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Official Hillary Clinton 2016 thread (2 Viewers)

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About 40% of Hispanics in California used to vote Republican. Then came 1994- Pere Wilson and Prop 187. Ever since only 15-20% of Hispanics voted Republican. There's your difference. 

Trump is doing for the whole country what Wilson did for California, except even more so. 
Is it wrong for Americans to expect as much benefits as illegals?

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/penny-starr/report-some-illegal-aliens-enjoy-food-stamp-advantage-over-us-citizens

 
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We used to be a red state. Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan. What do you think changed? 
Mass immigration.  I posted a study before that showed that 3rd generation Americans are much more likely to vote republican than 1st and 2nd generation Americans.  The problem is the Latino population in California is still mostly 1st and 2nd generation.  As the Latino population ages, it will move to the right.  California will become more republican friendly in decades to come.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/a-silver-lining-for-republicans-in-the-latino-vote/2012/06/25/gJQAQ7RD2V_blog.html

On the role of government, Latino immigrants say by a five-to-one ratio that the government should do more to solve the country’s problems — the more liberal view — while Latinos born to parents born in the U.S. (i.e. “third-generation” and beyond) split evenly on the question.

* Romney takes 35 percent of the vote from these third-generation-and-beyond Latinos, versus 18 percent among immigrants
 
About 40% of Hispanics in California used to vote Republican. Then came 1994- Pere Wilson and Prop 187. Ever since only 15-20% of Hispanics voted Republican. There's your difference. 

Trump is doing for the whole country what Wilson did for California, except even more so. 
Actually the percentage of 1st and 2nd generation Americans as a share of Latino Californians has grown since the 1990s.  There's your difference.

 
To turn California republican, the answer is simple:  tougher immigration laws.  Cut down on the number of 1st and 2nd generation Americans in California, and California turns republican.  Simple.  And Trump knows that and is making immigration a big issue.

 
I just don't think that Tim Kaine is going to do it.


I don't think she should pick someone like Tim Kaine. 


Kaine, like Pence, is a dull choice. Let's get some excitement and passion going.


I get the thinking, but Kaine just seems so dull to me.


Normally Kaine is exactly the kind of Dem I like and I would love to see him in an important role. 

But winning this election is too important


I don't get the Kaine love either.  


timschochet said:
I also think Kaine is a mistake

 
To turn California republican, the answer is simple:  tougher immigration laws.  Cut down on the number of 1st and 2nd generation Americans in California, and California turns republican.  Simple.  And Trump knows that and is making immigration a big issue.
That is what California tried in the 90's with Prop. 187...The state rejected the Republicans and has been Democrat ever since

 
Mass immigration.  I posted a study before that showed that 3rd generation Americans are much more likely to vote republican than 1st and 2nd generation Americans.  The problem is the Latino population in California is still mostly 1st and 2nd generation.  As the Latino population ages, it will move to the right.  California will become more republican friendly in decades to come.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/a-silver-lining-for-republicans-in-the-latino-vote/2012/06/25/gJQAQ7RD2V_blog.html
After this Trump debacle, you're going to need to kick that up a few generations.   The gop should start reaping the benefits in about 40 years.  

 
What fascinates me is how immigrant generations appear to all follow the same pattern.  

1st generation:  they move to the left.

2nd generation:  they sharply move to the left way beyond what the 1st generation goes.

3rd generation and afterwards:  they sharply move to the right as they assimilate.  

The 2nd generation never seems to assimilate, but the 3rd generation and after do.  I don't know why but immigrants always follow this pattern.

 
I just don't think that Tim Kaine is going to do it.


I don't think she should pick someone like Tim Kaine. 


Kaine, like Pence, is a dull choice. Let's get some excitement and passion going.


I get the thinking, but Kaine just seems so dull to me.


Normally Kaine is exactly the kind of Dem I like and I would love to see him in an important role. 

