Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
I am not a smrt man.Thanks. Where did you get that breakdown? I don't see that kind of detail at basketball reference, the shot chart and heat map there make it look like he's efficient from that spot, although the heatmap might just be due to volume.7/14 - PlayoffsTobiasFunke said:What should really convince you that it was the right play is that even if LeBron does convert at 75% there, which seems impossible, it still might not have been the better play. That translates to a 37.5% chance to win if you assume the teams are even in OT. I don't have Bosh's right corner 3 numbers but I assume he's at least at 37.5% considering he shoots over 35% from all spots beyond the arc and that's his favorite spot.
Plus you have to adjust for the fact that the Pacers were at home and LeBron had 5 fouls, both of which reduce the Heat's chances in OT. And adjust for the couple extra seconds the three took off the clock, making a Pacers last possession miracle that much harder if the Heat had scored.
9/33 - Regular Season
------
16/57 - 28% this season
And about 35% over the previous two seasons. Surprisingly, the right corner is his worst spot, though we aren't talking about huge samples here.
ETA- I see the problem. Your math is off. 14 + 33 = 47, making him 34% on the year.
http://stats.nba.com/playerShotchart.html?PlayerID=2547&Season=2013-14