*** Official Baseball Wagering Thread *** (1 Viewer)

[RedRaiders]

5% BR bets that the syndicate is making is just crazy to me. You almost have to stay away from big dogs and play games around the mendoza line to not hit a cold spell. I don't mind football 5% bets, but in baseball you can EASILY go 0-10, 0-15 in the course of a few days. But, you're successful and have guys who know what they're doing, so who am I to question you guys.

5% was my suggestion - mainly because it was just a handful of plays a day and losing the bankroll was not anything close to the end of the world dollarwise. We looked at the goal of the project and 5% was perfect.

I still think 5% is nuts in any sport, let alone bases. You have such a greater chance of going broke because of the full card everyday. Football is alright to me because it's 20 full cards (in the NFL). Less chance of going 0-20 or even 0-15 and going broke. I will never understand a 5% BR for bases - your limited in what you can play. I don't have to dig up the "streak" stats of hitting a bad patch, you already know them.As for me last season in bases, yeh I played for the last 4 months (didn't quit - the vaunted Yanks made me a lot of money in the playoffs), but when I played I didn't do it half ###. I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines and yes I learned a lot from pros who know more than me. I not only made money, but I learned a lot about how much different baseball is than any other sport. You give me one sport to only bet and I would easily turn to baseball.

Wager your money however you'd like, I just think 5% is crazy for bases.

You answered yourself here - this group is not betting the board, does not have multiple outs and does not spend 6 hours a day monitoring line moves so they can beat the number. IF they were doing that everyday - 1% is almost too big a wager size.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines

You are a freaking autistic savant Marshall. Seriously have you ever been diagnosed? I think you have a mild yet functional form of the disease.

 

[Steelnation]

I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines

You are a freaking autistic savant Marshall. Seriously have you ever been diagnosed? I think you have a mild yet functional form of the disease.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

5% BR bets that the syndicate is making is just crazy to me. You almost have to stay away from big dogs and play games around the mendoza line to not hit a cold spell. I don't mind football 5% bets, but in baseball you can EASILY go 0-10, 0-15 in the course of a few days. But, you're successful and have guys who know what they're doing, so who am I to question you guys.

5% was my suggestion - mainly because it was just a handful of plays a day and losing the bankroll was not anything close to the end of the world dollarwise. We looked at the goal of the project and 5% was perfect.

I still think 5% is nuts in any sport, let alone bases. You have such a greater chance of going broke because of the full card everyday. Football is alright to me because it's 20 full cards (in the NFL). Less chance of going 0-20 or even 0-15 and going broke. I will never understand a 5% BR for bases - your limited in what you can play. I don't have to dig up the "streak" stats of hitting a bad patch, you already know them.As for me last season in bases, yeh I played for the last 4 months (didn't quit - the vaunted Yanks made me a lot of money in the playoffs), but when I played I didn't do it half ###. I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines and yes I learned a lot from pros who know more than me. I not only made money, but I learned a lot about how much different baseball is than any other sport. You give me one sport to only bet and I would easily turn to baseball.

Wager your money however you'd like, I just think 5% is crazy for bases.

You answered yourself here - this group is not betting the board, does not have multiple outs and does not spend 6 hours a day monitoring line moves so they can beat the number. IF they were doing that everyday - 1% is almost too big a wager size.

LOL at Marshall sauntering through the wager mall while the rest of us are at a convenience store. He's playing a differnt game entirely.Marshall, please post a picture of yourself in your profile. Its going to help me pen the "about the author" section of you book.

 

[General Malaise]

5% BR bets that the syndicate is making is just crazy to me. You almost have to stay away from big dogs and play games around the mendoza line to not hit a cold spell. I don't mind football 5% bets, but in baseball you can EASILY go 0-10, 0-15 in the course of a few days. But, you're successful and have guys who know what they're doing, so who am I to question you guys.

5% was my suggestion - mainly because it was just a handful of plays a day and losing the bankroll was not anything close to the end of the world dollarwise. We looked at the goal of the project and 5% was perfect.

