A lot of good news for Clinton over the weekend. Obviously the FBI wrapping things up helps a little, but the end of the SEPTA strike might be even bigger. Plus Trump's campaign seems to have strayed off-message a bit again, picking fights with Jay-Z and Beyonce in a way that not only makes him look petty and juvenile and could energize black voters, but also highlights the shortcomings of his chosen musical surrogate Ted Nugent. And picking a fight with the ADL seems like maybe not the way to go given the importance of Florida.
Still my concern is the same as it has been for months- Clinton wins the popular vote by 2-4% but Trump picks off the right combination of states to give him a narrow electoral college win. Something like
this.The only result there that seems somewhat unlikely is Michigan, and Michigan seems particularly vulnerable given polling misses there in the primaries and the fact that Dems there rely so heavily on African-American turnout which might be slightly depressed this time around. Hopefully some of the union voters see
that incredible NY Times article on Celia Vargas (stick around for the punch line) and vote accordingly.