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*** Official 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** (1 Viewer)

James Daulton said:
My wife is a sign language interpreter and you all have pissed her off.  Thanks a lot #####!

And she wanted me to educate everyone that facial expressions are a huge part of ASL.  And she might have referred to this board as a bunch of know-nothing jackasses as well. 
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can she interpret the sign i am giving her right now?  if needed, i will send my facial expression pic.

 
Stay safe Tampa guys and others on the left coast of Florida

NHC_Surge‏Verified account @NHC_Surge

Forget the tide. Regardless of high/low tide, catastrophic storm surge flooding expected along portions of FL W coast & FL Keys.

 
serious props and thanks to @culdeus in here... I'm paying more attention to him than to TWC or the other news outlets.

people say smack about getting news and info here in the FFA threads instead of from normal news sources... as long as the editorial comments are kept out (and the political forum has been a big help ushering those kind of comments out), this place has been the BEST place for staying up to the minute current.

thanks again to culdeus and all the rest of you for your work in here (and elsewhere).

stay safe, good floridian fffaers. god speed and good luck.

 
El Floppo said:
serious props and thanks to @culdeus in here... I'm paying more attention to him than to TWC or the other news outlets.

people say smack about getting news and info here in the FFA threads instead of from normal news sources... as long as the editorial comments are kept out (and the political forum has been a big help ushering those kind of comments out), this place has been the BEST place for staying up to the minute current.

thanks again to culdeus and all the rest of you for your work in here (and elsewhere).

stay safe, good floridian fffaers. god speed and good luck.
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Yes, cleaned up the garbage and made FFA enjoyable again with helpful threads like this. 

Stay safe out there guys. 

 
Local Jax Forecast based on 11AM advisory. Not sure if this helps anybody else make some decisions.

Sunday:   Increasing wind throughout the day with tropical rainbands moving into the region with sustained tropical-storm force wind arriving in  Alachua, Putnam and Flagler counties early Sunday morning.  Tropical storm winds with higher gusts will spread north by midday Sunday through the evening, throughout Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, and as continue to increase through the late night hours, with wind 20 to 40 mph, with gusts 50 to 60 mph.

Monday:  Irma is forecast to pass very close to the Suwannee Valley.  Hurricane-force wind, especially gusts, will be possible across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia. This will also bring an increasing tropical tornado threat. Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia should prepare for a Category 1 wind gusts as a reasonable worst-case scenario. 
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Mr Anonymous said:
Is it just me or does it look like this thing is taking a much deeper dive into mainland Cuba than any model or forecaster predicted? Would it be really all that surprising if 24 hours from now the updated forecast has this thing with an entirely new path? One that is much less bleak for Florida. Afterall, 24 hours ago Miami was the bullseye. One day later and the bullseye is an entire state-width west. With more than a day before projected Florida landfall that leaves plenty of time for a much changed pathway.

Call it wishful thinking, call it part conspiracy theory, but it wouldn't shock me at all to learn that scientists and meteorologists are already starting to sense a Florida miss, but don't want the media to run with it and lead people back south. And the media stays hush, hush knowing the second word gets out that Florida is in the clear, their ratings tank. I know it's probably a longshot but I'd love to be right on this one. It would be easy to understand why the models wound up way off. Irma is flanked by two other hurricanes which no doubt have the potential to throw everything out of whack.
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Feeling like this has a chance to be somewhat accurate. Cuba took a lot more steam out of this thing than the forecasters anticipated.

 
Cloud tops higher. Taking a hard north turn last half hour.  Now off track north.

Every day last 4 days storm looks east during the day. Today appears to be no exception. Look for tracks to move east as soon as the 12z runs. 

 
Cuba is being the shield for South Florida again. This is what we were hoping for (in a bittersweet way of course). Those mountains wreck havoc on hurricanes. 

This thing is going to the west side of the state.

We will still get plenty of bad winds and rain on the east side of the state. But the West Coast is clearly in the path of this monster’s direction.

Key West.....god help anyone who stayed (can’t even fathom why).