I still think 5% is nuts in any sport, let alone bases. You have such a greater chance of going broke because of the full card everyday. Football is alright to me because it's 20 full cards (in the NFL). Less chance of going 0-20 or even 0-15 and going broke. I will never understand a 5% BR for bases - your limited in what you can play. I don't have to dig up the "streak" stats of hitting a bad patch, you already know them.As for me last season in bases, yeh I played for the last 4 months (didn't quit - the vaunted Yanks made me a lot of money in the playoffs), but when I played I didn't do it half ###. I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines and yes I learned a lot from pros who know more than me. I not only made money, but I learned a lot about how much different baseball is than any other sport. You give me one sport to only bet and I would easily turn to baseball.

Wager your money however you'd like, I just think 5% is crazy for bases.

Difference between me and you....I'm doing this for fun. You are not. To me, it's a hobby. To you, it's work. I wish I had 6 hours a day to shop lines, make plays and scalp online sites but I don't. Actually, scratch that. I'm glad I don't have 6 hours a day to do that. if I did, man....I might shoot myself. I learned long ago that a steady salary, benefits and a family beat scratching by as a gambler with no dental plan.

5% of my bankroll is not very much money. It's about 1/3 an hour's worth of work currently, though if JTC and I have a good day, it might inch closer to 1/2 an hour (GO DRAYS!). If we poopoo the bed and lose every bet today, we'll be even for the year. If we poopoo the bed several days in a row and lose everything, then good. We deserve it for sucking so bad. Even then, it's not a loss either of us will take on the chin because, as I said from the onset, this is just for kicks. While my unit size might be just 5% of my total bankroll, my total bankroll to start the season is only 0.25% of my total annual income. And do you know why it's such a tiny amount?

BECAUSE I HAVE NO DESIRE TO BE A PROEFESSIONAL GAMBLER. I'M ONLY DOING THIS FOR FUN. I AM OLD AND MARRIED AND HAVE LITTLE TO NO LIFE AFTER 9PM. BETWEEN WATCHING TIVO'D GENERAL HOSPITAL WITH MY LOVELY WIFE AND TRYING TO GET MY HELLCATS TO GO TO SLEEP, I CAN SPEND A FEW MINUTES CHECKING THE COMPUTER FOR BOX SCORES AND GETTING MY KICKS IN!

Life is supposed to be fun, especially for kids your age. You are growing up bitter and jaded and spending way too much time taking yourself too seriously. Go out and bust a nut in some coed's ear. Go take some acid and listen to Pink Floyd at full blast while playing old fashioned Atari Games. Shotgun a beer and then go get in a fight. Light something on fire. Go get a dog and then use that dog to go pick up hot lonely married women who want to do you just because you haven't grown a beer belly and a bald spot. I'd gnaw off an arm to be your age again, you know that? Why on earth you've chosen to act 15 years older than Gambler and 6 hours a day studying baseball lines is way beyond me. We're here to have fun. Betting on baseball is fun for me. Is it any fun for you?

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

Life is supposed to be fun, especially for kids your age. You are growing up bitter and jaded and spending way too much time taking yourself too seriously. Go out and bust a nut in some coed's ear. Go take some acid and listen to Pink Floyd at full blast while playing old fashioned Atari Games. Shotgun a beer and then go get in a fight. Light something on fire. Go get a dog and then use that dog to go pick up hot lonely married women who want to do you just because you haven't grown a beer belly and a bald spot. I'd gnaw off an arm to be your age again, you know that? Why on earth you've chosen to act 15 years older than Gambler and 6 hours a day studying baseball lines is way beyond me. We're here to have fun. Betting on baseball is fun for me. Is it any fun for you?

Priceless gems here.Start with the LSD and please soon.

 

[MarshallPlan]

I understand where you guys are coming from. Don't have time, have full-time jobs, families, kids, etc. You will never do this for a living and quite frankly don't want to. I don't blame you, as GM said it's not fun.

Well, last year I was seriously thinking about giving the whole pro gambler thing a whirl. Seriously thinking about it. And therefore I needed to put in some long hours learning and testing myself on whether or not I felt I could do it for 20, 30 yrs. However long.

