Chase Stuart
Footballguy
The Jets-Pats winner certainly has the inside track on getting the #2 seed and a bye in the AFC. The Jets have a better passing offense, a better passing defense and a better rushing defense than New England. The teams are pretty close to even, but I think the Jets are a slightly better team and NY has fared much better in Foxboro than at home over the last five to ten years against the Patriots. I think they'll eek out a victory on Thursday.
And after that? The Jets play @Tenn, Den, @SF, Buf, @Sea and Mia. That screams 4-2 to me, which puts them at 11-5 in the AFC. 11-5 will win the AFC East, and the Jets should have the tiebreaker if some other AFC-E team matches them.
SD already has five losses and seems unlikely to run the table; Denver has an uphill battle to going 6-1 to match the Jets, and they'd have to win in NY to get that tiebreaker. It looks to me like the AFC North winner will be challenging the Jets (or Pats) for the bye, and not the AFC West winner.
Baltimore is 6-3, but has the entire NFC East still to play and Pittsburgh. The Steelers have the Ravens, the Titans, the Pats, the Chargers and the Cowboys. While either Balt or Pitt might get to 11-5, it looks to me like the Jets have a much easier path to 11-5 or 12-4, and thus, have to be considered the favorites at this point to get the #2 seed in the AFC.
And after that? The Jets play @Tenn, Den, @SF, Buf, @Sea and Mia. That screams 4-2 to me, which puts them at 11-5 in the AFC. 11-5 will win the AFC East, and the Jets should have the tiebreaker if some other AFC-E team matches them.
SD already has five losses and seems unlikely to run the table; Denver has an uphill battle to going 6-1 to match the Jets, and they'd have to win in NY to get that tiebreaker. It looks to me like the AFC North winner will be challenging the Jets (or Pats) for the bye, and not the AFC West winner.
Baltimore is 6-3, but has the entire NFC East still to play and Pittsburgh. The Steelers have the Ravens, the Titans, the Pats, the Chargers and the Cowboys. While either Balt or Pitt might get to 11-5, it looks to me like the Jets have a much easier path to 11-5 or 12-4, and thus, have to be considered the favorites at this point to get the #2 seed in the AFC.