Think he had soured on waiting and just wanted the roster spot back, was happy to oblige!So you stole him?Small one in a devy league:
Gave: 3.06 (knock it down 10 spots for rostered Devys)
Received: Ka'Deem Carey
Note: I own Forte
Think he had soured on waiting and just wanted the roster spot back, was happy to oblige!So you stole him?Small one in a devy league:
Gave: 3.06 (knock it down 10 spots for rostered Devys)
Received: Ka'Deem Carey
Note: I own Forte
Very minimally IMOI'm pretty sure that he knows the risk goes both ways, he's just saying that the risk goes beyond next year.What if Nelson tears his ACL. What if Brown holds out and gets traded, or Rothlisberger gets hurt, or Brown himself gets hurt?I agree that I like the side getting the picks, and that it will likely work out for them in the long run. I wouldn't say the only risk is for this year though. What if this year's draft class ends up being as big of a bust as 2012 (which btw, was probably the most anticipated fantasy draft class of the bunch)? Assuming they didn't unload any of those guys at their peak value it'd be...
Brown and Rodgers for Luck, Richardson, Martin, Blackmon, and Wilson.![]()
It's not like high end guys haven't completely fallen off the map in the past.
If he really wanted to, he could probably take picks 5 and 6 and turn that into a nice young player, draft with 1,2,3, use EVans, pick up an old QB like Manning semi-cheap, and continue to compete this year.
With that much value on your side in a trade, it opens up all kinds of options for you.
Remember, the risk goes both ways. There is risk when you reject a trade, also.
carey easilySmall one in a devy league:
Gave: 3.06 (knock it down 10 spots for rostered Devys)
Received: Ka'Deem Carey
Note: I own Forte
Soured on a guy who who had no chance to do anything this year. why even draft him then? Some owners....Think he had soured on waiting and just wanted the roster spot back, was happy to oblige!So you stole him?Small one in a devy league:
Gave: 3.06 (knock it down 10 spots for rostered Devys)
Received: Ka'Deem Carey
Note: I own Forte
How so? If those draft picks are busts, how would it not hurt his team for several years?Very minimally IMOI'm pretty sure that he knows the risk goes both ways, he's just saying that the risk goes beyond next year.What if Nelson tears his ACL. What if Brown holds out and gets traded, or Rothlisberger gets hurt, or Brown himself gets hurt?I agree that I like the side getting the picks, and that it will likely work out for them in the long run. I wouldn't say the only risk is for this year though. What if this year's draft class ends up being as big of a bust as 2012 (which btw, was probably the most anticipated fantasy draft class of the bunch)? Assuming they didn't unload any of those guys at their peak value it'd be...
Brown and Rodgers for Luck, Richardson, Martin, Blackmon, and Wilson.![]()
It's not like high end guys haven't completely fallen off the map in the past.
If he really wanted to, he could probably take picks 5 and 6 and turn that into a nice young player, draft with 1,2,3, use EVans, pick up an old QB like Manning semi-cheap, and continue to compete this year.
With that much value on your side in a trade, it opens up all kinds of options for you.
Remember, the risk goes both ways. There is risk when you reject a trade, also.
Seems fair for both sides, but depends on where Cobb ends up. Cobb+1.07 for Dez, Floyd+2016 first for Marshall+2nd.12 team PPR (FFPC)
Cobb
Michael Floyd
pick 7
2016 1st (should be clear playoff team)
for
Dez
Brandon Marshalll
2016 2nd
I get what you are saying about the picks, but I tend to think picks 1,2,3,5,6 are a little better than just "shots in the dark" in the vast majority of years, not to mention Evans who I take over Nelson straight up anyway.Many posts for thr big trade that happened. Looks pretty fair based of how people value picks but to me I like elite players more then shots in the dark alway.
Ill take cobb and picks above. Cobb is a point maker just like dez.
Because what if Brown loses a limb, Rodgers gets a lifetime ban for overinflating balls and Nelson joins the Peace Corp.?humpback said:How so? If those draft picks are busts, how would it not hurt his team for several years?Very minimally IMOI'm pretty sure that he knows the risk goes both ways, he's just saying that the risk goes beyond next year.What if Nelson tears his ACL. What if Brown holds out and gets traded, or Rothlisberger gets hurt, or Brown himself gets hurt?I agree that I like the side getting the picks, and that it will likely work out for them in the long run. I wouldn't say the only risk is for this year though. What if this year's draft class ends up being as big of a bust as 2012 (which btw, was probably the most anticipated fantasy draft class of the bunch)? Assuming they didn't unload any of those guys at their peak value it'd be...