It was tough, it wasn't easy and the losing days obviously suck for putting in countless hrs of work in. But, it was easily my most successful sports betting season ever (actually my only one where I made money), so it's the ONLY way I know how to make money. Is that sad? Probably. I can't gamble like you guys do and make a profit. Maybe I can, I don't know. I only know how to make money by putting in lots of time, picking off rogues, doing some scalping, middling, etc.

Thankfully the internet gambling law bill (whatever) came down a few months ago and I haven't gambled since the Super Bowl. No more checking box scores, sweating game, looking at my computer screen for 6+ hrs in a day. I'm glad it's done, it seems like years since I last placed a bet. I'm back to being a college student now. It's an easier lifestyle and I like it, hence the fact I won't gamble for a living.

It's almost as if I saw the light on how pro gamblers work (make money) and it's the only way I know how to gamble successfully. It's hard for me to admit that people can put in 10 mins of work a day, take so-so numbers, and win at this. I almost can't believe it, so that's why I come off as a ##### to most everyone here even the guys who taught me the ropes when I was a donkey and first started. Almost as if my way is the only way to win. And to some, like GM said, it sometimes isn't even about the winning.

Good luck on your gambling, I'm off to the bar on this beautiful day.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

I understand where you guys are coming from. Don't have time, have full-time jobs, families, kids, etc. You will never do this for a living and quite frankly don't want to. I don't blame you, as GM said it's not fun. Well, last year I was seriously thinking about giving the whole pro gambler thing a whirl. Seriously thinking about it. And therefore I needed to put in some long hours learning and testing myself on whether or not I felt I could do it for 20, 30 yrs. However long. It was tough, it wasn't easy and the losing days obviously suck for putting in countless hrs of work in. But, it was easily my most successful sports betting season ever (actually my only one where I made money), so it's the ONLY way I know how to make money. Is that sad? Probably. I can't gamble like you guys do and make a profit. Maybe I can, I don't know. I only know how to make money by putting in lots of time, picking off rogues, doing some scalping, middling, etc. Thankfully the internet gambling law bill (whatever) came down a few months ago and I haven't gambled since the Super Bowl. No more checking box scores, sweating game, looking at my computer screen for 6+ hrs in a day. I'm glad it's done, it seems like years since I last placed a bet. I'm back to being a college student now. It's an easier lifestyle and I like it, hence the fact I won't gamble for a living. It's almost as if I saw the light on how pro gamblers work (make money) and it's the only way I know how to gamble successfully. It's hard for me to admit that people can put in 10 mins of work a day, take so-so numbers, and win at this. I almost can't believe it, so that's why I come off as a ##### to most everyone here even the guys who taught me the ropes when I was a donkey and first started. Almost as if my way is the only way to win. And to some, like GM said, it sometimes isn't even about the winning. Good luck on your gambling, I'm off to the bar on this beautiful day.

You just need to change your perspective. Your opinion would always be respected if you just presented it in a less antagonizing fashion.Know your audience. If you are looking for professional gamblers, you have come to the wrong place. Think in terms of a bar audience here.We don't give a frack that you shaved .03 off the line and that you have multiple wagers riding on the same game. You are going to have to dumb it down a notch for lack of a better word and just post the line you found at K Mart. As I have always stated, I like reading your leans and if you could just let go of some of the pompousness, I do enjoy seeing what is running through that head of yours. It is often pure comedy from a psychological standpoint.And you should know, I am not serious, I am always just busting your balls. It probably sounds worse than it is, you really don't make me angry ever, Im laughing when I write. It's just that your audacity sometimes is begging for a sarcastic response.And please post that pic in your profile, I don't know how I am going to pen the section without it.

 

[prosopis]

SF/LAD O8 -115 (tailing JTC&co)

Det -112 (tailing JTC&co)

parlay Pitt -114, Philly -201, Minn -225 (1.5 units to win 4.5 units)

 

[Gambler]

5% BR bets that the syndicate is making is just crazy to me. You almost have to stay away from big dogs and play games around the mendoza line to not hit a cold spell. I don't mind football 5% bets, but in baseball you can EASILY go 0-10, 0-15 in the course of a few days. But, you're successful and have guys who know what they're doing, so who am I to question you guys.

