By 3 Games?? I think they're the favourites to win it (and probably should be), but I can't see it being by 3 games without a total Eagles collapse.
I'm not sure it really matters how far they get for Dak. He's going to be worth what the market demands whether they win the SB or miss the playoffs. If they win the SB, he'll probably be WAY too expensive for Dallas to be able to afford. If they miss the playoffs, they won't want to pay him and some other team will. At this point I think it's only 50/50 that he's there next year, and both sides are going to need to majorly adjust their offers.
I just think the Eagles overachieved quite a bit last season. Part of that is good coaching but I am not sure they addressed their CB and WR needs to the extent they should have this offseason, especially with no preseason hurting rookies. And maybe I am drinking the Cowboys kool aid. To be honest though there is some volatility in every team in the NFC East.
You will laugh but the Giants getting 2nd and a wild card spot over the Eagles wouldn't surprise me too much (I am not predicting it). Maybe 3 games is a bit much though--but I have seen how quickly this division can change in years past: Cowboys causing to 13 wins in 2016 and Giants+Skins above 500 only for the Eagles to stop everyone a year later
I think Dallas is the most complete and explosive team and now their biggest weakness has been rectified in terms of coaching.
Eagles: their OL and Wentz prevent "total disaster" but I still have my doubts on Sanders' vision and RB instincts and thus his ability to be a true workhorse. The OL helps, as he is certainly explosive (and minimizes his biggest weakness in vision), but it still is enough for me to doubt the running game
I am not a Reagor fan but even if I was it seems like a tall ask of a rookie WR with a limited route tree from the Big 12 to be a team's WR1 after this kind of offseason.
Slay in 2018 form would go a long way towards helping the Eagles chances but he honestly is a bit overrated to me after last season. Better than Ronald Darby? sure but the secondary is still a question mark to me
I am a bit of a Daniel Jones truther after seeing what he did with bad OL and injured skill position players; but if Garrett is still the OC he was in 2007 with Dallas, with upgrades to the OL, Jones and Barkley are going to light up some defenses this season and potentially be joined by a true WR1 in the draft next season or an ARob/Godwin type in free agency.
For now though their defense will give back nearly all the points the offense scores
The Redskins...umm: I guess I am in the minority in that I don't think they will be outright terrible
Haskins sucks imo but their front 7 is an elite unit in its infancy and now has defensive minds like Rivera and Jack Del Rio coaching it. Remind me a bit of the 2018 pre breakout 49ers but without Sherman and missing a piece or two and with a coach like Rivera I think they can make their way to 6-7 wins.
The common thread through all of this though:
No team in the division has the personnel to match up with a fully healthy and now well coached Cowboys team--mainly in the secondary to face Cooper, Gallup and Lamb (who unlike Reagor will get to face CB3s his rookie year)
I think the Cowboys know this though and would need to be blown away to give Dak the money/deal he is looking for (playoffs and regular season)
As for the Eagles, they will be good for a long time with a QB like Wentz and coach like Pederson--no doubt about that.
But we have one year of them being elite and just to me watching them the past two years I am not sure that it wasn't a bit of an outlier. I know health has been a drag but I haven't seen the team play at that level of dominance in any stretch since. Which isn't bad---after all they got a ring from it, and the Cowboys haven't played at an elite stretch at all over the last three years, but they just look like a team a piece or two away and nothing like the 2017 version while the Cowboys seem to me like a team with all the ingredients ready to be put together.
I know it sounds like a slight for Eagles fans to say it was lightning in a bottle, but I do genuinely think Pederson and Wentz are really really good--it's more the drafting that is keeping that piece or two from coming in (like blowing a 2nd rounder on Jalen Hurts)
Who knows though--maybe Reagor is OBJ and blows the top off the league year 1 and becomes the difference maker they needed (I have a lot of words to eat if that happens) or they trade for Jamal Adams--but this is how I see it right now
Should be noted though: I picked the Cowboys to win the week 16 game last year thinking Dak and Amari were going to be motivated to earn their paydays and make a statement, had the Redskins winning the NFC East 2 years ago with Alex Smith and the Giants in 2017 the year they fired McAdoo in the middle of the year for benching Eli for Geno Smith so this division isn't my best in terms of forecasts