But winning this election is too important


I don't get the Kaine love either.  


timschochet said:
I also think Kaine is a mistake
:lmao:

 
In the big picture, California is in a temporary state of liberalism caused by a massive influx of immigrants in recent decades.  It cannot sustain itself because eventually those immigrant groups will hit 3rd generation status and shift to the right.  You would have to massively escalate the immigrant population going forward to prevent California shifting to the right in the future.

 
And I love that he spoke Spanish. The convention next week is going to be filled with Latinos, Blacks, and Asians. And they're going to be young. This the new America, compared to what we saw last week, which was old and 99% white. 

 
I want to clarify that Spanish is among the few languages I can speak so I have nothing against Latinos.

I agree that trends in changing demographics will make it very tough for the Republicans in future elections, unless robotics have the right to vote.

 
Posted 31 minutes ago · Report post

I just don't think that Tim Kaine is going to do it.


I don't think she should pick someone like Tim Kaine. 


Kaine, like Pence, is a dull choice. Let's get some excitement and passion going.


I get the thinking, but Kaine just seems so dull to me.


Normally Kaine is exactly the kind of Dem I like and I would love to see him in an important role. 

But winning this election is too important


I don't get the Kaine love either.  


timschochet said:
I also think Kaine is a mistake
Tim should cut the guy some slack.  If Hillary wins like he hopes, Kaine will be one blood clot away from the Presidency.

 
And I love that he spoke Spanish. The convention next week is going to be filled with Latinos, Blacks, and Asians. And they're going to be young. This the new America, compared to what we saw last week, which was old and 99% white. 
Getting real tiresome dumping on people who have fought wars, worked hard and contributed a ton to their country...why is being able to live in your basement and tweet and get participation trophies or having been in the country for a short period of time make one better than someone who is old and white or any other color or ethnicity?  That is the message I get from your post...whether it is a dem or repub one group should not take precedent over another...that is divisive...

 
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And I love that he spoke Spanish. The convention next week is going to be filled with Latinos, Blacks, and Asians. And they're going to be young. This the new America, compared to what we saw last week, which was old and 99% white. 
Getting real tiresome dumping on people who have fought wars, worked hard and contributed a ton to their country...why is being able to live in your basement and tweet and get participation trophies or having been in the country for a short period of time make one better than someone who is old and white or any other color or ethnicity?  That is the message I get from your post...whether it is a dem or repub one group should not take precedent over another...that is divisive...
Times they are a changing my friend.

 
Getting real tiresome dumping on people who have fought wars, worked hard and contributed a ton to their country...why is being able to live in your basement and tweet and get participation trophies or having been in the country for a short period of time make one better than someone who is old and white or any other color or ethnicity?  That is the message I get from your post...whether it is a dem or repub one group should not take precedent over another...that is divisive...
Scho divides everything into race, etc.  That's what he does best.

 
Getting real tiresome dumping on people who have fought wars, worked hard and contributed a ton to their country...why is being able to live in your basement and tweet or having been in the country for a short period of time make one better than someone who is old and white or any other color or ethnicity?  
All politics are demographically based these days.  As time goes on, the percentage of whites voting republican will increase.  The demographic shift already makes that a losing formula for the party.  At some point something will occur to cause another ethnic group to splinter from the dems would be my guess as some group decides that they are the low man on the totem pole on the left.  That's just an opinion though as to what might bring back equilibrium.  I don't see equilibrium coming from having races vote 60-40 each in one way or the other, it's more likely to come from it being 90/10 or 95/5 and having another group come to the right to create that equilibrium.  It's not pretty but it's what we have today.  

 
Agreeing to share advance copy is exactly what was denied to have ever occurred in the discussion from early June, when it appeared Hillary's campaign saw an AP tweet before it went live. The Hillary defenders on here said this "conspiracy theory" was a joke. Now I can show it happens. That's what I'm referring to. 
Alright, if someone was arguing that campaigns never get advance copies of stuff  from media outlets then I disagree. I think it happens all the time.

 
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