5% was my suggestion - mainly because it was just a handful of plays a day and losing the bankroll was not anything close to the end of the world dollarwise. We looked at the goal of the project and 5% was perfect.

I still think 5% is nuts in any sport, let alone bases. You have such a greater chance of going broke because of the full card everyday. Football is alright to me because it's 20 full cards (in the NFL). Less chance of going 0-20 or even 0-15 and going broke. I will never understand a 5% BR for bases - your limited in what you can play. I don't have to dig up the "streak" stats of hitting a bad patch, you already know them.As for me last season in bases, yeh I played for the last 4 months (didn't quit - the vaunted Yanks made me a lot of money in the playoffs), but when I played I didn't do it half ###. I put in 6 hr days shopping and making tons of plays. I generally did beat the closing lines and yes I learned a lot from pros who know more than me. I not only made money, but I learned a lot about how much different baseball is than any other sport. You give me one sport to only bet and I would easily turn to baseball.

Wager your money however you'd like, I just think 5% is crazy for bases.

Difference between me and you....I'm doing this for fun. You are not. To me, it's a hobby. To you, it's work. I wish I had 6 hours a day to shop lines, make plays and scalp online sites but I don't. Actually, scratch that. I'm glad I don't have 6 hours a day to do that. if I did, man....I might shoot myself. I learned long ago that a steady salary, benefits and a family beat scratching by as a gambler with no dental plan.

5% of my bankroll is not very much money. It's about 1/3 an hour's worth of work currently, though if JTC and I have a good day, it might inch closer to 1/2 an hour (GO DRAYS!). If we poopoo the bed and lose every bet today, we'll be even for the year. If we poopoo the bed several days in a row and lose everything, then good. We deserve it for sucking so bad. Even then, it's not a loss either of us will take on the chin because, as I said from the onset, this is just for kicks. While my unit size might be just 5% of my total bankroll, my total bankroll to start the season is only 0.25% of my total annual income. And do you know why it's such a tiny amount?

BECAUSE I HAVE NO DESIRE TO BE A PROEFESSIONAL GAMBLER. I'M ONLY DOING THIS FOR FUN. I AM OLD AND MARRIED AND HAVE LITTLE TO NO LIFE AFTER 9PM. BETWEEN WATCHING TIVO'D GENERAL HOSPITAL WITH MY LOVELY WIFE AND TRYING TO GET MY HELLCATS TO GO TO SLEEP, I CAN SPEND A FEW MINUTES CHECKING THE COMPUTER FOR BOX SCORES AND GETTING MY KICKS IN!

Life is supposed to be fun, especially for kids your age. You are growing up bitter and jaded and spending way too much time taking yourself too seriously. Go out and bust a nut in some coed's ear. Go take some acid and listen to Pink Floyd at full blast while playing old fashioned Atari Games. Shotgun a beer and then go get in a fight. Light something on fire. Go get a dog and then use that dog to go pick up hot lonely married women who want to do you just because you haven't grown a beer belly and a bald spot. I'd gnaw off an arm to be your age again, you know that? Why on earth you've chosen to act 15 years older than Gambler and 6 hours a day studying baseball lines is way beyond me. We're here to have fun. Betting on baseball is fun for me. Is it any fun for you?

15 years older than me is dead!

 

[guru_007]

you ####ers never learn.

All got by MP.

DUDE SPENT 6 HOURS SHOPPING LINES TO LAY DOWN A $10 BET. And wanted to do this professionally!!!!!! Oy

I gamble because a) I'm competitive b) I've been successful playing poker so I don't mind squandering some placing bets and c) I'm competitive.

I'd absolutely have loved to have seen a running tally of all his 'professional' bets last year....but the actual tickets, not the prices he stated. All these professionals seem to get the best of every line out there....I'd imagine that a few good ones do, but why the #### would they post their plays on a public message board?!?!?!?!?!!?!?!

Can we please get back on track here and post plays with a little rationale. Your best plays would be to fade me left and right, I'm on a great run lately

 

[Angry Beavers]

Great Post GM!

