I have thoroughly enjoyed reading all of this thread not only when it started over a month ago and even moreso now as I have recently been assigned the #1 pick in my draft. One aspect that has yet to be discussed is the strategy from the #1 pick in a 2 QB league. This league is a ten team league with each team starting 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 PK, and 1 DEF. The 2 QB starters obviously changes quite a bit at the top of the draft before my 2nd and 3rd picks. In such a league I also cannot afford to wait until the 8th or 9th round to select my first QB. I still support the strategies discussed here and am planning to use a variation of those discussed, but it is necessary they be tweaked slightly for a 2 QB league, so I am gonna try to walk through some scenarios in the first few rounds and let me know what you think.
In the first round LT2 is a given for me.
At the 2nd/3rd round turn, over the past couple years there have been an average of about 5-6 QBs, 10-11 RBs, and 3-4 WRs taken at this point. Based on the recent turmoil I don't think I would feel comfortable grabbing TO at this point, thus I think there are really 4 top WRs for me to consider. If 2 are available then I will likely look to grab two (Moss will be gone definitely, I would hope to get Chad and Holt). If only one is left, I will grab him and a RB (based on AntSports ADP both Jones', Dillon, Barber, and Rudi might be available). There is a possibility that teams will be gunshy to take the 4th QB off the board as the next 8 or so QBs are pretty equal, so a few less RB's might be available. I tend to like Bulger this year and if he is still available I would be tempted to take him at this point along with a top WR.
At the 4th/5th round turn, there has historically been about 12 QBs, 17-18 RBs, 9 WRs and 1-2 TEs taken by this point. If I have LT/WR/WR, I will look to go RB/QB as I don't think I can wait any longer to grab my first QB. RBs available might include Jordan, Jackson, Bell, maybe Martin and Westbrook, and on. QB's available at this point are likely to be Palmer, Plummer, Brooks, Delhomme. If I go WR/RB in rounds 2/3 then at this turn I will look at at WR/QB with Michael Clayton or Darrell Jackson being my target at WR and the same QBs. In the rare chance that I go with a QB in round 2/3, I would likely bypass QB here and look WR/RB.
At the 6th/7th round turn, there should be about 18 QBs, 21 RBs, 18 WRs, and 3-4 TEs off the board. At this point, I feel I will need to lock up a 2nd QB and a 3rd RB. The QBs worth a look will be Griese (who I favor), Carr, Leftwich, McNair, and such. Being that not many RB's will have been taken between these two picks and my last two picks, some of the list from above my be still available as well the likes of a JJ Arrington, Cadillac Williams, Michael Bennett and DeShaun Foster. I would look to get Griese and either Arrington or Williams (although under some situations I would have to be careful not to load up on too many TB players).
As I move into the 8th/9th round, it is obivouslyt harder to predict but I might look to add a Dallas Clark type TE (I am hoping to pair him with LJ Smith a few rounds later) and a 3rd WR or 3rd QB based on value.
Thus, if I go LT/WR/WR/RB/QB/RB/QB I could be looking at a top 7 of LT, Chad Johnson, Torry Holt (or Marvin), Steven Jackson or Bell, Carson Palmer or Plummer, Cadillac or Arrington, Griese or Carr.
If I go LT/RB/WR/QB/WR/RB/QB, I will be looking at something like LT, Julius Jones or Kevin Jones, Chad Johnson or Torry Holt, Carson Palmer or Plummer, Michael Clayton or Jackson, Arrington or Cadillac, and Griese or Carr.
If I go LT/WR/QB/RB/WR/QB/RB then I will hopefulyl have LT, Chad or Marvin, Bulger, Bell or Jackson, Clayton or Jackson, Griese or Carr, and Arrington or Cadillac.
So based on the above it appears I would like to have 2 QBs, 3 RBs and 2 WRs by the end of round 7...what combination I pick will obviously depend on the flow of the draft and where value presents itself. Whatever the case, based on the past drafts in my league that I have studied I feel it will be very beneficial to my team to have two solid WRs by the end of the 5th round as there is a large jump in number of receivers taken between the 5th and 10th rounds (about 4-5 per round). By having 2 WRs I can hopefully avoid this nasty run and use these rounds to catch back up on QBs and my RB2. ALso from what I see from the past drafts I really think I can wait until the 6th/7th round to grab my 3rd RB as there shouldn't be much of a dropoff between these picks and my picks at the 4th/5th round turn.
I apologize for the long post but this is as much me looking for critiques of my strategy for a 2 QB league (which had yet to be discussed) as it was a chance for me to organize my thoughts "on paper" and strategy. Any feedback would be greatly appreciated as I'm sure this will help other members in 2 QB leagues as well.