Official 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - Fernand (2 Viewers)

[Senor Schmutzig]

Too close for comfort.

Where are you @3C's ? It looks like it’s hooking away from Florida at least.

 

[3C's]

Too close for comfort.

Where are you @3C's ? It looks like it’s hooking away from Florida at least.

VA

 

[culdeus]

Levi covered it but there is a lot of uncertainty here even though most all models have this fishy.

 

[3C's]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

 

[fatness]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin likely to become Atlantic season's first hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Erin was expected to become a hurricane by Friday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

www.cbsnews.com

 

[3C's]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin likely to become Atlantic season's first hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Erin was expected to become a hurricane by Friday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

www.cbsnews.com

Until they don't.

It's still very likely a fish storm but what I'm saying is each model run shifts west.

 

[Desert_Power]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin likely to become Atlantic season's first hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Erin was expected to become a hurricane by Friday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

www.cbsnews.com

Until they don't.

It's still very likely a fish storm but what I'm saying is each model run shifts west.

Hoping this doesn't interfere with my IOP trip next Wed.

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

Cat 5 projected to double in size. Not much of a US threat, but it's a badass storm.

 

[culdeus]

Should be an above average season by tomorrow. That's just how monster this thing is.

 

[culdeus]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

 

[3C's]

Not even in the "meat" of the season yet.

 

[SpurrierisisGod]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

I keep seeing that posted but the model consensus is pretty right no?

 

[culdeus]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

I keep seeing that posted but the model consensus is pretty right no?

Seeing what posted? Keep in mind in forecasting 120hr ahead forecasts are basically just guessing.

 

[eoMMan]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

 

[Senor Schmutzig]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

 

[rustycolts]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

Yea a lot of click bait out there. This guy is very good been our local weather guy for a lot of years. On YouTube Mr Weatherman

- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

youtu.be

 

[fatness]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

Weather forecasting has always had some farther-out forecasting which is necessarily less accurate than near-term forecasting.

 

[Mjolnirs]

Fernand