Today's Plays

ATL/FLA O10 -125

SD +127 ( very close to being a chase play but it is not)

TB +160

CWS/KC O9.5 -120

Cleveland +230

GLTA

 

[MarshallPlan]

you ####ers never learn.All got by MP.DUDE SPENT 6 HOURS SHOPPING LINES TO LAY DOWN A $10 BET. And wanted to do this professionally!!!!!! Oy I gamble because a) I'm competitive b) I've been successful playing poker so I don't mind squandering some placing bets and c) I'm competitive.I'd absolutely have loved to have seen a running tally of all his 'professional' bets last year....but the actual tickets, not the prices he stated. All these professionals seem to get the best of every line out there....I'd imagine that a few good ones do, but why the #### would they post their plays on a public message board?!?!?!?!?!!?!?!Can we please get back on track here and post plays with a little rationale. Your best plays would be to fade me left and right, I'm on a great run lately

You absolutely have NO idea jackass. Go tell Billy Walters he's an idiot for losing his $75 savings at age 9. If you don't know who he is, look him up - he bet more than 2.2 million on USC and is one rich guy (nevermind smart as well). The same USC team I bet on when the donks were on Michigan. When you're a teenager, you have hardly any money, you have hardly any bankroll. I can't make big bets yet, neither could Billy Walters. It's about learning at this stage. What do you want me to do, overplay the little bankroll I have and be a moron? There are pro gamblers who post their bets on message boards. It's not about this, but how many do you want me to name? Do you want the card of a pro baseball capper, cause I'm sure I can get it for you if you'd like. You don't have any clue, not the slightest clue. Keep up with your two team parlays - a true way to make money. You know you're gonna lose, so at least we got that out of the way. Good luck.

 

[Gambler]

All of the above is well and good to me. But I still ain't winning at this crap after about 2 weeks even with play money, wtf.

YTD is now $-128

Reducing the picks and going for value aka dogs

Wash +188 can the Phils win 4 straight?

TB +146 the Yanks suck

MIL +148 because they the highest $$ edge I perceive

GL brothers from another non-pro working jackass

 

[cosjobs]

Hey Guys, just noticed this here.

I've had a little luck doing 3 and 4 team dog parlays so far this season. I've only hit a couple, but they were 25-30 to 1 so I'm solidly in the black:

4 tms PARLAY 25/881

953. Astros (Houston) ML -102 AG

960. Chicago (Cubs) PS -1½ +140 LP J Suppan - R / R Hill - L

972. Devil Rays (Tampa Bay) ML +150 AG

975. Indians (Cleveland) ML +205 AG

 

[Green94]

 

[shake zula]

I sense a little more then man love in here and its beautiful. Can I TIVO this? I had no idea this thread was so freakin awesome!

 

[jabarony]

Hey Guys, just noticed this here.I've had a little luck doing 3 and 4 team dog parlays so far this season. I've only hit a couple, but they were 25-30 to 1 so I'm solidly in the black:4 tms PARLAY 25/881 953. Astros (Houston) ML -102 AG 960. Chicago (Cubs) PS -1½ +140 LP J Suppan - R / R Hill - L 972. Devil Rays (Tampa Bay) ML +150 AG 975. Indians (Cleveland) ML +205 AG

Stick with the 3-teamers. Books tend to take $ off the top on anything over 3. If you bet 3 teams successively (including your original wager(s)), you will make the same $ as a 3 team parlay. If you bet 4 successively (and successfully), you will make 10-20% more than a 4 team parlay. I figured this stuff out one day while bored.

 

[prosopis]

 

[General Malaise]

In case it hasn't been said yet today, Todd Jones can blow me.

 

[MarshallPlan]

In case it hasn't been said yet today, Todd Jones can blow me.

You've gotta wonder how many more chances Jones gets before Zumaya takes over.

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

Here's the thing... MP would be better off going straight to Chicago after school to become a bond trader. Seriously. Suits the kid's style/interests perfectly. Plus, those guys would humble his arrogant ### REAL quick, which would do nothing but good. Don't know if I've ever come across a thicker skull...

