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Clinton is actually up slightly more in the polls-only forecast than in the now-cast, which is interesting. Usually whoever is leading in the polls has a much larger lead in the now-cast. Apparently the model is expecting the race to move a bit more in her direction by next week.
538 has been saying since the Comey letter that the polls will capture the reaction, but it happened too late to capture the reaction to the reaction. Silver expects a late slight bump to Clinton.
"Inquiry". Ok.
If it doesn't matter, why are establishment types bent out of shape that he did it? Those singing his praises just a couple weeks ago want him burned at the stake. Why?
This marks the first, and likely the last, documented instance of Trump and his campaign being factually incorrect.
The context of my statement "it didn't matter" was specific to the effect on polling and the election. According to most of what I've read it has no or very little effect on that, which was all I was referring to. Whether or not what Comey did matters to the larger issue (FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton) is another matter entirely and one in which I'm not prepared to pass judgment.
Pete Williams says that the tensions between agents and the DOJ administration described in the WSJ were true. He seemed to be contradicting Fox more than Comey or the WSJ.
Right. Basically my understanding of what happened is this book, Clinton Cash came out which made all kinds of suggestive charges without evidence that the Clinton Foundation was taking money in exchange for favors- but there was no quid pro quo (there rarely is with the Clintons- these things are almost impossible to prove. )
OMG, Hillary didn't turn over all her work related emails as she SAID she did? Shocker I say, shocker. She lied? shocker indeed.
You need a lot more dings!, though, in order for this to change the outcome of the previous investigation. First you need some classified materials. Then you need some sort of admission of deliberate knowledge and intent.
Yes, Tim, good summary, that's exactly what happened.
Ok let me back up.
Is this somehow surprising? I would have expected a wife to email her husband from any and all of her accounts and not consider those emails "work related" even if discussing her employer. How is this not the default position for thoughtful people? Maybe there is more to them once they are looked at closer, but just this gets you excited?
If your default position is "Hillary is lying," you'll be right more often than not.
Yeah? Some people are surprised? See a couple comments further up?
Didn't hillary say that she turned over all work related emails.
I have to think if we know exactly what is impacting the polls we should have a list. You know the difference between causation and correlation. Do we have that list and how is that known?
Anthony - I will be home around 11, Hillary is being such a #### today ...that is what CBS is terming as emails related to Hillary Clinton's tenure as secretary of state?
It's a coup! The FBI is going to get them all on Rico charges. There is enough already with the Podesta leaks.
I've been telling you for over a year that this is why "appearance of impropriety" is such a big deal, and why it ought to swing the burden of proof to the person who has the conflict of interest. And you've kept pretending not to understand that the entire time.
I said it's bad, but the stuff that will be the end of them all is the Clinton Foundation stuff.