Brown and Rodgers for Luck, Richardson, Martin, Blackmon, and Wilson.![]()
It's not like high end guys haven't completely fallen off the map in the past.
If he really wanted to, he could probably take picks 5 and 6 and turn that into a nice young player, draft with 1,2,3, use EVans, pick up an old QB like Manning semi-cheap, and continue to compete this year.
With that much value on your side in a trade, it opens up all kinds of options for you.
Remember, the risk goes both ways. There is risk when you reject a trade, also.
I don't see any more risk past the 2016 season in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 6th picks of this draft (plus Mike Evans that people keep leaving out for some reason) than I do in Rodgers, Brown, and Nelson.Because what if Brown loses a limb, Rodgers gets a lifetime ban for overinflating balls and Nelson joins the Peace Corp.?I made this point in the "dynasty value" thread but we've become so spoiled with the last two draft classes that no one sees any risks in draft picks anymore. I own a bunch of firsts this year so hope it's another amazing draft class, but Free Bagel, just showed how things could go wrong with a recent example, and it basically gets ignored.
I'm not saying the side getting the picks loses, but the risk is clearly on his side of the deal.
And it's not ignored. There are plenty of examples of top end established players turning into crap also though.but Free Bagel, just showed how things could go wrong with a recent example, and it basically gets ignored.
Dez/Marshall12 team PPR (FFPC)
Cobb
Michael Floyd
pick 7
2016 1st (should be clear playoff team)
for
Dez
Brandon Marshalll
2016 2nd
Why would we talk about Evans here when we're discussing the risk of the upcoming rookie class?I don't see any more risk past the 2016 season in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 6th picks of this draft (plus Mike Evans that people keep leaving out for some reason) than I do in Rodgers, Brown, and Nelson.Because what if Brown loses a limb, Rodgers gets a lifetime ban for overinflating balls and Nelson joins the Peace Corp.?I made this point in the "dynasty value" thread but we've become so spoiled with the last two draft classes that no one sees any risks in draft picks anymore. I own a bunch of firsts this year so hope it's another amazing draft class, but Free Bagel, just showed how things could go wrong with a recent example, and it basically gets ignored.
I'm not saying the side getting the picks loses, but the risk is clearly on his side of the deal.
If FOUR of those picks bust and just ONE ends up a stud, it's pretty much a wash, if not still in favor of the picks and EVans side (again, past 2015). You would be looking at two studly players under 24, while Nelson will be 31 heading into the 2016 season and Brown 28.
I'll take two 24 year old studs over nelson at 31, brown at 28, and Rodgers at 32. And that seems to be about the lowest expectations I would have for that move in favor of the picks and Evans.
I still look at it more like Rodgers and Brown for picks 1,2,3,5,6 since I prefer Evans over Nelson by a landslide starting 2016.
I don't see any more risk in the picks/Evans side than I do in holding on to the established players. To me, the chances of those picks and Evans being worth the same or less than Rodgers/Brown/Nelson in 2016 and beyond is considerably less. WAY less IMO.
Personally I would look into dealing the 5/6 picks for like four 2016 1sts somehow to try and get top picks again to either use or trade next offseason, but not necessary.
Every trade, and every player has risk. Goes without saying. Figured that was obvious.Why would we talk about Evans here when we're discussing the risk of the upcoming rookie class?Now you're saying you don't see any more risk with the draft picks side- earlier you said you don't see any risk with it, which is very different. You can certainly argue that one side has more or less long term risk than the other, but it's silly to say that either side has little to no risk beyond next year.I don't see any more risk past the 2016 season in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 6th picks of this draft (plus Mike Evans that people keep leaving out for some reason) than I do in Rodgers, Brown, and Nelson.Because what if Brown loses a limb, Rodgers gets a lifetime ban for overinflating balls and Nelson joins the Peace Corp.?
I made this point in the "dynasty value" thread but we've become so spoiled with the last two draft classes that no one sees any risks in draft picks anymore. I own a bunch of firsts this year so hope it's another amazing draft class, but Free Bagel, just showed how things could go wrong with a recent example, and it basically gets ignored.
I'm not saying the side getting the picks loses, but the risk is clearly on his side of the deal.