Anyway, it's doubtful he could ever make it gambling to begin with. Let's face it (although he won't), there are so many intangibles that have to be just right. Understanding the numbers and such is just part of the equation; I'm not so sure he has the rest (um, like a bankroll for starters). Regardless MP, if you had the same amount of passion for something as daunting as the bond market, you could actually make some REAL (and serious) cash some day.

All that aside, I also enjoy some of his input here. Couple that, and when he falls of his high horse, and it sure makes for a good read now and again..

In the meantime, listen to GM and back away from the bet_____.coms. Don't regret the wasted time one day.

 

[prosopis]

YTD 24/22/3

parlay 5/7

units +15

Today I like

Cinn/Stl U8 -120

Det +125

early day game parlay NYM -175, Chc -122

I see Webb for Arizona is a dog today I am dying to bet it but that is homerism speaking. D backs have been on a horrible slide.

For now I am staying away but it is a long day before first pitch.

 

[Angry Beavers]

5-0 Swept the card yesterday gaining another 7.17 units. I know this run will end eventually and I am going to ride it and enjoy it for now.....

Updated Record:

Parlays 1-2 +10.5 units

Totals 19-18-3 -.50 units

Sides 23-14 +14.18 units

Chase Plays (Which are not part of the above):

14-6 +13.42 units

Total:+34.60 units

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

We had a pretty good day yesterday. 3-1-1 and one cancellation. Todd Jones screwed us for the second time this year but we did have two dogs hit in Cincinatti and Tampa, both at decent prices.

Need to confer with the General on what we will do today..

 

[RedRaiders]

We had a pretty good day yesterday. 3-1-1 and one cancellation. Todd Jones screwed us for the second time this year but we did have two dogs hit in Cincinatti and Tampa, both at decent prices.Need to confer with the General on what we will do today..

SD at +130 was real nice too. I was a big fan of that play.

 

[General Malaise]

4/25/2007 2:20 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB

Wager Type:Straight Bet

Milwaukee Brewers

Money Line +115 for Game

B Sheets -R must Start T Lilly -L must Start

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4/25/2007 7:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB

Wager Type:Straight Bet

Houston Astros

Money Line +110 for Game

M Albers -R must Start Z Duke -L must Start

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4/25/2007 7:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB

Wager Type:Straight Bet

Houston Astros/Pittsburgh Pirates

Total Points OVER 9 -105 for Game

M Albers -R must Start Z Duke -L must Start

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4/25/2007 10:10 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB

Wager Type:Straight Bet

San Francisco Giants

Money Line +127 for Game

N Lowry -L must Start R Wolf -L must Start

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4/25/2007 10:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB

Wager Type:Straight Bet

Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Los Angeles Angels

Total Points OVER 9 -115 for Game

E Jackson -R must Start J Lackey -R must Start

 

[Angry Beavers]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

 

[General Malaise]

one lean i liked a lot, but left on the table...

Under 8 Giants/Dodgers. I had that one pegged as a strong play last night, but wonder if anyone else has thoughts on it. Wolfe vs. Lowry in late action. Lowry has pitched into 7 innings twice, 6 innings once and has been able to keep that gas can of a bullpen coming in early. Wolfe's also gone 6 innings in every one of his starts, all quality. Neither team has mustered much power against LHP this season. Jason Schmidt owns one of the dingers hit by the Dodgers against LHP this year.

Might be one to look at later tonight.

 

[General Malaise]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

I like this one, AB. I keep waiting for Josh Fogg to turn back into Josh Fogg. He should today. I think the Mets cover the total alone.

 

[guru_007]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

I like this one, AB. I keep waiting for Josh Fogg to turn back into Josh Fogg. He should today. I think the Mets cover the total alone.

The Mets better cause the Rocks offense is pathetic right now, average 1.67 runs over their last 6 games

 

[General Malaise]

Great Post GM!Today's PlaysATL/FLA O10 -125SD +127 ( very close to being a chase play but it is not)TB +160CWS/KC O9.5 -120Cleveland +230GLTA

WOW. great work, AB.

 

[RedRaiders]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

The right-hander's last start also came against Philadelphia on Thursday, when he allowed three runs, seven hits and four walks over four-plus innings of a 4-2 defeat. Patterson, who fell to 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in six career starts versus the Phillies, said his right arm felt tight, causing him to lose as much as 10 mph off his fastball.

