 this week, honestly I am sorta leaning Kirk, think Miami-Jax could be a high point total
Whichever WR is left vs Monty for my Flex spot, Detroit host the Rams in another game I think will be high scoring
I reached a little for Rice and I hate to have him on my bench with Brown out right now

Perhaps this is actually a good problem to have

I say you do what you think between Kirk & Rashee.

Personally:
Rice>Monty>Kirk

Rice is the #1 WR on the Chiefs with or without Marquise Brown. Monty is more of a dice roll but I also think it may be a high scoring affair and the Lions should have some goal line opportunities. I also don't think Gibbs is going to take away many opportunities from Monty. Campbell has total confidence in both backs and will not hesitate to sub them out for each other.

Kirk is a fine play but I just don't entirely know what to expect from the Jacksonville offense so I am a little less confident in him. But he is objectively still a good option.

I'd like to add that in Week 1, I can't imagine Campbell does anything other than split the load unless one of them is outpacing the other by a large margin
Week 1? No Head Coach wants to run their guy into the ground, it's almost an extension of preseason for some of these teams that chose to rest most of their better players and Vets
Thanks Chaka

 

[BobbyLayne]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
T.Higgns vs Pats - decent option with Chase uncertainty
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane - if you are uncomfortable because of the wide range of outcomes, I’m perplexed. Pretty sure you already knew that when you took him. The upside is RB1 any week he suits up. The floor is outside the top 40. It is what it is, nothing in this weeks usage will assuage you that he’s GTD to see X touches in week 2 (or any other week.) Are you familiar with the concept “radical acceptance” of things beyond your immediate control?

Metcalf/Pickens - bit of a coin flip, lean DK

This is entirely the issue for me, I didn't draft on that night like I would have drafted tonight if that makes sense. First and only draft of the season, I already had Hall so I took Achane for exactly the thing you mentioned, the ability to win my week. If I drafted again tonight, i'd take Jacobs or Walker for the solid floor and the ability to more easily relax and set my lineup. Probably anyway lol.

On your input, you don't consider Higgins or Monty as an option?

1) floors don’t win championships. A high crank score (consistency metric) gives us comfort. But it’s illusionary. In my research and experience, confirmed by studies that look at tens of thousands of leagues, high variance players are definitive difference makers. Owning them can be stressful & can lead us to faulty conclusions. Take big cuts - sure, your strikeout rate will go up, but when you make contact it’s headed for the upper deck.
2) I already gave my opinion (which is just one person’s perspective, take it with a grain of salt.) If you think Tee will benefit from Chase’s absences from TC/practices, go for it. If you feel strongly Detroit is going to have several long sustained drives and at least 1-2 of them will end in Monty scoring a TD, that’s a respectable position. We tell ourselves these different narratives to calm our anxiety. Whatever decision gives you the most agita, don’t do that. Trust your own gut. IMO Metcalf and Pickens are Top 50 Flex plays this week, and Higgins/D-Mo are outside that. But it’s close enough that any of those four seem like reasonable viable options. Trust yourself.

 

[LionOfGosforth]

Non-ppr, please pick 2 from the following flex options

Achane vs Jags - I know, I drafted him in the third I should back my own judgement. Just not sure what his percentage will be and might be guessing weekly
DK Metcalf vs Broncos - had him penciled in but a comment above about him facing Surtain has me pausing to evaluate further
T.Higgns vs Pats - decent option with Chase uncertainty
J.Ford vs Cowboys - likely gets most of the running work but Cowboys probably tough to run on
Monty vs Rams - Gibbs probably gets most of the work but Monty an option for goalline work most weeks?
Pickens @ Falcons - dunno, like him this year but the QB situation is weird there
C.Watson vs Eagles in Brazil - not really considering him this week but he's an option I guess

Achane - if you are uncomfortable because of the wide range of outcomes, I’m perplexed. Pretty sure you already knew that when you took him. The upside is RB1 any week he suits up. The floor is outside the top 40. It is what it is, nothing in this weeks usage will assuage you that he’s GTD to see X touches in week 2 (or any other week.) Are you familiar with the concept “radical acceptance” of things beyond your immediate control?

Metcalf/Pickens - bit of a coin flip, lean DK

This is entirely the issue for me, I didn't draft on that night like I would have drafted tonight if that makes sense. First and only draft of the season, I already had Hall so I took Achane for exactly the thing you mentioned, the ability to win my week. If I drafted again tonight, i'd take Jacobs or Walker for the solid floor and the ability to more easily relax and set my lineup. Probably anyway lol.

On your input, you don't consider Higgins or Monty as an option?

1) floors don’t win championships. A high crank score (consistency metric) gives us comfort. But it’s illusionary. In my research and experience, confirmed by studies that look at tens of thousands of leagues, high variance players are definitive difference makers. Owning them can be stressful & can lead us to faulty conclusions. Take big cuts - sure, your strikeout rate will go up, but when you make contact it’s headed for the upper deck.
2) I already gave my opinion (which is just one person’s perspective, take it with a grain of salt.) If you think Tee will benefit from Chase’s absences from TC/practices, go for it. If you feel strongly Detroit is going to have several long sustained drives and at least 1-2 of them will end in Monty scoring a TD, that’s a respectable position. We tell ourselves these different narratives to calm our anxiety. Whatever decision gives you the most agita, don’t do that. Trust your own gut. IMO Metcalf and Pickens are Top 50 Flex plays this week, and Higgins/D-Mo are outside that. But it’s close enough that any of those four seem like reasonable viable options. Trust yourself.

Thank you for the in-depth, thoughtful and scholarly approach, you are a gem on these boards sir

 

[Chaka]

Full PPR:

Flowers tonight against KC or

McLaurin against the Bucs


Thanks in advance

Flowers>McLaurin

Got an update that weather is an issue at Arrowhead. So monitor that.

Otherwise I have to trust Lamar more than Jayden this week.

 

[zeke2222]

PPR need 3

Zay Flowers vs KC
Pickens vs Atl
Amari Cooper vs Dallas
Godwin vs Wash?

Thanks.

Three of these guys are the clear #1 WR on their respective teams, one is the clear #2.

Bench Godwin.

my opponent Has Lamar Jackson. should that change my decision from playing Flowers to Godwin?

 

[davidwb]

Heading to the Padres game. I'll try to answer as I am able.

Good luck tonight everyone.

Thanks for this post, Chaka -- it's always useful!

 

[JohnnyU]

PPR need 3

Zay Flowers vs KC
Pickens vs Atl
Amari Cooper vs Dallas
Godwin vs Wash?

Thanks.

Three of these guys are the clear #1 WR on their respective teams, one is the clear #2.

Bench Godwin.

my opponent Has Lamar Jackson. should that change my decision from playing Flowers to Godwin?

No.