If FOUR of those picks bust and just ONE ends up a stud, it's pretty much a wash, if not still in favor of the picks and EVans side (again, past 2015). You would be looking at two studly players under 24, while Nelson will be 31 heading into the 2016 season and Brown 28.
I'll take two 24 year old studs over nelson at 31, brown at 28, and Rodgers at 32. And that seems to be about the lowest expectations I would have for that move in favor of the picks and Evans.
I still look at it more like Rodgers and Brown for picks 1,2,3,5,6 since I prefer Evans over Nelson by a landslide starting 2016.
I don't see any more risk in the picks/Evans side than I do in holding on to the established players. To me, the chances of those picks and Evans being worth the same or less than Rodgers/Brown/Nelson in 2016 and beyond is considerably less. WAY less IMO.
Personally I would look into dealing the 5/6 picks for like four 2016 1sts somehow to try and get top picks again to either use or trade next offseason, but not necessary.
put me down for CJ, think he will win the job and be top 10CJ Anderson for Keenan Allen
this one is close, haven't decided how Beckham, Cruz, Donnell will split touches. Seems like teams will take away Beckham but they couldn't do it last year. I guess give me Thomas but this one is close for me. Depends on team needsJuliusThomas
Donnell, Vincent Jackson, 2015 2.5
I'll take Thomas in this deal.JuliusThomas
Donnell, Vincent Jackson, 2015 2.5
We wouldn't talk about Evans because we're talking about the future risk- no one is arguing that Evans is risky here, just that the other pieces (draft picks) are.Every trade, and every player has risk. Goes without saying. Figured that was obvious.To me there is no risk in making the move since i dont see that side having more risk than the other side. I see it as less risk actually.Why would we talk about Evans here when we're discussing the risk of the upcoming rookie class?
Now you're saying you don't see any more risk with the draft picks side- earlier you said you don't see any risk with it, which is very different. You can certainly argue that one side has more or less long term risk than the other, but it's silly to say that either side has little to no risk beyond next year.
We are talking about evans because he was in the deal. Why wouldnt we talk about evans??
Definitely seems light, and a bit strange that a playoff team "wants" to do a mini rebuild.2QB 3RB 3WR 2TE 1Flex .5ppr 10 team league
1.03
for
Demarco
Both were playoff teams but the team that traded away Demarco wants to do a mini rebuild. I thought it was a little light for Murray
Well, we HAVE to talk about Evans because he is part of the deal. I don;t understand how you can leave Evans out of the discussion of that trade. If we do, then can we at leat leave Jordy nelson out of the discussion?We wouldn't talk about Evans because we're talking about the future risk- no one is arguing that Evans is risky here, just that the other pieces (draft picks) are.Every trade, and every player has risk. Goes without saying. Figured that was obvious.To me there is no risk in making the move since i dont see that side having more risk than the other side. I see it as less risk actually.Why would we talk about Evans here when we're discussing the risk of the upcoming rookie class?
Now you're saying you don't see any more risk with the draft picks side- earlier you said you don't see any risk with it, which is very different. You can certainly argue that one side has more or less long term risk than the other, but it's silly to say that either side has little to no risk beyond next year.
We are talking about evans because he was in the deal. Why wouldnt we talk about evans??
If it goes without saying, why do you keep saying it? You said that one side only has risk for next year and after that there's no risk for them. Sorry, but that's just plain false- even if you want to say they have less risk than the other side longer term, less does not equal none. There is certainly a chance that they lose out on this deal long term, even if it doesn't seem likely.
That is uglyPPR. Traded Latavius Murray for Lamar Miller.
It is light, I did a mini rebuild right before the playoffs with my playoff team. I was going to be one of the last in and I knew I wasn't one of the top 3 teams. I unloaded Calvin and got back picks and a couple of young players. I would have lost in the 1st round with or without Calvin. Now my team looks a lot stronger for next year.Definitely seems light, and a bit strange that a playoff team "wants" to do a mini rebuild.2QB 3RB 3WR 2TE 1Flex .5ppr 10 team league
1.03
for
Demarco
Both were playoff teams but the team that traded away Demarco wants to do a mini rebuild. I thought it was a little light for Murray
ugly which way? Seriously.That is uglyPPR. Traded Latavius Murray for Lamar Miller.
Same here. I prefer Murrayugly which way? Seriously.That is uglyPPR. Traded Latavius Murray for Lamar Miller.