"It's not even close," said Patterson, who has not recorded a win in more than a year. "I'm having to swallow a lot of pride right now."

 

[General Malaise]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

The right-hander's last start also came against Philadelphia on Thursday, when he allowed three runs, seven hits and four walks over four-plus innings of a 4-2 defeat. Patterson, who fell to 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in six career starts versus the Phillies, said his right arm felt tight, causing him to lose as much as 10 mph off his fastball.

"It's not even close," said Patterson, who has not recorded a win in more than a year. "I'm having to swallow a lot of pride right now."

I liked the figure to go over (i liked about 15 plays today...thank god JTC is there to rein me in a little) but JTC is employing the "patterson's sitting on my bench today, so he's going to have a GREAT game" reasoning for backing off. How can you argue against that? You can't.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

The right-hander's last start also came against Philadelphia on Thursday, when he allowed three runs, seven hits and four walks over four-plus innings of a 4-2 defeat. Patterson, who fell to 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in six career starts versus the Phillies, said his right arm felt tight, causing him to lose as much as 10 mph off his fastball.

"It's not even close," said Patterson, who has not recorded a win in more than a year. "I'm having to swallow a lot of pride right now."

I was unaware of this, but WTF Lieber still sucks

 

[Angry Beavers]

I liked the figure to go over (i liked about 15 plays today...thank god JTC is there to rein me in a little) but JTC is employing the "patterson's sitting on my bench today, so he's going to have a GREAT game" reasoning for backing off. How can you argue against that? You can't.

yea,I had no less than 14 plays I was tossing around yesterday. I did not find as much today and just played em all. Besides, I am a sucker for afternoon bases which gives me an afternoon distraction.....

 

[commisholio]

one lean i liked a lot, but left on the table...Under 8 Giants/Dodgers. I had that one pegged as a strong play last night, but wonder if anyone else has thoughts on it. Wolfe vs. Lowry in late action. Lowry has pitched into 7 innings twice, 6 innings once and has been able to keep that gas can of a bullpen coming in early. Wolfe's also gone 6 innings in every one of his starts, all quality. Neither team has mustered much power against LHP this season. Jason Schmidt owns one of the dingers hit by the Dodgers against LHP this year.Might be one to look at later tonight.

FWIW, the Giants have been better against LHP than RHP so far this year, batting .269/.359/.454 against lefties and .245/.303/.372 against the league as a whole. Definitely a small sample size, though.

 

[guru_007]

Good news for everyone! I've placed a wager this afternoon, so please run and bet the opposite of what I have here if you want to make money.

o7 Mil (Sheets) @ Chi (Lilly) +115

risk 1 to make 1.15

ytd -7.9 units

Two solid starting pitchers, what looks like miserable weather at Wrigley, what's not to like about a high scoring game? Honestly, Cubs are getting people on base, they just can't hit work a crap when they're on. Milwaukee has a decent offense, although they tend to do worse against lefties. I'm just hoping for a nice little 3-3 game and let's get into the bullpens.

g'luck

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

one lean i liked a lot, but left on the table...Under 8 Giants/Dodgers. I had that one pegged as a strong play last night, but wonder if anyone else has thoughts on it. Wolfe vs. Lowry in late action. Lowry has pitched into 7 innings twice, 6 innings once and has been able to keep that gas can of a bullpen coming in early. Wolfe's also gone 6 innings in every one of his starts, all quality. Neither team has mustered much power against LHP this season. Jason Schmidt owns one of the dingers hit by the Dodgers against LHP this year.Might be one to look at later tonight.

I nixed this for a couple of reasons. 1st off, the Giants are red hot right now and confidence could translate into more offense (it did last night). Secondly, the Giants bullpen still scares the crap out of me and while Lowry has been good this year, it is a small sample size and if the Dodgers can get into the Giants bullpen, 8 is a pretty low total to get over.FWIW,we didn't play it either way because we couldn't agree on it.

