Official 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - Humberto & Imelda (1 Viewer)

[Senor Schmutzig]

Too close for comfort.

Where are you @3C's ? It looks like it’s hooking away from Florida at least.

 

[3C's]

Too close for comfort.

Where are you @3C's ? It looks like it’s hooking away from Florida at least.

VA

 

[culdeus]

Levi covered it but there is a lot of uncertainty here even though most all models have this fishy.

 

[3C's]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

 

[fatness]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin on verge of becoming Atlantic season's first hurricane. Maps show its path and forecast.

Tropical Storm Erin was on the verge of becoming the Atlantic season's first hurricane early Friday.

www.cbsnews.com

 

[3C's]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin on verge of becoming Atlantic season's first hurricane. Maps show its path and forecast.

Tropical Storm Erin was on the verge of becoming the Atlantic season's first hurricane early Friday.

www.cbsnews.com

Until they don't.

It's still very likely a fish storm but what I'm saying is each model run shifts west.

 

[Desert_Power]

Each run gets a little closer to the coast. Still not worried but...

Spaghetti models seem to keep it well off the coast.

Tropical Storm Erin on verge of becoming Atlantic season's first hurricane. Maps show its path and forecast.

Tropical Storm Erin was on the verge of becoming the Atlantic season's first hurricane early Friday.

www.cbsnews.com

Until they don't.

It's still very likely a fish storm but what I'm saying is each model run shifts west.

Hoping this doesn't interfere with my IOP trip next Wed.

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

Cat 5 projected to double in size. Not much of a US threat, but it's a badass storm.

 

[culdeus]

Should be an above average season by tomorrow. That's just how monster this thing is.

 

[culdeus]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

 

[3C's]

Not even in the "meat" of the season yet.

 

[SpurrierisisGod]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

I keep seeing that posted but the model consensus is pretty right no?

 

[culdeus]

It's early but the fish effect is maybe short lived. If it bounces off the front it might pick up speed enough to go think about a Portugal landfall or even swing all the way back around.

All that is like week out models and not reliable but still nuts

I keep seeing that posted but the model consensus is pretty right no?

Seeing what posted? Keep in mind in forecasting 120hr ahead forecasts are basically just guessing.

 

[eoMMan]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

 

[Senor Schmutzig]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

 

[rustycolts]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

Yea a lot of click bait out there. This guy is very good been our local weather guy for a lot of years. On YouTube Mr Weatherman

- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

youtu.be

 

[fatness]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

Weather forecasting has always had some farther-out forecasting which is necessarily less accurate than near-term forecasting.

 

[Mjolnirs]

Fernand

 

[Mjolnirs]

Gabrielle
Hooray for storms that stay at sea.

 

[Mjolnirs]

Humberto

 

[Desert_Power]

Fujiwhara effect potentially? https://www.firstcoastnews.com/arti...ffect/77-5f5a5a4a-54c0-41ca-b193-bf1bc7fe03ef

 

[3C's]

Maybe, but the euro disagrees.

 

[Mjolnirs]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

 

[3C's]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

 

[Chemical X]

Fujiwhara effect potentially? https://www.firstcoastnews.com/arti...ffect/77-5f5a5a4a-54c0-41ca-b193-bf1bc7fe03ef

is that where the water spins the other way in the southern hemisphere?

 

[Chemical X]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

out of the country with a place on topsail island (pronounced Top-sull lol). i appreciate the updates here.

 

[UncleZen]

There’s a wave out in the tropical Atlantic that looks concerning. Some are already predicting for it to smack Florida.

It's crazy that they would be predicting that this far out unless it's clickbait.

Yea a lot of click bait out there. This guy is very good been our local weather guy for a lot of years. On YouTube Mr Weatherman

- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

youtu.be

Brian Shields is one of the best in the business. I like his calming approach, especially when we are in line with a major storm.

 

[3C's]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

out of the country with a place on topsail island (pronounced Top-sull lol). i appreciate the updates here.

Good news is it shouldn't be a strong storm. Healthy rainmaker though.

 

[Chemical X]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

out of the country with a place on topsail island (pronounced Top-sull lol). i appreciate the updates here.

Good news is it shouldn't be a strong storm. Healthy rainmaker though.

many thanks….i am about 3rd row and not really concerned with surge or rain. it’s the wind that got me last time.

 

[3C's]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

out of the country with a place on topsail island (pronounced Top-sull lol). i appreciate the updates here.

Good news is it shouldn't be a strong storm. Healthy rainmaker though.

many thanks….i am about 3rd row and not really concerned with surge or rain. it’s the wind that got me last time.

Even better news

https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/1971939283616276674

 

[Chemical X]

Pre plans have begun around here. I'm sure they will kick in full force tomorrow or Saturday.

Yeah, 94l looks like a little bit of a problem for SC.

out of the country with a place on topsail island (pronounced Top-sull lol). i appreciate the updates here.

Good news is it shouldn't be a strong storm. Healthy rainmaker though.

many thanks….i am about 3rd row and not really concerned with surge or rain. it’s the wind that got me last time.

Even better news

https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/1971939283616276674

my luck, i get floods in NC and then the storm crosses the atlantic and hits me here.

 

[Mjolnirs]

Two days ago all of the models had it coming into South Carolina, and two outliers taking it back out to sea.
Yesterday all of the models had it going out to sea, and two outliers coming into South Carolina.

Crazy stuff

 

[Mjolnirs]

Imelda

 

[Osaurus]

More promising path today