I could see going either way here pretty easy
I do, too. Maybe he is saying ugly cause he prefers Murray by a landslide?? No idea. Doesnt dersere an "ugly". Unless he thinks both players are ugly I guess.Same here. I prefer Murrayugly which way? Seriously.That is uglyPPR. Traded Latavius Murray for Lamar Miller.
I could see going either way here pretty easy
This discussion is about the risk, specifically beyond next year. Yes, we can leave Jordy out of it, which is exactly what I have done if you haven't noticed. Evans and Jordy aren't a big part of the "risk", which is why we have been talking about the things that are (the draft picks).Well, we HAVE to talk about Evans because he is part of the deal. I don;t understand how you can leave Evans out of the discussion of that trade. If we do, then can we at leat leave Jordy nelson out of the discussion?We wouldn't talk about Evans because we're talking about the future risk- no one is arguing that Evans is risky here, just that the other pieces (draft picks) are.Every trade, and every player has risk. Goes without saying. Figured that was obvious.To me there is no risk in making the move since i dont see that side having more risk than the other side. I see it as less risk actually.Why would we talk about Evans here when we're discussing the risk of the upcoming rookie class?
Now you're saying you don't see any more risk with the draft picks side- earlier you said you don't see any risk with it, which is very different. You can certainly argue that one side has more or less long term risk than the other, but it's silly to say that either side has little to no risk beyond next year.
We are talking about evans because he was in the deal. Why wouldnt we talk about evans??
If it goes without saying, why do you keep saying it? You said that one side only has risk for next year and after that there's no risk for them. Sorry, but that's just plain false- even if you want to say they have less risk than the other side longer term, less does not equal none. There is certainly a chance that they lose out on this deal long term, even if it doesn't seem likely.
In which case the deal is then Rodgers and Antonio brown for picks 1,2,3,5,6.
In which case, I take those five picks over Rodgers and Brown no matter my team makeup
I think it was WAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY less risky than you.This discussion is about the risk, specifically beyond next year. Yes, we can leave Jordy out of it, which is exactly what I have done if you haven't noticed. Evans and Jordy aren't a big part of the "risk", which is why we have been talking about the things that are (the draft picks).
That's fine if you'd take that side, I very well might do the same, but it still doesn't mean there isn't any risk beyond next year in doing so. Let's move on, you're not getting it.
Miller should bring more than that.ugly which way? Seriously.That is uglyPPR. Traded Latavius Murray for Lamar Miller.
I could see going either way here pretty easy
Enough to call it ugly?? This is Lamar Miller, right?Miller should bring more than that.
Yeah it is ugly and I like Murray. Miller and him are the same age. One guy has a top 10 season under his belt. The other guy has a handful of decent games. Murray is worth a late first or early second. I wouldn't trade a soon to be 24 year old top 15ish back for a late 1st.Enough to call it ugly?? This is Lamar Miller, right?Miller should bring more than that.
take miller then, cool.Yeah it is ugly and I like Murray. Miller and him are the same age. One guy has a top 10 season under his belt. The other guy has a handful of decent games. Murray is worth a late first or early second. I wouldn't trade a soon to be 24 year old top 15ish back for a late 1st.Enough to call it ugly?? This is Lamar Miller, right?Miller should bring more than that.
I dont agree with Murray lasting till the 10th at allIf you were in a start up right now Miller would be at worst a 6th rounder. At worst Murray is 10th rounder. That is a lot of value to give up.
DLF Jan ADP has Lat at 73 and Miller at 40. I think it's a good time to sell on Miller but would need a lot more than Lat.I dont agree with Murray lasting till the 10th at allIf you were in a start up right now Miller would be at worst a 6th rounder. At worst Murray is 10th rounder. That is a lot of value to give up.
That is why I said at worst. I think Miller goes in the 4th and Murray in the 6th.I dont agree with Murray lasting till the 10th at allIf you were in a start up right now Miller would be at worst a 6th rounder. At worst Murray is 10th rounder. That is a lot of value to give up.
Makes sense for most of january, though I think that would be closer right now in drafts.DLF Jan ADP has Lat at 73 and Miller at 40. I think it's a good time to sell on Miller but would need a lot more than Lat.I dont agree with Murray lasting till the 10th at allIf you were in a start up right now Miller would be at worst a 6th rounder. At worst Murray is 10th rounder. That is a lot of value to give up.