 

[RedRaiders]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

The right-hander's last start also came against Philadelphia on Thursday, when he allowed three runs, seven hits and four walks over four-plus innings of a 4-2 defeat. Patterson, who fell to 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in six career starts versus the Phillies, said his right arm felt tight, causing him to lose as much as 10 mph off his fastball.

"It's not even close," said Patterson, who has not recorded a win in more than a year. "I'm having to swallow a lot of pride right now."

I was unaware of this, but WTF Lieber still sucks

Yeah, I just wanted to give you a headsup re: Patterson. Most expected him to miss time until June from this injury so he's still working through the kinks.Lieber better continue to pitch his balls off so the Phils can move him and the decision to put Myers in relief doesn't look so stupid. [/phils fan]

 

[Angry Beavers]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

I like this one, AB. I keep waiting for Josh Fogg to turn back into Josh Fogg. He should today. I think the Mets cover the total alone.

The Mets better cause the Rocks offense is pathetic right now, average 1.67 runs over their last 6 games

They are apparently making up for it this afternoon

 

[General Malaise]

one lean i liked a lot, but left on the table...Under 8 Giants/Dodgers. I had that one pegged as a strong play last night, but wonder if anyone else has thoughts on it. Wolfe vs. Lowry in late action. Lowry has pitched into 7 innings twice, 6 innings once and has been able to keep that gas can of a bullpen coming in early. Wolfe's also gone 6 innings in every one of his starts, all quality. Neither team has mustered much power against LHP this season. Jason Schmidt owns one of the dingers hit by the Dodgers against LHP this year.Might be one to look at later tonight.

I nixed this for a couple of reasons. 1st off, the Giants are red hot right now and confidence could translate into more offense (it did last night). Secondly, the Giants bullpen still scares the crap out of me and while Lowry has been good this year, it is a small sample size and if the Dodgers can get into the Giants bullpen, 8 is a pretty low total to get over.FWIW,we didn't play it either way because we couldn't agree on it.

I know why we're not playing it and that's a good policy, but just for my own intrigue, I'm wondering if anybody else looked at this and saw it as strongly as I did because this one really stood out for me last night. We were lucky to get a push on this last night with a total of 8 and two 'lesser' pitchers on the bump.

 

[culdeus]

I'm thinking Texas Cle Over tonight. Both pitchers have been getting shelled and their ERA vs. the clubs they face tonight is 7+. And the Texas bats are heating up a bit as well plus a very favorable wind direction and speed.

 

[guru_007]

I'm thinking Texas Cle Over tonight. Both pitchers have been getting shelled and their ERA vs. the clubs they face tonight is 7+. And the Texas bats are heating up a bit as well plus a very favorable wind direction and speed.

Sabathia's been getting shelled? For the record, weather looks awful tonight at Cleveland, rainy and cold. Power pitcher could dominate here. My numbers show no advantage on the total, and a slight lean to Cleveland on the game. I'll pass altogether though.

 

[General Malaise]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

I like this one, AB. I keep waiting for Josh Fogg to turn back into Josh Fogg. He should today. I think the Mets cover the total alone.

JOSH FOGG IS AWESOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Somebody needs to test him for beefroids.

 

[General Malaise]

Today's Plays:

Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

COL/NYm O9 -120 - I see runs after yesterday's low scoring affair

Washington +170: Patterson is Washington's "ACE" and Lieber sucks

Houton +110 - Like Albers

Detroit/Chicago O 10.5 -110; Neither starter is very good, both pens have issues and both teams can hit;

KC/MIN O10.5 -110: Neither Starter is very good the Royals pen has an era over 6 and both teams can hit

you're on fire kid....keep it up.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Today's Plays:Col +170 - playing against the home sweep

Nice call AB. I also read something about a reverse line move on this game, line dropped down even with the majority on the chalk. That stuff seems to work more than not.

 

[General Malaise]

Nice work Ben Sheets. You're rapidly approaching Mark Prior/Kerry Wood territory here, pal.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

Nice work Ben Sheets. You're rapidly approaching Mark Prior/Kerry Wood territory here, pal.

He's at least at Rich Harden level.Unreal. Only saving grace is that I didn't draft either of those suckers for any of my fantasy baseball teams.