 
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Adam Khan‏ 
@Khanoisseur
Following
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After a Cat 4 storm killed 2500 in 1928, Florida Attorney General asked for a wall + military to keep people from moving into South Florida
link

 
culdeus said:
Yes. This is off track. Needed another 2hrs of Cuba interaction (if your pov is cuba can just get rekt). 
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Jim Cantore‏Verified account @JimCantore  1m1 minute ago

More

Time will tell if this is beginning of the turn or just a wobble away from Cuba. Any negative influence from land will fade quickly. #Irma

 
Todem said:
Cuba is being the shield for South Florida again. This is what we were hoping for (in a bittersweet way of course). Those mountains wreck havoc on hurricanes. 

This thing is going to the west side of the state.

We will still get plenty of bad winds and rain on the east side of the state. But the West Coast is clearly in the path of this monster’s direction.

Key West.....god help anyone who stayed (can’t even fathom why).
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From what I hear, the northern side of Cuba isn't that mountainous, and it appears to be turning north earlier than expected. 

 
Following the Reddit thread, Irma's already starting to reintensify, and it's definitely at least wobbled to the north. I wonder if this storm shifts east again and hits closer to Miami.

 
Kal El said:
Following the Reddit thread, Irma's already starting to reintensify, and it's definitely at least wobbled to the north. I wonder if this storm shifts east again and hits closer to Miami.
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I think that ship has sailed. New euro coming in a little west from the last one, riding up the west coast of Florida. Hard to tell if it makes landfall around Tampa or further north.

 
Just wanted to thank all of you for the updates.  This thread is my go to information source and has been extremely helpful in decision making so far.  

 
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Kilgore Trout said:
I think that ship has sailed. New euro coming in a little west from the last one, riding up the west coast of Florida. Hard to tell if it makes landfall around Tampa or further north.
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Maybe. However, storms have defied expectations for as long as people have tried to predict them. The northward wobble does trouble me.

 
We bounced. We're in savannah now and these dumb hayseeds are evacuating that city for some reason so now we have hit our first real traffic. Unreal. No problems getting out of Florida, come to Georgia and sit here.

 
Capella said:
We bounced. We're in savannah now and these dumb hayseeds are evacuating that city for some reason so now we have hit our first real traffic. Unreal. No problems getting out of Florida, come to Georgia and sit here.
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Ugh. Yep, they issued that evac Thursday IIRC. Good luck and stay safe, GB. 

 
Capella said:
We bounced. We're in savannah now and these dumb hayseeds are evacuating that city for some reason so now we have hit our first real traffic. Unreal. No problems getting out of Florida, come to Georgia and sit here.
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Glad you left Cappy.  We're staying out here near Tally for the time being and will adjust accordingly tomorrow.

 
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Osaurus said:
Glad you left Cappy.  We're staying out here near Tally for the time being and will adjust accordingly tomorrow.
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My wife is 32 weeks pregnant. I woke up this morning with the idea that if something catastrophic happened to her and the baby I would just blow my brains out. So, I'll sit in some traffic. 

We have a fortress of a house on the highest ground in the county but I couldn't risk it. 

 
The models are deceiving because they show the centreline of the eye. But the thing is so wide that there will still be major destruction well away from that line. 

 
Capella said:
My wife is 32 weeks pregnant. I woke up this morning with the idea that if something catastrophic happened to her and the baby I would just blow my brains out. So, I'll sit in some traffic. 

We have a fortress of a house on the highest ground in the county but I couldn't risk it. 
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I'm in the exact same boat brother...we're leaving now...just can't risk it as long as we have a way to get out and a place to go (in laws in Pcola).  

No gas issues?

 
1st band seems to be pushing through here now.  My parents lost power for 2 hours inland in LaBelle.  I think i'll make a drink and enjoy football while I can.

 
Capella said:
My wife is 32 weeks pregnant. I woke up this morning with the idea that if something catastrophic happened to her and the baby I would just blow my brains out. So, I'll sit in some traffic. 

We have a fortress of a house on the highest ground in the county but I couldn't risk it. 
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I hear ya.  We're at 82 feet in a newer house (2004) with good Cat 3 panels in all the windows, but just didn't feel right and my family's safety comes first.  There is a shelter that takes pets near us and we knew it would be full right away and sure as #### it was.  So the alternatives were riding it out in a hallway scared out of our minds or leave.  Not like I could really do anything there other than freak out in a dark hallway.  So we  decided to go and at least be able to have some control over where we are and what we need to do in advance.  I do not regret my decision to leave at all.  Things are replaceable, people are not.

 
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